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    BBB FOODS (TBBB)

    Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Apr 8, 2025
    Pre-Earnings Price$24.63Last close (May 22, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$28.24Last close (May 24, 2024)
    Price Change
    $3.61(+14.66%)
    • Consistent Store Expansion & Improved Vintage Performance: Executives highlighted that every vintage of store openings is performing better than the previous one, underscoring a strong and scalable growth model. This consistent quality in new store performance supports robust organic growth.
    • Ongoing Efficiency & Cost-Saving Initiatives: The management emphasized continuous operational efficiency projects—ranging from optimizing logistics and routing to tech upgrades—delivering labor cost savings and improved margins. This focus on efficiency is expected to boost long‐term profitability.
    • Enhanced Supplier Engagement & Positive Post-IPO Impact: Following the IPO, suppliers have shown increased motivation, contributing to better pricing terms and a positive halo effect. This improved supplier relationship can drive further margin enhancements while reinforcing the operating model.
    • Currency vulnerability: The company operates in a highly dollarized market, which makes it susceptible to significant peso fluctuations. This could pressure margins and overall profitability if devaluations extend beyond the typical 12 to 18‐month adjustment period.
    • Gross margin volatility: Management highlighted that gross margins are very dynamic—driven by fluctuating sales mix and supplier pricing conditions. This inherent variability may lead to periods of margin contraction if supplier negotiations or pricing strategies misfire.
    • Risks tied to rapid expansion: Although store openings have been robust, the accelerated growth might eventually strain the operational model if new locations do not consistently perform at historical levels or if execution challenges emerge as the network scales further.
    1. Gross Margin
      Q: What drove higher gross margins this quarter?
      A: Management explained that better supplier terms, dynamic pricing, and increased scale led to higher margins, though such fluctuations are normal and not a redefinition of their outlook.

    2. Efficiency & SBC
      Q: How will efficiencies and SBC affect cost structure?
      A: They are executing ongoing efficiency initiatives to curb rising labor costs, while share‐based payments are expected to remain around 1% of sales, with any costs tied to enhanced performance.

    3. Cash Deployment
      Q: What are the post-IPO benefits and cash plans?
      A: Management noted a positive supplier halo effect post-IPO and is deploying the MXN 4.3 billion excess cash into high-return initiatives, reinforcing a robust balance sheet.

    4. Organic Growth
      Q: Is growth organic or driven by acquisitions?
      A: The focus remains on organic growth, as management prefers expanding naturally given talent scarcity, though they don’t entirely rule out M&A.

    5. Store Quality
      Q: Are new store openings meeting performance expectations?
      A: Their disciplined, decentralized approach ensures each new vintage outperforms the last, maintaining strong and consistent operational performance.

    6. Mature Performance
      Q: How are mature stores performing overall?
      A: Management reported that mature locations continue to generate robust, steady sales growth by delivering increased value to customers.

    7. Sales Mix
      Q: What trend is expected for private label penetration?
      A: Private label sales are trending upward, mirroring global hard discounter trends, even though quarterly figures may fluctuate.

    8. Basket Evolution
      Q: How are basket sizes and ticket frequencies evolving?
      A: Although increased private label purchases slightly pull down average ticket size, enhanced customer frequency is gradually boosting overall ticket counts.

    9. Competitive Model
      Q: Are competitors adopting the hard discount model?
      A: No significant shifts have been observed among competitors, which reinforces the company’s strong positioning in the hard discount space.

    10. Next Milestone
      Q: What is the next strategic milestone for the business?
      A: The plan remains to execute its proven model more efficiently and rapidly, with no radical changes on the horizon.

    11. SKU Discipline
      Q: Will the number of SKUs on shelves increase?
      A: They maintain a disciplined approach by swapping underperformers for new items, only expanding SKU counts if it meets stringent value and rotation criteria.

    12. New Categories
      Q: Any update on testing new product categories?
      A: Management is piloting around 50–60 SKUs in new categories but will only scale up successful tests, ensuring every product continues to deliver high value.

    13. Currency Risk
      Q: How vulnerable is the business to a weaker peso?
      A: While the market is susceptible to currency fluctuations, past devaluations have been weathered, and management expects adjustments over time.

    14. Easter Impact
      Q: Did the Easter calendar shift significantly affect sales?
      A: Although hypermarkets saw a seasonal bump from Easter, the overall full-quarter impact was minimal.

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