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Veritex Holdings, Inc. (VBTX)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 delivered solid profitability and balance sheet strengthening: net income $31.0M, diluted EPS $0.56, NIM 3.30% and ROAA 0.96% with operating EPS $0.59 .
- Deposit remix and growth were a clear positive: total deposits rose $311.2M QoQ; noninterest-bearing deposits +$227.2M; loan-to-deposit ratio ex-warehouse fell to 81.9% (target sub-90%) .
- Credit quality improved: NPAs declined to 0.52% of assets (from 0.65% in Q2), net charge-offs were de minimis at 1bp annualized; ACL/LHI increased to 1.21% (1.30% ex-warehouse) .
- Management reiterated NIM guidance of 3.25%–3.30% for Q4 and indicated 2025 NIM likely “in the 3.20s” given asset sensitivity and deposit repricing plans; a $0.20 dividend was declared (payable Nov 22, 2024) .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: deposit growth at attractive costs, NIM stability, and credit normalization (NPAs down, NCOs minimal) versus elevated operating expense in Q3 driven by incentives and OREO costs .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Best quarter in the history of Veritex in attractively priced deposit production” with $397M raised at 2.84% average rate and wholesale reliance down to 15.7% .
- NIM expanded to 3.30% and management executed deposit pricing ahead of a Fed cut, achieving ~80% beta on transactional accounts; total interest-bearing deposit costs fell 30 bps QoQ .
- Credit improvement: NPAs fell to 0.52% of assets; OREO reduced from $24M to $9M via sale of a student housing property “without loss” to the bank; net charge-offs only $269K .
What Went Wrong
- Operating noninterest expense rose $7.0M QoQ to $70.1M, driven by higher incentive accruals (to 80% of target), OREO-related costs (~$1M), and marketing .
- Government-guaranteed loan income was softer, with USDA revenue under expectations; management is shifting mix toward SBA to recover to 2023 levels over time .
- Loan growth remained pressured by elevated payoffs; total LHI decreased $180.5M QoQ, and management expects continued payoff activity through Q4 and early 2025 .
Financial Results
Income Statement and EPS vs prior periods
Note: Total net revenue (NII + noninterest income) rose QoQ: $105.84M in Q3 2024 vs $106.81M in Q3 2023 and $106.81M in Q2 2024; calculated from reported NII and noninterest income .
Margins and Efficiency
Balance Sheet and Credit KPIs
Segment/Portfolio Mix (Loans & Deposits)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on deposits and balance sheet: “Deposits grew $311 million or 11.6% annualized, proving out our strategy to grow an attractively priced deposit funding sources.”
- CFO on NIM execution and guidance: “We believe the NIM will remain in the range of 3.25 to 3.30 over the remainder of '24... 2025... somewhere in the 3.20s.”
- CFO on hedges/earnings sensitivity: “The effect of this is $1 million a month in NIM... we have hundreds of millions of dollars of fixed received hedges that are going to help mitigate this.”
- CEO on credit progress: “OREO decreased from $24 million to $9 million... This sale was also the driver to a reduction in our NPAs... Charge-offs were nominal at $269,000.”
- CFO on expenses: “The $6 million increase... reflects us moving our accrual up to 80% of target... OREO expenses... Recognizing the need to improve our operating leverage... we engaged a national consulting firm.”
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth/payoffs: Expect heavier payoffs Q4/early ’25; pipelines strong in C&I but growth likely below mid-single digits given payoff activity .
- Margin mechanics: NIM guided 3.25–3.30 for Q4; 2025 likely “3.20s”; hedges mitigate some downside; floating loans ~75% of portfolio reset quickly with Fed moves .
- Deposit costs and remix: Spot cost interest-bearing ~4.38% and total deposits ~3.33%; continue reducing high-cost deposits and wholesale/public funds .
- Government-guaranteed revenue: SBA gaining momentum; USDA remains lumpy; plan to get back to 2023 total government-guaranteed revenue via heavier SBA mix .
- Capital and buybacks: Build capital “dry powder”; cautious on buyback at current valuation; CRE/ADC concentrations near targets, production resuming prudently .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve Wall Street consensus (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) from S&P Global but the service returned a daily request limit error; consensus estimates were unavailable at time of analysis [GetEstimates error].
- Without consensus, we cannot characterize beats/misses. Observed results: diluted EPS $0.56 and operating EPS $0.59, NIM 3.30%, ROAA 0.96%, reflecting QoQ improvement in earnings, margin, and credit metrics .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Deposit franchise strengthening is tangible: higher NIB mix, lower average costs, and reduced reliance on wholesale/public funds; expect continued remix to support NIM even in a cutting cycle .
- NIM is stabilizing at ~3.25–3.30 near term; 2025 likely mid-3.20s as assets reprice down—hedges and deposit repricing help mitigate downside .
- Credit normalization is advancing (NPAs down, NCOs minimal, ACL up), reducing earnings volatility from interest reversals and improving risk profile .
- Loan growth headwinds from heavy payoffs persist; mortgage warehouse should aid revenue, but growth will likely be modest near term .
- Operating expense elevated in Q3 due to incentives and OREO costs; management is pursuing structural efficiency via process/technology initiatives to improve operating leverage in 2025 .
- Capital and liquidity are strong (CET1 10.86%; total available liquidity ~$7.45B), providing strategic flexibility while supporting dividend continuity at $0.20/share .
- Near-term trading: narrative favors deposit cost tailwinds/NIM stability and credit improvement versus expense noise; medium-term thesis hinges on deposit franchise expansion, disciplined loan growth, and efficiency gains .
Sources: Q3 earnings release/8-K exhibits and investor presentation , Q3 earnings call transcript , Q2 press release and call for trend , Q1 call , dividend release .