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USD Partners LP (USDP)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2023 revenue fell sharply year over year on reduced Hardisty contracted capacity, Stroud customer roll-off, FX headwinds, and Casper sale; total revenues were $19.47M, net income was $4.64M, Adjusted EBITDA was $5.80M, and DCF was $1.12M .
  • The Board continued suspension of the quarterly distribution for Q2 and disclosed receipt of an NYSE minimum-price non-compliance notice (30-day average < $1.00), initiating a six‑month cure period .
  • Liquidity: $10.29M cash and $79.1M undrawn capacity existed, but borrowing availability was constrained to ~5.5x TTM EBITDA, effectively limiting available borrowings (incl. cash) to ~$12M; senior credit facility amendment added forbearance and restrictions (no new borrowings/LOCs) .
  • Commercial update: a three-month rail-to-truck trial began at Stroud in August to handle Uinta Basin waxy crude; success could lead to a longer-term take‑or‑pay agreement, offering a near-term volume catalyst .
  • Estimates: S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q2 2023 EPS/revenue was unavailable due to data constraints; results are assessed vs prior quarters/years in the absence of published estimates (Values retrieved from S&P Global – unavailable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net income of $4.64M improved vs $3.81M in Q2 2022, aided by a higher non‑cash gain on interest rate derivatives and lower FX losses year over year .
  • Operating costs declined across pipeline fees, subcontracted rail services, and O&M, reflecting lower throughput and Casper divestiture benefits .
  • New commercial activity: three‑month Stroud rail‑to‑truck terminalling trial for Uinta waxy crude commenced in August, with take‑or‑pay minimums and potential long‑term agreement if successful .
  • CEO tone constructive on commercial pipeline and refinancing: “we remain optimistic that this focus will lead to longer-term, take-or-pay commitments… [and]… engaged our bank group… executed an amendment and interim waiver… encouraged by our discussions to date” .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenues down materially YoY due to Hardisty contract reductions, FX headwinds, Stroud customer contract termination effective July 1, 2022, and Casper sale at March-end .
  • Operating cash outflow: Net Cash Used in Operating Activities was $(1.31)M for Q2 vs $6.22M in Q2 2022; DCF fell to $1.12M, pressured by higher cash interest and taxes .
  • Distribution remained suspended and credit agreement restrictions limited financial flexibility; NYSE flagged minimum-price non-compliance, adding listing risk and potential investor overhang .

Financial Results

Consolidated Results vs Prior Quarters (GAAP and Non-GAAP)

Metric ($USD Millions)Q4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Total Revenues$20.649 $21.126 $19.471
Operating Income$2.573 $8.014 $4.421
Net Income$(3.211) $1.975 $4.635
Net Cash from Operating Activities$8.272 $(0.582) $(1.306)
Adjusted EBITDA$13.330 $3.286 $5.800
Distributable Cash Flow (DCF)$9.631 $(1.634) $1.118

Notes: EBITDA margin % (computed) = Adjusted EBITDA / Total revenues: Q4’22 ~64.5%, Q1’23 ~15.6%, Q2’23 ~29.8% (derived from cited values) .

Year-over-Year (Q2 2023 vs Q2 2022)

Metric ($USD Millions)Q2 2022Q2 2023YoY Change
Total Revenues$33.741 $19.471 $(14.270)
Operating Income$5.208 $4.421 $(0.787)
Net Income$3.805 $4.635 $0.830
Net Cash from Operating Activities$6.215 $(1.306) $(7.521)
Adjusted EBITDA$11.594 $5.800 $(5.794)
DCF$10.212 $1.118 $(9.094)

Revenue Breakdown (Q2 2023 vs Q2 2022)

Revenue Line ($USD Thousands)Q2 2022Q2 2023
Terminalling services$31,704 $18,364
Terminalling services — related party$662 $732
Fleet leases — related party$913 $287
Fleet services — related party$299 $86
Freight and other reimbursables$163 $—
Freight and other reimbursables — related party$— $2
Total Revenues$33,741 $19,471

Liquidity and Balance Sheet Snapshots

Metric ($USD Millions)Dec 31, 2022Mar 31, 2023Jun 30, 2023
Cash and Cash Equivalents$2.530 $10.843 $10.291
Restricted Cash$3.250 $23.659 $3.783
Borrowings Outstanding$214.092 (current portion) $214.206 (current portion) $195.447 (current portion)
Undrawn Capacity (Credit Facility)$60.0 $60.0 $79.1
Available Borrowings incl. Cash~$55.5 ~$41.0 ~$12.0

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quarterly DistributionQ2 2023Declared $0.1235/unit in Q4 2022; suspended in Q1 2023 Continued suspension for Q2 2023 Lowered/Maintained suspension
Credit Facility2023Matures Nov 2, 2023; discussions ongoing Aug 8 amendment with forbearance to Oct 10, restrictions incl. no new borrowings/LOCs; asset sale proceeds to repay debt Tightened terms/forbearance
Listing ComplianceJul 26, 2023 noticeIn compliance prior to noticeReceived NYSE minimum‑price non‑compliance; 6‑month cure window Heightened listing risk
Stroud TerminalJun–Aug 2023No active customer post July 2022 roll-off Began 3‑month rail‑to‑truck trial in Aug with take‑or‑pay minimums Added near-term volume test

No formal revenue, margin, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or dividend guidance ranges were provided in Q2 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2023 call transcript found; trends use Q4 2022 and Q1 2023 prior calls/releases vs Q2 2023 press release.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2022, Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
DRUbit by Rail strategy“Network continues to operate at/above expected capacity; focused on converting dilbit capacity to DRUbit” CEO remains optimistic on commercial opportunities and longer-term take‑or‑pay commitments Steady emphasis; awaiting new contracts
Canadian macro & pipeline parityChallenging macro, crude-by-rail parity dependent on supply growth; commercialization more likely in 2H23 Hardisty revenues down on reduced capacity; FX headwind Macro headwinds persisted; volumes under pressure
Stroud Terminal utilizationStroud contract ended July 2022; planning heavier grades, Uinta waxy crude solution 3‑month rail‑to‑truck trial commenced Aug 2023 Positive test; potential to convert to long-term
Liquidity/refinancingPlan to refinance/replace credit facility; suspension of distribution to preserve liquidity Forbearance amendment with lender restrictions; continued distribution suspension Tightened financial flexibility; heightened urgency
Regulatory/listingNoneNYSE minimum-price non-compliance notice New listing risk factor

Management Commentary

  • “During the second quarter, we remained focused on existing and new commercial opportunities… and we remain optimistic that this focus will lead to longer-term, take-or-pay commitments…” (Dan Borgen, CEO) .
  • “…we have engaged our bank group… executed an amendment and interim waiver to our revolving credit agreement… encouraged by our discussions to date.” (Dan Borgen, CEO) .
  • Stroud trial: “short-term agreement includes take-or-pay… trial period to test… waxy crude oil production out of the Uinta Basin… trial commenced in August 2023.” .

Q&A Highlights

(From Q1 2023 call; no Q2 transcript available)

  • Distribution reinstatement timing: Management will evaluate quarterly; reinstatement depends on recontracting progress (extensions/new DRUbit commitments) and refinancing of the revolver .
  • DRUbit commercialization: Advanced discussions with multiple customers; validation via performance, reliability, and improved netbacks with lower carbon footprint; timing depends on customers’ internal approvals .
  • Stroud asset: Targeting Uinta waxy crude throughput starting Q3 2023 as scalable destination solution leveraging Cushing connectivity .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus for Q2 2023 EPS and revenue via S&P Global was unavailable due to data constraints (Values retrieved from S&P Global – unavailable).
  • In the absence of published estimates, assess results vs prior year and prior quarter trends: revenues down YoY by ~$14.27M, Adjusted EBITDA down YoY by ~$5.79M; net income improved YoY by ~$0.83M due to derivative gains and lower FX losses .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue compression and lower Adjusted EBITDA reflect Hardisty capacity reductions, FX impacts, Stroud roll‑off, and Casper sale; the pivot to DRUbit contracts remains the central margin/volume recovery lever .
  • Stroud’s waxy crude trial is the most immediate potential volume catalyst; success could translate to a take‑or‑pay longer‑term agreement, partially offsetting other terminal headwinds .
  • Liquidity remains constrained by credit facility covenants and the Aug 8 amendment’s restrictions; asset-sale proceeds must repay debt, limiting flexibility; watch refinancing milestones ahead of facility maturity .
  • Continued distribution suspension conserves cash amid recontracting and refinancing; any reinstatement likely contingent on signed long‑term contracts and improved DCF coverage .
  • NYSE minimum‑price non-compliance introduces listing risk and potential trading volatility; cure period status will be a near-term stock narrative driver .
  • Near-term trading: headlines around lender forbearance extensions, Stroud trial updates, and any DRUbit contract announcements will be primary catalysts; absence of estimates coverage may widen post‑print volatility .
  • Medium-term thesis: If DRUbit expansion lands and Stroud converts to long‑term volumes, EBITDA stability could improve; otherwise, reduced capacity and covenant constraints may continue to pressure cash generation and listings .