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Travere Therapeutics, Inc. (TVTX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $81.73M, a clear beat versus Wall Street consensus of $76.86M; non-GAAP EPS of $(0.19) beat consensus $(0.39), while GAAP EPS was $(0.47). Strength was driven by FILSPARI net sales and license/collaboration revenue from CSL Vifor’s EU launch . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- FILSPARI U.S. net product sales reached $55.9M, up 13% sequentially and 182% year-over-year; 703 new patient start forms (PSFs) sustained demand following full approval and broadened label .
- EU and UK converted FILSPARI to full approval in April, triggering an expected $17.5M milestone payment in Q2 and strengthening ex-U.S. access via CSL Vifor .
- Management highlighted higher 2025 gross-to-net (low 20s, stickier due to Part D redesign) but reiterated demand durability, payer access improvements, and maintained confidence in growth trajectory .
- Regulatory catalyst: FSGS sNDA submitted in March with expected FDA acceptance notice in May; potential priority review and launch as early as September if approved .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- FILSPARI commercial momentum: $55.9M net sales, +13% q/q; “March being our strongest month since launch” with April continuing the trend .
- Demand broadening and earlier intervention: 703 PSFs; physicians targeting lower proteinuria consistent with KDIGO draft; “nephrologists…prescribing FILSPARI earlier…to lower targeted proteinuria thresholds” .
- Ex-U.S. approvals enabling milestones and access: EU and UK conversions to standard approvals; “expect to receive a $17.5 million milestone…in Q2 2025” .
Specific quotes:
- “Net sales of FILSPARI grew 182% year-over-year and 13% versus the prior quarter” .
- “Our latest market research shows that approximately 75% of nephrologists are now targeting proteinuria below 0.5 g/g” .
- “We expect to receive a $17.5 million milestone payment from CSL Vifor…in the second quarter” .
What Went Wrong
- Continued losses despite revenue growth: GAAP net loss $(41.23)M; GAAP EPS $(0.47), reflecting higher SG&A investment post full approval .
- Gross-to-net headwinds: 2025 GtN guided to low 20s versus mid-to-high teens last year; stickier impact from Part D redesign throughout the year .
- Tiopronin pressure: management “anticipate more generic competition…in the coming quarters,” implying incremental headwinds within legacy products .
Financial Results
Consolidated Revenue and EPS (GAAP and non-GAAP)
Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global) – Q3 2024 to Q1 2025
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Margin Trends
Segment and Revenue Mix – Q1 2025
Commercial KPIs – Q1 2025
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “FILSPARI remains uniquely positioned as the only fully approved non-immunosuppressive kidney-targeted therapy that has shown superiority over the historical standard of care” (Eric Dube) .
- “Treatment with FILSPARI resulted in approximately 70% proteinuria reduction…nearly 60% achieved complete remission” (Jula Inrig, SPARTAN data) .
- “We received 703 new patient start forms in the first quarter…March being our strongest month since launch, and demand in April continued this trend” (Peter Heerma) .
- “Gross to nets…in the low 20s…with Part D redesign…stickier than last year” (Chris Cline) .
Q&A Highlights
- FSGS sNDA review: Interactions consistent with IgAN; FDA feedback supportive of proteinuria as approval endpoint; potential indication to include ages 8+ across FSGS subtypes (primary, genetic) .
- Competitive landscape: Early atrasentan launch did not dent April demand; FILSPARI’s long-term kidney preservation and convenience underpin prescriber confidence .
- GTN and payer dynamics: Highest discounts in Q1; more even across the year; payer criteria easing post full approval with removal of proteinuria thresholds in multiple plans .
- PSF cadence sustainability: Chronic treatment, strong compliance/persistence supports revenue durability; PSFs sourcing increasingly from patients below 1.5 g/g .
- FSGS launch readiness: Overlap with IgAN prescribers >80%; pricing value justified by dose and unmet need; expectation of rapid uptake if approved .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 delivered a revenue and EPS beat: Revenue $81.73M vs $76.86M consensus; Primary EPS $(0.19) vs $(0.39) consensus, reflecting stronger demand and license/collaboration revenue from CSL Vifor’s EU launch . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- With GTN a headwind, estimate models may need to raise FILSPARI quarterly sales run-rate assumptions and incorporate EU milestone timing in Q2, offsetting GTN impacts .
Q1 2025 Actual vs Consensus Detail
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- FILSPARI’s U.S. growth is accelerating post full approval; sequential momentum and PSF strength suggest durable trend even amid new competitive entries—supporting near-term revenue upside .
- Near-term catalysts: EU/UK approvals monetized via $17.5M Q2 milestone; FSGS sNDA acceptance in May; potential priority review with launch as early as September—material stock catalysts .
- Estimate revisions likely higher for FILSPARI sales and lower for normalized EPS given operating leverage and milestone contribution, despite GTN running in the low 20s .
- Risk management: GTN and generic Tiopronin pressure persist; monitor payer criteria changes and competitive detailing as atrasentan uptake evolves .
- Strategic positioning: Dual pathway inhibition, long-term kidney preservation, and broadened IgAN label reinforce FILSPARI as foundational therapy—creating a defensible moat versus single-pathway competitors .
- Ex-U.S. optionality: CSL Vifor ramp in Europe plus Renalys Japan Phase 3 data in 2H 2025 extend the global opportunity; milestone and OUS sales provide incremental buffers .
- Trading lens: Into Q2, watch for milestone receipt, continued PSF momentum, and any FSGS review updates; a positive FDA acceptance and priority review designation could re-rate the name on potential first-to-market FSGS approval .