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AA

AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY2025 delivered materially improved unit economics: gross margin expanded to 58.5% (from 50.2% YoY) on lower operating expenses (-27.9%), but total revenue declined 6% YoY to $3.65M due to sensor seasonality and SaaS wind-down .
  • Bottom line was driven by a non‑cash $7.78M gain from revaluing warrant liabilities; net income was $7.06M, while core operations still posted a $1.00M operating loss .
  • Mix shifted decisively toward drones: drone revenue nearly doubled (+98% YoY) to $2.23M, offsetting weaker sensors in the quarter .
  • Liquidity improved modestly (cash $3.78M), but the company remains under going‑concern uncertainty; a funding agreement with Alpha provides potential quarterly financing, and the convertible note was in default as of 3/31/25 with $0.56M outstanding principal .
  • No formal numerical guidance or earnings call; management emphasized “streamlining operations” and prioritizing higher‑margin products as the strategic path forward .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Gross margin expansion and cost discipline: gross margin rose to 58.5% and operating expenses fell 27.9% YoY to $3.14M .
    • Strong drone momentum: drone revenue grew 98.4% YoY to $2.23M as the mix shifted to higher‑margin products .
    • Management focus and tone: “streamline operations, sharpen our commercial focus, and prioritize higher-margin product lines” with “reduced cash burn” and a “healthier… foundation” (CEO Bill Irby) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top‑line softness: total revenue declined 6% YoY to $3.65M on sensor seasonality and strategic SaaS reduction .
    • Core profitability: operating loss was still $1.00M despite improvement; net income was largely non‑cash warrant valuation gains .
    • Balance sheet risk: going‑concern doubt persists; the Alpha convertible note was in default at quarter‑end and ongoing financing needs remain .

Financial Results

Headline P&L vs recent quarters (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($)$3,284,984 $2,820,808 (computed from FY $13,392,777 − 9M $10,571,969 )$3,649,410
Operating Expenses ($)$3,495,427 N/A$3,136,363
Operating Income (Loss) ($)$(1,861,160) N/A$(1,002,545)
Net Income (Loss) ($)$(3,459,754) N/A$7,060,039
Diluted EPS ($)$(16.03) N/A$(0.09)

YoY and sequential drivers (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024; and vs Q4 2024)

  • Revenue: $3.65M vs $3.89M YoY (−6%) on sensor seasonality/SaaS exit; sequentially above Q4’s $2.82M .
  • Opex: $3.14M vs $4.35M YoY (−27.9%), reflecting “disciplined cost reductions” .
  • Net income: $7.06M vs $(6.32)M YoY, primarily due to $7.78M non‑cash warrant revaluation gain .

Margins (YoY view)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Gross Margin %50.2% 58.5%

EPS detail (Q1 2025)

  • Basic EPS: $0.51; Diluted EPS: $(0.09) reflecting anti‑dilutive impact of securities and the warrant liability revaluation .

Segment revenue mix (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)

SegmentQ1 2024 ($)Q1 2025 ($)
Drones$1,146,612 $2,233,409
Sensors$2,633,540 $1,416,001
SaaS$114,295 $0
Total$3,894,447 $3,649,410

Geographic revenue mix (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)

RegionQ1 2024 ($)Q1 2025 ($)
North America$1,481,439 $800,031
Latin America$357,457 $374,624
EMEA$1,692,569 $2,234,738
Asia Pacific$337,341 $187,224
Other$25,641 $52,793
Total$3,894,447 $3,649,410

Cash and liquidity

  • Cash: $3.78M; Operating cash flow: $(1.29)M; Working capital: $5.38M .
  • Convertible note: $0.56M outstanding principal at 3/31/25; note in default; Alpha funding agreement provides potential quarterly financing for 12 months (amounts/timing subject to agreement) .

KPIs and notable items

  • Drone sales revenue +98.4% YoY to $2.23M .
  • Non‑cash warrant liability fair‑value gain: $7.78M (warrant liability fell to $8.62M from $16.40M) .
  • Cash burn improved YoY; OpEx down 27.9% YoY .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Company guidanceFY2025N/ANo formal numerical guidance provided; qualitative focus on higher‑margin products, innovation, market expansionMaintained qualitative only

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(No Q1’25 earnings call transcript located.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)FY 2024 Update (Mar 31, 2025)Q1 2025Trend
Cost actions/OpExOpex down vs 2023; focus on integration and reduced consulting FY24 OpEx reduced by $6.8M YoY OpEx −27.9% YoY; operating loss improved Improving
Product mix (Drones vs Sensors)Drones up, sensors facing seasonality/price actions Highlighted large eBee and sensor orders; poised for growth Drones +98% YoY; sensors seasonality pressured revenue Mix shift to drones
Government/Defense opportunityBlue UAS/TAC positioning; GSA MAS Reinforced defense/government focus Continued emphasis on higher‑margin products and market expansion Positive
SaaS strategySaaS de‑emphasis; subscriptions run‑off Measure ceased operations (12/31/2024) SaaS $0 in Q1’25 Winding down
Liquidity/financingWorking capital deficit and financing actions Cash $3.6M; raised ~$15.3M in 2024; going‑concern noted Cash $3.78M; Alpha funding agreement; note in default at 3/31/25 Watchlist
Supply chain/tariffsInflation/supply chain/tariff headwinds noted Similar risks reiterated Risks persist (inflation/supply chain) Persistent risk

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered a significantly improved financial performance marked by strong gross margin improvement and a meaningful reduction in operating expenses…[and] prioritize higher-margin product lines… positioning AgEagle for disciplined growth and long-term shareholder value creation.” – CEO Bill Irby .
  • Drivers of YoY revenue decline: “decreased sensor sales primarily related to expected seasonality” and “not renewing software subscriptions” (SaaS) .
  • Net income uplift was “primarily attributable to the gain on change in fair value of our outstanding warrant liabilities” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript available for Q1 2025 in our document search; no Q&A to report [ListDocuments returned 0 earnings-call-transcript for period].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue: not available (no estimates returned for EPS/revenue for Q1 2025 via S&P Global query). Values were queried from S&P Global and none were available for this period.

Additional Q1 2025‑Period Press Releases (context)

  • Corporate update and FY2024 results: highlights three record product orders and substantial FY OpEx reductions; cash $3.6M at year‑end .
  • Notices and operations updates (e.g., NYSE American non‑compliance, product demos, sales appointments) were issued through April–May 2025, but no numerical Q2 guidance was provided .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Underlying operations improved but remain loss‑making: operating loss narrowed to $(1.0)M; net income was non‑cash warrant revaluation driven. Focus on operating metrics and cash generation, not GAAP net income this quarter .
  • Mix shift toward drones is tangible and accretive: drones +98% YoY with margin expansion to 58.5%, suggesting strategy to prioritize higher‑margin lines is working .
  • Liquidity and financing are central to the near‑term thesis: cash $3.78M; going‑concern risk persists; Alpha funding agreement and warrant dynamics are key near‑term catalysts/risks .
  • Sensors likely rebound seasonally later in the year; EMEA strength was notable in Q1 (EMEA $2.23M vs $1.69M YoY), partially offsetting North America softness .
  • No formal guidance or call leaves limited visibility; watch subsequent 8‑Ks/pressers for defense/government traction and ISO/Blue UAS‑related wins to translate into sustained drones revenue .
  • Risk‑reward hinges on execution (drone pipeline conversion, cost discipline) versus financing/supply‑chain risks articulated in filings .

References to documents and filings:

  • Q1 2025 press release (May 16, 2025) .
  • 8‑K Item 2.02 and exhibit (May 16, 2025) .
  • Q1 2025 10‑Q (filed May 15, 2025) – financial statements, MD&A, segment/geographic detail, liquidity .
  • FY2024 10‑K (filed Mar 31, 2025) – annual totals and risk context .
  • Corporate update/FY2024 press release and 8‑K (Mar 31, 2025) .
  • Q3 2024 10‑Q (filed Nov 19, 2024) – prior quarter benchmark .