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Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. (SYRE)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 marked continued pipeline execution and balance sheet strengthening: net loss narrowed to $56.3M from $69.0M in Q3, while Spyre ended the year with $603.1M in cash and marketable securities, extending runway into 2H 2028 after a $230M equity raise in November .
  • Key clinical momentum: SPY001 Phase 1 interim data showed >90‑day half-life and complete α4β7 receptor occupancy out to 12 weeks at 300mg, supporting potential Q3M/Q6M subcutaneous maintenance dosing; Phase 2 UC platform trial remains on track to initiate mid‑2025 .
  • Broadened optionality: SPY002 advanced two anti‑TL1A antibodies into first‑in‑human trials (Dec), with interim HV data expected in Q2’25; management also added a Phase 2 RA trial for SPY002 in mid‑2025, and SPY003 remains on track for FIH start in Q1’25 .
  • Index inclusion and capital markets visibility: Added to Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (Dec 18) and completed a $200M offering (plus underwriter option) during Nov; company disclosed $230M in gross proceeds for the raise in Q4 materials .
  • Estimate comparison: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable for Q4 2024 at time of analysis; therefore, vs‑consensus comparisons are not included.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong SPY001 Phase 1 interim: human PK half‑life >90 days, complete receptor occupancy through Week 12 at 300mg, and tolerability consistent with class; supports potential Q3M/Q6M SC maintenance dosing and de‑risked transition to Phase 2 in UC mid‑2025 .
  • Strengthened liquidity and extended runway: year‑end cash and marketable securities of $603.1M with expected runway into 2H 2028, bolstered by $230M gross equity raise in Nov 2024 .
  • Portfolio breadth and combinations: SPY002 dosed in two FIH trials (Dec), SPY003 FIH remains on track for Q1’25, and preclinical combo data (TL1A + α4β7; IL‑23 + α4β7/TL1A) demonstrated enhanced efficacy and PD in models, aligning with the platform Phase 2 design .

Management quote: “We are well‑positioned and well‑capitalized to deliver a series of value‑inflecting catalysts, including three Phase 1 readouts expected in 2025 and four Phase 2 proof‑of‑concept readouts expected in 2026.” — CEO Cameron Turtle .

What Went Wrong

  • Continued operating losses as a clinical‑stage company: Q4 net loss of $56.3M (vs. $63.2M LY) driven by higher R&D ($50.5M) as programs move through FIH and into Phase 2 preparation .
  • Elevated CVR liability persists: CVR (current + non‑current) totaled ~$61.7M at year‑end, reflecting ongoing exposure to contingent outcomes, though mix shifted between current and non‑current vs. Q3 .
  • Estimate transparency gap: S&P Global consensus EPS/revenue for Q4 2024 was unavailable, limiting vs‑consensus framing for the quarter.

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (sequential)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Net Loss ($M)$(38.8) $(69.0) $(56.3)
Diluted EPS (Common) ($)$(0.86) $(1.36) $(0.81)
R&D Expense ($M)$32.6 $44.7 $50.5
G&A Expense ($M)$11.5 $10.6 $10.8
Other Income/(Expense) ($M)$5.3 $(13.6) $5.0
Net Cash Used – Operating ($M)$62.4 $29.4 $37.2

Year-over-year compare (Q4 2023 vs Q4 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$0.0 $0.0
Net Loss ($M)$(63.2) $(56.3)
Diluted EPS (Common) ($)$(1.23) $(0.81)
R&D Expense ($M)$33.7 $50.5
G&A Expense ($M)$14.1 $10.8
Other Income/(Expense) ($M)$(17.3) $5.0

Balance sheet & liquidity KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Cash & Marketable Securities ($M)$426.3 $414.2 $603.1
Cash RunwayWell into 2027 Well into 2027 Into 2H 2028
CVR Liability – Current ($M)$2.64 $24.74 $25.08
CVR Liability – Non‑Current ($M)$39.56 $36.16 $36.62
Weighted Avg Shares (Qtr, Common)45.32M 50.89M 55.26M
Non‑cash Stock Comp (Qtr) ($M)$8.7 $13.1 $9.2

Note: No revenue segments; company is pre‑commercial .

Guidance Changes

Metric/ItemPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayMulti‑year“Well into 2027” (Q3’24) “Into 2H 2028” (Q4’24) Raised runway
SPY001 – UC Phase 2 StartMid‑2025Platform trial planned 2025 On track mid‑2025 start Timing specified
SPY001 – Dosing ProfileMaintenanceTarget Q8‑12W (preclinical/expectations) Human PK supports Q3M/Q6M SC Improved optionality
SPY002 – FIH Status2H 2024/1H 2025FIH in Q4’24; HV interim 1H’25 FIH initiated Dec 2; HV interim Q2’25 Achieved; timing affirmed
SPY002 – RA Expansion2025–2026Not disclosedPhase 2 RA start mid‑2025; topline 2026 New indication
SPY003 – FIH StartQ1 2025Accelerated to Q1’25 Remains on track Q1’25 Maintained
UC Platform Trial Scope2025Monotherapies + combos Monotherapies + combinations; 500 pts design noted Maintained/expanded details
Capital MarketsNov 2024N/A$200M offering priced; $230M gross proceeds disclosed New financing

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q4’24 earnings call transcript was available in the document set; themes reflect Q2–Q4 disclosures and Q4 press commentary.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2, Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
Pipeline execution (SPY001)FIH dosing started; interim data YE’24 expected Interim: >90‑day half‑life, full receptor occupancy, tolerability; Phase 2 UC mid‑2025 Positive de‑risking
TL1A (SPY002)Two candidates chosen; FIH planned Q4’24; strong preclinical half‑life FIH initiated; HV interim data Q2’25; RA Phase 2 mid‑2025 Execution + label expansion
IL‑23 (SPY003)Candidate nominated; FIH 1H’25; acceleration to Q1’25 announced Remains on track for Q1’25 FIH start On‑track
CombinationsPreclinical combo efficacy/PD at UEGW New ECCO preclinical data (TL1A+α4β7 superiority in colitis models) Building momentum
Liquidity/runway$426M (Q2), runway into 2027 $603M at YE; runway into 2H 2028 Strengthened
Capital markets/index$200M offering; added to Nasdaq Biotech Index Enhanced visibility

Management Commentary

  • “In 2024, we initiated first‑in‑human studies for three of our next‑generation antibodies and delivered outstanding interim Phase 1 results for SPY001... We are well‑positioned and well‑capitalized to deliver a series of value‑inflecting catalysts” — Cameron Turtle, CEO .
  • “New preclinical data for SPY120 [TL1A+α4β7] demonstrated superiority to either monotherapy in mouse models of colitis and no PK interaction in NHPs when coadministered” .
  • “SPY003 remains on track to initiate a FIH trial in the first quarter of 2025” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript found in the document set; no Q&A to report. If a live call occurred, a transcript was not available in the filings/press materials reviewed.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to access limitations at the time of analysis; therefore, vs‑consensus comparisons are not included. Results are presented vs prior quarter and prior year from company filings.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clinical de‑risking for SPY001 increases confidence heading into the mid‑2025 UC Phase 2 start; quarterly/twice‑yearly maintenance dosing could be a differentiation lever if efficacy translates in patients .
  • Multiple 2025 catalysts (SPY002 HV interim, SPY003 HV interim 2H’25, SPY001 longer‑term Phase 1 data) and 2026 POC readouts create a steady cadence for news flow and potential stock inflection points per management’s timeline .
  • Expanded TAM through RA adds a second large indication for SPY002, diversifying outcomes while leveraging the same anti‑TL1A mechanism .
  • Balance sheet removes near‑term financing overhang; runway into 2H 2028 supports completion of multiple Phase 2 studies under a master protocol design .
  • Watch CVR liability and related‑party expense dynamics; while non‑cash factors improved “Other income/(expense)” in Q4, the CVR exposure remains material on the balance sheet .
  • With no commercial revenue, valuation remains driven by clinical data quality, speed of execution, and competitive positioning in α4β7, TL1A, and IL‑23 classes; combo data and dosing convenience are emerging differentiators .
  • Absence of published consensus limited beat/miss framing this quarter; future comps should normalize once estimate availability resumes.

References:

  • Q4 2024 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1 press release: financials, runway, and program updates .
  • Q4 2024 press release duplicate (PR Newswire) with identical financials and quotes .
  • SPY001 interim (Nov 12, 2024): half‑life >90 days, receptor occupancy, and Phase 2 design .
  • SPY002 FIH initiation (Dec 2, 2024): two trials, HV interim in Q2’25 .
  • SPY003 acceleration (Oct 14, 2024): FIH Q1’25 track .
  • Capital markets: $200M offering (Nov 18–19) ; added to Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (Dec 18) .
  • Q3 2024 8‑K/press release: sequential financials and prior guidance .
  • Q2 2024 press release: earlier liquidity and guidance baselines .