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TERADATA CORP /DE/ (TDC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Mixed quarter: revenue $409M (-11% YoY, -7% QoQ), non-GAAP EPS $0.53 (above prior Q4 guidance), and cloud ARR up to $609M (+15% YoY) while total ARR fell to $1.474B (-6% YoY) .
- Management introduced FY 2025 guidance targeting cloud ARR growth of 14–18% CC, total ARR flat to +2% CC, non-GAAP EPS $2.15–$2.25, and FCF $250–$280M; Q1 2025 non-GAAP EPS $0.55–$0.59 .
- Strategic narrative shifted decisively to hybrid AI: BYO‑LLM integrations, NVIDIA GPU acceleration, Amazon Bedrock linkage, and enterprise vector store preview; execution and retention improvements are emphasized to drive ARR growth return in 2025 .
- CFO transition announced (Bramley departing, Smotherman named interim); management reiterated durable profitability and FCF focus—potential catalyst alongside an ARR growth inflection message for 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cloud ARR reached $609M (+15% YoY reported, +18% CC); cloud net expansion rate was 117% and cloud ARR is now >40% of total, expected to approach ~50% by YE25 .
- Q4 non‑GAAP EPS of $0.53 beat prior Q4 guidance ($0.40–$0.44), aided by cost optimization; FY non‑GAAP EPS $2.42 exceeded full-year guidance and FY operating margin expanded to 20.3% .
- Strategic AI progress: “We delivered significant AI technology, including broad support for OTFs, BYO‑LLM and GPU‑accelerated compute…well positioned to return to growth this year” — Steve McMillan . “Execution is job #1” as GTM restructuring settles and AI use cases ramp .
What Went Wrong
- Total ARR declined to $1.474B (-6% YoY reported), recurring revenue fell to $351M (-6% YoY), and total revenue dropped to $409M (-11% YoY) as consulting services and perpetual sales softened .
- Margins compressed: non‑GAAP gross margin 60.9% (-100 bps YoY) and non‑GAAP operating margin 17.6% (-190 bps YoY), driven primarily by upfront revenue impacts; currency also a 2025 headwind .
- FX and linearity: management flagged ~$20M operating income FX headwind vs three months prior and expects Q1 to be the largest renewal/erosion quarter, with sequential ARR declines before 2H acceleration .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown
KPIs
Notes on non‑GAAP: Company excludes stock‑based compensation, reorganization/transformation costs, Argentina Blue Chip Swap, and tax adjustments; reconciliations provided in exhibits .
Guidance Changes
Additional 2025 modeling assumptions from management: non‑GAAP tax ~23%, other expense ~$43M, weighted average shares ~97.4M; Q1 non‑GAAP tax ~24.3% and shares ~97.9M .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are firmly focused on returning the company to growth in 2025 and execution is job #1.” — Steve McMillan .
- “Last year, we delivered significant AI technology, including broad support for OTFs, BYO‑LLM and GPU‑accelerated compute…we are well positioned to return to growth this year.” — Steve McMillan .
- “Non‑GAAP earnings per share exceeded our guidance range, primarily driven by continued cost optimization efforts…we repurchased $215M or 5.8M shares in 2024.” — Claire Bramley .
- “We expect both total and cloud ARR decline sequentially in Q1 and anticipate a significant weighting of growth to the second half of 2025…we expect to return to total ARR growth in the fourth quarter.” — Claire Bramley .
Q&A Highlights
- Cloud migrations and deal timing: Q4 saw deal elongation and staged migrations; Teradata’s hybrid capabilities (on‑prem + cloud consistency) support 30+ active gen‑AI POCs moving toward production .
- ARR guidance confidence: Approach reduces reliance on large 8‑figure deals; drivers include improved retention across on‑prem and total ARR and better pipeline rigor post GTM changes .
- Pipeline mix: Roughly 50/50 migrations vs expansions in 2025 (migrations earlier, expansions later); new logos are a small contributor; 2025 innovation not fully embedded in the outlook .
- Open table formats (Iceberg, Delta): Early days but critical for TAM expansion; Teradata aims to be open/connected and apply analytics/AI engines against large OTF/lake datasets .
- Cloud NRR: Finished 2024 in line; could decelerate before reaccelerating as the year progresses (2H expansion weighting) .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates (EPS, revenue) for Q4 2024 and prior quarters were unavailable due to a data access limit; as a result, formal “vs estimates” comparisons cannot be presented at this time. Values would typically be retrieved from S&P Global; not available in this instance.
- Company‑provided guidance comparisons indicate a Q4 non‑GAAP EPS beat vs prior guidance ($0.53 actual vs $0.40–$0.44 guided in Q3) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cloud ARR momentum and mix shift are intact; cloud now >40% of total ARR and guided to approach ~50% by YE25, supporting long‑term valuation re‑rating if retention improvements materialize .
- Near‑term revenue/margin headwinds persist (consulting decline, FX, upfront revenue dynamics), but cost actions and disciplined OpEx underpin durable non‑GAAP profitability and FCF ($148M in Q4; FY $277M) .
- The hybrid AI strategy is differentiating (BYO‑LLM, NVIDIA GPU, Bedrock integration, enterprise vector store), potentially expanding TAM and enabling POCs to transition into production in 2H 2025 .
- 2025 is back‑half weighted: expect sequential ARR declines in Q1 and modest 1H, then acceleration with a return to total ARR growth by Q4 2025; model linearity accordingly .
- FX is a tangible earnings headwind (~$20M to OI vs three months prior); plan for ~100 bps gross margin pressure in 2025 from FX/mix, partly offset by cloud rate improvements .
- Leadership transitions continue (CFO exit; interim CFO named) but management asserts a seamless handover; monitor for any incremental execution volatility in the near term .
- With Q4 non‑GAAP EPS beating guidance and FY EPS above ranges, estimate revisions may skew cautiously positive on profitability, while top‑line outlook (2025 revenue -4% to -6% CC) tempers growth expectations .
Additional references (Q4 related press): Microsoft Fabric integration (AI Unlimited public preview), reinforcing the open/connected and serverless AI development narrative .