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Thoughtworks Holding, Inc. (TWKS)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue of $251.7M declined 12.4% YoY but was flat QoQ, landing inside prior guidance; margins deteriorated sharply with Adjusted EBITDA margin at 2.3% and GAAP diluted EPS at $(0.11), driven by pricing pressure from offshore mix, FX losses, and restructuring costs .
- Significant misses versus Q1 guidance: Adjusted EBITDA margin (actual 2.3% vs guided 5.5%–7.5%) and Adjusted diluted EPS (actual $(0.03) vs guided $(0.01)–$0.01); management cited lower bill rates from offshore delivery, macro caution, and FX as primary drivers .
- Thoughtworks entered an agreement to be taken private by Apax-affiliated funds at $4.40 per share; earnings call was canceled given the transaction; restructuring savings target was raised to $185–$210M with additional headcount reductions (6%–7%) .
- Near-term stock catalyst is merger arbitrage to $4.40 offer; fundamentals reflect stabilizing top-line but continued margin and FX headwinds during accelerated restructuring .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Revenue stabilized QoQ ($251.7M vs $248.6M), within the prior Q2 guidance range ($250–$255M), despite macro caution .
- Operating cost actions advanced: YTD cost savings achieved rose to $108M and program widened to $185–$210M of annualized savings; wage-related restructuring execution ongoing .
- Segment/geography resilience: APAC and Germany contributions held up (APAC $89.1M; Germany $33.3M), supporting diversified revenue base .
Management quote (Q1 call): “We expect adjusted EBITDA margin…to expand throughout 2024 as we focus on supply side efficiency, including utilization and the continued mix shift to offshore delivery.” .
What Went Wrong
- Margins compressed: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 2.3% (from 10.2% YoY; 2.7% in Q1), missing guidance; GAAP net loss margin widened to (14.5%) due to lower revenue, FX losses, and restructuring charges .
- Pricing pressure persisted: high single-digit like-for-like pricing declines and shift to offshore lowered average bill rates; utilization below targets, notably onshore .
- FX headwinds and restructuring burden: net realized/unrealized FX loss of $(5.9)M in Q2 and $(16.3)M YTD; $7.2M restructuring in Q2 .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Q2 2024 vs Q2 2023 revenue):
Geography breakdown (Q2 2024):
KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Actual vs Q2 guidance:
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We expect our average price to start stabilizing in 2024 as most of our contract portfolios have turned over to reflect the new pricing environment.” (Q4 2023 prepared remarks) .
- “We are seeing stability among our client base… For the second quarter of 2024, we expect revenues…$250–$255 million…adjusted EBITDA margin…5.5% to 7.5%.” (Q1 2024 guidance) .
- “We have identified further savings opportunities…targeted range of total cost savings to $100–$115 million.” (Q1 press release) .
- “Board approved a second increase…total restructuring program savings of $185–$210 million.” (Q2 press release) .
Q&A Highlights
- Pricing/Offshore mix: Management acknowledged “high single-digit” like-for-like pricing declines; offshore mix lowers average bill rates while boosting utilization .
- Margin trajectory: Confidence in back-half margin improvement driven by utilization gains and cost control, though Q2 result missed near-term targets .
- Vertical GTM: Vertical focus improving relevance and win rates in Energy/Public/Health, Auto, and Financial Services .
- AI commercialization: Majority of work remains PoC and readiness; fine-tuning and proprietary LLM projects starting but still limited at scale .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2024 were unavailable for TWKS via our data interface; as a result, formal comparisons to Wall Street consensus are omitted. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to a mapping issue (GetEstimates error). We instead benchmark actuals versus company-issued guidance .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue stability but margin stress: Flat QoQ revenue with sharp EBITDA margin miss underscores pricing/FX/restructuring drag; watch utilization recovery and pricing stabilization to lift margins in H2 .
- Restructuring acceleration: Savings target raised to $185–$210M with 6%–7% headcount impact; near-term charges and disruption likely, medium-term margin optionality increases .
- Deal catalyst dominates: Go-private at $4.40 per share shifts near-term focus to merger timing and approvals; earnings call cancellation reduces near-term disclosure cadence .
- Segment/geography diversification: APAC and Germany steady; Automotive/Travel resilient; Financial Services and Energy/Public/Health softer YoY, suggesting portfolio mix shifts .
- FX risk: Elevated realized/unrealized FX losses weighed on results; hedging/operational currency alignment could be incremental levers .
- Guidance vs actual: Revenue aligned with guidance, but profitability metrics missed materially — expect continued margin rebuild via utilization and cost actions .
- Trading implication: Near term anchored by merger spread; fundamental upside contingent on post-restructuring margin normalization and AI/DAMO monetization scaling .
Sources
- Q2 2024 8-K and press releases (Exhibits 99.1, 99.2): revenue, restructuring updates, merger details, call cancellation .
- Q2 2024 10‑Q: consolidated financials, segment/geography, FX impact, KPIs .
- Q1 2024 8-K and press release: quarter results, updated guidance .
- Q1 2024 earnings call transcript: pricing/offshore mix, vertical GTM, AI initiatives, margin trajectory .
- Q4 2023 8-K and transcript: baseline KPIs, prior guidance context .