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Thoughtworks Holding, Inc. (TWKS)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue of $251.7M declined 12.4% YoY but was flat QoQ, landing inside prior guidance; margins deteriorated sharply with Adjusted EBITDA margin at 2.3% and GAAP diluted EPS at $(0.11), driven by pricing pressure from offshore mix, FX losses, and restructuring costs .
  • Significant misses versus Q1 guidance: Adjusted EBITDA margin (actual 2.3% vs guided 5.5%–7.5%) and Adjusted diluted EPS (actual $(0.03) vs guided $(0.01)–$0.01); management cited lower bill rates from offshore delivery, macro caution, and FX as primary drivers .
  • Thoughtworks entered an agreement to be taken private by Apax-affiliated funds at $4.40 per share; earnings call was canceled given the transaction; restructuring savings target was raised to $185–$210M with additional headcount reductions (6%–7%) .
  • Near-term stock catalyst is merger arbitrage to $4.40 offer; fundamentals reflect stabilizing top-line but continued margin and FX headwinds during accelerated restructuring .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue stabilized QoQ ($251.7M vs $248.6M), within the prior Q2 guidance range ($250–$255M), despite macro caution .
  • Operating cost actions advanced: YTD cost savings achieved rose to $108M and program widened to $185–$210M of annualized savings; wage-related restructuring execution ongoing .
  • Segment/geography resilience: APAC and Germany contributions held up (APAC $89.1M; Germany $33.3M), supporting diversified revenue base .

Management quote (Q1 call): “We expect adjusted EBITDA margin…to expand throughout 2024 as we focus on supply side efficiency, including utilization and the continued mix shift to offshore delivery.” .

What Went Wrong

  • Margins compressed: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 2.3% (from 10.2% YoY; 2.7% in Q1), missing guidance; GAAP net loss margin widened to (14.5%) due to lower revenue, FX losses, and restructuring charges .
  • Pricing pressure persisted: high single-digit like-for-like pricing declines and shift to offshore lowered average bill rates; utilization below targets, notably onshore .
  • FX headwinds and restructuring burden: net realized/unrealized FX loss of $(5.9)M in Q2 and $(16.3)M YTD; $7.2M restructuring in Q2 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$252.4 $248.6 $251.7
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.07) $(0.10) $(0.11)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)5.5% 2.7% 2.3%
Net Loss Margin (%)(8.9%) (12.4%) (14.5%)

Segment breakdown (Q2 2024 vs Q2 2023 revenue):

Vertical ($USD Thousands)Q2 2023Q2 2024
Technology & Business Services$69,695 $64,120
Energy, Public & Health Services$75,313 $63,530
Retail & Consumer$44,485 $42,687
Financial Services & Insurance$52,778 $36,928
Automotive, Travel & Transportation$44,944 $44,406
Total$287,215 $251,671

Geography breakdown (Q2 2024):

Region ($USD Thousands)Q2 2024
North America$88,255
APAC$89,095
Europe$63,054
LATAM$11,267
Total$251,671

KPIs:

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024
# Clients (TTM, >$25K spend)502
Clients with TTM revenue >$10M27 27
Net Dollar Retention (TTM)85%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (from Q1)Current GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q2 2024$250–$255 Not updated (call canceled)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)Q2 20245.5%–7.5% Not updated
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)Q2 2024$(0.01)–$0.01 Not updated
Full-year Revenue ($B)FY 2024$0.995–$1.020 Not updated
Full-year Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)FY 20248%–10% Not updated
Restructuring Savings (Annualized)Program$100–$115M (raised May 7) $185–$210M (raised Aug 2) Raised

Actual vs Q2 guidance:

MetricGuidanceActual
Revenue ($M)$250–$255 $251.7
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)5.5%–7.5% 2.3%
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$(0.01)–$0.01 $(0.03)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023, Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
AI/technology initiativesOver 50 GenAI projects; expanding AI-first delivery, data platforms; talent ramp (3,200 trained) No call; continued emphasis in filings on service mix and modernization Steady interest; monetization still early
Macro/pricingYear-end renegotiations drove high single-digit like-for-like pricing declines; longer sales cycles, smaller deals Pricing pressure persisted; offshore mix lowered bill rates; macro remained cautious Ongoing pressure
Go-to-market (verticalization, partners)Vertical focus improved new logos; partner pipeline doubled No call; diversified regional revenue maintained Structural — continued
Utilization & offshore mixOnshore utilization below target; shift to offshore improving utilization but lowering average rates Utilization still below plan; margins impacted Improving gradually
Restructuring & savings$81M annualized savings by Q4; raised to $100–$115M (May 7) Raised to $185–$210M; more charges; 6%–7% headcount impact Accelerating
FXMinor in prior quartersFX loss $(5.9)M Q2; $(16.3)M YTD Worsened

Management Commentary

  • “We expect our average price to start stabilizing in 2024 as most of our contract portfolios have turned over to reflect the new pricing environment.” (Q4 2023 prepared remarks) .
  • “We are seeing stability among our client base… For the second quarter of 2024, we expect revenues…$250–$255 million…adjusted EBITDA margin…5.5% to 7.5%.” (Q1 2024 guidance) .
  • “We have identified further savings opportunities…targeted range of total cost savings to $100–$115 million.” (Q1 press release) .
  • “Board approved a second increase…total restructuring program savings of $185–$210 million.” (Q2 press release) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pricing/Offshore mix: Management acknowledged “high single-digit” like-for-like pricing declines; offshore mix lowers average bill rates while boosting utilization .
  • Margin trajectory: Confidence in back-half margin improvement driven by utilization gains and cost control, though Q2 result missed near-term targets .
  • Vertical GTM: Vertical focus improving relevance and win rates in Energy/Public/Health, Auto, and Financial Services .
  • AI commercialization: Majority of work remains PoC and readiness; fine-tuning and proprietary LLM projects starting but still limited at scale .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2024 were unavailable for TWKS via our data interface; as a result, formal comparisons to Wall Street consensus are omitted. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to a mapping issue (GetEstimates error). We instead benchmark actuals versus company-issued guidance .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue stability but margin stress: Flat QoQ revenue with sharp EBITDA margin miss underscores pricing/FX/restructuring drag; watch utilization recovery and pricing stabilization to lift margins in H2 .
  • Restructuring acceleration: Savings target raised to $185–$210M with 6%–7% headcount impact; near-term charges and disruption likely, medium-term margin optionality increases .
  • Deal catalyst dominates: Go-private at $4.40 per share shifts near-term focus to merger timing and approvals; earnings call cancellation reduces near-term disclosure cadence .
  • Segment/geography diversification: APAC and Germany steady; Automotive/Travel resilient; Financial Services and Energy/Public/Health softer YoY, suggesting portfolio mix shifts .
  • FX risk: Elevated realized/unrealized FX losses weighed on results; hedging/operational currency alignment could be incremental levers .
  • Guidance vs actual: Revenue aligned with guidance, but profitability metrics missed materially — expect continued margin rebuild via utilization and cost actions .
  • Trading implication: Near term anchored by merger spread; fundamental upside contingent on post-restructuring margin normalization and AI/DAMO monetization scaling .

Sources

  • Q2 2024 8-K and press releases (Exhibits 99.1, 99.2): revenue, restructuring updates, merger details, call cancellation .
  • Q2 2024 10‑Q: consolidated financials, segment/geography, FX impact, KPIs .
  • Q1 2024 8-K and press release: quarter results, updated guidance .
  • Q1 2024 earnings call transcript: pricing/offshore mix, vertical GTM, AI initiatives, margin trajectory .
  • Q4 2023 8-K and transcript: baseline KPIs, prior guidance context .