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TUTOR PERINI CORP (TPC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record backlog of $18.7B (+84% YoY) on $12.8B of 2024 new awards; backlog grew 33% sequentially in Q4, positioning for double‑digit revenue growth and a return to profitability in 2025 .
  • Q4 2024 revenue was $1.068B (+4.5% YoY, -1.4% QoQ); diluted EPS was -$1.51 (vs -$0.91 YoY, better than -$1.92 QoQ), driven by legacy dispute charges and a $26M adjustment in Building; Civil saw a temporary $32M earnings reduction expected to reverse over the project life .
  • Operating cash flow was $329.6M in Q4 and a record $503.5M for 2024, enabling accelerated deleveraging; Term Loan B was fully paid off in Q1 2025, with total debt reduced by $477M since YE 2023; net debt at year‑end was ~$79M .
  • 2025 guidance: EPS $1.50–$1.90 and double‑digit revenue growth; back‑half weighted earnings (≈two‑thirds of EPS in H2) with interest expense down to ~$55M (≈$0.50 EPS uplift) .
  • Potential stock catalysts: sustained backlog conversion into revenues (Civil, Building, Specialty ramp), resolution of remaining legacy disputes (~12–14), and contemplated capital returns as balance sheet strengthens .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “With an unprecedented $12.8 billion of new awards during the year, we grew our backlog to a new record of $18.7 billion in 2024 and delivered a third consecutive year of record operating cash flow” — CEO Gary Smalley .
  • Accelerated deleveraging: total debt down $477M (52%) since YE 2023; Term Loan B fully repaid in Q1 2025, improving interest expense trajectory .
  • Civil and Building segments drove FY revenue growth (+12% overall; Building +24%, Civil +12%); backlog quality and improved contractual terms expected to lift margins prospectively .

What Went Wrong

  • Q4 earnings burdened by legacy issues: Building segment recorded a $26M unfavorable adjustment (Florida government building) and Civil had a temporary $32M earnings reduction from negotiated change orders; EPS was -$1.51 .
  • 2024 operating income was negatively impacted by net ~$347M from judgments/settlements and changes in estimates, masking otherwise profitable newer projects .
  • Elevated share‑based compensation in 2024 ($40.4M vs $12.3M in 2023) due to stock price appreciation, adding $0.56 per diluted share drag for the year .

Financial Results

Sequential comparison (last three quarters)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,127.5 $1,082.8 $1,067.6
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.02 -$1.92 -$1.51
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$117.1 -$25.8 -$9.5
Gross Profit Margin %10.4% -2.4% -0.9%
EBIT (Loss from construction operations) ($USD Millions)$40.5 -$106.8 -$86.2
EBIT Margin %3.6% -9.9% -8.1%
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$23.1 $21.2 $25.5

Notes: EBIT approximated by “Loss/Income from construction operations” per company tables .

YoY comparison (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,021.5 $1,067.6
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$0.91 -$1.51
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$48.9 -$9.5
Gross Profit Margin %4.8% -0.9%
EBIT (Loss from construction operations) ($USD Millions)-$22.5 -$86.2
EBIT Margin %-2.2% -8.1%
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$21.3 $25.5

Segment breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)

SegmentExternal Revenue Q4 2023 ($MM)External Revenue Q4 2024 ($MM)Income (Loss) from Construction Ops Q4 2023 ($MM)Income (Loss) from Construction Ops Q4 2024 ($MM)
Civil$459.4 $554.4 $28.3 $4.5
Building$376.1 $352.0 -$7.3 -$41.4
Specialty Contractors$186.0 $161.2 -$24.1 -$20.3
Corporate-$19.4 -$29.0
Total (external)$1,021.5 $1,067.6 -$22.5 -$86.2

KPIs

KPIValue
Operating Cash Flow Q4 2024 ($USD Millions)$329.6
Operating Cash Flow FY 2024 ($USD Millions)$503.5
Backlog at Dec 31, 2024 ($USD Billions)$18.674
New Awards in Q4 2024 ($USD Billions)$5.716
Net Debt at Dec 31, 2024 ($USD Millions)~$79
Cash and Equivalents at Dec 31, 2024 ($USD Millions)$455.1
Total Debt Reduction since YE 2023 to Feb 27, 2025 ($USD Millions)$477

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue growthFY 2025n/aDouble‑digit revenue growth New
Diluted EPSFY 2025n/a$1.50–$1.90 New
EPS outlookFY 2026/2027n/aPreliminary EPS more than double 2025 guidance (internal projections) New
G&A ExpenseFY 2025n/a$310–$320M New
Depreciation & AmortizationFY 2025n/a~$55M (Depreciation $53M; Amortization $2M) New
Interest ExpenseFY 2025n/a$55M ($5M noncash); ~38% lower YoY New
Effective Tax RateFY 2025n/a~21%–23% New
Noncontrolling InterestsFY 2025n/a~$65–$75M New
Diluted SharesFY 2025n/a~53M New
CapexFY 2025n/a$140–$150M ($110–$120M owner‑funded) New
Capital ReturnFY 2025+n/aConsidering return of capital to shareholders New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Backlog growthQ2: $10.4B, anticipating significant growth ; Q3: record $14.0B (+35% QoQ) Record $18.7B (+84% YoY), strong awards continue in early 2025 Accelerating
Legacy disputesQ2: Adjustments ($12.4M, $12.0M) and settlements ; Q3: ~$152M net charges, ~$180M expected cash ~$347M full‑year operating income impact; ~12–14 disputes remain; progress expected in 2025 Resolving, earnings drag diminishing
Tariffs/macroQ3: Election commentary; generally neutral impact Management does not anticipate significant impacts from tariffs/federal funding scrutiny Stable/managed risk
Technology/AINot highlighted in Q2/Q3Exploring AI to improve planning/execution/productivity Emerging initiative
Capital allocation/deleveragingQ2: plan to prepay Term Loan B; affirm 2024 EPS guidance ; Q3: $150–$225M TL‑B paydowns; interest savings $0.21–$0.32 EPS TL‑B fully repaid; interest ~$55M in 2025; considering shareholder capital returns Shift from deleveraging to returns
Contract terms/selectivityQ3: materially improved/fair terms negotiated; fewer bidders Record backlog enables selectivity; improved terms sustained Structural margin support

Management Commentary

  • “Our record backlog and ample future bidding opportunities should serve as the catalyst for significant double‑digit revenue growth and a return to solid profitability in 2025, followed by substantially higher earnings in 2026 and 2027” — Gary Smalley, CEO .
  • “We have reduced our total debt by $477 million or 52% since the end of 2023… All in all, we believe that our balance sheet is now healthier than it has ever been” — Ryan Soroka, CFO .
  • “This new work… has better contractual terms than we used to have because now we’re being treated more fairly… we’re already getting the contractual terms that we really want” — Management on contract terms .
  • “We do not anticipate any significant impacts… related to tariffs [and] federal budget scrutiny” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cadence: EPS is expected to be single‑digit in Q1, stepping up in Q2–Q4; roughly two‑thirds of FY 2025 EPS in H2 — back‑half weighted ramp as mega projects move from design to construction .
  • Disputes: ~12–14 legacy matters remain; 75–80% expected cleared in 2025; contingencies embedded in guidance .
  • Capital allocation: Options under evaluation with the Board; shift possible toward shareholder returns as excess cash builds .
  • Capex funding: ~$140–$150M FY25, but ~$110–$120M owner‑funded (minimal cash impact); equipment purchases billed to projects .
  • Backlog reliance: FY 2025 revenue/earnings largely driven by contracted backlog; limited dependence on new awards in near‑term projections .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024, Q3 2024, and Q2 2024 were unavailable due to a data access limit at the time of retrieval; comparisons to Wall Street consensus cannot be provided. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Consensus Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A*N/A*N/A*
Consensus Primary EPS ($USD)N/A*N/A*N/A*

Implication: In absence of published consensus, sell‑side will likely revise models to reflect back‑half weighting, lower interest expense, and segment ramp timing outlined by management .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Backlog conversion is the core driver: expect sequential revenue growth through 2025, with earnings skewed to H2; monitor milestones on Manhattan Jail, Manhattan Tunnel, Newark AirTrain, Honolulu rail, and Apra Harbor .
  • Earnings normalization underway: legacy dispute drag lessens; watch appeal outcomes and settlement cadence — upside to margins as temporary reductions reverse .
  • Deleveraging complete on TL‑B; interest expense down ~38% YoY to ~$55M, adding ≈$0.50 to 2025 EPS — a tangible bridge to guidance .
  • Contract quality improved materially across mega projects; sustained selectivity should support margin enhancement vs historical levels .
  • Building segment margin recovery is pivotal (Q4 adjustment was project‑specific); healthcare/education pipeline (Rudolph & Sletten) expected to add backlog in 2025 .
  • Capital returns are increasingly likely as cash generation persists; watch Board actions and potential senior notes refinancing post non‑call period .
  • Near‑term trading: focus on H1 setup and backlog ramp visibility; medium‑term thesis: multi‑year earnings growth (2026–2027 EPS prelim “>2× 2025”) anchored by record backlog and improved terms .