TM
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY26 revenue of $546.4M declined 13.8% YoY but improved gross margin sequentially to 17.1% (from 15.3% in Q1); diluted EPS was ($0.26) vs ($0.19) LY; EBITDA was $12.4M . Versus S&P Global consensus, TITN beat on revenue ($546.4M vs $503.8M*) and EPS ([$0.26] vs [$0.48]* loss), with EBITDA materially above expectations ([$12.4M] vs [$2.4M]* loss). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Management narrowed FY26 adjusted diluted EPS (loss) guidance to ($1.50)-($2.00) and raised segment revenue assumptions for U.S. Ag (now down 15–20%), Construction (down 3–8%), and Europe (up 30–40%), maintaining Australia (down 20–25%) .
- Inventory optimization remains the central strategy; company expects to exceed the $100M FY26 inventory reduction target, albeit at the expense of lower equipment margins through year-end; parts and service continue to stabilize earnings .
- Key near-term catalysts: a Q3 Europe surge as Romania EU funds are deployed before a September deadline (double YoY expected in Q3, then decline in Q4), and continued used inventory normalization; risks include weak commodity prices, OEM price increases/tariffs, and sustained margin compression until inventory normalizes .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Europe strength: Q2 Europe revenue +44% YoY to $98.1M (FX +$4.1M) driven by Romania EU stimulus; segment swung to $5.1M pre-tax income from a loss LY .
- Sequential margin improvement and cost control: Gross margin rose to 17.1% from 15.3% in Q1; operating expenses down YoY to $92.7M, reflecting variable cost discipline .
- Management conviction on inventory plan: “We are positioned to exceed our initial $100 million target for the full year… majority of that progress still expected toward the end of the fiscal year,” with parts/service providing stability .
What Went Wrong
- U.S. Agriculture softness: Ag revenue down 18.5% YoY to $345.8M with pre-tax loss of $12.3M, reflecting weak demand and pricing concessions to move inventory .
- Consolidated profitability pressure: Net loss widened to ($6.0M) vs ($4.3M) LY (LY included a non-cash sale-leaseback charge); equipment margins remained compressed by inventory actions and soft retail .
- Australia normalization headwind: Revenue fell 50.1% YoY to $30.6M due to prior-year sprayer backlog catch-up; segment posted a $2.1M pre-tax loss .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L (oldest → newest)
Q2 FY26 vs Prior Periods and Consensus
Segment Performance (Q2 FY26 vs Q2 FY25)
Mix and Balance Sheet KPIs
Non-GAAP note: Prior-year Q2 FY25 had an $8.3M non-cash sale-leaseback financing expense; adjusted EPS was $0.17 vs GAAP ($0.19) .
Guidance Changes
Additional color: Management now assumes consolidated full-year equipment margin ~6.6% (down ~100 bps from prior assumption) and U.S. Ag equipment margin ~3.8% for FY26, reflecting continued pricing concessions to drive inventory optimization .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and tone: “We are positioned to exceed our initial $100 million target for the full year… parts and service businesses continue to provide stability during this trough in the equipment cycle” .
- Margin/Inventory trade-off: “Continuation of pricing concessions… will hold equipment margins at lower levels through the balance of the year” as the company prioritizes inventory health; consolidated equipment margin ~6.6%, U.S. Ag ~3.8% for FY26 .
- Europe dynamics: Romania EU stimulus a major driver; Q3 to double YoY followed by Q4 pullback as funds expire .
- Long-term recovery path: Margin recovery building blocks include mix optimization, pricing discipline as inventory normalizes, used value stability, geographic optimization, OEM partnership programs, and lower floorplan interest as aging profile improves .
Selected quotes:
- “We are on track with our inventory reduction strategy, and we are positioned to exceed our initial $100 million target for the full year…” — Bryan Knutson, CEO .
- “From a margin perspective, our fiscal 2026 assumptions for consolidated full year equipment margin are now approximately 6.6%… domestic Ag… approximately 3.8%.” — Bo Larsen, CFO .
- “Our parts and service businesses together are generating well over half of our gross profit dollars through the first half of the year…” — Bryan Knutson, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin recovery path: CFO outlined levers—inventory/mix normalization, pricing discipline, used value stabilization, geographic optimization, OEM programs, and lower floorplan interest—expecting significant improvement through FY27 if executed .
- Europe cadence: Management expects Europe revenue to double YoY in Q3 then fall ~20% YoY in Q4 as stimulus expires, driving mix/profitability shifts between Q3 and Q4 .
- Revenue outlook vs margins: Higher revenue outlook largely from used equipment momentum and Europe strength; overall equipment margin lowered ~100 bps with U.S. Ag down more, partially offset by Europe’s stronger margins .
- OEM pricing/tariffs: OEMs discussing ~2–4% price increases; passing through increases is challenging amid weak farmer profitability; TITN emphasizes presale discipline and deal-by-deal OEM partnership .
- Inventory mix and used strategy: Used inventory down ~$50M in H1; focus on late-model used turn, presales, and selective trade-ins to capture share while maintaining discipline .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY26 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $546.4M vs $503.8M*; Diluted EPS ($0.26) vs ($0.4775); EBITDA $12.4M vs ($2.44M). Beat driven by Europe strength and used equipment execution, offset by continued equipment margin pressure in U.S. Ag. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Forward considerations: Management’s Europe Q3 spike and Q4 drop suggest intra-year mix shifts; consolidated equipment margin assumption (~6.6%) and narrowed EPS loss range imply consensus may need to reflect sustained margin compression near term despite better top-line mix .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Inventory-first playbook remains intact; exceeding the $100M FY26 reduction target is the main pivot to re-normalize margins into FY27, albeit with ongoing pricing pressure in H2 FY26 .
- Q2 beat vs consensus on revenue/EPS/EBITDA was powered by Europe/Romania stimulus and used equipment momentum; U.S. Ag remains the drag on profitability .
- Guidance raised for segment revenues (Ag, Construction, Europe) and narrowed for EPS loss; watch equipment margin trajectory vs the ~6.6% FY26 assumption and domestic Ag margin recovery curve .
- Expect a Q3 revenue/margin mix tailwind from Europe, then a Q4 air pocket as EU funds roll off; intra-year cadence matters for trading setups around the print .
- Parts and service are the stabilizers (>50% of H1 gross profit dollars), limiting downside earnings volatility through the trough .
- Macro sensitivity remains high: farmer profitability (commodities, yields, gov’t programs), OEM pricing/tariffs, and rates will influence demand elasticity and margin pass-through .
- Stock catalysts: execution on used mix/turns, confirmation of Europe Q3 surge, pace of inventory reduction vs floorplan interest benefits, and any signs of margin stabilization in U.S. Ag .