TAT Technologies - Earnings Call - Q4 2024

Transcript

Matt Chesler (Head of Investor Relations)

Today, ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to TAT Technologies' Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Please note that today's conference call may be recorded. I will be your host, Matt Chesler, from the U.S.-based investor team. Joining me today are Igal Zamir, our President and CEO, and Ehud Ben-Yair, our CFO. Before getting started, we would like to draw your attention to the fact that certain matters discussed on this call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other provisions of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this call and, except as required by law, TAT Technologies assumes no obligation to update or revise them. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. For a more detailed discussion of how these and other risks and uncertainties could cause TAT Technologies' actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these forward-looking statements, please see our annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, and other filings we make with the SEC. The financial measures discussed today include non-GAAP measures. We believe investors focus on non-GAAP financial measures in comparing results between periods and among our peer companies that publish similar non-GAAP measures.

Please see today's press release, our earnings release, and the investor section of our website at tat-technologies.com for a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP measures. Non-GAAP financial information should not be considered in isolation from or as a substitute for or superior to GAAP financial information, but is included because management believes it is meaningful information about the financial performance of our business and is useful to investors for informational and comparative purposes. The non-GAAP financial measures that the company uses have limitations and may differ from those used by other companies. With all that, we would now like to turn the call over to Igal.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

Thank you. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us for our Fourth Quarter and Annual Results Call. 2024 was another solid year of fast growth, increasing profitability, and strong execution of our strategic business plan. We are very proud in the result. We delivered a 34% increase in revenue to more than $150 million in revenue and grew net income by 139% comparing to 2023. The fourth quarter was just as strong, with revenue increasing by 29% to $41 million compared to Q4 of 2023. In terms of profitability and margin, we also increased this year with gross margin increasing from 19.7% in 2023 to 21.7% this year, and as you saw, more than 23% in Q4, and adjusted EBITDA margin increasing from 9.7% in 2023 to 12.2% in 2024.

Major efforts have been made and are still ongoing to continue and improve profitability in 2025, and we expect the trend to continue. A lot of emphasis on improving our profitability, not just growing the top line. This year, we launched our new capabilities, especially our APUs 131 and 500. Those new capabilities open us to new substantial markets. A lot has been done during 2024 to build ourselves towards this blue ocean market, and it was reflected in our results, revenue increase, and other things. With it came a lot of investment in inventory, and we are well positioned going into 2025 to continue and enjoy this very large market.

Another thing is that during the year in 2024, we focused on expanding our trading and leasing capability, which allowed us to enjoy a built-in advantage by using our in-house MRO capability to purchase systems and components in the market, overhaul them, and trade or lease them to our customers, especially in periods where the industry is challenged with supply chain challenges and delivery challenges. Having the materials and the components available on the shelf opens opportunities, also helps us centralize our supply chain, and we aim to continue growing this activity and strengthening it during 2025, and we are enjoying very high profitability on it. Our backlog and LTA value at the end of 2024 increased to $429 million comparing to the $406 million at the end of 2023.

We are very pleased with it because despite, on top of the growth that we were able to show in revenue in 2024, we booked more new orders and we won new business. We are ready, and it's a good reflection of the potential growth in 2025, 2026. Supply chain continues to be a challenge in the industry, especially with parts and materials availability and longer than normal lead times. In order to overcome the challenges and be ready for the expected growth in 2025, but also in order to provide great service to our customers and have assets ready for trading, we implemented a strategic sourcing plan, which reflects in our inventory.

You can see in the inventory, the balance of the inventory at the end of the year, the growth, most of it, if not all of it, is strategic decisions that we made to get ready with parts, materials, and full components like engines or landing gears available on the shelf so we can support 2025 business and continuous growth. As an outcome of this strategic and implementing of this supply chain strategy, we basically used the profits that we generated throughout the year and reinvested it to do two things. First of all, to support the working capital, but also to support the inventory build-up. It reflects in a negative operation cash flow for the year, but something that we did as a strategic decision in order to be ready for this year.

At the end of the day, bottom line, we are summering a meaningful year with growth rate that is much higher than the industry, profitable and expanding our margin. While there are certainly challenges ahead of us, mainly gaining new contracts as a new player in the 131 and 500 APUs and overcoming the supply chain, we are looking forward to another strong year in 2025 with focus on improving performance to our customers, increasing profitability margin, and growing the top line. With that, I will pass the speaking to Ehud Ben-Yair, our CFO, to review the financial report.

Ehud Ben-Yair (CFO)

Thank you, Igal. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us today. As Igal started, we completed a very successful year. I will elaborate a little bit about the numbers and the profitability elements, both for Q4 of 2024 compared to Q4 of 2023, and also for the full years, 2023 versus 2024. Revenue in Q4 went up to $41 million compared to $38.8 million. It is an increase of 29% quarter to quarter. Gross margin in Q4 of 2024 went up to 23.2% compared to 21.9% in Q4 of 2023. The adjusted EBITDA went up by almost 60% from $3.4 million in Q4 of 2023 to $5.4 million in Q4 of 2024. Earnings per share on a fully diluted basis went up to $0.32 per share. It is a 658% increase compared to Q4 of 2023.

Looking at the year-to-year results, the full year of 2024 ended with $152.1 million of revenue compared to $113.8 million in 2023, which is an increase of 34%. The gross margin went up from $19.7 million in 2023 to 21.7% of revenue, which represents $33 million of gross margin. The operating profit went up as well, almost doubled itself or even doubled itself from $6.1 million to $12.5 million. The adjusted EBITDA went up from $11.1 million in 2023 to $18.6 million in 2024, representing a 67% increase in the adjusted EBITDA. Net profits also more than doubled, 100% increased between the year of 2023. They were $4.7 million compared to $11.2 million. In the year of, for the full year of 2024, the earning per share on a fully diluted basis was $1 per share, representing a 95% increase compared to the year of 2023.

One of the things that we are very proud of and we are elaborating quarter after quarter is the fact that the company is growing its revenue quarter after quarter, but we are more proud with the fact that we are improving our gross margin, operating margin, and obviously net profit and adjusted EBITDA. All profitability elements went up quarter after quarter. Gross margin went up from 21.9% in Q4 of 2023 and gradually went up to 23.2% in Q4 of 2024. The same with all other operating margin, net profits, and adjusted EBITDA. Again, I must emphasize, even though we are presenting quarter after quarter, I believe that in order to better analyze the company, you need to look at more of four-quarter results rather than trying to analyze and understand exactly what happens every quarter.

Any small deal of $2 million, $3 million can make a change in the quarter, both revenue and profitability. Another analysis that we are showing every quarter is the revenue per product line. You can see that we are really emphasizing our four major product lines, which are heat exchangers, APU, the trading and leasing, and the landing gears. Heat exchangers, both OEM and MRO, went up from $13.3 million in Q4 of 2023 up to $16.6 million in Q4 of 2024. APU segment went up from $9.2 million in Q4 of 2023 to $13 million. It is an increase of 42% in the revenue of this segment. Trading and leasing also went up from $2.2 million in Q4 of 2023 up to $3.3 million in Q4 of 2024 with an uptick of $5.7 million that we reported in Q3 of 2024.

The landing gear is already at the level of $2.8 million with expecting revenue to grow dramatically in 2025. Looking at the year-by-year numbers of the major product line, you can see that heat exchange activity went up from $33.1 million in 2022 to $63.2 million at the year of 2024. APU with a dramatic increase from $18.7 million in 2022 up to $43.3 million in 2024. Obviously, as Igal said, we just started scratching the surface of the new APU engines capabilities that we have, and we expect to see another ramp-up in 2025. The trading and leasing went up from $6.2 million to $13.9 million. Landing gear is pretty stable. As we explained, there is a cycle in the landing gear activity that we are presenting.

The cycle, another cycle of four to five years started in Q4 of 2024 and expected to ramp up during 2025 and 2026 to a much higher numbers. We're very proud with increasing not only the revenue, but also all the profitability elements. Revenue is going up, gross profit and margin are going up. You can see the table, it's steady growth quarter after quarter, the same with the operating margin and the net income. Two things that I'm asking investors to be aware of that impact the net income of the company is one is the interest expenses that we are paying. We are currently sitting on almost $20 million of loans, some of them long-term, some of them short-terms, with interest rate of anywhere between 7.8% to 8.3% of interest.

This is resulting in almost $2 million interest expenses in the year of 2024 and expected to continue this way for the year 2025. The second element is tax expenses, which are going to go up in 2025. The company is not going to pay taxes in 2025, but we're going to record tax expenses, which are mainly due to changes in the tax assets and liability on our balance sheet. We're expecting to start paying taxes by the end of 2025, starting 2026. In terms of the business breakdown, again, the company is really focusing its activity on the commercial aviation side of the business and less on the military. The military revenues in 2024 were 18% out of the total revenue and commercial were 82%.

In terms of the two major side of business, which are OEM and MRO, OEM were 27% in Q4 and MRO 73%, but looking at the full year, OEM were 32% and MRO 68%, which is very steady if you're looking also backwards to the years of 2023 and 2022. In terms of the geographical distribution of the revenue, North America obviously continued to be very strong. 70% of our revenues are coming from US customers, 11% out of Europe, and the rest of the world are the rest. The last slide is about the backlog. You can see on the left side that backlog is steadily going up from $400 million in 2022 to $429 million at the end of 2024. 51% of it are the heat exchangers long-term agreement.

APU agreements, which are usually for anywhere between three to five years, are 28% of the backlog, and 14% of the backlog are again landing gear contracts. As we said before and in the past, we're going to participate in bids on large bids on the new APU segments on the year of 2025 and on. Once we start winning those contracts, you will see another jump in the another step jump in the backlog number. By this, I'm returning the call to Igal Zamir, our CEO.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

Thank you, Ehud. Just to summarize, 2024 was another strong year. When we look at our going into 2025 and 2026, we still enjoy the same strong demand that we've been seeing in the last two years. Industry is still recovering, and I'm not sure that in some cases we don't see the light at the end of the tunnel in terms of when the industry is going to catch up with the demand. There are increasing demands. We have a large increase in our MRO orders. We already have good visibility to this year and starting to see increasing book of orders also already for 2026. The two new engines and Ehud mentioned bidding on new contracts. It's a major growth engine for the company.

The trading and leasing activities, which we plan to continue and expand, and strategic deals that we have signed and the opportunities that we have for growth in the landing gear. Basically, it's the same landscape of growth engines that we discussed in the previous quarters, and we are very optimistic about it and the opportunities for growth moving forward.

Matt Chesler (Head of Investor Relations)

Okay, thank you, Igal. We're now going to open up to the Q&A session. First, with some instructions. As a reminder, there are two ways to ask a question from the Zoom webcast. The first is to use the raise your hand icon, which is at the bottom of your screen. Clicking on this will alert me that you'll want to be called on to ask a live question, and you'll be placed in a queue and called on. Just note, you're going to be on mute until you're called on. The second way to participate in Q&A is to use the Q&A widget, which will allow you to type in and text the question in.

We'll take questions from there as well, but just note, if we run into a time constraint, someone from the IR team will get back to you if your question is not asked on today's call. With that, we'd now like to begin and pause for a moment to build the queue. I will now take the first question. The first question is going to be from Josh Sullivan at the Benchmark Company. Josh, go ahead. Josh, be sure to take your line off of mute if you've not already done so. Josh, I believe you're still on mute.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

How about now? Can you?

Ehud Ben-Yair (CFO)

Now you're good.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

Okay.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

Good morning.

Ehud Ben-Yair (CFO)

Good morning. Thank you.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

Yeah, just as congratulations on the result. As far as the investment in inventory, just given the ongoing unstable nature of the supply chain, can you just highlight what you're seeing from suppliers at this point, maybe versus the previous quarter?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

I think that we did not see any big change in the supply chain behavior over the last two quarters. Without going into too many details, in some product lines, and I mentioned it in previous calls, we are fully recovered and the supply chain is recovered. Over there, internally, and we do not go into these details, we take a very strategic approach. Anywhere where the supply chain is stabilized, and especially more on the material side, raw material side, it is way more stable than what it was during the COVID years. Over there, we did not increase. We are keeping on the opposite. Despite the fact that we are increasing revenue, we are not increasing purchasing and inventory. In some cases, it even went down. We are just increasing the inventory turns.

I think that the key challenges is on the parts delivery when we need to buy parts from the OEMs in order to perform the work, whether it's APUs on landing gears. Over there, there are still major challenges with very long lead times and unpredictable deliveries. Over there, we made a strategic decision to invest a lot in order to be ready for the growth. If I have to split between materials and parts and components, materials is pretty stable. Still, the lead times are still not back to where they used to be before COVID, but getting there. Over there, we are not increasing, on the opposite, increasing. On the parts, OEM parts to support engines or landing gears, still pretty much a challenge with very long lead time and lack of consistency, if you will, in the deliveries.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

Got it. Just looking at the launch and the new APU capabilities here in 2025, what does the demand side of that equation look like? How should we think about how you guys are going after some of those programs? I mean, are you looking at the larger ones? Do you think we will see smaller ones and more incrementally? Just trying to understand how we might visually see the APU opportunity evolve over 2025.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

I'll say the following. I'll split the answer into two sections. First of all, there are plenty of challenges that airlines are experiencing around the world with the availability of these engines. With the supply chain challenges and with the ramp-up that is required by the industry and many competitors still, many of our competitors still struggling to ramp up the rate required. There is a lot of demand. I would say we see a lot of interest in either already being in active RFPs or planning to open RFPs and/or planning to figure out solutions to how to overcome the challenges that airlines have despite the fact that they are locked into existing contracts. There is a lot of demand and plenty of activity around. We see a very large funnel of opportunities.

We are a newcomer into these engines, and we are going to win on RFPs, but I think that going after very large RFPs at this point, we are trying, but I do not know that I can say, yes, we are going to win major, major, very large RFPs being a newcomer into this game. I think that we are going to more focus on small to medium-sized RFPs from airlines. Actually, it is not just in the future. We are already doing it, and we are now in active process on several of them. If you think about it, small airlines to medium-sized airlines are more on the sweet spot for us for this year, I would say.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

Yeah. The comments on the landing gear cycle, how should we think about that? When do you think we really see that starting to engage?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

You saw the beginning in Q4, and we expect it to continue this year. The full, the peak is expected in 2026 to 2028, but we are expecting substantial growth this year, and it will get to maximum demand next year and again, 2026 to 2028.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

Just kind of more of a general question. Obviously, you guys have a great penetrating story here, but what's your sense of the overall MRO market, just given some of the macro comments out there?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

I think that since the industry is still in recovery and with all the supply chain challenges, we see a very strong demand. I think that it will take time before MRO will catch up. If you look at what the larger companies and the industries are publishing, they are talking about catching up at the end of this year, sometime in 2026. While maybe there is a little bit of concern on the airline side that we are hearing, maybe a little bit of softening on the flight side, there is so much catch-up to do that for the foreseeing future, we do not see any decrease in demand, on the opposite.

Josh Solvin (Analyst)

Perfect. Thank you for the time.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

Thank you.

Matt Chesler (Head of Investor Relations)

We're going to move to the next question. The next question is from Sergey Glinyanov. Sergey, the line is open.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Yeah. Hello, everyone. First of all, I want to say congratulations for another successful quarter. I have a couple of questions. First of all, what's the book-to-bill ratio now, and what time period does it take to convert sole backlog to revenue?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

The book-to-bill ratio is over one, obviously, because you see that not only that we increased revenue, we increased the backlog more. You have to remember that when we operate, as time goes by, we are eating from the backlog and the value of the long-term agreement, but we are replacing it with more new orders and new contracts in a larger amount than what we were able to translate into revenues, which is a great indicator for the future growth that we are expecting to see. On the OEM side, regarding the second question, on the OEM side, these are very long-term. We are under long-term contracts.

What you see or what we recognize in the POs is either the value of the contract for the coming few years or when the OEM is actually giving us the POs, the actual POs for the coming 12-18 months, we replace the contract value into the actual POs. On the OEM side, the next 12-18 months is already covered with actual POs, which is part of the number. For the coming few years, it is based on the aircraft manufacturer production plan. That is give or take 30% of the business, 32% of the business last year. On the MRO side, typically contracts are between three to five years. We take the airline historical data of how much replacement and how much overall spend they have per year times the remaining contract time, and that is what we book.

We need to remember that, give or take, 40%—it depends, it's changing, but about 40% of the revenue comes from non-contractual customers. That's the last portion because when we actually get the PO from a non-contractual customer or we get an actual asset for repair on the aftermarket side, the MRO side, then obviously we add the value, the expected value into the calculation. Let's call it 40% is very short term. We got something, we have to produce it in the coming few months. The other 60% based on contract, it's typically three- to five-year contracts on the MRO and way longer contracts on the OEM with actual POs for the coming 12-18 months.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Okay, got it. Thanks. The next one is APU projections, pretty clear. What is about the thermal solutions? What revenue growth rate do you expect next two, two, three years, maybe?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

On the thermal solutions, first of all, we expect to continue going. We have a huge advantage of the thermal solution. I believe that we've been a very long-term partner of the larger OEM. We are tier one to Boeing. We are tier one to Textron on most of their fleet. We are tier one to Embraer. We also produce thermal components to system manufacturers. We are under very long contracts. As long as the OEM continues to recover their production, we expect to see more and more POs. We already see an increase for this year from the OEMs. That's on that side. On the aftermarket side, the MRO side, TAT is one of the leading companies in the industry globally, if not the largest. We had great performance. We made huge improvements over the last two, three years.

We made huge investments in capacity and production line, dramatically increasing our capabilities in our facility in Tulsa, Oklahoma. As time goes by, we win more and more business. We are very competitive, and we are very happy with our growth, expecting to continue.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Yeah, that sounds great. I think the statement on the last call was about a margin above 15%. Are you still on the track of exceeding 15% a bit of margin in 2025?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

We are not providing forecasts, but you can see that I'm very consistent. Thank you for reminding me. Definitely, internally, as I said last time, I believe that a company in our type of business, and if I'm looking at our competitors, best in class needs to be what I consider to be best in class needs to be above 25% gross margin and above 15% EBITDA. You can see the solid trends in this direction continuing. We are investing. Actually, when you look at internal, if you were here with us internally, you're looking at our focus for this year, we place profitability improvement and continuing the improvement in efficiency and reducing cost at a higher priority than just increasing the top line.

We really want to make a lot of effort to get to the point that we have a strong engine that generates good results with very high margins. We know that when we increase the revenue, we are going to enjoy it. Definitely in the right direction and hoping to get there as fast as possible.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Yeah, sounds great. The next one, what is your long-term revenue structure outlook, breaking it down into thermal, APU, landing gear, etc.? It's really interesting because we see that APU share is increasing. Now you mentioned that landing gear revenue will slow down after 2028, as far as I understood. Yeah? Just put a little bit of colors about that. Thank you.

Ehud Ben-Yair (CFO)

I think that for the year of for the coming years, we're expecting to see a growth in all of the segments: heat exchangers, APU, landing gear, and also the trading and the leasing. We believe that the APU will be a stronger growth engine than the other, given the new contract and the size of the market. As I said before, we're expecting growth in all of the segments in the coming years.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Okay, thank you. The last one is a little bit about landing gear. Yeah. E-Jet 175 is quite popular, and that's great. You are so ready to provide landing gear MRO. Moreover, we saw a big deal of purchasing by American Airlines of new ones that may bring a lot of work ahead for TAT. Anyway, do you plan to get new authorization of another business or regional jets?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

I'm not sure that we're expecting to get any other authorization on top of the E-Jets. Okay, it's not something that currently is on our roadmap for this year. Right now, in the roadmap for this year, we really focus on increasing the capacity to meet the demand on the existing platforms.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Okay, got it. That is all from me. Thanks a lot, and wish all the best to you.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Sergey Glinyanov (Analyst)

Thank you, Sergey.

Matt Chesler (Head of Investor Relations)

Thank you, Sergey. Now we're going to move to take a question that was typed in. This one is from Jonathan Sigmund, first congratulating us on the continued positive results during these challenging supply conditions. He's asking for us to comment on pricing trends that our customers are paying for our services. Is it increasing, changing year over year?

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

As a general thing, we have two types of customers. We have the contractual customers, and over there, pricing escalations are predetermined with formulas, typically tied to indexes, material indexes, and labor indexes. Per the indexes, the prices are changing on an annual base. Obviously, they were adjusted also going into 2025 according to the relevant indexes. We have the non-contractual customers where it's a little bit more tricky. There are market considerations and competitive considerations. Obviously, we want to make sure that the prices are going to enable us to maintain the profitability. On the other hand, we also want to make sure that we are not going to be disadvantaged being more expensive than competition.

Obviously, it's a more per-case discussion, but I think that we are positioned well from the pricing, from 2025 pricing, to continue and enjoy the margin that we saw last year.

Matt Chesler (Head of Investor Relations)

There are no more questions in the queue. With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to Igal for closing remarks.

Igal Zamir (President and CEO)

Okay. One second. As a summary of everything, we are very proud in the results, and we are well positioned to continue and to go to the company in 2025. The demand is strong. We see a lot of interest coming our way from new customers. The agreements that we have signed with the larger OEMs will continue to drive our growth. All in all, I did not mention the leasing and trading that is growing, especially in times where the industry is struggling. All in all, we are very optimistic about the potential to continue and to grow the business. I'd like to say that while, as I would said before, in the type of business that we are, and up until now, in the last two years, we've been every quarter focusing on the quarter, and it was really quarter-to-quarter discussion.

I think that we need to start looking at the business more on an annual year-to-year growth. You see it from 2023 to 2024. There may be changes and fluctuations from quarter to quarter. There are unpredictability on the MRO side of the business. We do not have good control on what will come and when will come. Even the airline do not know. Most of the maintenance that we do is not predetermined, with the exception of the landing gear, which is known in advance and planned months and months in advance. On all the other product lines, the maintenance is per condition. As long as the unit is working well on wing, they are not dismantling and sending it to overhaul. There are fluctuations. There are also budgetary decisions that airlines are making.

Sometimes they want to be more profitable and cut costs on a certain quarter, so they don't send their components for maintenance the following quarter. They can bombard you with all the units that they were accumulating for many months. We can see variation between the quarters, but when we look at the full year, an expectation for 2025 comparing to 2024, we are well positioned for another very strong year. I'd like to use this opportunity and thank the participation in this call for taking the time to join us today and for the trust and partnership with our company. I am looking forward to talk to you in the future and see you in conferences and answer any questions that you have.