TI
TRUPANION, INC. (TRUP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered one of Trupanion’s strongest quarters: total revenue $353.6M (+12% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.22 (vs $(0.14) LY), subscription adjusted operating margin 13.8% (+280 bps YoY), and free cash flow $12.0M (+203% YoY) .
- Raised FY25 guidance: total revenue to $1.417–$1.434B, subscription revenue to $983–$992M, and total AOI to $141–$151M; set Q3 guidance for revenue $359–$365M, subscription revenue $251–$254M, AOI $37–$40M (assumes 73% CAD/USD) .
- Subscription value proposition improved (cost of veterinary invoices at 71.1% of subscription revenue vs 74.1% LY) with retention strengthening; CFO noted ~60 bps favorable prior-period development and ~1% inflation abatement in Q2 .
- Portfolio manager catalysts: material EPS beat vs S&P consensus, margin expansion; FY guidance raise and cash deployment (extraordinary dividend upstreamed, debt paydown) support compounding AOI and growth investment .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong execution and margin expansion: “one of the strongest financial quarters” with subscription AOI up 45% YoY to $33.4M and margin to 13.8% (+280 bps) .
- Retention and value proposition improved: TTM retention 98.29% and subscription cost of invoices 71.1% of revenue vs 74.1% LY; management highlighted 98.4% 3‑month retention and restored value proposition to target .
- Balance sheet and cash flow: $319.6M cash/short-term investments, operating cash flow $15.0M, FCF $12.0M; upstreamed $26M extraordinary dividend from APIC and repaid ~$15M debt, positioning for growth investments .
What Went Wrong
- Gross adds remain subdued despite higher PAC; PAC rose to $276 (+19% YoY) while gross adds were stagnant, prompting analyst concerns on conversion efficiency and spend ROI cadence .
- Other business deceleration: segment revenue +5% YoY, but growth is expected to slow as the largest partner stops enrolling new pets in most U.S. states; AOI margin only 1.3% .
- Reported net income benefited from a non-recurring $7.8M realized gain (preferred stock exchanged for IP); underlying profitability excluding this item is lower, and S&P’s EBITDA “actual” series showed a miss vs consensus (see Estimates Context) .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L (GAAP)
Margins and Profitability (non-GAAP where noted)
Segment Breakdown
KPIs (Subscription and Total Business)
Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; Primary series)
Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: Company reported GAAP diluted EPS of $0.22; S&P “Primary EPS” reflects a different definition (normalized), hence the discrepancy .*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Q2 was one of the strongest financial quarters in the history of Trupanion underscored by consistent top line growth, robust margin expansion and strengthening retention.” — CEO Margi Tooth .
- “Subscription adjusted operating income of $33.4M, margin 13.8%, up two eighty basis points versus the prior year period.” — CEO Margi Tooth .
- “We saw a little bit of an abatement of inflation down about 1%. Baked into our guidance for second half is an assumption that that 1% continues… about 60 bps of favorable development in Q2.” — CFO Fawwad Qureshi .
- “We ended the quarter with $319.6M in cash and short-term investments… paid an extraordinary dividend of $26M from APIC; used ~$15M to pay down debt… remaining $11M for growth investments.” — CFO Fawwad Qureshi .
- “Our results today show that we have now caught up with the cost of veterinary care with our value proposition restored to target.” — CEO Margi Tooth .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross adds and PAC efficiency: Analysts pressed on stagnant gross adds despite higher PAC; management emphasized prioritizing “quality” pets and gradual PAC ramp with expectations for positive gross adds in H2’25 .
- Inflation and value proposition: Management cited ~1% inflation abatement and favorable development, supporting guidance and margin trajectory .
- Food initiative/IP: Company exchanged a preferred stake for IP to support nascent food initiative; early-stage but viewed as foundational .
- Retention cadence: Team expects continued improvement as rate increases normalize; pricing set for back-half, more granular adjustments by geography/breed/age in 2026 .
- Other business deceleration: Growth expected to slow due to partner enrollment changes; subscription segment remains primary AOI driver .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue beat (+2.0%), Primary EPS showed a large beat vs negative consensus, while EBITDA “actual” missed vs consensus (S&P series differs from company “Adjusted EBITDA”) .*
- Q3 2025 consensus ahead of guidance suggests modest top-line growth sequentially; company’s AOI guidance implies continued expense leverage and reinvestment capacity .*
- Expect sell-side models to adjust: raise FY revenue/EPS (normalized definitions notwithstanding), trim GAAP EBITDA if following S&P series, and reflect higher AOI and improved subscription margins.*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The print was clean: revenue/EPS beat, robust non-GAAP margin expansion, and stronger cash flow; FY guidance raised across revenue and AOI, a clear positive setup into H2 .
- Margin durability: Subscription value proposition at target (71.1%) with signs of inflation moderation; expect sustained AOI margin in low-to-mid teens as pricing normalizes .
- Growth engine re-primed: PAC rising with IRRs ~30% and H2 gross adds targeted to turn positive; watch conversion metrics and cohort quality to gauge scalability .
- Mix watch: Other business deceleration keeps consolidated margin anchored to subscription segment; reinforces focus on core product and retained pet quality .
- Cash deployment: Upstreamed extraordinary dividend and debt paydown expand strategic flexibility; expect AOI to fund disciplined growth and technology investments .
- Model implications: Raise FY25 revenue/AOI, incorporate 73% FX assumption, and reconcile EPS definitions (GAAP diluted $0.22 vs S&P Primary EPS 0.7265) .
- Near-term trading: Guidance raise and margin narrative support positive sentiment; Investor Day (Sep 17) is a potential catalyst for deeper strategic detail .
Additional Q2 2025 Materials
- Q2 2025 earnings press release and 8‑K with full financials .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (full discussion and guidance) .
- Other relevant press releases in Q2: Earnings release date announcement (Jul 17), Canaccord Genuity participation (Jul 31), Investor Day set for Sep 17 (Jun 26) .