Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

US Physical Therapy - Q4 2023

February 29, 2024

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the U.S. Physical Therapy fourth quarter 2023 and full year earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. In order to ask a question during the session, please press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press Star then zero. I'd now like to turn the call over to Chris Reading, President and CEO. Please go ahead, sir.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Thanks, Shelby. Good morning, and welcome everyone to U.S. Physical Therapy's earnings call this morning. With me on the call today include Carey Hendrickson, our CFO, Eric Williams, our Chief Operating Officer, Rick Binstein, our Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Jake Martinez, our Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting. Graham Reeve happens to be on a plane this morning, won't be joining us. Before we begin with some prepared remarks, I'll ask Jake to cover a brief disclosure statement. Jake, if you would, please.

Jake Martinez (SVP of Finance and Accounting)

Thank you, Chris. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve certain risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on the company's current views and assumptions. The company's actual results may vary materially from those anticipated. Please see the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for more information.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Thanks, Jake. I'm gonna go ahead and start this morning with particular thanks to our clinical teams, led by our capable partners around the country, for their efforts in delivering exceptional care, returning a record number of patients to the things that they enjoyed the most. And to our prevention partners for weathering what we expected to be a more challenging year in 2023, with great continued success in keeping the thousands of workers and companies that we serve healthy and injury-free. They finished the year in really strong fashion, with 9.7% revenue growth in our final quarter and a 330 basis point improvement in margin in what has been a seasonally slower quarter for this subset of our business, all of which sets the table for a good growth year ahead in 2024.

past year was one of persistently high demand for our physical therapy services. Each quarter in 2023 produced a record for volume across our growing networks of clinics, finishing the year for the first time in our history at 30 visits per clinic per day. Visits grew to more than 5 million for the year, up 11.6% in 2023. Demand remained strong throughout the year. Helping to meet this demand, our clinical teams did an exemplary job caring for our patients, which in turn creates additional demand from happy customers who refer their colleagues, friends, and neighbors to us. Despite a rather tight labor market, we were able to attract and hire therapists to enable us to achieve these record volumes.

Our team, led by our locally strong partners around the country, helped to limit turnover at a time when demand has remained at record levels, and our clinical cost efficiency improved in 2023, despite significant inflationary pressures. I'm particularly proud of our ops team and their efforts to keep these many factors and forces in balance throughout the year, all while juggling numerous initiatives, including opening or tucking in 35 clinics and working to integrate an additional group via acquisitions in both PT as well as injury prevention. Additionally, we worked to overcome the Medicare cuts, which have made our lives more difficult these past few years, despite physical therapy saving the system significant cost when compared to more expensive, invasive, and often unnecessary musculoskeletal procedures.

Our team renegotiated a significant number of payer contracts in 2023, which is bearing fruit for us in and across our commercial contract base. We have a good work plan for 2024 to carry on that work and to impact rates further. Finally, you saw in the release that we announced a small dividend increase with the start of this year, with the majority of our attention and focus on deploying capital through carefully vetted acquisitions in the quarter in years to come. The partners we added in 2023 are ahead of plan and doing terrific, including the Industrial Injury Prevention Partnership that brought us our first software product, which is getting strong reviews and which produce a great overall year in injury prevention.

On the PT side of things, we are busy at varying stages of diligence and completion, several opportunities that we've included in the guidance we provided in our release. While the environment isn't easy by any stretch, headed by a fantastic team whom I love and respect, and I can assure you everyone is working very hard to produce a good year ahead. We have a lot of detail to cover. Carey always does a great job with that, so I'm gonna turn it over to him, to dive in before we open it up for questions.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Great. Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. Despite challenges as we entered 2023, including the 2% Medicare rate reduction that we, we've talked about in a tight labor environment, our team produced strong results in 2023. As Chris noted, we recorded the highest patient volumes in the company's history in 2023 at 30 patients per clinic per day.... Our physical therapy revenues increased more than $50 million in 2024, which was a 10% increase, 10.6% increase over the prior year. Our physical therapy operating costs decreased by $0.55 per visit for the full year. Our industrial injury prevention business strengthened as the year progressed, with fourth quarter revenues up 9.7% over the prior year, fourth quarter, and IIP fourth quarter operating income up almost 30% over the prior year.

We achieved year-over-year growth in both Adjusted EBITDA and operating results. We added 46 clinics via acquisitions and de novos in 2023, 31 on a net basis after closures, and we added to our IIP business as well. Further, we strengthened our capital structure with a secondary offering in May 2023, which was done on an accretive basis, providing us with cash to deploy in the go-forward growth opportunities. So despite the challenges as we began the year, our team produced some very good results, and there was a lot of good work done in 2023 that positions us well as we go forward. We reported Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of $19 million, an increase of $1.1 million over the fourth quarter of the prior year.

Our operating results were $0.59 per share in the fourth quarter of 2023, which is an increase over the $0.58 reported in the fourth quarter of last year. Our total company revenues increased 9.6% in the fourth quarter, growing from $141.2 million in the fourth quarter to $154.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2023. Our total company gross profit increased $2.7 million, or 9.6%, from $27.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, and the fourth quarter of 2023. Our average visits per clinic per day in the fourth quarter were 29.9, which is the highest volume in the company's history for a fourth quarter. October was at 29.9, November was at 30.3, and December was at 29.5. All three months were higher than the same month in the previous year.

Our net rate was $103.68 in the fourth quarter of 2023, which was a meaningful sequential increase from $102.37 that we reported in the third quarter of 2023, due to the cumulative impact of progress in our rate negotiations and some operational efforts that we've been working at all year. From the $104.28 we reported in the fourth quarter of 2022, due to the reductions in Medicare rates, which represent about one-third of our payer mix. All other payer categories increased 2.1% on a combined basis over the prior year. Our physical therapy revenues were $134.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, which was an increase of $11.8 million or 9.6% from the fourth quarter of 2022.

The increase was driven by having 45 more clinics on average in the fourth quarter of 2023 than in the fourth quarter of 2022, coupled with record fourth quarter average patient visits per clinic per day, which was partially offset by the decrease in net rate. Our physical therapy operating costs were $108.4 million, which is an increase of 10.3% over the fourth quarter of the prior year, also due to having 45 more clinics on average than in the fourth quarter of 2022. On a per visit basis, our total operating costs were $84.09 in the fourth quarter, which is basically flat with the $84.05 that we had in the fourth quarter of 2022.

For the full year of 2023, our operating costs were $82, excuse me, $83.34 in in the full year 2022, and they moved down to $82.79 per visit in the for the full year of 2023. Our salaries and related costs decreased to seventy-nine dollars and seventy-two cents in the fourth quarter, down from sixty dollars and four cents in the fourth quarter of 2022. For the full year, salaries and related costs were down 33 cents per visit versus the previous year. Our physical therapy margin was 19.5% in the fourth quarter of 2023. That was down slightly from the 20% we had in the fourth quarter of 2022, with the change due to the decrease in our net rate versus the prior year. Even with the decline on our net rate versus last year, our PT gross profit increased 7% in the fourth quarter.

As I mentioned earlier, our IIP business saw nice growth in the fourth quarter. IIP net revenues were up $1.8 million or 9.7%, and our expenses were up only $800,000 or 5.3%. So that resulted in a $1 million increase in IIP income in the fourth quarter of 2023, which was an almost 30% increase over the prior year. Our IIP margin increased from 17.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022 to 21.2% in the fourth quarter of 2023. Our balance sheet remains in an excellent position. We have $144 million of debt on our term loan, with a 5-year swap agreement in place that places the rate on our debt at 4.7%, and we expect to remain at that rate going forward.

As you know, that's a very favorable rate in today's market and well below the current Fed funds rate. In the fourth quarter of 2023 alone, the swap agreement saved us $900,000 in interest expense, with cumulative savings of $3.3 million for the full year of 2023. Our interest expense was $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2023. In addition to the term loan, we also have a $175 million revolving credit facility that had nothing drawn on it during the fourth quarter. We have approximately $120 million of excess cash over and above what we need for working capital, ready for deployment into growth initiatives. We also noted in the release that our board raised our quarterly dividend rate by 1 cent per quarter in 2024.

At the new rate, our full year dividend paid would be about, would be $1.76 per share, which is a dividend yield of approximately 1.7% based on our recent stock price. As we noted in our release, we expect our EBITDA for full year 2024 to be in the range of $80 million-$85 million. The 3.5% Medicare rate reduction that went into effect on January 1 results in a $6 million reduction in revenue and a $5.3 million reduction in EBITDA, net of minority interest. So the $77.7 million EBITDA that we reported in 2023 becomes $72.4 million as we begin 2024 due to the Medicare rate reduction. The 2024 EBITDA range is an increase of roughly 10%-17% from this starting point.

We have tremendous confidence in our team to produce EBITDA growth in 2024. We'll benefit in 2024 from the full year impact of rate negotiations that we completed in 2023, and then the partial year impact of negotiation work that we do during 2024. We also expect to continue to increase volumes at our existing clinics in 2024, and we'll maintain our discipline and expense control. We'll also benefit in 2024 from the full year contribution or acquisitions that we completed during 2023. In addition, we have several acquisitions that we expect to close in the near term by roughly the middle of 2024, so we've included the expected EBITDA contribution from those acquisitions in our 2024 guidance.

The acquisitions we're including are similar in size to those we've completed in the normal course, between $1 million and $3 million of total enterprise EBITDA, with us purchasing between 50% and 90% of those companies. We expect our 2024 EBITDA by quarter to lay out a little differently than it did last year. As a reminder, we had no significant weather events in the first quarter of 2023, which resulted in the best first quarter volumes we've ever had by a sizable margin. In January of this year, we did have some significant weather events, which was more in line with our historic experience. So we'd expect our year to get off to a little slower start than it did last year, and then to gain momentum as we layer in rate increases, volume growth, and acquisitions as the year progresses, against the backdrop of our normal seasonal patterns.

As a reminder, we expect our outstanding shares to be a little over 15 million shares in each quarter of 2024 and for full year 2024, which is where it has been since we issued the 1.9 million shares with our secondary offering in late May of 2023. That will impact our comparisons for our per share metrics in the first couple of quarters of 2024. In closing, we feel very growth in 2024, and we look forward to producing strong results for all of our stakeholders in 2024. With that, I'll turn the call back to Chris.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, thanks, Carey. Great job. Operator, let's go ahead and open it up for questions.

Operator (participant)

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star and one on your touch tone phone. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star two. Once again, that is star and one to ask a question. We will pause for a moment to allow questions to queue. We'll take our first question from Brian Tanquilut with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Brian Tanquilut (Senior Analyst of Healthcare Services and HCIT and Digital Health Equity Research)

Thank you, Brian. Good morning. Congrats on the strong quarter. Maybe for both Chris and Carey, as I think about the fact that you included some M&A, expected M&A contributions in the guide, just curious, you know, in terms of your visibility into the timing of the deals that you embedded in the guide, and then maybe, Chris, more broadly speaking, how are you thinking about the M&A landscape this year in terms of what you're seeing in the market, in terms of competition for deals, and also, like, the deal flow that you're seeing within your, your own pipeline?

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, in terms of the timing, I think we've tried to speak to that. I mean, one of the reasons we added it into our guidance this year is just due to the relative proximity to when we were gonna do this announcement, this release. So, you know, I would say because these sometimes aren't certain between now and July, you know, is kinda what we're looking at for the ones that are kind of in queue right now. In terms of the broader landscape, we're as busy as we've ever been. Competition is changed or changing some, because some folks are more sidelined than they have been for quite some time, just because of leverage and, you know, the rates that some of these companies are having to carry, and so, it's a good opportunity for us.

That said, we continue to be selective, and we continue to look for our kinds of partners and attributes, and so that part isn't changing. We'll continue to be disciplined, but it's a good opportunity right now. We expect to be busy this year.

Brian Tanquilut (Senior Analyst of Healthcare Services and HCIT and Digital Health Equity Research)

No, that's awesome. And then maybe, Carey, as I think about the gross margin side, you highlighted your success there, and it obviously is very impressive. So just curious in terms of what you see as the remaining opportunity, either to hold the gross margin line steady as you grow volumes this year, or if there are remaining opportunities to drive some margin expansion?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah, you know, I think it's gonna depend on how much we can do on the rate side this year. We expect to do well there. I think we'll be able to at least maintain our margins where they have been, if not grow them slightly in 2024. Yeah, but it's gonna really be a function of how much we can push on the net rate side, and then, you know, to the extent we're able to keep our costs in line, so it's either flat on a per visit basis or slightly better than that. And if we do that, if we push both of those really well, I think we can see a little margin improvement.

Brian Tanquilut (Senior Analyst of Healthcare Services and HCIT and Digital Health Equity Research)

Maybe Carey or for Chris, actually, as I think about just the last point that Carey made on the ability to drive rate growth from commercial payers, you know how are you thinking about that in terms of what the discussions are, and kind of like, what inning are we in terms of trying to, you know, get more rate growth across the portfolio or of contracts that you have in the different markets that you're in?

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Go ahead.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah. So, you know, we've had really good success in these discussions. I'd say they're based around outcomes, and they're based around the value that physical therapy provides, and the fact that it's a way to actually decrease cost of the overall patient's care. And we've been successful in those conversations. You know, it's - we have a team that... And, you know, we're working on our most - The ones that we concentrate on the most are the five largest carriers and at our top partnerships, and we're gonna keep at that work during 2024.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

So what inning would you say?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Inning? I would say we're probably in the maybe the fifth inning or so. We're we've made some good progress so far in you know in the last 18 months I'd say. But we still have some more we can do. We still have we definitely have work we can do. The good thing is Brian we've built in step increases. As we as we've renegotiated these contracts we've been trying to build in 1, 2, and I mean like 3-year step increases so that we're not having to revisit all these contracts each year because we have as you know what? 1,700+ contracts that we're always having to kind of come back to and renegotiate. So the 3-year step increases have really helped because we get that automatically as we as the 1 year lapses so that's been good.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, and I would say that, yeah, you know, when we get to the ninth inning, we're not done. We're gonna just play a new game, so.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

That's right

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

You know, we're gonna start over. So, this is gonna be a perpetual thing, and I think over time, you know, how we get paid, you know, maybe it changes, and maybe we have a little bit more latitude to focus on results and not count minutes like we do right now. It's just a crazy way to do it, but, you know, I think we've got continued opportunity.

Brian Tanquilut (Senior Analyst of Healthcare Services and HCIT and Digital Health Equity Research)

That's awesome. All right, congrats again. Thanks, guys.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Thank you.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Thanks, Brian.

Operator (participant)

We'll take our next question from Larry Solow with CJS Securities. Your line is open.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Hello, Larry.

Larry Solow (Managing Director)

Great, guys. Thanks. Good morning. Good morning, both of you. I guess just continuing on, just on that line of questioning, just on, on the commercial side, you mentioned a nice 2% increase this quarter or, or 2% up the, the, the CMS impact. Do you have what it was for the full year, and, and you expect a similar, you know, sort of improvement or maybe even a little bit better, you know, in, in, in 2024 as you, you know, I think using that baseball analogy, if we're in the top of the fifth, you, you get some stuff from the bottom of the fourth that wasn't necessarily in, in 2023, and maybe it was.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, for sure.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah. Right. So, for 2023, if you take all the categories except for Medicare and combine them on a combined basis, they were up about 1.5% in 2023. So obviously, it accelerated in the fourth quarter, being up 2.1%. So it's been accelerating as years gone along. And you know, I think. I'm sorry. Go ahead, Larry.

Larry Solow (Managing Director)

No, no. Go ahead. Yeah, go ahead.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah, and I think as we looked at 2024, you asked about that. I mean, I think we can... If, if we do somewhere between, just from a math perspective, right? If Medicare is gonna be down 3.5%, if we do 1.5 to 2% of an increase in these other categories combined, that would make our rate next year flat, and I think we can do that or maybe even a little better.

Larry Solow (Managing Director)

Got it. Okay. And on the CMS, you know, rate cut, I guess, you know, 3.6%, it sounds like there'll be no relief on that. Congress is probably not gonna get together in the next couple of weeks to do anything there. But what, Chris, maybe just, can you just remind us, I know these cuts, they're sort of, you know, related to physician fee schedule and shifts sort of more to the general practitioner while maintaining sort of budget neutrality, but what's the outlook going forward? Are we pretty much at the end of that? You know, do you expect more cuts potentially in 2025, or how do you guys view that?

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, I don't know, Larry. I mean, trying to predict what CMS does or the federal government does, a little bit of a hard job, but I think we're at the end, and you know, I think we'll get back into a more normal pattern as we go forward with you know, small increases every year. I think people understand that they're picking on the wrong guys and that this isn't sustainable to have three sequential years of cuts. And that's what I believe. So you know, we'll see what happens.

Larry Solow (Managing Director)

Got it. Okay, great. I appreciate the thoughts. Thanks.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Thank you.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Thanks, Larry.

Operator (participant)

We'll take our next question from Joanna Gajuk with Bank of America. Your line is open.

Joanna Gajuk (Equity Research Analyst)

Hi, good morning. Thank you so much for taking [crosstalk] the questions here. Hey, so I guess a couple of things, when it comes to these assets that you outlined, so you listed, contribution from unannounced deals, those that you expect to close, you know, later this year or this year through the first half, maybe July. I listed as, one of the items, but it's one of the last items on the list. So should we read this as, implying the, you know, kind of the assets you're talking about here versus the $5.3 million, you know, like I said, when you have to overcome year-over-year, there will be a contribution, you know, from those future issues, kind of, you know, smaller items. Are you willing to quantify that or quantify some of these other things you listed there as, as assets?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah, Joanna, you know, as you can appreciate, there's a lot of puts and takes, and we, we did, you know, we didn't provide specifics about any of the items, and, and their, and their dollar amounts and impact. Just to know that there are things are some, and some will get more on than we would anticipate, and then others we may not be quite as much on. So we didn't want, didn't want to specifically, talk about dollars related to each one of those items. I will say on the acquisitions, you know, I talked a little bit about that in here, just that they're, these are ones that are in the, kind of our normal course, if you will, between, you know, $1 million and $3 million EBITDA for a total enterprise basis.

And then we are gonna, you know, have our ownership percentage of those, which typically is somewhere around, you know, 60%, 70%, 80%. And then, you know... And so I think you can kind of get some feel for what the amounts are there related to that. But, we'll have other—we, we believe we'll have ones beyond what we have put in the guidance, you know, beyond the, the first half of the year, that will close later in the year, and those can have impact. They, their impact won't be as significant, though, because the later in the year you go, you know, the later, the, the less impact those have in 2024.

Joanna Gajuk (Equity Research Analyst)

All right. That's, that's helpful. And, I guess on, you know, the guidance, I guess, and how should we think about, you know, what do you assume essentially for, for volumes here? So I appreciate you, you highlighted that Q1 will have a tough comp. But I guess where, you know, what was the same store, I guess, volume growth for 2023, the full year, and then how do you, think about volumes, you know, same store volumes, I guess, growing, for the full year 2024?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah, I mean, we think we can. We hope to have strong volumes. Really, that's gonna be, that's one of those factors that, you know, we have an amount in the plan, and it's a nice mid-single digit kind of growth number, 3%-5% probably growth for same-store, for our existing clinics, and we think that's achievable in 2024.

Joanna Gajuk (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, thank you. And last one on a follow-up on the discussion around pricing and good to see, you know, the commercial traction there. Can you talk about workers' comp? You know, I guess two things, you know, what rate increases you're getting there and also the mix. Are you improving or increasing the workers' comp mix? And I guess that will be helping the average rate as well, right?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah. You know, the mix has stayed pretty consistent. The good news is we're growing the other categories really, you know, well, too. So workers' comp is growing. It's had really nice increases, but so has commercial, so has Medicare. You know, we've had just a lot of patient volume growth across the mix of categories. The mix hasn't changed that much. And the workers' comp rate, though, is continuing to improve. It's higher in 2023 than it was in 2022, and, you know, we're hoping it'll continue to be like that as we go forward. We're negotiating rate on workers' comp just like we are on others now, as well, so.

Joanna Gajuk (Equity Research Analyst)

If I may, just the very last one. Sorry about that, and thank you for taking the question. The comments around margins, so these were gross margin, where you talked about, you know, keeping the level, maybe even expanding. Any comment around the corporate-level costs? You know, how should we think about, you know, the number going forward? I guess, you know, it ticked up a little bit in Q4. I guess maybe there's some seasonality, you know, the $13.9 million corporate office cost. So how should we think about that number going forward? Thank you.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah. I think consistently, we've been between 8.5% and 9% of total net revenue on that corporate cost number for several years. And I think that's how to think about it, is as a percent of net revenue, because we do have to add some additional cost, additional clinics that we add as we go forward. So I think thinking of it in that 8.5%-9% of net revenue, total, total revenue number. Joanna?

Operator (participant)

We'll take our next question from Jared Haase with William Blair. Your line is open.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Jared?

Jared Haase (Equity Research Associate)

Thanks for taking the questions. Just first one from us, and maybe just sticking with sort of levers from a margin perspective and maybe thinking over the next couple of years. You know, was curious to think about just how you're you know sort of the trends from a hiring and a staffing perspective. I think in recent quarters, you kind of talked about a little bit of a shift in mix to PT assistants. So I'm just kind of curious to kind of hear how you're thinking about that mix and sort of the availability from a staffing and labor perspective, any trends there to call out from an operating cost perspective?

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, I would just say this: the market continues to be tight, but I wouldn't call it unforgiving. Recruiting team here, combined with our partners locally, our ops folks, everybody's working together to do a good job to get new clinicians into the company. You know, we're not-- we've always been a PT-centric company, more licensed therapists, considerably more than PT assistants, which are also a licensed position. But look, if we have a good, you know, opportunity with a great PT assistant, we're not gonna probably pass on it either. So, you know, the relationships have been reasonably steady between PT and PTA the last year.

You know, if we can improve those a little bit, really where we just have to be sensitive to it, is on the schedule more than anything with respect to federal patients. But markets, it's competitive market, but we're doing okay. Eric, you, anything you wanna add to that?

Eric Williams (COO)

No, I think you summed that up pretty well. We'll continue to invest in additional resources as the company grows to, to help us from a recruiting perspective. Our clinical turnover number this year was the lowest number we've had in five years. And it was 1.5 percentage points better than 2022, which also helped us from a business per day perspective. So we continue to get better from a retention perspective, and we continue to get better in terms of our ability to source licensed staff across the organization.

Jared Haase (Equity Research Associate)

Helpful. And then, you know, kind of sticking with this theme of levers for margin expansion, another area I was hoping to hear an update on was, in the past, you kind of talked about rolling out group purchasing across the platform. Just was hoping to hear, you know, a little bit more color in terms of just how penetrated that is across your footprint of clinics, and then to what extent you see any kind of incremental leverage opportunities from continuing to consolidate purchasing.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, well, I mean, you have two, unfortunately, divergent factors. You have the rollout of group purchasing, which we've done, and is pretty complete, and then you have overlaid on that, just general inflation. And so I, I think it was the right thing to do. I think it was smart to do. We didn't get it done, you know, day one last year, so it rolled out across the year. So we'll see that carry forward. You saw some of that, probably a small, small part of that, show up in our total cost per visit last year. But look, we were, you know, inflation's been a little challenging, too, and so I'm sure that what we got, we gave some of that back in inflation. So that's not a big lever.

Our big focus is driving additional volume through our facilities, which give us a little overhead coverage and help us be a little bit more efficient, and that's really what it comes down to, more than anything else.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Yeah, and Jared just to add on that, I will say that you do gain operating leverage as you increase your volumes at your existing clinics, because the fixed costs remain relatively the same, right? So the incremental margin on those extra visits is higher than your overall margin. So that should help us as we go forward, if we can keep those costs in line or maybe even a little bit better and on a per visit basis as we go forward, which I think we can do.

Jared Haase (Equity Research Associate)

So then, again, very helpful color. And then maybe, we've kind of talked around some of the puts and takes to the outlook, in 2024. I guess maybe just to put a fine point on, when we think about kind of the low to high end of the range for adjusted EBITDA guidance in 2024, is the biggest swing factor, in your opinion, just sort of timing related to when you complete the M&A deals that are assumed in that outlook? Is it, you know, potentially some variance in your assumptions around the rate trends for the year? Just would love to unpack a little bit about that in terms of just what kind of drives that variance from the low to the high end.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, let me give Carey a break, and I'm gonna take that. I mean, guys, when you run a company, there are things every day that happen, and you try to control as many things as you can, and you try to have a great crystal ball. And, you know, when you're running close to 700 facilities and you're delivering care, I mean, you know, it's not all one plus one equals two every day. And so we have a series of things that we're very familiar with that we have to do well. We have to drive additional volume, volume that we're projecting for July and August and September of the year ahead. We have to get contracts updated and renewed and carry those contracts forward and bring in relatively the same mix or a slightly better mix of patients than we've had. None of that is certain.

All that requires an inordinate amount of work on everybody's part, clinically, locally, and operationally. And then we have the timing of acquisitions, which, as you point out, has some effect. You roll that all together, and we've given you the guidance that we've given you. We think we can do better than the bottom, and we think we'll be somewhere in that range, and we'll update as the year goes on according to how things are going, if we feel like, you know, we need to guide the market in a particular direction. So that's really all I can tell you right now. We're early in the year. We're off to a reasonably good start, albeit a little weather in January, but I think we can overcome that. We plan to overcome it as the year goes on.

You know, I wish I could tell you more by bucket, but it doesn't really work that way when, you know, when you're in real life.

Jared Haase (Equity Research Associate)

I appreciate all the details.

Operator (participant)

And once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one. We'll take our next question from Mike Petusky with Barrington Research. Your line is open.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Hey, Mike.

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Hey, good morning. Could I actually get the... I don't think you guys mentioned it, the actual payer mix for the quarter?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Sure, yeah. For the quarter, it was pretty similar. We had about 48% commercial, 32.5% workers' comp, and then, you know, the other three: Medicare, personal injury, self-pay, make up the rest.

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Carey, I'm sorry. At least on my end, you broke up on workers' comp. How much was workers' comp?

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Comp was 9, 9.5%. And then, so 48% commercial, 32% Medicare, 9.5% for workers' comp, and then the other categories make up the rest.

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay. And then, I guess maybe for Chris or somebody else in the room, on workers' comp, I know you guys have expressed, maybe over the last 2-4 quarters, some optimism around, you know, possibly changing the trajectory there and getting that back up into, you know, sort of the low double-digit range. Is that optimism still there, or is that just a tough needle to move? Because at one time, you did have that probably 12%-14% of overall revenue.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, it's not dead yet, Mike, but it's a, you know, it's a tough lift. And when you're growing, and we've been able to grow the whole business, it's tough to outgrow just one category. But we've done a lot of training, we've signed a lot of new contracts that should drive additional volume. Our partners are focused on it. Eric, you want to weigh in?

Eric Williams (COO)

Yeah, there were a lot of new agreements that were signed, and a lot of those took place at the tail end, you know, late Q3 and Q4. So we actually did see a pickup in Q4. Last year, in Q4, work comp was 9.2% of our mix, so up slightly from where we were. And I think the work and the things that we executed on late in 2023 are going to pay dividends to us in 2024. And there's a handful of additional agreements that are in process, that will also get executed as we go through first quarter into second quarter, that will pay dividends for us, we believe, in the back part of the year.

So this is an area that we continue to really focus hard on, not just from a volume perspective, but from a rate perspective as well. And we did get a nice pickup in rate year over year for our work comp business. So opportunity there, but as Chris pointed out, when the whole business is growing, it's really, you know, hard to outkick those other categories on a significant basis. But we are making progress here, and we expect better things in 2024.

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay. All right, great. And then just a quick question, I guess, on the lack of action in Washington and just the CMS cut this year. You know, in terms and I know, Chris, that you're very connected and a leader in the industry. I mean, is there sort of an argument to go back to CMS if you look at 2025 and essentially say, "Look, we've really sort of taken it, you know, for the last few years here," you know, and essentially make the argument that there was no relief in 2024, and that this streak should end at this point? I mean, has there been any talk, I guess, within the industry that there's got to be an end to this?

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Yeah, there's a, there's a lot of talk in the industry. I will tell you, CMS is a frustrating place. You know, we seem to have a lot more empathy in Congress. We're actually going to be in D.C., Nick and I, Nick, who serves as our Executive Director for APTQI, who also works with us, and a lot of our member company CEOs will be in Washington, in another month or so. And we'll meet with MedPAC, to talk about some of their scoring and their lack of ability to score true savers in the system, like, for instance, fall prevention is a saver. We know that if you can prevent a fall, we know measurably what the downstream savings look like, and they're spectacular level of savings.

Based on the rules, again, we're talking about the federal government now, and everything's got a million rules associated with. Based on the rules, MedPAC isn't able to score a saver as a saver. They have to score it as a coster. It's like it's a new add- than the prevention of a massive downstream expense. Doesn't make sense, and so there's a lot of coordination that needs to occur between the lawmaking side and the rulemaking side of government and CMS, and you know. So yeah, we're going to continue to beat the drum, we're going to continue to work with the APTA and APTQI and all the constituents and all the good people that I get to work with in those two organizations to push hard, and I think we will come out the other side and be okay.

To say it's not frustrating would be an understatement. I mean, it's been a frustrating period, but I think in everyone's heart, they know that physical therapy... And statistically, and according to a lot of good studies that are out right now, physical therapy is, should be the entry point for musculoskeletal care. If it is, it saves a massive amount of cost, and so we're gonna continue to beat that drum. My ability to absolutely predict what happens, I would say, is not great, but, you know, we're f- Did I lose you?

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Oh, no, I think I lost you. But thank you. That's great. And just one quick one. On the M&A that's included in the guidance, that's all... I'm assuming that's all PT, no injury prevention. Is that correct?

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Don't make that assumption.

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay, fair enough. All right. Thank you so much, and, nice, nice finish to the year. Thanks.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Now, I will say that for everybody's benefit, I mean, statistically speaking, while we've been active in injury prevention and expect to continue to be active, the majority of the deals that we get done are in the PT space, but you can expect us to be active in both.

Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Thanks.

Brian Tanquilut (Senior Analyst of Healthcare Services and HCIT and Digital Health Equity Research)

Thanks, Mike.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Sure.

Operator (participant)

It appears that we have no further questions at this time. I will now turn the program back over to our presenters for any additional or closing remarks.

Chris Reading (President and CEO)

Look, we really, truly appreciate your time and attention this morning. Carey and I are available later to answer questions, either today or, or later this week or next week. We appreciate your interest, and we hope you have a great day. Bye now.

Carey Hendrickson (CFO)

Thanks, everyone.

Operator (participant)

That concludes today's teleconference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.