Tecnoglass - Earnings Call - Q1 2025
May 8, 2025
Executive Summary
- Record Q1 revenue of $222.3M (+15.4% YoY) and gross margin of 43.9% (+510 bps YoY), with double‑digit organic growth across residential (+21.6% YoY to $88.9M) and multi‑family/commercial (+11.6% YoY); Adjusted EBITDA rose 37.5% YoY to $70.2M (31.6% margin).
- Beat S&P Global consensus on both revenue and EPS: $222.3M vs $213.3M* and $0.92 adj. EPS vs $0.82*; GAAP diluted EPS $0.90. Values with asterisk from S&P Global.
- Guidance raised at the low end for FY25 revenue ($960M–$1.02B from $940M–$1.02B) and narrowed for adj. EBITDA ($305M–$330M from $300M–$340M); FY25 CapEx trimmed to $45M–$55M from $65M–$70M, reflecting efficiency and timing.
- Strategic catalysts: record backlog $1.14B (+24.9% YoY), U.S. footprint expansion via Continental Glass Systems (approx. $30M annualized revenue) and feasibility work on a fully automated U.S. plant; tariff headwinds (~$25M for 2025) expected to be offset by May 1 pricing actions, supply chain shifts, and COP hedges (>4,400 per USD).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Strong topline and profitability: revenue +15.4% YoY to $222.3M, gross margin +510 bps YoY to 43.9%, adj. EBITDA +37.5% YoY to $70.2M (31.6% margin).
- Residential share gains and product traction: single‑family revenue hit a Q1 record at $88.9M (+21.6% YoY), driven by expanded geographies and vinyl line progress; management: “delivered double‑digit growth across both … significantly outperforming broader macro trends.”.
- Balance sheet/cash flow: record cash $157.3M; Q1 operating cash flow $46.9M and FCF $28.8M; total liquidity ≈$330M; $76.5M remaining on buyback, $7.0M dividends paid in Q1.
- Positive tone on backlog and order momentum: record multi‑year backlog $1.14B; residential orders up ~17% Y/Y into Q2; book‑to‑bill 1.2x and 17 straight quarters ≥1.1x.
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What Went Wrong
- SG&A deleverage from tariff costs and growth: SG&A $42.5M (19.1% of revenue) vs $33.6M (17.5%) a year ago, including $4.7M of tariff expense; management expects mitigation starting May/June from pricing and supply changes.
- Tariff and macro uncertainty: management estimates ~$(25)M 2025 gross impact from aluminum tariffs before mitigation; acknowledged potential demand impacts if macro weakens.
- Vinyl ramp behind early hopes: management said the vinyl business is ramping but “has been a challenge… we didn't know the business well,” targeting broader completion of the product set by year‑end to catalyze 2026.
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Good day and welcome to the Tecnoglass First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on a touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Mr. Brad Cray in investor relations. Please go ahead.
Brad Cray (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you for joining us for Tecnoglass's First Quarter 2025 Conference Call. A copy of the slide presentation to accompany this call may be obtained on the investor section of the Tecnoglass website. Our speakers for today's call are Chief Executive Officer José Manuel Daes, Chief Operating Officer Christian Daes, and Chief Financial Officer Santiago Giraldo. I'd like to remind everyone that matters discussed in this call, except for historical information, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding future financial performance, future growth, and future acquisitions. These statements are based on Tecnoglass's current expectations or beliefs and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances.
Actual results may vary in a material nature from those expressed or implied by the statements herein due to changes in economic, business, competitive, and/or regulatory factors and other risks and uncertainties affecting the operation of Tecnoglass's business. These risks, uncertainties, and contingencies are indicated from time to time in Tecnoglass's filings with the SEC. The information discussed during the call is presented in light of such risks. Further, investors should keep in mind that Tecnoglass's financial results in any particular period may not be indicative of future results. Tecnoglass is under no obligation to and expressly disclaims any obligation to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions, or otherwise. I will now turn the call over to José Manuel, beginning on slide number four.
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Thank you, Brad, and thank you everyone for participating in today's call. We are thrilled to report an exceptional start to 2025, with record first-quarter results that demonstrate the ongoing strength of our business model. Our revenues increased by 15% year-over-year to reach a first-quarter record of $222.3 million, driven entirely by robust double-digit organic growth across both our residential and multifamily commercial businesses. These outstanding results significantly outperform broader market trends and underscore our ability to consistently gain market share even during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our single-family residential revenues grew 21.6% year-over- year to a first-quarter record of $88.9 million. This impressive growth reflects continued strength in our Florida operations, ongoing geographic expansion, and expanded brand recognition, which continues to allow us to gain market share.
Our multifamily and commercial businesses delivered double-digit percentage growth of 11.6% year-over-year to $133.4 million, reflecting continued execution of our expanding backlog. We achieved these results while significantly improving our profitability. During the quarter, we were pleased to drive gross margin expansion and adjusted EBITDA growth. The substantial improvement in both metrics reflects the benefits of our vertically integrated business model, operational efficiencies, and favorable product mix. To that end, we are confident in our ability to maintain industry-leading profitability driven by several strategic initiatives. First, we have hedged a large portion of our 2025 Colombian peso exposure at premium rates, roughly 9% better than last year, which effectively offsets higher local currency employee compensation. Second, we've adjusted pricing within our single-family residential segment. Third, we have adjusted certain supply chain channels in order to substantially minimize our exposure to tariffs.
In April, we were pleased to complete the acquisition of certain assets of Continental Glass Systems, a premier provider of architectural glass and glazing solutions based in Florida. This strategic acquisition enhances our capabilities in several key areas. It allows us to diversify our production footprint into the United State, expands our commercial project portfolio, and creates additional synergies across our operations. Continental brings approximately $30 million in annualized revenue and a substantial project backlog, which further strengthens our market position. This investment is also aligned with our broader initiative to expand our production capabilities in the U.S. through organic and inorganic investments. Our financial position remains exceptionally strong, with record cash of $157.3 million at quarter-end as a result of growth in our shorter cash-cycled residential business and disciplined working capital management.
Our robust cash generation and resilient balance sheet continue to improve, with significant flexibility to pursue additional growth opportunities while returning capital to shareholders. Looking ahead, we remain confident in Tecnoglass growth trajectory. While macro uncertainty still remains ahead, our record first-quarter performance, our strong growth in single-family residential orders year to date, and our exceptional project backlog validate our optimism for 2025. While we are cognizant of the uncertainty related to tariffs and their potential impact on overall demand trends, we continue to see strong order traction and ongoing market share growth in many U.S. regions. These factors, coupled with yet another record backlog and our structurally competitive advantages, give us confidence in our ability to continue navigating through complex macro dynamics. I will now turn the call over to Chris to provide additional operating highlights.
Christian Daes (COO)
Thank you, José Manuel. Moving to slide number five. Our first-quarter performance further validates the resilience of our business model as we navigate through a dynamic macroeconomic environment. Our single-family residential business achieved outstanding results, with revenues increasing 21.6% year-over-year. This exceptional growth was primarily driven by our ability to capture additional market share and geographic expansion, particularly with further penetration in the Southeast U.S. and dealership growth. We continue to make progress with our expanding vinyl product offering, which has seen strong traction with customers. Additionally, we opened up a new showroom in Arizona, aligning with the introduction of our legacy light aluminum line designed for on-top geographies like the Southwest U.S., giving us yet another avenue for organic growth. Our multifamily and commercial business also delivers solid performance, with revenues growing 11.6% year-over-year to $133.4 million.
We ended the quarter with a record multi-year backlog of $1.14 billion, representing approximately 2.2 times our LTM multifamily and commercial revenues at quarter-end. This provides us with substantial visibility into our project pipeline well into 2026. The addition of Continental Glass Systems to the Tecnoglass team further enhances our ability to address high-quality projects in high-end residential, luxury lodging, and class A office space, while allowing us to expand our manufacturing footprint. Moving to slide number six, our backlog has demonstrated consistent sequential growth since 2021, reflecting the strong momentum in our project pipeline and robust bidding activity. Our book-to-bill ratio remained healthy at 1.2 times as of the first quarter, extending our track record of maintaining a ratio above 1.1 times for 17 consecutive quarters. Historically, approximately two-thirds of our reported backlog is invoiced over the following 12 months, providing strong visibility through 2025 and into 2026.
The quality of our backlog is underpinned by several key factors. First, we have virtually no project cancellations, as we typically install windows in buildings that are already well into the construction process. Second, our backlog is concentrated in projects that have demonstrated resilience to interest rate fluctuations. Third, the growing geographic diversification of our project pipeline helps to mitigate regional market risks. While external factors may cause temporary fluctuations in delivery timing, our consistently strong book-to-bill ratio reinforces our confidence in sustained revenue growth. I will now turn the call over to Santiago to discuss our financial results and outlook for 2025.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
Thank you, Christian. Turning to single-family residential on slide number seven, we were pleased to produce another quarter of double-digit growth in single-family residential. Despite the tepid housing market, our successful market share gains through dealership growth, U.S. geographic expansion, and the strong reception of our vinyl product line continue to produce meaningful contributions. Looking ahead, we remain excited about the organic growth opportunities in our single-family residential business, which are driven by several factors. First, our expanding dealer network, which continues to benefit from our industry-leading five to six week lead times and innovative, high-performance products. Second, our ongoing geographic expansion through showroom openings and a ramp-up of vinyl windows, with growing traction in new markets beyond our traditional strongholds in Florida and the Southeast.
We expect share gains to drive the majority of growth, with longer-term fundamentals supported by strong demographic trends, including population migration trends to the Southeast U.S. Turning to the drivers of revenue on slide number nine, total revenues for the first quarter increased 15.4% year-over-year to a first-quarter record $222.3 million, with double-digit growth across both our single-family residential and multifamily commercial businesses as a result of robust demand for our best-in-class product offerings, coupled with our ability to continue taking market share in nearly all geographies where we operate. Looking at the profit drivers on slide number 10, adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2025 was $70.2 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.6%, compared to $51 million, or a 26.5% margin in the prior year quarter.
First-quarter gross profit was $97.5 million, representing a 43.9% gross margin, compared to gross profit of $74.7 million, representing a 38.8% gross margin in the prior year quarter. The 510 basis point improvement in gross margin was primarily driven by a favorable mix of single-family residential revenues, stronger retail pricing, operating leverage on year-over-year revenue growth, stable raw material costs, and favorable FX dynamics. SG&A expenses were $42.5 million, or 19.1% of total revenues, compared to $33.6 million, or 17.5% of total revenues in the prior year quarter. The increase was primarily attributable to higher transportation and commission expenses associated with our revenue growth, increased personnel expenses related to annual salary adjustments implemented at the beginning of the year, and $4.7 million of tariff expenses.
As José mentioned, we have already taken decisive measures to mitigate the impact of tariffs, which will be in full effect starting in May and June, and do not expect a material impact on operating profit for the year. Turning to our view of U.S. aluminum tariff dynamics on slide 11, we are actively addressing the industry-wide dynamics associated with aluminum tariffs through sourcing, pricing, and hedges on currency. We have changed some processes within our supply chains in order to mitigate the impact of tariffs. This also includes the potential to diversify certain operations into the U.S. with the recently purchased manufacturing plant from Continental. We are also evaluating potential investments to develop other manufacturing assets in the U.S. over the coming years in order to be more diversified, U.S.-centric, and benefit further from logistics efficiencies and improved lead times. To that extent, and based on our expected U.S.
Organic geographical expansion, we are currently in the early stages of evaluating a multi-year project to develop a fully automated and vertically integrated operation in the U.S. to complement our existing manufacturing platform in Colombia. In addition to diversifying our manufacturing footprint, the project would allow us to gain logistical and lead time efficiencies in many new target markets. In addition to shifting certain supply chain channels, we have also implemented pricing adjustments effective as of May first to offset incremental costs. While we anticipate some temporary short-term margin pressure until these higher price orders are invoiced, we anticipate that the full calendar year 2025 tariff impact of approximately $25 million will be largely mitigated, assuming similar volumes to what we originally projected for the year. This means that for the balance of the year, we expect our strategic actions to more than offset the impact of tariffs.
Additionally, we were able to opportunistically hedge a large portion of our Colombian peso exposure above $4,400 per dollar, providing an additional tailwind to further offset the projected 2025 tariff impact. Now, examining our strong cash flow and balance sheet on slide 12, we generated operating cash flow of $51.2 million in the first quarter, reflecting solid profitability, effective working capital management, and a higher mix of single-family residential revenues, which feature upfront payments and shorter sales cycles without retainage. This resulted in record quarterly free cash flow of $28.8 million. Capital expenditures were $22.4 million, which included mostly scheduled payments on previous investments.
As with previous years, our cash flow is seasonal, and we expect cash flow from operations to decrease sequentially in the second quarter of the year to account for the annual timing of income tax payments and a higher use of cash to address working capital needs due to expected sequential quarterly growth. As an offset, we expect capital expenditures to drop significantly throughout 2025, driving strong free cash flow through year-end. Our balance sheet remains exceptionally strong, with a record cash position of $157.3 million as of March 31, 2025, resulting in a new record net cash position. This represents a significant increase from our cash position at the end of 2024 and underscores our ability to generate substantial free cash flow. At quarter-end, we had total liquidity of approximately $330 million, including $170 million of availability under our revolving credit facilities.
This strong liquidity position, combined with robust cash flow generation, provides us with ample financial flexibility to pursue our growth initiatives, invest in operational enhancements, and maintain our commitment to shareholder returns. On slide 13, we highlight our ability to generate returns significantly above the broader industry. Over the past three years, our strategic investments and operational initiatives have consistently yielded superior returns for our shareholders. This outperformance reflects the strength of our business model, our unwavering focus on operational excellence, and our disciplined approach to capital allocation. Now, moving to our outlook on slide 15.
Based on our performance through the first quarter of 2025 and now incorporating our acquisition of Continental, we are raising the low end of our previously provided full year 2025 outlook for revenues, which we now expect to be in the range of $960 million-$1.02 billion, representing growth of approximately 11% at the midpoint of the range. Additionally, we are updating our adjusted EBITDA outlook to a range of $305 million-$330 million. The high end of our outlook assumes favorable moves in interest rates benefiting mortgage rates, high single-digit growth in our legacy residential revenues, and vinyl revenues reaching approximately $25 million. The high end also assumes improved activity in short-term commercial projects and gross margins in the mid to high 40% range, supported by favorable foreign exchange rates with the Colombian peso at or above $4,200.
The low end of our range reflects a more conservative approach to volume growth beyond Q2 for residential invoicing, while also accounting for the potential headwinds from broader implementation of aluminum tariffs impacting construction spending, higher interest rates, and a stronger Colombian peso. Under this low-end scenario, we assume more modest growth in legacy residential revenues, vinyl revenues of approximately $10-$15 million, and gross margins at the low 40% range. The guidance midpoint implies modest adjusted EBITDA margin improvement year-over-year based on various factors. Favorable drivers include higher revenue, our pricing adjustments starting with order plays from May first forward, which translate into revenue starting in the mid to end of June, effect hedges, and operational leverage. We anticipate these positive actions to more than offset increased installation mix tied to high-end condo activity in Florida, the 9% salary increases in Colombia, and tariff impacts.
Continental Glass Systems is expected to contribute roughly break-even adjusted EBITDA this year as we integrate the acquisition. We are now projecting capital expenditures to be in the range of $45-$55 million, which includes the tail end of previous investments, maintenance CapEx, and further investments in efficiency initiatives, as well as our new Miami flagship showroom and executive offices. Working capital should continue to be a source of cash as we expand our single-family residential revenues, though this will be partially offset by longer cash conversion cycles in our commercial and multifamily business. In conclusion, our first quarter 2025 performance demonstrates our exceptional market position and operational excellence as we continue to outpace broader industry trends. Years of investments in vertically integrated operations, our industry-leading margins, and robust backlog all contribute to creating a defensible position for Tecnoglass in the architectural glass industry.
We enter the remainder of 2025 with tremendous momentum across our business. The strategic acquisition of certain assets of Continental Glass Systems further strengthens our competitive advantages and diversifies our manufacturing footprint. Our strategic execution, operational efficiencies, and effective management of dynamic elements such as tariffs position us to continue delivering above-market growth and returns for our shareholders. We remain confident in our ability to extend our track record of exceptional performance through 2025 and beyond. With that, we will be happy to answer your questions. Operator, please open the line for questions.
Operator (participant)
We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your touch-tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw it, please press star, then two.
At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question today comes from Tim Wojs of Baird. Please go ahead.
Tim Wojs (Senior Research Analyst)
Hey, guys. Good morning. Nice job. Maybe just first questions, kind of higher level. As you look at the architectural glass industry in the U.S., is it possible to kind of understand how much of the industry is imported to the U.S. from places like China and Europe? I'm just trying to understand if that kind of expands your opportunities potentially on kind of the West and the East Coast, particularly in the commercial business.
Christian Daes (COO)
This is Christian. Hi. Good morning. We do not have the number, but all our raw materials are from the U.S., so an advantage to everybody else. We do not sell that much in architectural glass as we sell in windows.
Our sales on the glass side is very small anyways, but we are concentrating on the window itself.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
Just as a follow-up, Tim, if you recall last quarter call, we talked about how the U.S. supplies roughly 45% of its internal aluminum needs. To that extent, even U.S. manufacturers are importing the best portion of their raw material. We are definitely seeing this as an opportunity going forward.
Tim Wojs (Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. I mean, I guess when I said architectural glass, I meant curtain walls and windows too. If you are thinking about big cities on the East Coast and the West Coast, is a lot of your competition in those areas imports today?
Christian Daes (COO)
Not today. I think that we would be one of the most important importers of windows, I believe. Our competition is mostly local.
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Hi, this is José.
We have a lot of people in the cultural business importing from China, but they are now assembling in Mexico. They bring the aluminum and the glass from China, and they assemble in Tijuana, I believe. They are subject to the aluminum tariff like everybody else.
Tim Wojs (Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. Okay. I guess on the residential growth, I mean, any color on kind of when you look at that 22% growth, how much of that was kind of your legacy Florida business, and maybe how much of that was kind of outside of Florida? It looks like the vinyl expectation on the high end of the guide came down. Any reason for that?
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
I'll take the first one, Tim. If you look at the legacy business, we did roughly $73 million in the first quarter of last year, right? We probably grew there 25%.
I'm sorry, about 15%, and then the rest came from other places which are starting to pick up. Obviously, on a percentage basis, that's much higher on a lower base. Those places are starting to contribute more meaningfully than the legacy Florida business, which we're expecting to grow for the full year between mid to high single digits. I'll let José take the final question.
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Vinyl has been a challenge because we got into the business that we didn't know. As usual, we start slow, and we are learning, and we don't have a complete line. We're developing the last three or four products, and by the end of the year, we're going to be ready. I think that line is going to catapult next year's sales.
But this year, we keep growing month by month, obviously not at the rate that we expected because, as I said, we did not know the business well.
Tim Wojs (Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. And then the last thing just on Continental, I guess, what does it, I mean, what is it bringing you that you did not have before? I guess how are you going to kind of leverage the U.S. manufacturing with Colombia? And then you said break-even EBITDA margins this year, Santiago. What would be a longer-term target for the margins of that asset acquisition?
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Let me explain. Number one, we did not have any manufacturing facility in the U.S. With Continental, we have a capability of doing around $10 million a month in manufacturing. We plan to start developing the manufacturing in the U.S. We will bring the aluminum and the glass and assemble it here.
Eventually, like we said, we're going to do a complete line in the U.S. within the next five to seven years. Continental brings a couple of things that we did not have before, which are, number one, the replacement remodel in the condominiums is getting very big in Florida because of the new law. Instead of 40 years, it is 20 years now, I believe. Every condominium has to upgrade. The insurances are making them change all the windows, and they have a good remodel and replace market, and that is what we plan to do with them also.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
On the second part, Tim, the go-forward expectation is that that integrates into the overall EBITDA margin profile for the group. As you read on the press release, we are expecting to get synergies from this as we are expecting to manufacture more out of Colombia to supply them.
Even if our inception is going to be a lower EBITDA margin because of SG&A, as we grow that operation, we're expecting that to align with overall margins for the group.
Tim Wojs (Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. Okay. Sounds good. Thank you, guys, for the time, and good luck.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
All right. Thanks.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Julio Romero of Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.
Julio Romeo (Equity Research Analyst)
Hey, good morning, José Manuel, Christian, Santiago, and congratulations on the acquisition.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
Good morning.
Julio Romeo (Equity Research Analyst)
Hey, the last deal you guys did was for GM&P, the glazer in Florida, in 2017, and that was done for a very specific reason. It was a mousetrap of sorts to accelerate U.S. market penetration in the U.S. Can you maybe compare that deal, which didn't have manufacturing, to this one?
Kind of compare the thought process and also talk about the trade-off between there's dilution to your return metrics with acquired growth, but the trade-off is the longer-term strategic benefits.
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
This one, like I said in the answer before, mostly is the replacement remodel of condominiums, and also they have a manufacturing facility that we need to start working here in the U.S. It is a very, very good acquisition for a very low price.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
As a follow-up, in line with the last answer, Julio, we're not expecting this to be dilutive. I mean, we're expecting to get synergies and operating leverage based on a higher output of manufacturing in Colombia to supply Continental. At the end, we're seeing this as an asset that will be integrated to the group and not impact margins in any way.
Julio Romeo (Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. That's helpful.
You talked about evaluating a multi-year project to build a plant in the U.S. Can you maybe dive into that a bit? How big of a facility are you considering, and what are the key factors you're weighing in considering that growth initiative?
Christian Daes (COO)
We're going to start by the beginning, which is establish a foundry here where we can produce our billets. The second phase would involve, obviously, this is going to be done in five to seven years. The second phase would involve establishing an extrusion facility, a glass facility, everything state-of-the-art with the technology that we now have and know to be the most efficient window plant in the U.S. We plan to, we are looking into different options.
Instead of buying people at 12 and 10 times EBITDA, we're planning on spending the money wisely on building a good facility in the future, in the near future.
Julio Romeo (Equity Research Analyst)
As a forefuture. Sounds good. Go ahead.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
As a follow-up, Julio, obviously, this is undergoing a feasibility analysis. And from our return on invested capital, as Christian was mentioning, this will bring much higher yields than doing straight-up M&A. Obviously, you have to evaluate this over a longer time period, and it's subject to free cash flow and what not, but that's the intention.
Julio Romeo (Equity Research Analyst)
Very good. Congrats again.Thanks.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
As a reminder, if you have a question, please press star, then one. Our next question comes from Brent Thielman of D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.
Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Hey, thanks. Good morning. Congratulations as well. I had another question just on the thought process of developing the line in the U.S.
over the next kind of five to seven years. It may be early, but I'll ask anyway. Are you envisioning something as large as what you have in place today, or is the vision that this is something simply complementary to what you're already doing in Colombia?
Christian Daes (COO)
It would be complementary. We would start by the foundry. We're going to produce enough billets. I mean, we are thinking of getting 100% of our billets from our plant in the U.S. in the near future. We are going to establish one or two presses, extrusion presses. We want to do a glass sorting system, and at the end, do the window plant.
It is all going to help us in the growth and also in the ability to deliver within 24 hours when we have an emergency or a broken piece of glass or a replacement or anything of that nature. I like to dream big, and I hope that we can build a factory that in the future could be 30-40% of our invoicing in five years, but not of what we do today, but the increased growth.
Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
That is really helpful. I appreciate that.
Christian Daes (COO)
Yep.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
I was just going to follow up. In terms of, obviously, financial metrics, it is way too early, but keep in mind that we are thinking about something that is highly automated, so not a detriment to margins and brings more logistical and lead-time advantages.
Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Very good. Appreciate that. I mean, look, the backlog continues to look great.
Could you talk about, I mean, a lot's happened since the end of the quarter. Could you talk about order trends in commercial sense then? The tone of customers, are they more hesitant, or is it just business as usual?
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Business is booming. I mean, for us, we are selling and closing a lot of deals in Florida, outside of Florida, in the East Coast, in the center, South Central U.S.A., Texas, and also on the West Coast. We have a good foothold now in Hawaii, and we're getting a lot of requests from California. We are opening offices there too. The amount of backlog is going to keep growing at least. That's what we see.
Santiago Giraldo (CFO)
And Brent, I don't know if you were just asking about commercial, but residential orders are up 17% year-over-year.
We're expecting that trend to continue through Q2 and potentially starting in Q3.
Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Yeah. Yeah. I appreciate that, Santiago. Yeah. I was talking commercial. Maybe just one more on the commercial side as well. Is the backlog and are the incoming orders becoming more diversified from a geographic perspective relative to a year or two ago? I know Florida has been phenomenal for you in the last few years, but you've talked about a lot of different regions here. Is there more geographic diversity to the things you're seeing coming in orders now?
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Both. Both. We're growing in Florida, and we're going out to, for example, we didn't have anything in Tampa. Now, Tampa, we have a few works in Tampa, I mean, more than 10. And Jacksonville and the Panhandle and Palm Beach. We didn't have much in Palm Beach.
Now, Palm Beach is booming, and we're getting a lot of work. Also, outside of Florida, we're getting lots of work in Washington, in New York, in Boston, in Maryland. I mean, we're growing. Even in the Carolina, we have two or three jobs now in Carolina that we never had anything. Now, even Nashville, which is booming, we're getting close to closing a few deals in Nashville too.
Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. Great. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. José Manuel Daes for any closing remarks.
José Manuel Daes (CEO)
Sure. Thanks, everyone, for participating on today's call. We are very enthusiastic about what we're doing. I believe the company is going to keep growing in the next three years at least. Our foothold is going to grow west of Florida. Thanks again, everyone.
Operator (participant)
The conference is now concluded.
Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.