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TC

TerrAscend Corp. (TSNDF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 net revenue was $74.4M (+0.3% QoQ) and gross margin expanded 140 bps to 50.2%; Adjusted EBITDA rose to $15.1M (20.3% margin), marking the tenth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and sixth of positive free cash flow .
  • GAAP net loss widened to $30.2M due to a non‑cash impairment of $45.4M in Michigan; excluding this, Adjusted EBITDA improved QoQ, reflecting gross margin expansion and lower G&A .
  • Management guided Q1 2025 revenue down low-to-mid single digits (seasonality), gross margin ~50%, and FY2025 CapEx ~$10M; they also expect ≥$10M OpEx reductions in 2025 and plan to accelerate the $10M buyback post‑blackout, with debt maturities extended to late 2028 .
  • Growth catalysts: New Jersey leadership with potential acquisition of up to 7 social‑equity stores, Maryland capacity expansion with wholesale momentum, and optionality from Pennsylvania adult‑use prospects; disciplined M&A in Ohio at lower multiples is expected to add scale .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Maintained #1 market share in New Jersey every quarter of 2024, with top‑3 brand positions across categories and all three Apothecarium stores ranked top‑10 by units sold in Q4 .
  • Maryland delivered sequential revenue growth in all four quarters of 2024 and expanded gross margin from ~25% (2023 exit) to over 50% in Q4; wholesale and retail both grew sequentially in Q4 (+18% and +7%, respectively) .
  • Operating discipline: G&A fell $3.6M QoQ in Q4 (SBC down $2.3M; $1.3M OpEx cuts), with late‑2024 ERP implementation enabling ≥$10M OpEx reduction in 2025; adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.3% .

Quote: “The business performed ahead of our expectations in the fourth quarter… achieving our tenth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and sixth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow” — Jason Wild, Executive Chairman .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net loss widened to $30.2M in Q4 due to a $45.4M non‑cash impairment in Michigan, highlighting lingering market and asset challenges in that state .
  • Full‑year net revenue declined 3.3% YoY to $306.7M and gross margin fell to 48.9% (from 50.3%), reflecting price compression in New Jersey and Pennsylvania and retail competition in New Jersey .
  • Q3-to-Q4 retail softness remained, with CFO noting retail revenue down 2.5% sequentially in Q4; wholesale was +6.1% sequentially, but overall mix shifts can pressure margins and earnings if retail declines persist .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)$77.5 $74.2 $74.4
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$37.7 $36.2 $37.3
Gross Profit Margin %48.6% 48.8% 50.2%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$15.6 $13.7 $15.1
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %20.2% 18.5% 20.3%
GAAP Net Loss – Continuing Ops ($USD Millions)$(6.2) $(21.4) $(30.2)
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$13.1 $1.8 $9.7
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$11.7 $1.5 $5.0
G&A ($USD Millions)$24.1 $31.6 $28.0
EPS – Basic & Diluted ($USD)$(0.03) $(0.08) N/A (not disclosed for Q4 in press release)

Notes:

  • Q4 GAAP net loss includes a non‑cash impairment of $45.4M, primarily Michigan .
  • Q4 sequential dynamics: retail revenue down 2.5% QoQ; wholesale up 6.1% QoQ .
  • Estimates comparison: S&P Global Wall Street consensus was unavailable at the time of analysis; therefore, beat/miss vs estimates cannot be determined.

Segment/KPI Highlights:

KPIDetail
New Jersey Market ShareMaintained #1 market share all quarters of 2024; brands ranked top‑3 across categories; all three Apothecarium retail locations were top‑10 by Q4 units sold .
Maryland Run Rate~$70M revenue run rate exiting Q4; wholesale +18% QoQ and retail +7% QoQ in Q4; gross margin >50% .
Cash & Equivalents$27.0M at 12/31/2024 (incl. $0.6M restricted) .
Owned Real EstateApprox. $150M of owned real estate; no sale‑leasebacks .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ1 2025None specificDown low-to-mid single digits (seasonality) Lower
Gross Margin %Q1 202548–50% range (prior commentary) ~50% Maintained
G&A/OpExFY 2025Target ~30% SG&A excl. SBC (ongoing) ≥$10M reduction in operating expenses in 2025 Lower
CapExFY 2025Not specified~$10M, focused on Northeast growth/margins New
Share RepurchaseThrough Aug 2025Up to $10M authorized (from Aug 2024) Plan to “aggressively” implement post‑blackout Accelerate
Debt Maturities2028Refinanced $140M, maturities extended Vast majority extended to late 2028; no warrants/prepay penalties Maintained/Confirmed

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
New Jersey leadership & expansion#1 market share; Boonton expansion decision; retail pressured by new doors; innovation/new SKUs Maintained #1; share repurchase authorized; continued wholesale growth expected #1 share confirmed; potential to acquire up to 7 social‑equity stores; broader portfolio/edibles expansion Positive momentum
Maryland scalingCapacity expansion; strong retail footprint; wholesale doubling YoY Wholesale +26% QoQ; margin ~50% Wholesale +18% QoQ and retail +7% QoQ; add 4 more grow rooms (harvest in Q2 2025) Positive momentum
Pennsylvania adult‑use optionalityExpect adult use in 2025; large cultivation ready; doubling wholesale YoY Healthy PA; wholesale/retail stable Governor budget includes adult use; equal to all other state capacity combined; no additional CapEx needed; plans to turn on rooms as timing clarifies Building optionality
Ohio M&AAim for Tier‑1 licenses; early entry Signed definitive agreement to enter Ohio via dispensary Discipline on valuations; expect acquisitions at lower multiples; one deal closing soon pending approval Disciplined/Active
ERP/Operational efficiencyERP implementation complete; SG&A leverage ERP benefits highlighted ERP as differentiator; ≥$10M OpEx reduction expected in 2025 Efficiency improving
Capital structure & liquidity$140M term loan; maturities late 2028; working capital improved; going‑concern removed Loan closed; share repurchase program Reiterated debt terms; buyback to accelerate post‑blackout Stable/Shareholder‑friendly
Regulatory/legalDEA rescheduling supportive; Boies lawsuit progressing DEA hearing noted Monitoring Boies case; PA adult‑use momentum; federal legal risks reiterated Constructive in PA; cautious federally

Management Commentary

  • “For 2024, we generated $307 million in revenue, $61 million in Adjusted EBITDA… $38 million in positive operating cash flow, and $29 million in free cash flow… achieving our tenth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and sixth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.” — Jason Wild .
  • “Looking ahead into the first quarter of 2025, we expect revenue to be down low to mid‑single digits due to seasonality, gross margin to remain around 50% and further G&A expense reduction… we expect CapEx spending for 2025 to be approximately $10 million.” — Keith Stauffer .
  • “We believe that TerrAscend's targeted approach has put us in a differentiated position to invest in the best geographies and assets at attractive valuations… We expect to close on [Ohio] transaction in the coming weeks.” — Jason Wild .
  • “We have increased our [Maryland] market share position from #13… to #6… we are now just 1.9 points away from #2… expanding cultivation capacity by an additional 50% by investing in four additional grow rooms.” — Ziad Ghanem .

Q&A Highlights

  • M&A valuations and pace: Private valuations have reset lower (esp. Ohio); TerrAscend will be disciplined and favors structures with seller notes/earn‑outs; expects multiple attractive opportunities in NJ and OH .
  • Maryland competitive impact: New store openings likely benefit TerrAscend wholesale given many are non‑vertical/social‑equity operators; retail footprint is diversified geographically .
  • New Jersey verticality vs wholesale: Capacity expansion in Boonton supports both wholesale growth and increased verticality as acquisitions close; management will optimize mix dynamically .
  • Pennsylvania retail M&A: Dispensary pricing still high due to lack of license caps; company prefers medical multiples ahead of adult‑use clarity; wholesale optionality is significant and capacity already built .
  • Buyback: Management believes equity is undervalued vs real estate value and intends to implement buyback aggressively after blackout .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, target price, recommendation) were unavailable at time of analysis due to access limitations. As a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street for Q4 2024 or provide consensus trajectories. If you’d like, we can re‑query later and update the recap once access is restored.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin resilience and cash generation: Gross margin expanded to 50.2% and Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.3%, with continued positive operating/free cash flow—supporting deleveraging and buybacks even amid retail headwinds .
  • Non‑cash impairment masks operating progress: The $45.4M impairment in Michigan drove GAAP loss; underlying margin expansion and cost cuts signal improving core profitability into 2025 .
  • New Jersey remains the anchor: #1 market share across categories and potential to add up to seven social‑equity stores could lift verticality, margins, and cash flow—expect incremental capacity to support growth .
  • Maryland momentum: Wholesale and retail both growing; capacity additions (four rooms) should sustain margin >50% and push share toward top‑2 in 2025 .
  • Pennsylvania optionality: Adult‑use legislation is a major upside catalyst; existing capacity equals combined output of other states and requires no additional CapEx .
  • Disciplined Ohio entry: Lower multiples and earn‑outs expected; integration synergies leveraging Michigan SG&A can improve Midwest profitability .
  • Near‑term trading set‑ups: Watch for buyback resumption post‑blackout, Ohio deal close, NJ retail M&A announcements, and PA bill progress—each is a potential stock‑moving catalyst .