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Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: Total investment income rose 48% YoY to $70.8M and NII reached a record $34.6M ($0.58/share), driving ROAE to 17.4% and ROAA to 7.6% . NAV/share increased to $13.35 from $13.13 in Q3, with total net assets up 9% QoQ to $823M .
  • Strong origination and disciplined credit: $410.6M of new commitments and $297.3M funded; non‑accruals improved to 0.8% of debt portfolio at FV; weighted avg risk rating steady at 2.9 .
  • Balance sheet actions de‑risked maturities: Facility upsized to $600M; issued $142.5M Series A notes; post‑quarter, repaid 2025 notes and retired converts in cash (expected ~($0.27)/share NAV impact in Q1) leaving no maturities until Aug‑2026 .
  • Dividend remains well covered: $0.51 declared for Q4 (20th consecutive consistent/increased payout); Q4 NII/share covered regular dividend ~114% .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record earnings power with high yields: “Effective yield…16.4% and core yield…14.7%” and NII/share covered the distribution 114% .
    • Platform diversification and growth: “Our five business verticals continued to perform well” with platform AUM >$2B and 20th straight consistent/increased dividend .
    • Credit quality improved: non‑accruals at 0.8% of FV; rating mix steady (weighted avg 2.9); one prior non‑accrual exited, and new issues idiosyncratic .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Higher financing costs: Interest expense rose to $19.1M (vs $10.4M YoY) on higher average debt outstanding; OpEx (ex‑interest) up to $17.2M on headcount and stock comp .
    • Yield compression industry‑wide: Management noted core yield remained strong but acknowledged “industry‑wide yield compression” as a backdrop .
    • Ongoing equity issuance/ATM usage: ~$49.7M raised via ATM in Q4; while accretive, investors often scrutinize dilution even if used to fund growth .

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Investment Income ($M)$54.6 $61.8 $70.8
Net Investment Income ($M)$26.7 $29.4 $34.6
NII per Share – Basic ($)$0.53 $0.54 $0.58
Net Inc/(Dec) in Net Assets from Ops/Share – Basic ($)$0.61 $0.45 $0.77
NAV per Share ($)$13.12 $13.13 $13.35
Interest Expense ($M)$13.9 $16.9 $19.1
ROAE (%)16.3% 16.2% 17.4%
Debt-to-Equity (Leverage)114% 122% 108%
Effective Yield (%)16.0% 16.1% 16.4%
Core Yield (%)14.7% 14.9% 14.7%

Year-over-year comparison (Q4 2023 → Q4 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Total Investment Income ($M)$47.8 $70.8
Net Investment Income ($M)$25.1 $34.6
NII per Share – Basic ($)$0.57 $0.58
Net Inc in Net Assets from Ops/Share – Basic ($)$0.40 $0.77
Interest Expense ($M)$10.4 $19.1
Effective Yield (%)16.7% 16.4%

Segment/vertical funding mix

Vertical (fundings mix)Q3 2024Q4 2024
Tech Lending39.8% 27%
Equipment Financing9.1% 33%
Life Sciences29.4% 7%
Asset-Backed/Warehouse15.7% 3%
Sponsor Finance5.4% 28%

Key portfolio KPIs (oldest → newest)

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
New Commitments ($M)$289.3 $629.2 $410.6
Gross Fundings ($M)$230.6 $459.0 $297.3
Exits/Repayments ($M)$180.3 $198.4 $280.6
Portfolio FV ($B)$1.425 $1.687 $1.726
First‑Lien Share of Debt (%)78.1% 80.0% 76.5%
Floating‑Rate Share of Debt (%)69.9% 76.6% 77.1%
Weighted Avg Risk Rating2.7 2.9 2.9
Non‑Accruals (FV as % of debt)1.8% 1.4% 0.8%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent/UpdateChange
Regular Dividend per ShareQ4 2024$0.51 (Q3) $0.51 declared; paid Jan 15, 2025 Maintained
NAV impact from convertible retirementQ1 2025N/AEst. ~($0.27)/share from cash settlement of converts New disclosure
Leverage approachOngoingTarget ~1.0x over time Maintain ~1.0x; use RIA to downstream assets; opportunistically flex Maintained framework
Debt ATM program2025N/ALaunched debt ATM for TRINI/TRINZ post‑Q4 New flexibility

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2/Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
Leverage and capital raising (ATM, notes)Leverage ~1.07–1.20x; equity ATM at premium; unsecured notes issued Leverage down to 1.08x; facility upsized to $600M; launched debt ATM; $142.5M Series A notes Improving flexibility; de‑risking maturities
RIA/off‑balance sheet vehiclesJV/private vehicle building; 1:1 leverage target; AUM >$250–$300M $1.9M NII benefit in Q4; plan to grow fee/dividends from RIA in 2025 Scaling; incremental EPS tailwind
Credit quality/non‑accruals1.8%→1.4% FV; upgrades and realizations 0.8% FV; one new non‑accrual (small, idiosyncratic) Improving
Originations/platform diversificationStrong multi‑vertical mix; Europe expansion Mix tilted to Equip/Sponsor; pipeline $693M unfunded Sustained momentum
Rates/asset sensitivityFloors mitigate downside from cuts Yields still high; core yield stable 14.7% amid compression Resilient
Fintech/warehouse exposureWarehouse lending vertical ramping ABL often replaces banks; diversified bank partnerships in underwriting Constructive but selective

Management Commentary

  • “Our five business verticals continued to perform well, fueling growth and profitability… Platform AUM exceeded $2 billion… 20th consecutive quarter of a consistent or growing dividend.” — Kyle Brown, CEO .
  • “Effective yield…16.4% and core yield…14.7%… NII/share represents 114% coverage of our quarterly distribution… estimated UTI of ~$67M ($1.08/share).” — Michael Testa, CFO .
  • “Credit quality… improved… nonaccrual credits… ~0.8% of total debt portfolio at fair value… average internal rating 2.9.” — Gerry Harder, COO .
  • “We intend over time to decrease leverage… as the RIA generates earnings… keep a healthy ~1:1, flex up to fund opportunities, then downstream assets.” — Kyle Brown .
  • “We retired the 2025 notes and converted our convertible notes in cash; estimate Q1 NAV impact ~$0.27/share.” — Michael Testa .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capital/Leverage: Management targets ~1.0x leverage over time; will flex for deployment and downstream to RIA vehicles to normalize; equity ATM used as just‑in‑time, accretive financing .
  • Debt ATM: Launched a debt ATM for TRINI/TRINZ to add flexible, efficient debt capacity .
  • Convertible notes: Will be settled in cash, avoiding dilution; estimated Q1 NAV impact about ($0.27)/share .
  • Fintech/ABL: ABL warehouse lending often replaces banks; underwriting requires multiple bank partners; exposure structured with strong collateral/LTV .
  • Non‑accruals: New small tech lending non‑accrual (space) is company‑specific; most space exposure is equipment‑collateralized .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to data access limits at query time. As a result, we cannot present a definitive vs‑consensus beat/miss.
  • Notably, the company’s Feb 4 pre‑announcement guided NII/share to $0.58–$0.60 and NAV/share to $13.32–$13.37; actual NII/share was $0.58 and NAV/share $13.35, in‑line with the company’s preliminary estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings power accelerating with strong dividend coverage: NII/share rose to $0.58 with >110% coverage of the $0.51 dividend; UTI provides cushion for future distributions .
  • Credit quality continues to trend better: Non‑accruals fell to 0.8% of FV and rating quality held steady; discipline amid origination growth .
  • Balance sheet prudently managed: Facility upsized to $600M; Series A notes issued; 2025 maturities cleared and converts retired in cash, leaving no maturities until Aug‑2026 .
  • Diversified vertical engine: Mix shift shows ability to lean into Equipment and Sponsor Finance when conditions favor them, sustaining deployment and yields .
  • RIA scaling offers a medium‑term EPS lever: Growing JV/private vehicles contributed ~$0.03/share NII in Q4; 2025 could see dividends from RIA to the BDC .
  • Rate path resilience: High coupon floors and floating‑rate asset mix position TRIN to weather modest rate cuts while benefiting from lower funding costs .
  • Near‑term watch items: Monitor fee income sensitivity (prepayments), pace of ATM usage versus deployment, and any changes in credit migration as originations scale .

Additional Q4 2024 Press Releases (Context)

  • Credit facility increased to $600M total commitments (accordion to $690M) .
  • Dividend declared $0.51 (20th consecutive consistent/increased) .
  • Stock repurchase program authorized up to $30M (Nov 7, 2024) .

All citations:

  • Q4 2024 press release and financials
  • Q4 2024 8‑K, EX‑99.1/99.2 and statements
  • Q4 2024 earnings call transcripts ,
  • Q3 2024 press release/8‑K , and transcript
  • Q2 2024 press release/8‑K , and transcript
  • Preliminary estimates (Feb 4, 2025)
  • Facility/dividend/repurchase press releases