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TI

TECOGEN INC. (TGEN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered revenue growth and improved profitability: revenue rose 17.6% year over year to $7.28M, gross margin expanded to 44.3% (vs. 41.6%), operating loss narrowed to $0.59M, and net loss to $0.66M ($0.03/share) with adjusted EBITDA improving to -$0.38M .
  • Management highlighted building AI/data center momentum: active Vertiv go-to-market work, quotes on larger projects, and LOIs sought to scale supply chain; Tecogen’s gas chillers can free up “30% or more” electrical capacity for computing and lower cooling opex by ~50% vs electric chillers, supporting the data center thesis .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity: cash at quarter-end was $4.07M; current cash “presently” ~$3M post material purchases; no maturing short-term debt after director notes extended; backlog communicated as ~$10.8M (note: GAAP backlog disclosure of $9.52M excludes service contracts) .
  • Tariff exposure and uplisting: management expects limited tariff impact (domestic supply chain) and sees potential competitive benefit vs imported absorption chillers; TGEN uplisted to NYSE American on May 6, 2025, improving liquidity and visibility—both potential catalysts .
  • Street estimates: S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable; management said results were “slightly ahead of our forecast,” but no formal guidance was provided (see Estimates Context) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Revenue and margin inflection: Revenue +17.6% YoY; total gross margin 44.3% (+2.7 pts), with Products margin up to 41% from 30% (price increases and mix), and Energy Production margin +7 pts (lower fuel) .
    • Operating leverage: Operating loss improved to -$0.59M from -$1.05M YoY; adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to -$0.38M from -$0.90M .
    • Strategic progress: “We have now quoted multiple larger [data center] projects… Vertiv has assigned a project manager… marketing and sales training underway,” positioning for larger orders and faster scaling .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Energy Production revenue fell 27% YoY on contract expirations, partially offset by margin improvement; Services margin dipped 1 pt on higher labor/material as engine improvements rolled out .
    • Cash used in operations was -$1.17M in Q1 (vs. +$0.25M prior year), driven largely by deferred revenue drawdown as projects shipped and working-capital needs for product growth .
    • Estimates/guidance visibility: No formal quantitative guidance; S&P Global consensus not available for benchmarking; timing of large data center orders remains uncertain despite increased quoting .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L vs prior quarters

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($)$5,630,130 $6,075,522 $7,277,770
Gross Margin %44.1% 45.0% 44.3%
Operating Income (Loss) ($)$(873,223) $(1,137,012) $(594,244)
Net Income (Loss) ($)$(930,408) $(1,186,067) $(659,922)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.04) $(0.05) $(0.03)

Segment revenue and margins (Q1 YoY)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Products Revenue ($)$1,491,398 $2,533,809
Services Revenue ($)$4,014,310 $4,245,022
Energy Production Revenue ($)$680,389 $498,939
Total Revenue ($)$6,186,097 $7,277,770
Products Gross Margin %30% 41%
Services Gross Margin %48% 47%
Energy Production Gross Margin %31% 38%
Total Gross Margin %42% 44%

Key performance indicators

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Backlog ($)~$10.8M (includes $2M prepaid service) ~$12.2M ~$10.8M; mgmt also expects >$2M projects to enter backlog in Q2
Adj. EBITDA ($)$(746,000) $(691,894) $(381,394)
Cash & Equivalents (End) ($)$1,282,238 $5,405,233 $4,066,793

Actual vs. Street estimates (S&P Global)

MetricPeriodActualS&P Global ConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($)Q1 2025$7,277,770 N/A*N/A*
Diluted EPS ($)Q1 2025$(0.03) N/A*N/A*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global. Consensus not available for this issuer/period.

Notes: GAAP backlog in 10-Q (excludes service contracts) was $9.52M as of 3/31/25; slide/call backlog metrics include additional items (e.g., prepaid service), explaining differences .

Guidance Changes

No formal quantitative guidance was provided in the Q1 2025 press release, 8‑K, 10‑Q, or earnings call; management emphasized pipeline progress and order timing uncertainty for large data center deals .

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterNoneNoneMaintained (no formal guidance)
Margins/OpEx/Tax/OI&EFY/QuarterNoneNoneMaintained (no formal guidance)
Segment-specificFY/QuarterNoneNoneMaintained (no formal guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
AI/Data center strategyIdentified AI power constraints; target colocation/hyperscale; first small DC project expected by early 2025; backlog ~$10.8M Vertiv project manager assigned; sales training/marketing ramp; multiple large quotes; LOIs requested; Tecochill can free up “30%+” power and cut cooling opex by ~50% Momentum building; commercialization nearer term
Vertiv partnership“Signed global partnership” in Mar-25; touted Vertiv leadership; potential to accelerate scale Vertiv NPI process ongoing; expecting public-facing marketing “in the next couple of months” Execution progressing
Supply chain/tariffsDomestic vendors; limited anticipated tariff impact Limited tariff impact; absorption chillers likely face big tariffs; potential net benefit for Tecogen Favorable relative positioning
Product performanceProducts margin improved in Q4 (31%); factory move weighed on 2024 revenue Products revenue +70% YoY; margin 41% (+11 pts) Improving throughput and pricing
Services & fleetService margins solid in Q4 (51%); service growth via Aegis contracts Slight margin dip (-1 pt) on labor/material and engine upgrades; hiring techs to lift margins +5–6 pts longer-term Near-term pressure; plan for structural improvement
Energy ProductionQ4 margin +9 pts; revenue modest Revenue -27% YoY on expirations; margin +7 pts on lower fuel Mix shifts; margins resilient
R&D executionHybrid-drive chiller introduced; shipment anticipated 2Q25 Added engineers to validate DC operating conditions; continued R&D hiring Focused on DC-specific readiness

Management Commentary

  • “Our revenue for the quarter increased 17.6% to $7.3 million… our adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed from $900,000 to $381,000… Our gross profit margin also increased from 41.6% to 44.3%” — Abinand Rangesh, CEO .
  • “By switching to our high-efficiency advanced natural gas chillers, data centers can increase the amount of power they have available by 30% or more… operating costs can be 50% lower than the electric chiller” .
  • “A project manager from Vertiv has been assigned… generation of marketing material and sales training… we expect public-facing marketing… in the next couple of months” .
  • “We are predominantly a domestic manufacturer… don’t anticipate any meaningful impact as a result of tariffs… tariffs may give us a competitive advantage” .
  • “Backlog is presently at $10.8 million… we expect $2 million of non data center projects to enter the backlog in the next couple of months” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capacity and hiring: New manufacturing and supply chain managers hired to mitigate ramp bottlenecks; targeted technician hiring to lift service margins by 5–6 pts; engineers added to validate data center chilled water conditions .
  • Scalability and Vertiv support: Multiple contingency plans (A/B/C) to scale; seeking LOIs to align suppliers; Vertiv to assist with supply chain as needed .
  • Vertiv commercialization timing: Expect public-facing marketing and webinars “in the next couple of months”; Tecogen to support early sales presentations .
  • Early data center proof points: Small Connecticut data center chose InVerde over alternatives to mitigate utility rate increases; Las Vegas chiller shipments continue through Q2/Q3 .
  • Backlog conversion: Aim to deliver backlog in 9–12 months, subject to incremental orders and ramp plans .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 revenue and EPS was not available; no estimate count was returned. As a result, we cannot compute an objective “beat/miss.” Management stated Q1 revenue was “slightly ahead of our forecast” .
  • Given increased large-project quoting and Vertiv channel build, Street models (when available) may need to reflect higher Products volumes and potential step-changes from single data center orders, offset by Energy Production contract expirations and near-term Services labor/material headwinds .
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution turn: Mix-shift and pricing drove Products margin to 41% and total gross margin to 44.3%; adjusted EBITDA loss improved to -$0.38M, suggesting operating leverage as volumes scale .
  • Data center catalyst: Tecochill’s ability to unlock >30% power for computing and cut cooling costs positions TGEN as a beneficiary of AI buildouts; Vertiv enablement could accelerate pipeline conversion .
  • Backlog math matters: Slide/call backlog (~$10.8–$12.2M) includes elements beyond GAAP backlog (10‑Q backlog $9.52M excludes service contracts); track definitions when modeling conversions and cash .
  • Liquidity watch: Cash ended at $4.07M with -$1.17M operating cash flow in Q1; current cash “~$3M presently” reflects working capital investments—monitor order timing and supplier pre-buys .
  • Services margin plan: Near-term labor/material pressure (-1 pt YoY), but management targets +5–6 pts through technician hiring and engine improvements; if delivered, Services can be a steady margin anchor .
  • Tariffs as a tailwind: Domestic supply chain limits exposure; imported absorption chillers may face higher tariffs—potential relative cost/lead-time advantage for Tecochill .
  • Stock drivers: Evidence of first large data center order(s), Vertiv-led marketing lift, and continued Products margin resilience would be key upside catalysts; delays in order timing or persistent OpEx/working-capital drag are primary risks .

Citations:

  • Q1 2025 8‑K/press release and exhibits ; Q1 2025 slides ; Q1 2025 10‑Q (financials, MD&A, backlog definition, Vertiv agreement) ; Q1 2025 earnings call transcript ; Q4 2024 8‑K/press release/slides ; Q3 2024 8‑K/press release/slides .