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Toast, Inc. (TOST)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered strong execution: Revenue $1.337B, GAAP net income $56M, Adjusted EBITDA $133M, and over 6,000 net new locations added; ARR reached $1.713B (+31% YoY) and GPV was $42.2B (+22% YoY) .
  • Results vs consensus: Primary EPS $0.197 beat $0.180; revenue $1.337B was slightly below $1.343B; Adjusted EBITDA $133M topped EBITDA consensus ~$106M. Bold beats: EPS beat; EBITDA beat; revenue slight miss (values from S&P Global)*.
  • Guidance raised: FY25 non-GAAP subscription & fintech gross profit to $1.775–$1.795B (from $1.745–$1.765B) and Adjusted EBITDA to $540–$560M (from $510–$530M); Q2 guide: non-GAAP gross profit $435–$445M and Adjusted EBITDA $130–$140M .
  • Strategic catalysts: ToastIQ AI features launched; Applebee’s (largest deal to-date) and Topgolf enterprise wins underscore upmarket traction and platform differentiation .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Continued platform scale and bookings momentum across SMB, international, retail, and enterprise; management expects record net adds in Q2 .
  • Enterprise traction: Applebee’s nationwide deployment, strong pipeline; majority of enterprise deals attach payments; attractive paybacks given large ARR per deal .
  • AI differentiation: ToastIQ launched with upsell, digital chits, and AI marketing; early case studies show higher average order values and strong ad ROAS; “we expect Sous Chef will be an operator’s companion” .

What Went Wrong

  • Hardware/tariff headwinds: management flagged “slightly higher tariff expenses related to our hardware” baked into 2025 outlook; costs remain manageable due to supply-chain diversification .
  • GPV per location softness persisted; management expects GPV per location to remain down YoY in Q2 despite normal seasonal GPV pattern .
  • Revenue narrowly missed consensus; conversion benefits seen in 2024 are normalizing, implying tougher back-half comps vs prior ARR-to-revenue conversion tailwinds (values from S&P Global; conversion commentary) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,305*$1,338 $1,337
Primary EPS ($USD, non-GAAP)$0.175*$0.180*$0.197*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)N/A$0.05 $0.09
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$113 $111 $133

Values marked * retrieved from S&P Global.

Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global):

  • Revenue: Q3 $1,291M est vs $1,305M actual; Q4 $1,315M est vs $1,338M actual; Q1 $1,343M est vs $1,337M actual (values from S&P Global)*.
  • Primary EPS: Q3 $0.132 est vs $0.175 actual; Q4 $0.162 est vs $0.180 actual; Q1 $0.180 est vs $0.197 actual (values from S&P Global)*.
  • EBITDA: Q3 $78.5M est vs $113M actual; Q4 $99.5M est vs $111M actual; Q1 $106.2M est vs $133M actual (Adjusted EBITDA actuals from company; consensus from S&P Global)* .

Segment Revenue Breakdown

Segment ($USD Millions)Q4 2024Q1 2025
Subscription Services$200 $209
Financial Technology Solutions$1,090 $1,082
Hardware & Professional Services$48 $46
Total Revenue$1,338 $1,337

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
GPV ($USD Billions)$41.7 $42.2 $42.2
ARR ($USD Billions)N/A$1.626 $1.713
Total Locations~127,000 ~134,000 ~140,000

Cash Flow Snapshot

  • Net cash from operating activities: $79M; Free Cash Flow: $69M (Q1 2025) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Non-GAAP Subscription & Fintech Gross Profit ($USD Millions)FY 2025$1,745–$1,765 $1,775–$1,795 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$510–$530 $540–$560 Raised
Non-GAAP Subscription & Fintech Gross Profit ($USD Millions)Q2 2025N/A$435–$445 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q2 2025N/A$130–$140 New

Management noted tariff headwinds in hardware are “manageable” and reflected in the guide .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiatives (ToastIQ, Sous Chef)Announced benchmarking and generative AI campaigns; ARPU uplift expected over time ToastIQ launched; early upsell and ad ROAS case studies; “operator’s companion” vision for Sous Chef in pilots Improving execution and commercialization
Pricing & Take RateTargeted fintech price changes (Sept) with small net take rate uplift; pricing as complementary lever Payments net take rate 48 bps, +3 bps YoY from cost optimization and targeted pricing; overall net take rate 59 bps Gradual expansion
Enterprise pipeline/winsPipeline strengthening (Potbelly, Hilton, Perkins/Huddle House) Largest deal to-date with Applebee’s; Topgolf signed; enterprise paybacks attractive; payments typically attached Accelerating
InternationalAttach rates improving; SaaS ARPU up 50% YoY for Q4 go-lives Traction continues; guest product attach doubling; ARPU expected to scale with launches Solidifying
Macro/GPV per locationGPV/location down ~3% YoY; stable consumer trends Trends remain stable; management anticipates GPV/location to remain down YoY in Q2 Stable-to-soft
Tariffs/Supply ChainNot prominent in Q3; focus on platform investments Tariff costs manageable; supply chain diversified away from China; reflected in guide Manageable risk

Management Commentary

  • “We added over 6,000 net new locations, grew our recurring gross profit streams 37%, and delivered $133 million in Adjusted EBITDA.” — Aman Narang, CEO .
  • “Based on the momentum... we’re set up to increase location net adds year-over-year in 2025 versus 2024 and are tracking for a record quarter of net adds in Q2.” — Elena Gomez, CFO .
  • “Applebee’s… is our largest win in terms of committed locations… leveraging handhelds, KDS, and our enterprise management suite.” — Aman Narang .
  • “Payments net take rate was 48 bps, up 3 bps from a year ago from ongoing cost optimization efforts and targeted pricing moves we made last year.” — Elena Gomez .
  • “We expect Sous Chef will be an operator’s companion… and ToastIQ brings intelligence into the flow of hospitality.” — Aman Narang .

Q&A Highlights

  • Enterprise economics: Attractive paybacks and healthy ARPU; lower churn supports favorable LTV/CAC; payments usually attached .
  • Macro/pricing: Consumer trends stable; pricing remains a “small” lever and balanced to customer context; guidance prepared for a range of outcomes .
  • Tariffs/hardware: Incremental tariff costs manageable due to supply chain diversification; reflected in 2025 guide .
  • International traction: Early-stage but similar playbook to U.S. with healthy GPV/location; referral effects still maturing .
  • Toast Capital: Originations healthy; defaults in line; contributes ~10 bps to net take rate; program risk managed .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025: Primary EPS $0.197 vs $0.180 consensus (beat); revenue $1.337B vs $1.343B consensus (slight miss); EBITDA/Adjusted EBITDA $133M vs ~$106M consensus (beat). Q4 and Q3 also show EPS and EBITDA beats; revenue beats in Q3 and Q4 (values from S&P Global)*.
  • Implication: Street likely to raise FY25 gross profit and Adjusted EBITDA estimates given higher full-year guidance (company-raised ranges) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Durable growth engine: Record net adds tracking for Q2; ARR +31% YoY; locations ~140k; core SMB momentum remains the primary growth driver .
  • Enterprise validation: Applebee’s and Topgolf wins broaden TAM and underscore platform capability; attractive deal economics and high payments attach support margin durability .
  • AI as attach catalyst: ToastIQ and future Sous Chef capabilities should drive ARPU via upsell, marketing performance, and operational efficiency; watch for monetization paths as scale grows .
  • Profitability trajectory: FY25 guide raised—non-GAAP gross profit + Adjusted EBITDA; tariff costs manageable; balanced pricing/cost optimization support take rate expansion .
  • Near-term watch items: GPV per location softness; Q2 non-GAAP gross profit and Adjusted EBITDA delivery vs guide ranges .
  • Medium-term thesis: Vertical platform depth, data scale, and AI differentiation should sustain share gains, ARPU growth, and operating leverage; enterprise/international/retail add multi-year optionality .
  • Trading setup: Raised guide + enterprise logos + AI narrative are positive catalysts; revenue slight miss offsets but EPS/EBITDA beats and net adds momentum may drive constructive sentiment (consensus comparisons from S&P Global)*.

Notes: Values marked * retrieved from S&P Global.