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TRUPANION, INC. (TRUP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered record profitability and ongoing margin expansion: total revenue $366.9M (+12% y/y), net income $5.9M (diluted EPS $0.13), adjusted EBITDA $19.6M, subscription AOI margin 15.5% (record) .
  • Subscription revenue grew 15% y/y to $252.7M with subscription pets +5% y/y to 1,082,412 and retention 98.33%; subscription cost of paying invoices improved to 70.1% of revenue vs 71.0% LY, driving AOI $39.1M (+27% y/y) .
  • Guidance raised on FY 2025 revenue ($1.433B–$1.439B) and AOI ($148M–$151M); Q4 2025 guidance: revenue $371M–$377M, subscription revenue $258M–$261M, AOI $41M–$44M. New $120M credit facility with PNC reduces interest margin by ~240 bps, enhancing cash flow and financial flexibility .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly beat and EPS materially beat; adjusted EBITDA outperformed internal trajectory. Catalysts: margin expansion, sustained retention, accelerated net pet additions, and interest savings from refinancing .
    Consensus values marked with “*” (S&P Global).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record subscription AOI $39.1M and 15.5% margin, reflecting disciplined execution and lower variable expense intensity (8.9% of revenue vs 9.4% LY) .
  • Net pet growth inflected: gross pet adds +4% y/y and net subscription pets +16,000 in Q3; retention remained strong at 98.33%, supporting LTV and PAC capacity .
  • Balance sheet strengthened and cost of capital lowered via new $120M PNC Bank facility; CFO: “SOFR + 2.75% vs prior SOFR + 5.15%,” implying ~$8–$9M annual interest savings on ~$115M debt .
    • CEO: “We delivered record quarterly profitability while accelerating subscription pet growth…” .

What Went Wrong

  • Other business segment growth decelerating, with management no longer enrolling new pets in most US states for the largest partner; AOI margin remains low (~1.5%) .
  • PAC increased to $290 (from $243 LY), reflecting higher acquisition costs amid deliberate quality of adds; near term pressure on pet acquisition efficiency vs prior year .
  • EPS normalization and EBITDA definitions can create confusion versus non-GAAP metrics; adjusted EBITDA and AOI are non-GAAP and exclude recurring SBC and D&A, requiring careful reconciliation .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$327.5 $353.6 $366.9
Subscription Revenue ($USD Millions)$219.0 $242.2 $252.7
Other Business Revenue ($USD Millions)$108.5 $111.4 $114.2
Net Income ($USD Millions)$1.4 $9.4 $5.9
Diluted EPS ($)$0.03 $0.22 $0.13
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions, non-GAAP)$14.5 $16.6 $19.6
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$15.3 $15.0 $29.2
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$13.4 $12.0 $23.9

Segment breakdown (Revenue and Adjusted Operating Income):

SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)Q3 2025 Revenue ($M)Q3 2024 AOI ($M)Q2 2025 AOI ($M)Q3 2025 AOI ($M)
Subscription$219.0 $242.2 $252.7 $30.8 $33.4 $39.1
Other Business$108.5 $111.4 $114.2 $1.8 $1.4 $1.8
Total Adjusted Operating Income$32.6 $34.8 $40.9

Key KPIs (Subscription):

KPIMar 31, 2025Jun 30, 2025Sep 30, 2025
Subscription Pets (period end)1,052,845 1,066,354 1,082,412
Monthly Avg Revenue per Pet (ARPU, $)77.53 79.93 82.01
Average PAC ($)267 276 290
Average Monthly Retention (%)98.28% 98.29% 98.33%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (as of Q2 call)Current Guidance (Q3 call)Change
Total Revenue ($B)FY 2025$1.417–$1.434 $1.433–$1.439 Raised low end; tightened range
Subscription Revenue ($B)FY 2025$0.983–$0.992 $0.986–$0.989 Narrowed range
Total Adjusted Operating Income ($M)FY 2025$141–$151 $148–$151 Raised low end
Total Revenue ($M)Q4 2025N/A$371–$377 New
Subscription Revenue ($M)Q4 2025N/A$258–$261 New
Total Adjusted Operating Income ($M)Q4 2025N/A$41–$44 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Margin/Value PropositionSubscription value proposition restored; cost of invoices 71.1% in Q2; margin expansion 13.8% AOI Subscription invoices at 70.1%; AOI margin 15.5% (record) Improving margin trajectory
RetentionTrailing 3-month retention 98.4% in Q2; strong member durability TTM retention 98.33%; continued gains via communications/support Stable to improving
Pet Growth vs Pricing MixQ2: ~11% ARPU, ~5% pets contribution to growth; intent to shift mix towards pets Gross adds +4% y/y; net adds +16k; plan to increase investment to drive pet-led growth Pivot toward volume contribution
Inflation/Rate EnvironmentNoted deceleration (~1 pt) and stabilization; monitoring Q3 stable vs Q2; balanced US/Canada movements; 2026 pricing to reflect moderated inflation Moderating
Credit Facility/CapitalExtraordinary dividend ($26M) and $15M debt paydown in Q2 Refinanced to SOFR + 2.75%; ~240 bps lower margin; enhanced flexibility Lower cost of capital
Partnerships/ChannelsContinued Aflac alliance; PHI/Perkin learnings in Canada New BMO Insurance partnership; Seattle Reign brand activation; Aflac near-term contribution minimal Expanding brand/channel presence
Europe Expansion~56–60k pets in Europe; MGA structure ~60k Europe pets; limited current investment; future opportunity Build for later

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We delivered record quarterly profitability while accelerating subscription pet growth for the third consecutive quarter… Our disciplined model continues to generate meaningful cash flow” .
  • CFO: “Subscription adjusted operating margin was 15.5%, up from 14%… a new company record” and “We deployed $20.4M of AOI to acquire ~68,100 new subscription pets” .
  • CFO on refinancing: “Current debt is SOFR + 5.15; new debt will be SOFR + 2.75… ~240 bps benefit… interest savings ~$8–$9M” .
  • CEO on brand/channel: “Partnership with BMO… broadening access in Canada; expanding presence to connect with pet parents earlier” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Growth inflection and shift from defense to offense: management intends higher PAC and broader brand investments to accelerate pet-led growth into 2026 .
  • Pricing/inflation outlook: inflation broadly stable QoQ; 2026 pricing to reflect moderated cost trends; retention expected to benefit from softer increases .
  • Europe: limited current capital deployment; future opportunity with stabilized cohorts and expansion .
  • Credit facility economics: ~240 bps margin reduction; ~$8–$9M annual interest savings; broader treasury services from PNC .
  • Aflac/group channel: near-term contributions minimal; product refinement underway before scaling .

Estimates Context

Results vs S&P Global consensus:

MetricPeriodActualConsensus MeanBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD)Q3 2025$366,920,000 $361,575,400*Bold beat
Diluted EPS ($)Q3 2025$0.13 $0.06833*Bold beat
EBITDA ($USD)Q3 2025Adjusted EBITDA $19,562,000 $15,314,250* (EBITDA)Beat (non-GAAP vs consensus definition differs)

Forward consensus:

MetricPeriodConsensus Mean
Revenue ($USD)Q4 2025$374,213,400*
Primary EPS ($)Q4 2025$0.13667*
EBITDA ($USD)Q4 2025$21,680,330*

Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Where consensus uses “EBITDA,” definitions may differ from company “Adjusted EBITDA.”

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin-led profitability is durable: subscription cost of invoices improved to 70.1%, AOI margin reached 15.5%—providing fuel to reinvest in pet growth and brand activation; expect continued mix shift toward volume over price in 2026 .
  • Cash flow strength and lower interest costs from PNC refinancing expand strategic optionality; ~$8–$9M annual interest savings bolster FCF while funding growth .
  • Net pet adds and retention momentum are critical catalysts; strong retention (98.33%) increases LTV and permissible PAC, supporting sustained higher acquisition spending .
  • Other business headwinds are contained; management prioritizes core subscription quality over quantity, which should support margin resilience amid higher PAC .
  • Guidance raised on FY revenue and AOI; Q4 guide indicates continued double-digit growth and strong AOI—estimate revisions likely upward for EPS and revenue .
  • Near-term trading: positive setup from beats and raised guidance; watch for interest savings quantification and net pet adds trajectory in Q4 print .
  • Medium-term thesis: moderated veterinary inflation, retention-led LTV, and expanded partnerships (BMO, sports/community) should enable pet-led growth with disciplined unit economics .

Appendix: Additional Press Releases and Context

  • Canadian Kennel Club partnership renewed; >30k claims and >$7.4M paid since 2022—supporting breeder and early coverage funnel .
  • Board addition (Bradley Powell, former CFO of Expeditors) strengthens financial oversight and scaling experience .
  • CEO recognized as Woman of Influence—mission-aligned initiatives and community engagement (e.g., Seattle Reign partnership) broaden brand reach .