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TERADATA CORP /DE/ (TDC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Mixed quarter: revenue $409M (-11% YoY, -7% QoQ), non-GAAP EPS $0.53 (above prior Q4 guidance), and cloud ARR up to $609M (+15% YoY) while total ARR fell to $1.474B (-6% YoY) .
  • Management introduced FY 2025 guidance targeting cloud ARR growth of 14–18% CC, total ARR flat to +2% CC, non-GAAP EPS $2.15–$2.25, and FCF $250–$280M; Q1 2025 non-GAAP EPS $0.55–$0.59 .
  • Strategic narrative shifted decisively to hybrid AI: BYO‑LLM integrations, NVIDIA GPU acceleration, Amazon Bedrock linkage, and enterprise vector store preview; execution and retention improvements are emphasized to drive ARR growth return in 2025 .
  • CFO transition announced (Bramley departing, Smotherman named interim); management reiterated durable profitability and FCF focus—potential catalyst alongside an ARR growth inflection message for 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Cloud ARR reached $609M (+15% YoY reported, +18% CC); cloud net expansion rate was 117% and cloud ARR is now >40% of total, expected to approach ~50% by YE25 .
  • Q4 non‑GAAP EPS of $0.53 beat prior Q4 guidance ($0.40–$0.44), aided by cost optimization; FY non‑GAAP EPS $2.42 exceeded full-year guidance and FY operating margin expanded to 20.3% .
  • Strategic AI progress: “We delivered significant AI technology, including broad support for OTFs, BYO‑LLM and GPU‑accelerated compute…well positioned to return to growth this year” — Steve McMillan . “Execution is job #1” as GTM restructuring settles and AI use cases ramp .

What Went Wrong

  • Total ARR declined to $1.474B (-6% YoY reported), recurring revenue fell to $351M (-6% YoY), and total revenue dropped to $409M (-11% YoY) as consulting services and perpetual sales softened .
  • Margins compressed: non‑GAAP gross margin 60.9% (-100 bps YoY) and non‑GAAP operating margin 17.6% (-190 bps YoY), driven primarily by upfront revenue impacts; currency also a 2025 headwind .
  • FX and linearity: management flagged ~$20M operating income FX headwind vs three months prior and expects Q1 to be the largest renewal/erosion quarter, with sequential ARR declines before 2H acceleration .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$436 $440 $409
Recurring Revenue ($USD Millions)$368 $372 $351
GAAP Gross Margin (%)60.8% 60.5% 59.4%
Non‑GAAP Gross Margin (%)62.2% 61.6% 60.9%
GAAP Operating Margin (%)15.1% 12.7% 9.5%
Non‑GAAP Operating Margin (%)22.0% 22.5% 17.6%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.38 $0.33 $0.26
Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.64 $0.69 $0.53

Segment breakdown

SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($M)Q4 2024 Revenue ($M)Q4 2023 Revenue ($M)
Product Sales$379 $354 $384
Consulting Services$61 $55 $73
Segment Gross Profit (% of Revenue) – Product69.9% 68.9% 70.6%
Segment Gross Profit (% of Revenue) – Consulting9.8% 9.1% 16.4%

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024
Total ARR ($USD Billions)$1.482B $1.474B
Public Cloud ARR ($USD Millions)$570 $609
Cloud Net Expansion Rate (%)120% 117%
Recurring Revenue Mix (% of Total)85% 86%
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$77 $156
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$69 $148
Q4 Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$15 (Q3) $29

Notes on non‑GAAP: Company excludes stock‑based compensation, reorganization/transformation costs, Argentina Blue Chip Swap, and tax adjustments; reconciliations provided in exhibits .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q4 2024$0.40–$0.44 (set in Q3) Actual $0.53 Beat vs guidance
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2024$1.02–$1.06 (Q3) Actual $1.16 Beat vs guidance
Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2024$2.30–$2.34 (Q3) Actual $2.42 Beat vs guidance
Public Cloud ARR Growth (CC)FY 2025N/A14%–18% Introduced
Total ARR Growth (CC)FY 2025N/AFlat to +2% Introduced
Recurring Revenue Growth (CC)FY 2025N/A-3% to -5% Introduced
Total Revenue Growth (CC)FY 2025N/A-4% to -6% Introduced
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025N/A$1.05–$1.15 Introduced
Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025N/A$2.15–$2.25 Introduced
Cash from Operations ($M)FY 2025N/A$270–$300 Introduced
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2025N/A$250–$280 Introduced
Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q1 2025N/A$0.55–$0.59 Introduced
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q1 2025N/A$0.33–$0.37 Introduced
Recurring Revenue (CC)Q1 2025N/A-4% to -6% Introduced
Total Revenue (CC)Q1 2025N/A-6% to -8% Introduced

Additional 2025 modeling assumptions from management: non‑GAAP tax ~23%, other expense ~$43M, weighted average shares ~97.4M; Q1 non‑GAAP tax ~24.3% and shares ~97.9M .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Cost actions/restructuringWorkforce reduction; $75–$80M annualized OpEx savings; reinvest portions On track; margins improved; segment realignment Cost optimization supported EPS; maintain 2024 operating margin rate in 2025 Stable execution, margin defense
Hybrid AI strategy (BYO‑LLM, NVIDIA, CSPs)Highlighted hybrid platform and AI analytics foundation Innovations, new customers/partners, hybrid adoption Deep push into hybrid AI: BYO‑LLM, NVIDIA GPU, Amazon Bedrock integration; enterprise vector store preview Expanding capabilities and GTM
ARR retention and linearityTotal ARR down; seasonality noted Total ARR down; cloud ARR up; higher recurring mix Expect Q1 ARR decline; improved retention in 2H24 and 2025; return to ARR growth by Q4 2025 Improving retention; back‑half weighted
Consulting/Perpetual revenueConsulting down; perpetual declining Consulting down high‑teens; flat total revenue Consulting down; total revenue -11% YoY; guidance for consulting to decline HSD in 2025 CC Continued mix shift to recurring
FX headwindsNoted FX impacts in KPIs CC disclosures; some FX dynamics ~$20M OI headwind vs three months prior; ~100bps GM decline expected from FX/mix FX worsening into 2025
Leadership changesCPO role eliminated; CEO overseeing Product CFO transition announced; interim CFO appointed Organizational realignment continues

Management Commentary

  • “We are firmly focused on returning the company to growth in 2025 and execution is job #1.” — Steve McMillan .
  • “Last year, we delivered significant AI technology, including broad support for OTFs, BYO‑LLM and GPU‑accelerated compute…we are well positioned to return to growth this year.” — Steve McMillan .
  • “Non‑GAAP earnings per share exceeded our guidance range, primarily driven by continued cost optimization efforts…we repurchased $215M or 5.8M shares in 2024.” — Claire Bramley .
  • “We expect both total and cloud ARR decline sequentially in Q1 and anticipate a significant weighting of growth to the second half of 2025…we expect to return to total ARR growth in the fourth quarter.” — Claire Bramley .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cloud migrations and deal timing: Q4 saw deal elongation and staged migrations; Teradata’s hybrid capabilities (on‑prem + cloud consistency) support 30+ active gen‑AI POCs moving toward production .
  • ARR guidance confidence: Approach reduces reliance on large 8‑figure deals; drivers include improved retention across on‑prem and total ARR and better pipeline rigor post GTM changes .
  • Pipeline mix: Roughly 50/50 migrations vs expansions in 2025 (migrations earlier, expansions later); new logos are a small contributor; 2025 innovation not fully embedded in the outlook .
  • Open table formats (Iceberg, Delta): Early days but critical for TAM expansion; Teradata aims to be open/connected and apply analytics/AI engines against large OTF/lake datasets .
  • Cloud NRR: Finished 2024 in line; could decelerate before reaccelerating as the year progresses (2H expansion weighting) .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates (EPS, revenue) for Q4 2024 and prior quarters were unavailable due to a data access limit; as a result, formal “vs estimates” comparisons cannot be presented at this time. Values would typically be retrieved from S&P Global; not available in this instance.
  • Company‑provided guidance comparisons indicate a Q4 non‑GAAP EPS beat vs prior guidance ($0.53 actual vs $0.40–$0.44 guided in Q3) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cloud ARR momentum and mix shift are intact; cloud now >40% of total ARR and guided to approach ~50% by YE25, supporting long‑term valuation re‑rating if retention improvements materialize .
  • Near‑term revenue/margin headwinds persist (consulting decline, FX, upfront revenue dynamics), but cost actions and disciplined OpEx underpin durable non‑GAAP profitability and FCF ($148M in Q4; FY $277M) .
  • The hybrid AI strategy is differentiating (BYO‑LLM, NVIDIA GPU, Bedrock integration, enterprise vector store), potentially expanding TAM and enabling POCs to transition into production in 2H 2025 .
  • 2025 is back‑half weighted: expect sequential ARR declines in Q1 and modest 1H, then acceleration with a return to total ARR growth by Q4 2025; model linearity accordingly .
  • FX is a tangible earnings headwind (~$20M to OI vs three months prior); plan for ~100 bps gross margin pressure in 2025 from FX/mix, partly offset by cloud rate improvements .
  • Leadership transitions continue (CFO exit; interim CFO named) but management asserts a seamless handover; monitor for any incremental execution volatility in the near term .
  • With Q4 non‑GAAP EPS beating guidance and FY EPS above ranges, estimate revisions may skew cautiously positive on profitability, while top‑line outlook (2025 revenue -4% to -6% CC) tempers growth expectations .

Additional references (Q4 related press): Microsoft Fabric integration (AI Unlimited public preview), reinforcing the open/connected and serverless AI development narrative .