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UE

Urban Edge Properties (UE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered record quarterly earnings for UE by management’s account, with FFO as Adjusted of $0.35 per diluted share (+6% YoY) and same-property NOI growth of 3.8% driven by rent commencements from the signed-not-open pipeline, higher net recovery revenue, and 2024 acquisitions .
  • Net income per diluted share was $0.07 vs $0.02 in Q1 2024; total revenue was $118.17M vs $109.63M in Q1 2024; leasing momentum remained strong (42 deals; shop occupancy a new record 92.4%) .
  • Guidance: Net income per diluted share raised to $0.40–$0.45; FFO and FFO as Adjusted reiterated at $1.36–$1.41 and $1.37–$1.42; management noted they would have raised guidance by ~$0.02 if not for April macro/tariff volatility .
  • Capital recycling continues: $25M land sale closed and ~$41.2M under contract (weighted avg ~5% cap), with proceeds targeted to 1031 exchanges; dividend maintained at $0.19 per share (declared May 7, 2025) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record quarterly FFO as Adjusted and accelerating rent growth: “FFO as adjusted of $0.35 per share… the highest quarterly earnings result in UE’s 10-year history… Rent growth is accelerating…” .
  • Leasing execution and occupancy quality: 42 leases (434k sf) with strong spreads (new leases same-space cash +34.3%); shop occupancy rose to 92.4%, up 400 bps YoY .
  • Redevelopment pipeline and capital recycling: $156.4M active projects at ~14% expected yield; $66M of assets sold/under contract at ~5% cap, improving portfolio mix .

What Went Wrong

  • Occupancy ticked down vs Q4 due to anchor recaptures tied to bankruptcies; same-property leased occupancy fell 50 bps QoQ (96.6%) .
  • Macro uncertainty post-tariff announcements led management to hold back a potential ~$0.02 guidance raise despite a stronger start to the year .
  • Investment sales market showing early signs of slowing; bid-ask spreads remain wide and CMBS issuance limited since April, tempering external growth pacing .

Financial Results

Core metrics vs prior year and prior quarter

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenue ($USD)$109.63M $116.37M $118.17M
Net Income attributable to common shareholders ($USD)$2.60M $30.12M $8.20M
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.02 $0.24 $0.07
FFO per diluted share ($USD)$0.32 $0.35 $0.35
FFO as Adjusted per diluted share ($USD)$0.33 $0.34 $0.35
Same-property NOI growth (%)6.6% 3.6% (3.8% incl. redevelopment)

Quarterly trend view (prior two quarters plus current)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenue ($USD)$112.43M $116.37M $118.17M
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.07 $0.24 $0.07
FFO per diluted share ($USD)$0.34 $0.35 $0.35
FFO as Adjusted per diluted share ($USD)$0.35 $0.34 $0.35
Same-property NOI growth (%)4.8% (5.1% incl. redevelopment) 6.6% (7.4% incl. redevelopment) 3.6% (3.8% incl. redevelopment)

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Consolidated leased occupancy (%)96.8% 96.4%
Same-property leased occupancy (%)96.6% 96.6%
Shop leased occupancy (%)90.9% 92.4%
Leases executed (count / sf)29 / 402k sf 42 / 434k sf
New leases same-space cash spread (%)44% 34.3%
Total same-space cash spread (%)21% 10.2%
SNO pipeline (future annual gross rent, $USD)$25.0M $25.1M
Expected SNO gross rent recognized in remainder of 2025 ($USD)$7.8M $4.4M
NOI margin (%)62.9%
Same-property recovery ratio (%)86.9%

Estimates vs actuals (S&P Global consensus)

MetricPeriodConsensusActual
Primary EPS ($USD)Q1 2025$0.16$0.0687
# of EPS estimatesQ1 20251
Revenue ($USD)Q1 2025N/A$118.17M

Values retrieved from S&P Global. FFO/FFO as Adjusted consensus was unavailable; Street tends to focus on FFO for REITs, but only EPS consensus was present [Values retrieved from S&P Global].

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net income per diluted shareFY 2025$0.32–$0.37 $0.40–$0.45 Raised
Net income attributable to common shareholders per diluted shareFY 2025$0.31–$0.35 $0.39–$0.44 Raised
FFO per diluted shareFY 2025$1.36–$1.41 $1.36–$1.41 Maintained
FFO as Adjusted per diluted shareFY 2025$1.37–$1.42 $1.37–$1.42 Maintained
Same-property NOI growth incl. redevelopmentFY 20253.0%–4.0% 3.0%–4.0% Maintained
Recurring G&AFY 2025$35.0–$37.0M $35.0–$36.5M Lower high end
Interest & debt expenseFY 2025$78.5–$80.5M $78.5–$80.5M Maintained
Dispositions assumptionFY 2025Not specified$66M; 1031 redeploy Added/updated
DividendQuarterly$0.19 (Feb 2025) $0.19 (May 7, 2025) Maintained

Management commentary: “We would have likely increased our guidance by $0.02 a share, if not for the economic volatility in April.”

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/macro environmentNo tariff comment; improved 2024 guidance; increased liquidity; debt maturities modest Post-early-April tariffs; no slowdown in retailer demand yet; investment sales slowing; held back ~$0.02 guidance raise due to volatility Cautious
Leasing demand/occupancyStrong leasing; shop occupancy rising; SNO ~$23.8M by Q3; increased FFO Adj guidance 42 deals; shop occupancy record 92.4%; same-space cash spreads +34.3% for new leases; tenant retention ~95% Improving
Capital recycling (acq/dispo)Closed Waugh Chapel acquisition; sold Home Depot; acquisitions ~7% cap, dispos ~5% cap $25M land sale; ~$41.2M under contract; weighted ~5% cap; reinvest via 1031 Continuing, disciplined
Debt markets/liquidityPaid down revolver; raised equity via ATM; new mortgages at fixed rates Limited CMBS issuance; lifeco/banks lending with spreads +10–30 bps; ~$791M liquidity Mixed but manageable
Bankruptcy/anchor recaptureKingswood foreclosure resolved; redevelopment pace strong Occupancy dip QoQ due to recaptures (Big Lots, Party City, buybuy BABY); re-leasing at better terms expected Transitional but constructive
Redevelopment pipelineActive ~$159M at ~14% expected yield (Q3) Active $156.4M; expected ~14% yield; several stabilizations in Q1 Stable/high-IRR

Management Commentary

  • “FFO as adjusted of $0.35 per share, a 6% increase over the first quarter of last year and the highest quarterly earnings result in UE's 10-year history.” – Jeff Olson, CEO .
  • “We would have likely increased our guidance by $0.02 a share, if not for the economic volatility in April.” – Jeff Olson, CEO .
  • “Since the tariffs were announced in early April, we have not seen any changes in retailer demand at our properties… investment sales market is showing early signs of slowing down.” – Jeff Olson, CEO .
  • “Our same-property NOI… increased 3.8%… due in part to higher net recoveries, CAM reconciliation billings and collections from tenants in bankruptcy…” – Mark Langer, CFO .
  • “We are actively recycling capital by selling some of our noncore lower cap assets and redeploying that capital into accretive acquisitions.” – Jeff Olson, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs/macro impact: Management sees no slowdown in retailer demand to date; brokers report robust leasing pipelines; cautious stance maintained due to April volatility .
  • Dispositions vs acquisitions spread: Recent dispos at 5% cap; acquisitions in low-7% range over past 18 months ($550M buys vs ~$450M sells) – attractive spread; many transactions structured as 1031 exchanges .
  • Dividend and 1031: 1031 exchanges defer gains and do not add pressure to dividend payout; tax basis mechanics confirmed .
  • Market pricing and bid-ask: Bid-ask remains wide post-tariffs; UE is patient and underwriting deals amid changing rates/lending spreads .
  • Bad debt and tenant risk: Bad debt guidance reiterated at 75–100 bps; Q1 ran ~10 bps below; Kohl’s seen as low bankruptcy risk, with strong store productivity and low rents .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 EPS missed consensus: $0.07 actual vs $0.16 consensus; REITs are typically assessed on FFO, where UE delivered $0.35 and +6% YoY growth; Street FFO consensus was unavailable, implying estimates may need to recalibrate focus to NOI/FFO drivers (SNO commencements, recovery rates) [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
  • Revenue: Actual $118.17M; revenue consensus for Q1 was not available in S&P Global for comparison; prior quarters show sequential revenue growth consistent with lease commencements [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution remains strong: Record FFO as Adjusted and robust leasing (shop occupancy record; 34% cash spreads on new leases) reinforce organic growth trajectory into 2H 2025 .
  • Guidance conservatism is macro-driven, not operational: Management explicitly held back a ~$0.02 raise due to April volatility; watch for potential upward revision next quarter if macro stabilizes .
  • Capital recycling at favorable spreads continues: Dispositions at ~5% cap and targeted accretive 1031 acquisitions should enhance portfolio quality and growth .
  • Redevelopment pipeline (~$156M at ~14% yield) supports medium-term NOI visibility, especially as SNO ($25.1M) commences with $4.4M expected in remainder of 2025 .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity (~$791M) and limited near-term maturities (8% through 2026) reduce financing risk amid wider spreads and limited CMBS issuance .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: Signs of tariff-related slowdown (none to date) vs investment sales market softening; potential guidance raise; incremental SNO commencements; further redevelopments stabilizing .
  • Risk monitor: Bankruptcy-driven anchor recaptures temporarily pressure occupancy, but replacements are negotiating at better terms; watch macro, lending spreads, and investment sales velocity .