Telesat - Q2 2023
August 11, 2023
Transcript
Operator (participant)
This conference is being recorded. All participants, please stand by. Your meeting is ready to begin. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the conference call to report the second quarter 2023 financial results for Telesat. Our speakers today will be Dan Goldberg, President and Chief Executive Officer of Telesat, and Andrew Browne, Chief Financial Officer of Telesat. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Michael Bolitho, Director of Treasury and Risk Management. Please go ahead, Mr. Bolaido.
Michael Bolitho (Director of Treasury and Risk Management)
Thank you and good morning. This morning, we filed our quarterly report on Form 6-K with the SEC and on SEDAR. Our remarks today may contain forward-looking statements. There are risks that Telesat's actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated by the forward-looking statements as a result of known and unknown risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of known risks, see Telesat's annual and quarterly reports filed with the SEC and SEDAR. Telesat assumes no responsibility to update or revise these forward-looking statements. I will now turn the call over to Dan Goldberg, Telesat's President and Chief Executive Officer.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Okay, thanks, Michael. This morning, I'll share some thoughts on our financial results and give an update on the business. I'll then hand over to Andrew, who'll speak to the numbers in detail, and then we'll open the call up to questions. As we noted in our earnings release, we've had a busy first half of the year. We're tracking our guidance, received FCC validation on C-band clearing, which allowed us to recognize approximately $260 million in the quarter, and completed some meaningful additional debt repurchases that we think strengthen our balance sheet and create value for shareholders.
Certainly, the big news was our announcement this morning that we've selected MDA as prime contractor for the Telesat Lightspeed satellites, and that by leveraging the advanced technology they've been investing in, we're able to reduce our CapEx on the project by roughly $2 billion, while fully maintaining the revolutionary capabilities of the network that we think are going to make it so disruptive and successful in the market. Lightspeed is now fully funded to global service delivery, given the company's own equity contribution, certain vendor financing, and aggregate funding commitments from our Canadian federal and provincial government partners. The government financing commitments are subject to a number of conditions, including completion of confirmatory due diligence and the conclusion of definitive agreements, which we're aiming to get done by the end of the year, recognizing it could take a little bit longer.
I want to thank our government partners for their strong and consistent support of Lightspeed and their recognition of the manifold public interest benefits that flow from the project. I want to say a few words about why this approach with MDA is so much more capital efficient and why we ultimately pivoted and made the move to MDA. The game-changing development here is the digital beamforming antenna that MDA has developed. We considered a digital beamformer some years ago when we first evaluated technology options for Lightspeed, but our engineers felt that it wasn't ready for prime time, that the technology development risk at the time was too great.
That's why when we selected MDA to build the antennas way back then, the antennas MDA prototyped and was going to build for our original plan formed beams using analog technology, which is to say it was an analog beamformer. Over the past few years, MDA has continued to invest in the digital beamformer, and late last year, as we were working hard to close our business case funding, which in part entailed looking to optimize the overall Lightspeed design, an exercise I know I've spoken about previously, we took another look at the digital beamformer and came to the conclusion that it was now sufficiently mature, and that not only could we leverage it, but that we had to, given the massive efficiencies it delivers. The performance improvement relative to the analog one is dramatic. It's game-changing.
To give you a sense, it can create roughly triple the number of beams versus the analog one, which means we can serve our customers and cover the globe vastly more efficiently. For example, while the old satellite design required each satellite to have two pairs of analog beamforming antennas to deliver the capacity in the way that we want, we only need a single pair of digital beamforming antennas. This allows each satellite to be somewhat smaller and still have the same effective capacity as the larger ones. Smaller satellites almost always mean less costly satellites, and that's certainly the case here. In the case of Lightspeed, the MDA satellites are roughly 75% of the size of the earlier versions we were considering.
The digital beamformer also creates a better link between the satellite and the user terminal, which further improves the performance and the efficiency of the overall network. The satellites will continue to have four optical inter-satellite links, which we've always emphasized is important to dynamically and rapidly route our users' traffic anywhere on Earth, and which also provides great resiliency throughout the network. In addition to the digital beamformer, MDA also has been investing heavily in a digital processor that's tightly integrated with the digital beamformer. MDA has been doing all this because they see a big opportunity to build LEO satellites as the industry transitions in that direction. To their credit, they've already been quite successful, winning last year a highly competitive process to be the prime contractor for the Globalstar LEO constellation that Apple is funding and using.
MDA has world-class capabilities in high-volume satellite manufacturing and is heavily focused on winning more business as a prime, which is why they won the Apple opportunity and why they're going to be building the Lightspeed satellites. The work with MDA and many of our other suppliers has already started. We expect the first launch to take place in mid-2026. That will enter global service in late 2027. The total CapEx for Lightspeed is approximately $3.5 billion. If we meet our plan, we expect to grow our revenue and adjusted EBITDA by several multiples and achieve an IRR on the project of roughly 30%. We'll organize an investor day and present at a number of conferences in the near term so that we can give investors greater insight into our plans.
It would be hard to overstate how pleased we are with the arrangements we've put in place for Lightspeed, how keen we are to get out there with customers, investors, and others. It's been a long road, much longer than we anticipated, certainly much longer than I anticipated, with COVID and the supply chain constraints and inflation that COVID brought, representing real obstacles. We've always said we see a huge opportunity in the global enterprise broadband market, that we were laser-focused on finding the most compelling path forward. Given where we've landed, it's been well worth the wait. I wanna thank my colleagues at Telesat, genuinely world-class professionals in every key discipline: technical, regulatory, commercial, finance, legal, for their resilience, dedication, and ingenuity, what I think is hitting an absolute home run here.
Throughout our 54-year history, we've always leveraged our deep engineering expertise and leaned into innovation to adapt in a dynamic market and meet our customers' ever-evolving, but always mission-critical requirements. Telesat Lightspeed is just the most recent example of that. It's been a real privilege for me to work alongside the world-class team here, and we're all now just 100% focused on executing the plan. With that, I'll hand over to Andrew and then look forward to addressing any questions you may have.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
Thank you, Dan. Good morning, everyone. I would now like to focus on highlights from this morning's press release and filings. However, as Dan has said, it's been a long road, and obviously, with our announcement on Lightspeed, we are so excited to be in the position to move forward with our program. Focusing on our financial performance in the second quarter of 2023, Telesat reported revenues of $180 million, adjusted EBITDA of $139 million, and for the six months ended June 30th, 2023, we generated cash from operations of $102 million, and we held $1.5 billion of cash on the balance sheet.
In the second quarter of 2023, and compared to the same period in 2022, revenues decreased by $7 million to $180 million, operating expenses decreased by $7 million to $52 million, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by $8 million to $139 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 77.1%, compared to 78.4% in 2022. Between 2022 and 2023, changes in the U.S. dollar exchange rate had a positive impact of $5 million on revenues, a negative impact of $1 million on operating expenses, and a positive impact of $4 million on adjusted EBITDA. When adjusted for changes in foreign exchange rates, revenues decreased by $12 million, operating expenses decreased by $8 million, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by $12 million.
The revenue decrease was mainly due to a termination in service by a South American customer, combined with a reduction in revenues from one of our North American DTH customers. This was partially offset by increased revenue from the work we are performing for NASA, relating to satellite-to-satellite communications in low Earth orbit. The decrease in operating expenses is primarily due to lower non-cash share-based compensation, partially offset by higher costs associated with the procurement of third-party satellite capacity required to support certain customer networks. Interest expense increased by $19 million during the second quarter when compared to the same period in 2022. The increase was due to an increase in interest rates in the U.S. Term Loan B facility, combined with the foreign exchange impact and U.S. dollar-denominated interest expense.
This was partially offset by the impact of the repurchase of notes in 2023, combined with the impact of the maturity of one of our interest rate swaps in September of last year. In the second quarter, we recorded a gain in foreign exchange of $67 million, as compared to a loss of $99 million in the second quarter of 2022. The gain for the three months ended June the thirtieth was mainly the result of a weaker U.S. dollar to Canadian dollar and with a resulting favorable impact on the translation of our U.S. dollar-denominated debt. Our net income for the second quarter of 2023 was $520 million, compared to a loss of $4 million in the prior year.
The variation of CAD 524 was principally due to C-band clearing proceeds, recognized in the quarter of CAD 345 million, combined with a positive variation in foreign exchange and the conversion of our debt into Canadian dollars, and the gain on repurchase of debt of CAD 153 million. This was partially offset by higher interest expense and higher tax expense. For the six months ended June 30th, the cash inflows from operating activities were CAD 102 million, and the cash flows used in investing activities were CAD 67 million. In terms of capital expenditures incurred, they were primarily related to our low Earth orbit constellation, Lightspeed, and the newly acquired Anik F4 satellite. Guidance.
As you will have noted in our earnings release this morning, we are very pleased to maintain our previously provided revenue and adjusted EBITDA 2023 guidance. The guidance assumes a Canadian dollar to U.S. dollar exchange rate of 1.35. Telesat continues to expect that full year of 2020 revenues to be between $690 million and $710 million. In terms of adjusted EBITDA, Telesat continues to expect between $500 million to $515 million. In respect to expected capital expenditures, as a result now of our Lightspeed announcement, we now expect our 2023 cash flows used in investing activities to be in the range of $175 million-$225 million, and we will provide any further updates at the time of our Q3 call.
Looking at cash, to meet our expected cash requirements for the next 12 months, including interest payments and CapEx, we have approximately $1.5 billion of cash and short-term investments at the end of March, as well as approximately $200 million of borrowings available under a revolving credit facility. Approximately $1 billion in cash was held in our unrestricted subsidiaries. In addition, we continued to generate an ongoing significant amount of cash from our activities. At the end of the fourth quarter, leverage, as calculated under the terms of our amended senior secured credit facilities, was 5.69 times to 1. Telesat has complied with all the covenants in our credit agreement and indenture.
As Dan has also indicated, in the second quarter and including the subsequent period, we have repurchased debt with a principal aggregate amount of $296 million, by way of open market purchases at a cost of $156.9 million. Combining with prior repurchases done in 2022, we have now repurchased a total amount of $456 million at an aggregate cost of $233.9 million. In addition, this also results in interest savings of approximately $27 million annually. Further, just to add, since the end of 2020, when Telesat repaid approximately $340 million of our term loan, our overall debt has been reduced by approximately 24%.
A reconciliation between our financial statements and financial covenant calculations is provided in the report we filed this morning. Our 6-K provides the unaudited interim condensed consolidating financial information in the MD&A. The non-guarantor subsidiaries shown are essentially the unrestricted subs with minor differences. With that, I would conclude our prepared remarks for the call. I'm very happy to answer any questions you may have. With that, now we'll turn back to the operator.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. We will now take questions from the telephone line. If you have a question and you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before making your selections. If you have a question, please press star one on your device's keypad. You may cancel your question at any time by pressing star two. Please press star one at this time if you have a question. There will be a brief pause while the participants register for questions. Thank you for your patience. The first question is from Michael Pace, from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Dan, I appreciate all the color and commentary earlier on the MDA contract and, and what you're getting out of that different from before. I guess just to be really clear here, for some of us that aren't so smart on satellite technology, you will have the same or roughly the same amount of capacity in this network than the prior network? I just want to confirm that. What are you not getting, if anything, for spending $2 billion less? I have a few other follow-ups.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah. No, thanks, Mike. No, I mean, it's as we said, this constellation, by leveraging this more advanced digital beamformer, it, it's got the same effective capacity. We, we were not going to settle on that. We've got a really good understanding, at least we think we do, of what the market needs, what our customers are looking for, the need to concentrate capacity dynamically around the Earth. We didn't trade off any of that, which is the beauty of this. We still have four ISLs, which we've always said is important in terms of our ability to dynamically route traffic around the world and have greater resiliency throughout the network, and gives us a lot more scope in terms of rolling out landing stations.
You know, I didn't even talk about it in my remarks, schedule. Haven't compromised schedule at all. You know, the good thing about working with MDA as the prime satellite contractor is that we've always been working with MDA on this program. I mean, they already had a big part of the program with the antenna that they were going to build. No, I mean, you know, look, what can I tell you? I mean, we've, we've, we've been beavering away in the background. I mean, we've been, you know, doing all sorts of things to close the business case. We, you know, and some of that we talked about real explicitly, like engaging with investors on incremental equity contributions and the like.
We also said, maybe a little more elliptically, that we were, you know, looking at other ways to optimize the constellation, the network. Ultimately, you know, we really hit pay dirt there. Anyway, yeah, no, we're, it's equally capable, and as I said in my remarks, with the digital beamformer and our CTO, Dave Wendling, is sitting with me here, too, and Dave can talk more about it. The link is better between the spacecraft and the user terminal when it's transmitted with this digital beamformer, and that, you know, is kind of above my pay grade in terms of how all that works.
Anyway, the analog antenna has to kind of squint at the user terminal at lower elevations, and the digital one doesn't, and it just, it just improves the link.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Just to be super clear here, is there anything that you're not getting? The answer, simple no works as well, too.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
It's a simple no. It's a simple no.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Okay.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
From a capability perspective, from a flexibility perspective, I mean, yeah, and if anything, I think we're gaining stuff.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Yes
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
... with, with 3x, the beams on each satellite, we've just got so much more scope to route traffic around. Look, we looked at this technology years ago. I mean, you know Telesat, we're not the most risk-embracing organization on the face of the Earth. I think we're forward-leaning, but we don't, you know, get, get overly aggressive. We took a pass on it.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Mm-hmm.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
The thermals were too high with the, I mean, there's all kinds of stuff, but in any event, I mean, MDA kept investing, and they're leveraging some of the work that they did on the analog beamformer, which is another reason why we're not taking any schedule hit. Yeah, no, it's just a home run.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Got it. Thank you for that. Then, I don't know who wants to take this one, but I'm hoping, some folks can maybe just bridge some funding gaps for me here. $3.5 billion total, $1.6 billion Telesat equity. We all can do math on how much money has moved, over there to date, but I'm wondering, can you give us that number, rough, rounded, encouraged? I'm assuming C-Band proceeds will help fund that, and then additional money moving over. I'm just wondering if you can fill that in a little bit.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Let me try to fill it in, and if there are still gaps, which is often the case after I respond to questions, then.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
You got it.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
... then, then the finance folks can do it. A couple of things, we tried to be clear about this in the release. We're fully funded for right now, 156 satellites. The deal that we've announced with MDA is for 198 satellites. The $3.5 billion is for the 198 satellites. Right now, with the cash that we have, including the cash that we've already invested in this project... Oh, I should note the C-Band proceeds-
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Yes
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
... that we're, you know, expecting to get, you know, real soon here. With the cash that we have and the C-Band proceeds that are coming, with the money that we've lined up with our Canadian federal and provincial partners, we've mentioned that we've got some vendor financing, which is, you know, not as significant as our own equity contribution or the government contributions. With all of that money, we've got enough money. We're fully funded for 156 satellites, plus we built a nontrivial amount of contingency in there because that's kind of how we roll. That gives us enough money for the 156 satellites, which gives us full global coverage and a really good, high-performing constellation. We've committed to MDA for another 42 satellites that we'll fund.
The current plan is using the existing cash flows of Lightspeed, once Lightspeed gets up and running in a few years' time. That's the plan. The math should work. The CapEx, just to be real clear here, the CapEx for the 156 satellite constellation is about $2.7 billion. The total program cost is about $3.5 billion for the 156 satellites. That's CapEx plus everything else is about $3.5 billion, plus some contingency that I mentioned. When you look at the funding, there's about, you know, $1.6 billion equity contribution from Telesat.
Just to be clear, that's cash that we've already put into the project, cash that is already available, outside of the restricted group for LEO, the C-band proceeds that are coming in, that covers all that $1.6 billion. Then the government contributions are about $2 billion, and then as I mentioned, there's some vendor financing as well. That, that's what gets us there.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Can you break up the government financing and the vendor, or give us one of those pieces?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Well, we've already-
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Is the government in Canada and Quebec, is that the same from last time, is what I'm asking? Has anything changed?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Well, I mean, if you do the math, you know, we've said that it's approximately $2 billion U.S., which at current exchange rates is about CAD 2.7 billion Canadian. Previously, what we said is that the government of Canada had, had committed to about CAD 1.44 billion of Canadian dollar contribution. Quebec, CAD 400 million of Canadian contribution. There's an incremental CAD 900 million there that we've been in advanced discussions with our government partners about. That's kind of, you know, the government piece, and we're, we're not free right now to break down exactly, you know, how much is coming from the different sources. But.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Yeah
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
... but we'll be able to talk, we'll be able to talk more about that in the future. Then the vendor financing, you know, we're subject to confidentiality obligations with, you know, our suppliers. It's some hundreds of millions of dollars, but we can't be more specific than that at this time. I will say it's not MDA. MDA is holding their call, I think, shortly after ours, and I'm sure they'll get asked. So, you know, we, we, we chose MDA because, you know, they got this great technology, and they're leaning in hard in building, in wanting to be a LEO prime, but we didn't select them because of vendor financing commitments.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Thank you. Just, just a quick and to clarity, I think I know the answer. This is still gonna be funded, built, in unrestricted subsidiaries, and then in the future, you might consider bringing everything back together. Is that still the thought?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah, nothing has changed there in terms of how and where we're funding this. We've, you know, Yeah, I mean, what, what happens in the future in terms of restricted group versus unrestricted group, you know, we're not, we're not saying anything about that. They're, you know, they, at some point in the future, it could all come back together, or we could, you know, continue to finance those activities separately. There's nothing about today's announcement that changes any of that.
Michael Pace (Managing Director of Credit Research)
Thank you.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Okay, thanks, Mike.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. The next question is from Walter Piecyk, from LightShed. Please go ahead.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Thanks. Dan, just to confirm, that incremental government piece of the puzzle is not the revenue commitments that exist, right? This is.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
No, no, no. No, you know, and I And, and I, I mean, no.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Okay.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
We've got a capacity commitment from the federal government of Canada. It's CAD 600 million over a 10-year term. We've got a separate commitment from the government of Ontario.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Ontario
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
That's CAD 109 million over a five-year term. Again, we've talked about this before, the way those things are structured, we think that, you know, the amounts are essentially gonna get doubled when we take that pool of capacity that's subject to those funding arrangements and enter into agreements here in Canada with ISPs and the like. No, the.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
But-
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Those amounts are separate.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Okay. This CAD 900 then, I, I understand, I respect that you can't really disclose it, cost-wise, obviously, is it gonna look as attractive as what we saw from the government of Canada?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
That's a great question. This approximately $2 billion of government funding, we've said it's subject to the completion of confirmatory due diligence and getting definitive agreements in place. We're, we're, we're going to need to work with the government to agree fresh terms for all of that. I, I believe it's gonna continue to be, you know, attractive financing, but we'll update everyone on that.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Okay.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
So yeah.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Fine. Just the overall numbers, it was definitely helpful to recognize that your CapEx is even lower for the initial launch and to get re-- the revenue pump going. The overall number then, in terms of what you've outlined, sources relative to the uses, it seems like you don't even need the operating cash flow to get to the, to the full, you said 198 constellation.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
No, we don't need the operating cash flow, Walter, to get to fund the, you know, $3.5 billion plus contingency for the 156, but we're gonna need roughly another $800 million to fully fund the incremental 42 satellites plus the launch vehicles.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Why is that? Why is that? You said $2.7 billion for the, for the 156, right? If I just take $1.6 billion plus $2 billion-
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
No, hold on, hold on, hold on. Hold on, wait, wait. $2.7 billion for the CapEx, about three and a-
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Oh, okay.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
About $3.5 billion-
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Gotcha
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
for the total program cost.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Understood.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
There's contingencies as well. Yeah. Yeah.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
It's a little confusing.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Yeah
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
... the total program cost for the 156 is roughly equivalent to the CapEx for the 198.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
The numbers are the same.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Yeah.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
Just coincidence.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Okay. I'm gonna ask the, the, the first, the J.P. Morgan dude's question in a different way. You know, you had these presentations that were very helpful in terms of sizing the market, you know, $365 billion TAM, and you kind of broke it down and talked about your percentages. Has anything changed in, in terms of how you look at that TAM relative to this new constellation? Does it increase the TAM? Does it decrease the TAM? I assume we're growing the size of that TAM as we hit, you know, a commercial date that might be a little bit later than what I first kind of was forecasting back in 2021. Just thoughts on that.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Our thoughts about the addressable market, the size of the market, the amount of share we can take in that market are unchanged. We deliberately have designed a constellation that allows us to do everything that we had been planning to do under the prior plan. You know, if you dissect what we've said about the addressable market in the past order of magnitude, you know, it's about $400 billion, we think, out in the, I think we said 2025 timeframe. Roughly, we've said about half of that $400 billion is kind of direct-to-consumer, which is not the market that we're focused on. We've always been real clear, we're focused on the enterprise and the government services market. That's roughly the other half of that TAM.
We've said if we get, you know, 2% of that, which we don't think is the most ambitious, you know, kind of perspective, that we'll be hitting our business plan. Our, our thinking around that-
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
But I just-
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Say it again?
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
The question is on that. Yeah, I have that. I'm glad to see the 430 is reaffirmed, as is, you know, timeline on that. I think maybe what's the, the follow on this is like, you know, you've had a delay, you have a new vendor, there's been a lot more conversation about, I guess, what people are calling direct-to-device markets, more the consumer thing. I mean, Ergen, on his SATS Dish call, was talking about S-band, although they're not financed. You know, I think you've got some Ligado spectrum. I don't know what's going on at Viasat.
Is, is there an opportunity perhaps to partner with one of these other players to get access, to some additional spectrum and modify this constellation to the extent that you can address that broader $430 billion market you identified in, for 2025?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Here's what I'd say about that. First off, the $430 billion doesn't include the direct-to-handset market, which is some of what I know Dish is focused on. These satellites right now have really been optimized, frankly, just like our prior satellite design, they're optimized to do high throughput broadband connectivity for the enterprise market. We have squeezed out every watt of power and directed it to that market, and we've, and we've sized these satellites, we've optimized them for that mission. In order to change the mission, it just wouldn't make any sense. Now, having said that, if we had access to S-band spectrum or L-band spectrum, could we leverage, you know, the bus, the processor, potentially the antennas, although the antennas might look different?
Yeah, we could potentially do something like that, but we right now, we just got to stay laser focused on this huge market that's in front of us, that we know well, that we've been serving for years, that we've been out there engaging with, you know, customers, you know, about Lightspeed for quite some time. Walter, that's our focus. Could the TAM be a little bit bigger because-
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Is there a drop-dead date when you'd have to work something out with an S-band or an L-band owner, in order to integrate it?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
We're off to the races. We're already moving forward with MDA on this. We're not, you know.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Okay.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Look, if there's some great opportunity here with some third party bringing that spectrum and some capital, then it would just be almost kind of like an adjacent network that might leverage Lightspeed in terms of routing traffic around and whatnot. You know, that. Yeah. You think about it that way.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
You know, we've talked about this before in terms of the rev commitments that, you know, when we were waiting for Telus to get and the ECA, all that stuff, that it impacted your ability to get signatures. I assume that this is gonna kind of open up that spigot. You know, how do you envision disclosure in terms of as you get incremental revenue commitments for the new constellation, individual press releases, updating on a quarterly basis? How do we get a sense-
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
-of how that, that business develops?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
All, all of that will be transparent about, the, the deals that we're signing, so that, that folks will have visibility. We understand how important that is.
Walter Piecyk (Analyst)
Awesome. Thank you.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Okay, thanks.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. The next question is from Aaron Sethi, from BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Aaron Sethi (Analyst)
Hello, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my questions. And first of all, congrats on getting the Lightspeed program reconstituted and funded. Lots of skeptics, so definitely hats off. Just wanted to, you know, nail down a couple of details on the funding, the equity side. So just to make sure I got my math right, the existing cash balance that you have right now is probably somewhere in the range of about $1.1 billion. You're getting another, you know, $260 million from the C-band proceeds. That gets you close to $1.4 billion.
Is it fair to say that you, you have another $200 million or so of additional equity that you need to contribute, either from the from the operating, you know, operating cash flows in order to get to your $1.6 billion of equity funding?
Andrew Browne (CFO)
This is Andrew Browne. I, I'll take that. I think as Dan Goldberg laid out very clearly, that we're totally funded. The CAD 1.6 billion is already there today, and that is comprised of, as you say, the cash we have, we have currently. We've got our C-band proceeds coming in CAD 345 million. Also, during the course of the program, we have been investing in the development over time, so that number includes that, that funding. Also, yeah, I think altogether, I think we're in good shape. I think the key point, we don't need any more cash to come in today for us to say we're fully funded. Any cash that comes in today is something for the future, but for today, we're fully funded.
Aaron Sethi (Analyst)
Got it. Thank you, Andrew. I noticed that you haven't laid out any future debt buyback authorizations. Is it fair to say that given you're fully funded, is it fair to say that future operating cash flow you're generating is, is still, you know, is still sort of likely to be used for debt buybacks?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
So, what would I say? Look, we've been doing a fair amount of debt repurchases, and we highlighted that in the earnings release, and we think that it's been a really smart thing to do with the cash that we have that we hadn't had a higher value use for at the time. Rather than it just build up in the restricted entity, it just made a ton of sense to us to be repurchasing that debt back because we thought, you know, it's trading at attractive values, and it was a good way to strengthen our balance sheet and create equity value for the shareholders. All I would say is, going forward, we're just gonna be pragmatic about it, as we go forward.
If that continues to be the highest value opportunity for that cash, then, then we would consider more debt repurchases, depending on, you know, where the debt's trading and the like. If we had other attractive uses for that cash, building a GEO satellite or some other, some other use, then, then, then we would consider that. Anyway, it's a long answer, but suffice to say, we feel good about the debt repurchases that we've done in the past, and going forward, we'll just be, I don't know, just kind of pragmatic about it. Andrew?
Andrew Browne (CFO)
Yeah, no, just to confirm what Dan had said, that's absolutely correct. You know, face value, we purchased CAD 456 million back, as we mentioned, and that gives a gain of CAD 222 million. We're very focused on overall debt. That's why I threw in that, you know, since coming back to the end of 2020, we've reduced our overall debt by 24%. In addition to all the activities on Lightspeed getting going is the future of the company, we're very, very focused and responsible about the debt we have today.
Aaron Sethi (Analyst)
Got it. Thank you. The last question from me. Obviously, you have a lot of work to do to finalize the agreements, et cetera. Two other topics. One is, you know, the structure of the remaining $900 million in financing, do you anticipate that to be at the Lightspeed subsidiary? Secondly, do you, you know, I guess beyond all of this, what are the other, I guess, risks or dependencies remaining beyond getting all the agreements sorted out? What keeps you up at night at this point? Thanks.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
We expect that all of the government funding will be, yes, over, you know, on the unrestricted side, LEO. That was always the plan, and it continues to be the plan. As far as what else keeps us up at night, look, we've got to close the funding with our government partners. I'm highly confident that we'll achieve that, but it's got to get done, and it's got to get timely done. We've got a ton of work to do. We're gonna be hiring a whole bunch of people and ramping up our staff. We're moving out with MDA in a big way. We're gonna be ramping up our sales and marketing team as we do more heavy engagement with the customers. I mean, it's all that.
We've got, you know, our day-to-day business that we're running, too, and never take our eye off the ball on that. Anyway, I mean, we're just so excited to be finally, you know, on our way, and we can stop talking about, you know, when are we gonna be fully funded? When can we get going? I mean, it's just so liberating, after all this time, to have the funding lined up, to have a great plan with MDA and the rest of our partners. For this point forward, it's just all about really focused execution.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
... congrats and all the best.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Okay, thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. The next question is from Raghav Garg from DoubleLine. Please go ahead.
Raghav Garg (Analyst)
Yeah, thank you for taking the question. Can you talk about the life of these satellites, given they're slightly smaller? Does that impact, you know, your sort of, duration of the constellation?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
It's a good question. No, same, same capability from a lifetime perspective, which is to say, you know, we, we expect that the satellites, you know, meet their performance specifications for effectively 11 years. Do we expect them to maybe go longer? Yeah, that, that's, you know, been our experience in the past, and I think the experience of others in the past. From a spec perspective, our contract with MDA, it's, it's absolutely comparable to the prior plan. It's 11 years.
Raghav Garg (Analyst)
Got it. Thank you. Any color on-- You've given an IRR estimate, you've given the CapEx. Can you just talk about, you know, on, on my math, assuming some duration, you know, can you throw out an EBITDA number? You've sort of given the input, so I, I get to $2 billion to $3 billion. Is that unreasonable?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
It's not unreasonable. We've tried to provide some kind of high level, you know, building blocks. We're, we're gonna quickly move past that. We mentioned that we will schedule an investor day before the end of the year. We definitely plan to be presenting at more conferences where we can, you know, meet with investors one-on-one, and, and share a whole lot more information about what the business case looks like.
Raghav Garg (Analyst)
Great. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. The next question is from Mr. Rosenberg from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
Speaker 10
Hi, thanks for taking my question. Dan, congratulations on the announcement with MDA. You know, some of my questions have already been asked here, but, I did have a couple more I was hoping to lob in here. On the math part, I mean, some of the information you gave has definitely been very helpful. One remaining question I do have, just trying to close the gap a little bit just between, I guess, uses of proceeds. I mean, the MDA announcement seems like it's a CAD 2.1 billion contract, and just trying to reconcile that with the numbers that you've specified for at least the initial 156 satellites. I mean, seems like there's a pretty big delta there. I mean, probably over and above just what a contingency would be.
I mean, so is there another significant vendor in the mix? There another kind of part of the puzzle, I guess, I'm, I'm trying to get a better understanding.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah. No, I mean, there aren't too many moving parts. It's the satellites, it's the launch vehicles, it's the global ground infrastructure, it's some upgrades that we need to make at our facilities here in order to operate, you know, this global constellation. There's some IT systems, you know, that need to get put in place. We've got some money for further user terminal development. That's kind of it. When you add it all up,... You know, we've been rigorous in terms of building up the business case. That's kind of what it comes into. Yes, as we mentioned, we do have some nontrivial contingency in the plan because that just seems to be the prudent thing to do. We hope we don't spend it.
I mean, that'd be really nice, but we budgeted for it, and our funding covers it.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
Yeah, we, we think we've been very prudent in, in, in the build-out in terms of contingencies and looking at all of the elements that is just outlined, that we've got proper funding and not just the MDA contract itself.
Speaker 10
Got it. As far as the, I guess, revised structure of terms with the Government of Canada and Quebec, I understand there's probably some moving parts there, but are you able to clarify just, I guess, the status of that relationship? I mean, I think previously you had a term sheet and an MOA in place, respectively, with the two, that had some contingencies related to the ECA financing. I guess with the ECA financing gone, I guess I'm just wondering, I mean, will, will there be some forthcoming disclosures of those, you know, documents or key structures?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah, no, absolutely. I mean, we, we will provide all the material information relating to the structure of that funding when, when it's available. I mean, that's, we've got, you know, commitments from these government partners, who I got to say have always been strongly supportive of Lightspeed. As we mentioned, you know, now, they've got to finish their confirmatory due diligence because, you know, they've already spent quite some time understanding the project, but they've got to do some confirmatory diligence around the MDA path. Then we've got to get definitive agreements in place and the like. You know, we're all very focused to getting that done in, in short order.
I guess the other thing I'd say is, the government has, and when I say the government, our government partners, federal and provincial, have always been really supportive of our program. I got to think that certainly now that MDA, which is a Canadian company with a big footprint here in Canada. Now that MDA is taking on a much greater role in the project, and, you know, it's, it's roughly 2.5 times a bigger contract for MDA, which means building out more facilities at their facility in Quebec, hiring a whole lot more people, a whole lot more IP development here in Canada. We're now, like, the anchor for MDA's new digital satellite platform, which they hope to export around the world, so driving more exports.
Just all of that. I guess the point is, if our government partners, our Canadian government partners, liked and were strongly supportive of the old path, we gotta think that with this new path, they'll be even more supportive still. I do wanna emphasize, we didn't pick MDA because they're Canadian. We picked MDA because they're a genuinely world-class prime for high volume LEO satellite constellations. It's why they won the Apple contract, you know, Apple Globalstar contract. Doesn't hurt either that they're Canadian. Anyway, that's how we think about it. We'll, we'll provide lots of clarity on that government funding once it's in place.
Speaker 10
Appreciate that. The last final question, I mean, one you've probably anticipated is the with the timeline of an operational LEO project in 2027 relative to your debt maturities back in 2026, just curious if you've given any thought to potential, you know, structural changes that you might put in place, you know, prior to that, to kind of capitalize on, you know, growing backlog on the LEO side, as far as refinancing?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Well, I mean, I guess I'd say that the schedule that we announced today, it's, it's fully consistent with the schedule that, that, you know, we had under the prior plan. There's nothing new about the timing of, of, you know, our plans with MDA that, that really alter any of that. We're, we're, you know, fully cognizant of kind of, you know, the maturities. It's still some years out there, obviously, in terms of when these maturities are coming up, and I think we've been making it easier still with all these debt repurchases that, that we've been doing. Anyway, I mean, our expectation is we've got some time. Our Lightspeed business certainly is going to develop. Our GEO business will continue to evolve as well. The whole landscape is continuing to evolve.
In any event, I mean, we'll, we'll speak more about that going forward. There's certainly nothing that we announced today that alters in any way our thinking about it. Certainly, I think we already had a really strong business case with Lightspeed. The updated business case, that's so much more capital efficient, it's only gonna strengthen, you know, the overall company, and that, that just, I think, puts us in a better place going forward, you know, no matter what lens you're thinking about the business.
Speaker 10
Appreciate that. Thanks again.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Okay, thanks.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. The next question is from Marcello Chermisqui, from Ares. Please go ahead.
Marcello Chermisqui (Analyst)
Hey, guys. Congrats on the, on fully funded now. I had a question, Dan, maybe just to parse some of the language you gave on debt buybacks from a prior caller. You said that if it continues to be the highest value opportunity for cash, but there may be other attractive uses of that cash that you would consider. What other alternative uses of the cash would you consider at the GEO business?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
No, I mean, it's just to say that, look, I mean, it's all about strengthening the business, like how we always think about the use of cash. It's all about strengthening the business, creating value for shareholders, and providing, you know, great service to our customers. So we've, we're always looking for ways to grow our business in a way that is, I hope, smart and prudent. It turns out to be the case that we haven't ordered a GEO satellite in quite some time. I think we've always been very disciplined in terms of how we think about CapEx and the use of cash, and how we run our business with our high operating margins and whatnot.
We don't foreclose the opportunity that in the future there could be a good opportunity to make some investments in the restricted group. That could be a new GEO satellite. I don't know, it could be something else that would strengthen the business and meet all those objectives that, that I, that I just talked about. To date, you know, nothing has, has come across our plate, which is why we've used the cash to repurchase debt. We just wanna be clear that that's something we can do, but we don't wanna mislead folks, that that's all we're gonna do with the cash. We're gonna be open-minded and opportunistic. That's all we were trying to say.
Marcello Chermisqui (Analyst)
That makes sense. With respect to the 42 satellites that are not part of the 156, you said that comes out of operating cash. At what point will you have the operating cash to, to finance those, is that in five years when you're fully run rated, or, or is it longer than?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah, Andrew, do you wanna talk about the timing of our assumptions here?
Andrew Browne (CFO)
Yeah, indeed. You, you answered the question yourself, actually. That indeed, when we're fully global coverage and we're actually Lightspeed is off with customers, we will be generating cash flows, and that's on our model show that being pretty conservative, that we will be able to fund that from our cash coming from Lightspeed itself. That's why we don't feel we need any external financing whatsoever right now.
Marcello Chermisqui (Analyst)
Understood. Then the, the 100 option, I guess, what is the timing around that? What, and what would you look for before exercising that option?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Yeah, well, listen, I mean, we've built in a lot of capabilities to scale up our network over time. It'll be totally demand driven. You know, we think it's a really smart thing to have the rights there in the MDA contract to order additional satellites, if, if, if we've got the business case to do it. We don't have to. We've also built, you know, into our regulatory rights, the ability to scale up our constellation. This is all about future optionality to continue to grow the constellation, but that'll purely be a function of, of what the, the, the demand environment looks like at the time.
With 156 satellites and then 198 satellites, we have a massively capable network that can deliver multiple terabits of capacity to users. Our focus right now is, you know, getting that taken up, and then, then we'll think about ordering incremental satellites and expanding.
Marcello Chermisqui (Analyst)
Lastly, I know, I know you're still negotiating the, I guess, the financing with the government, but in terms of the split between, I guess, debt and preferred, is that, is that still similar? Do you think that there might be more warrants that they might take in the, in the rest of the business?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
It's something that we, we really need to work through with our government partners. We think everyone here is, you know, around the table, we're, you know, we're all constructive. We know each other well. They've been strong supporters of the project. We, I think, always tried to be good custodians of the capital that's entrusted with us. We've, we've got to work through all those details with the government, and then we'll share all that with the market.
Marcello Chermisqui (Analyst)
Great. Thank you so much for taking the questions.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Thank you. I think we've got time for maybe one more question.
Operator (participant)
Perfect. Thank you. The next question is from Bill Wise, Investcorp. Please go ahead.
Bill Wise (Analyst)
Thanks very much, and congratulations on the announcement today. Just, most of my questions have been answered, but is there any update on or any, any more thoughts you have on the impact of the DISH EchoStar merger on, on Telesat's business and DISH renewals going forward?
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
I, I think it has no impact on the, the work that we do with DISH and, and with EchoStar. We, we've obviously followed that situation closely. I think we have a really good relationship with DISH, with EchoStar. No, we don't think that, that combination changes in any way the work that we do with them.
Bill Wise (Analyst)
That's it. Thank you.
Dan Goldberg (President and CEO)
Okay. Well, thank you. Listen, thank you all for your time today. We look forward to speaking with you again when we issue our Q3 numbers, and we really appreciate everyone's time and, and all the good wishes. Thank you very much.
Andrew Browne (CFO)
Thank you very much.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.