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TUTOR PERINI CORP (TPC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record backlog of $18.7B (+84% YoY) on $12.8B of 2024 new awards; backlog grew 33% sequentially in Q4, positioning for double‑digit revenue growth and a return to profitability in 2025 .
- Q4 2024 revenue was $1.068B (+4.5% YoY, -1.4% QoQ); diluted EPS was -$1.51 (vs -$0.91 YoY, better than -$1.92 QoQ), driven by legacy dispute charges and a $26M adjustment in Building; Civil saw a temporary $32M earnings reduction expected to reverse over the project life .
- Operating cash flow was $329.6M in Q4 and a record $503.5M for 2024, enabling accelerated deleveraging; Term Loan B was fully paid off in Q1 2025, with total debt reduced by $477M since YE 2023; net debt at year‑end was ~$79M .
- 2025 guidance: EPS $1.50–$1.90 and double‑digit revenue growth; back‑half weighted earnings (≈two‑thirds of EPS in H2) with interest expense down to ~$55M (≈$0.50 EPS uplift) .
- Potential stock catalysts: sustained backlog conversion into revenues (Civil, Building, Specialty ramp), resolution of remaining legacy disputes (~12–14), and contemplated capital returns as balance sheet strengthens .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “With an unprecedented $12.8 billion of new awards during the year, we grew our backlog to a new record of $18.7 billion in 2024 and delivered a third consecutive year of record operating cash flow” — CEO Gary Smalley .
- Accelerated deleveraging: total debt down $477M (52%) since YE 2023; Term Loan B fully repaid in Q1 2025, improving interest expense trajectory .
- Civil and Building segments drove FY revenue growth (+12% overall; Building +24%, Civil +12%); backlog quality and improved contractual terms expected to lift margins prospectively .
What Went Wrong
- Q4 earnings burdened by legacy issues: Building segment recorded a $26M unfavorable adjustment (Florida government building) and Civil had a temporary $32M earnings reduction from negotiated change orders; EPS was -$1.51 .
- 2024 operating income was negatively impacted by net ~$347M from judgments/settlements and changes in estimates, masking otherwise profitable newer projects .
- Elevated share‑based compensation in 2024 ($40.4M vs $12.3M in 2023) due to stock price appreciation, adding $0.56 per diluted share drag for the year .
Financial Results
Sequential comparison (last three quarters)
Notes: EBIT approximated by “Loss/Income from construction operations” per company tables .
YoY comparison (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
Segment breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our record backlog and ample future bidding opportunities should serve as the catalyst for significant double‑digit revenue growth and a return to solid profitability in 2025, followed by substantially higher earnings in 2026 and 2027” — Gary Smalley, CEO .
- “We have reduced our total debt by $477 million or 52% since the end of 2023… All in all, we believe that our balance sheet is now healthier than it has ever been” — Ryan Soroka, CFO .
- “This new work… has better contractual terms than we used to have because now we’re being treated more fairly… we’re already getting the contractual terms that we really want” — Management on contract terms .
- “We do not anticipate any significant impacts… related to tariffs [and] federal budget scrutiny” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Cadence: EPS is expected to be single‑digit in Q1, stepping up in Q2–Q4; roughly two‑thirds of FY 2025 EPS in H2 — back‑half weighted ramp as mega projects move from design to construction .
- Disputes: ~12–14 legacy matters remain; 75–80% expected cleared in 2025; contingencies embedded in guidance .
- Capital allocation: Options under evaluation with the Board; shift possible toward shareholder returns as excess cash builds .
- Capex funding: ~$140–$150M FY25, but ~$110–$120M owner‑funded (minimal cash impact); equipment purchases billed to projects .
- Backlog reliance: FY 2025 revenue/earnings largely driven by contracted backlog; limited dependence on new awards in near‑term projections .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024, Q3 2024, and Q2 2024 were unavailable due to a data access limit at the time of retrieval; comparisons to Wall Street consensus cannot be provided. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implication: In absence of published consensus, sell‑side will likely revise models to reflect back‑half weighting, lower interest expense, and segment ramp timing outlined by management .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Backlog conversion is the core driver: expect sequential revenue growth through 2025, with earnings skewed to H2; monitor milestones on Manhattan Jail, Manhattan Tunnel, Newark AirTrain, Honolulu rail, and Apra Harbor .
- Earnings normalization underway: legacy dispute drag lessens; watch appeal outcomes and settlement cadence — upside to margins as temporary reductions reverse .
- Deleveraging complete on TL‑B; interest expense down ~38% YoY to ~$55M, adding ≈$0.50 to 2025 EPS — a tangible bridge to guidance .
- Contract quality improved materially across mega projects; sustained selectivity should support margin enhancement vs historical levels .
- Building segment margin recovery is pivotal (Q4 adjustment was project‑specific); healthcare/education pipeline (Rudolph & Sletten) expected to add backlog in 2025 .
- Capital returns are increasingly likely as cash generation persists; watch Board actions and potential senior notes refinancing post non‑call period .
- Near‑term trading: focus on H1 setup and backlog ramp visibility; medium‑term thesis: multi‑year earnings growth (2026–2027 EPS prelim “>2× 2025”) anchored by record backlog and improved terms .