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UL Solutions Inc. (ULS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered solid growth and margin expansion: revenue $783M (+7.1% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA $217M (+18.6% YoY) with margin up 270 bps to 27.7% and GAAP diluted EPS $0.49; Adjusted EPS $0.56 .
  • Broad-based strength: Industrial (+8.2% total, +7.3% organic), Consumer (+5.9% total), and Software & Advisory (+7.5% total) with notable demand tied to data center infrastructure and automation .
  • Management raised FY25 outlook: organic revenue growth to 5.5–6.0% (from “mid-single digit”), Adjusted EBITDA margin improvement to ~25% (from ~24%), capex trimmed to 6.5–7.0% of revenue, and ETR to 25–26% .
  • Announced restructuring: ~3.5% workforce reduction and exit of ~1% revenue from nonstrategic lines; $42–$47M pretax charges (mostly Q4’25), expected to lift annual operating income by $25–$30M once complete by Q1’27 .
  • Key potential stock catalysts: raised guidance, visible cost program for margin expansion, and new AI safety certification service (UL 3115) opening incremental TAM in AI-driven products .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record profitability as a public company: Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 27.7% (+270 bps YoY), driven by higher revenue and operating leverage, led by Industrial .
    • Segment breadth: Industrial and Consumer margins expanded (Industrial Adj. EBITDA margin 35.9%, Consumer 20.6%), while Software & Advisory surged on strong advisory project completions (Adj. EBITDA +60% YoY) .
    • Strategic launch: AI safety certification (UL 3115) positions ULS as a trusted arbiter for AI-enabled products, addressing robustness, transparency, and safety in a fast-growing area .
    • Management tone: “We once again produced superior performance across all key metrics… demonstrating the strength of our business model” – CEO Jennifer Scanlon . “Adjusted EBITDA margin… 27.7%, our highest level as a public company” – CFO Ryan Robinson .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Income tax rate headwind: Net income margin expansion “partially offset by an increased income tax rate” .
    • Advisory remains lumpy: Q3 benefited from unusually high advisory project completions; management cautioned this may moderate in Q4 and early 2026 .
    • Restructuring implies near-term friction: ~$42–$47M pretax charges mainly in Q4’25 and a 2026 organic revenue headwind from exiting ~1% of revenue, with most OI benefits realized in 2027 .

Financial Results

Overall performance and trend comparison

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($M)$731 $705 $776 $783
Net Income ($M)$94 $71 $97 $106
Net Income Margin (%)12.9% 10.1% 12.5% 13.5%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.44 $0.33 $0.45 $0.49
Adjusted EPS$0.49 $0.37 $0.52 $0.56
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$183 $161 $197 $217
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)25.0% 22.8% 25.4% 27.7%

Vs. Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)

Metric (Q3 2025)Consensus*Actual*Company-Reported Actual
Revenue ($M)770.9*783.0*783.0
Primary EPS ($)0.471*0.56*Adjusted EPS $0.56
EBITDA ($M)197.5*201.0*Adjusted EBITDA $217

*Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: S&P “Primary EPS” aligns with normalized/adjusted EPS, and S&P EBITDA differs from company “Adjusted EBITDA.”

Segment performance (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)

SegmentRevenue Q3’24 ($M)Revenue Q3’25 ($M)Adj. EBITDA Q3’24 ($M)Adj. EBITDA Q3’25 ($M)Adj. EBITDA Margin Q3’24Adj. EBITDA Margin Q3’25
Industrial317 343 106 123 33.4% 35.9%
Consumer321 340 62 70 19.3% 20.6%
Software & Advisory93 100 15 24 16.1% 24.0%

Revenue by major service category (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)

Service CategoryQ3 2024 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)
Certification Testing206 224
Ongoing Certification Services238 252
Non‑certification Testing & Other220 235
Software67 72
Total731 783

Additional cash/BS items

  • Nine‑month Free Cash Flow $317M; Op. Cash Flow $456M; Capex $139M .
  • Total debt $547M; cash $255M and short‑term investments $44M at 9/30/25 .
  • Q3 dividend paid: $0.13/share ($26M) ; next dividend of $0.13 declared for Dec. 8 (record Nov. 28) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q2’25)Current Guidance (Q3’25)Change
Organic revenue growth (cc)FY 2025“Mid single digit” 5.5%–6.0% Raised/Specified
Adj. EBITDA margin improvement (organic)FY 2025~24% ~25% Raised
Capital expendituresFY 20257%–8% of revenue 6.5%–7.0% Lowered
Effective tax rateFY 2025~26% 25%–26% Slightly Lower
M&A / Portfolio actionsFY 2025Continue pursuit Continue pursuit Maintained
Dividend per shareQuarterly$0.13 (paid in Q3) $0.13 (declared for Dec 8) Maintained

Restructuring plan: $42–$47M pretax charges (mostly Q4’25); ~3.5% workforce reduction; exit ~1% of 2025 revenue lines; expected OI lift $25–$30M annually when complete by Q1’27 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/technology initiativesExpanded ULTRUS releases (PFAS, ESG, AI features) Launched AI safety certification (UL 3115) and AI marketing claim verification; patent for ML AI scoring Accelerating
Supply chain/tariffs/macroAffirmed FY outlook despite uncertainty Q3 cadence “relatively steady”; Q4 faces tough comp due to 2024 pull‑forward ahead of tariffs Normalizing near‑term; tough Q4 comp
Data center exposureNot highlighted in Q1 PR; Q2 cited energy/automation demand Strong demand in energy storage, high‑voltage cable, built environment for data centers Strengthening
PricingN/ATesting services growth split relatively evenly between price and volume; ongoing certification services benefited from pricing Supportive
Regional trendsBroad-based growth across segments Growth across regions; slightly more U.S. contribution in Q3 Steady with U.S. tilt
Battery testingInvestments in MI and Germany (Q2 commentary) Utilization solid; shift toward industrial energy storage faster than expected; EV headwinds noted Mix shift to ESS
AdvisoryModest in Q2 (flat Adj. EBITDA) Q3 spike from project completions; renewables advisory strong; Healthy Buildings still a headwind Lumpy; near-term strength
Capital intensity7–8% guide (Q1/Q2) Lowered to 6.5–7% on timing Moderating in 2025

Management Commentary

  • CEO Jennifer Scanlon: “We once again produced superior performance across all key metrics, regions and service offerings… demonstrating the strength of our business model and the critical nature of the work we perform.”
  • CFO Ryan Robinson: “Adjusted EBITDA margin… 27.7%, our highest level as a public company… Given our year‑to‑date performance and current visibility… we’re pleased to strengthen our full‑year financial outlook.”
  • On AI certification: “Establishing the safety of AI‑embedded products is absolutely vital for fostering public confidence and helping ensure the responsible and widespread adoption of beneficial AI technologies.” – CEO, AI certification launch .
  • On pricing: “Overall [testing] grew 7.7% and there was relatively similar contribution from both price and volume… Ongoing certification services particularly benefited from pricing.” – CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs and cadence: Q3 demand was steady; Q4 growth will lap unusually strong Q4’24 (industrial OCS pull‑forward ahead of tariffs) .
  • Restructuring details: ~3.5% workforce reduction; exit ~1% of revenue lines that are less profitable; OI improvement of $25–$30M expected by 2027; moderate 2026 effect as revenue and costs step down together .
  • Software & Advisory: Q3 upside from high project completions and utilization; management cautions lumpiness may normalize next quarters; renewables advisory strong; Healthy Buildings remains pressured by CRE .
  • Data centers: Significant activity across energy storage systems, high‑voltage cabling, and fire protection tied to AI compute growth and thermal/cooling complexity .
  • Pricing vs volume: Testing growth split roughly evenly; annual pricing actions support ongoing certification services .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 vs consensus (S&P Global): revenue $783.0M vs $770.9M*; Primary EPS $0.56 vs $0.471*; EBITDA $201.0M* vs $197.5M* (company Adjusted EBITDA $217M) .
  • Q4 2025 outlook (consensus): revenue $781.9M*; Primary EPS $0.446*; # of estimates: revenue 9*, EPS 8*; management expects Q4 growth to be lower than FY run‑rate due to tough comps and possible moderation in Software & Advisory .
    *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Where estimates may adjust:

  • Likely upward bias to FY25 Adjusted EBITDA margin assumptions (~25% vs prior ~24%) given sustained operating leverage and restructuring tailwind timing .
  • Q4 revenue/EPS trajectories may be trimmed modestly given tough Q4’24 comps highlighted by management .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality beat with breadth: Topline +7.1% and sharp margin expansion lifted Adjusted EPS to $0.56, aided by pricing and leverage across segments .
  • Guidance raised: FY25 organic growth now 5.5–6.0% and ~25% Adjusted EBITDA margin; capex moderated to 6.5–7% on timing, supporting FCF conversion .
  • Structural margin actions: Restructuring should focus the portfolio and deliver $25–$30M annual OI by 2027; expect near‑term Q4 charges and a small 2026 organic growth headwind from exiting ~1% of revenue .
  • Secular tailwinds: Data center power/cooling and electrification themes are funneling demand to Industrial and Consumer workstreams (energy storage, high‑voltage cables, EMC) .
  • New services unlock TAM: AI safety certification (UL 3115) enhances competitive differentiation in certifying AI‑enabled products .
  • Watch the quarter-to-quarter: Advisory strength is lumpy and could normalize in Q4; management explicitly flagged tougher Q4 comps in Industrial OCS .
  • Capital deployment: Debt reduced, liquidity solid; consistent $0.13 dividend continues alongside targeted capacity investments .