Veru - Earnings Call - Q3 2025
August 12, 2025
Executive Summary
- VERU reported Q3 FY2025 with continued operating losses but improving OpEx: R&D fell to $3.02M and SG&A to $5.01M; operating loss narrowed to $7.55M from $10.55M YoY as the Phase 2b QUALITY study wound down. EPS was effectively in line with consensus at -$0.53 vs -$0.53 (S&P Global)*. Cash and equivalents declined to $15.01M, underscoring funding risk ahead of Phase 3.
- Clinical execution remained the quarter’s highlight: final topline from QUALITY and the Maintenance Extension showed 100% average lean mass preservation at 3mg, greater fat loss, fewer GI side effects vs semaglutide alone, and markedly lower weight/fat regain upon GLP‑1 discontinuation.
- The company selected a novel modified‑release oral enobosarm formulation with a distinct PK profile (lower Cmax, delayed Tmax, secondary peak) and IP runway potentially to 2046, supporting Phase 3 and commercialization plans.
- Key near‑term catalyst: FDA End‑of‑Phase‑2 clarity on endpoint/population/design expected in the Aug–Sep timeframe; management emphasized physical function as primary, and a two‑part design with de‑challenge/rescue elements for durability readouts.
- Balance sheet and listing maintenance remain watch items: management said cash at issuance date is not sufficient for 12 months, though enough into next calendar year; reverse split (1‑for‑10) executed August 8 to help maintain Nasdaq compliance.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- QUALITY and Maintenance Extension: 3mg enobosarm + semaglutide achieved 100% average lean mass preservation; dose‑dependent added fat loss; fewer GI side effects; after GLP‑1 discontinuation, enobosarm monotherapy significantly reduced weight regain and prevented fat regain, preserving lean mass.
- Clear differentiation narrative: “The efficacy and safety of Veru’s oral agent enobosarm looks better than any of the injectable myostatin inhibitors... Unlike our competitors, enobosarm has positive physical function data measured by stair climb power.” — Mitchell Steiner, CEO.
- Formulation/IP step forward: Selected modified‑release oral enobosarm (lower Cmax, delayed Tmax, secondary peak, similar AUC to IR) with patents filed; planned for Phase 3 and commercialization; collaboration with Laxxon/SPID® strengthens defensibility.
-
What Went Wrong
- Cash runway/funding overhang: Cash fell to $15.01M; management stated cash is not sufficient for the next 12 months, requiring additional capital to fund Phase 3.
- Persistent losses with no product revenue: Operating loss of $7.55M and net loss from continuing ops of $7.32M; P&L remains OpEx‑driven post sale of FC2 business.
- Listing risk mitigation signals fragility: Reverse split (1‑for‑10) to regain/maintain Nasdaq bid compliance underscores equity sensitivity amid upcoming capital needs.
Transcript
Speaker 1
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Veru Inc.'s investors conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After this morning's discussion, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Michael Purvis, Veru Inc.'s General Counsel and Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy. Please go ahead. The statements made on this conference call may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include, but are not necessarily limited to, statements of the company's plans, objectives, expectations, or intentions regarding its business operations, regulatory interactions, finances, and development and product portfolio.
Such forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, and our actual results may differ significantly from those projected, suggested, or included in any forward-looking statements. Risks that may cause actual results or developments to differ materially are contained in our 10-Q and 10-K SEC filings, as well as in our press releases from time to time. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Dr. Mitchell Steiner, Veru Inc.'s Chairman, CEO, and President.
Speaker 0
Thank you, Michael. Good morning. With me in this morning's call are Dr. Gary Barnette, Chief Scientific Officer, Michele Greco, the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer, and Michael Purvis, the General Counsel and Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy. Thank you for joining our Q3 fiscal year 2025 earnings call. Veru Inc. is a late clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel medicines for the treatment of cardiometabolic and inflammatory diseases. Our drug development program consists of two clinical stage drug candidates: Inovasarm and Sabizabulin. Inovasarm is an oral selective androgen receptor modulator, also known as SARM, and is being developed as a novel drug that makes GLP-1 receptor agonist weight reduction more tissue selective by preserving lean mass, which is muscle, while causing greater fat loss in older patients who are overweight or have obesity.
Sabizabulin is an oral microtubule disruptor being developed as a broad anti-inflammatory agent to reduce fast vascular plaque inflammation and slow the progression or promote the regression of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. This morning, we'll focus our update only on our chronic weight loss management program. As defined by FDA, obesity is a disease of excess body adiposity or fat. Therefore, the medical objective to treat obesity by weight reduction drug or drugs in combination should be to reduce the excess body fat, not lean mass, to improve the morbidity and mortality associated with obesity. GLP-1 receptor agonists have been shown to produce significant weight loss in patients who are overweight or have obesity. Unfortunately, the weight loss is tissue non-selective and the indiscriminate loss of both fat and lean mass. Of the total weight loss, up to 50% of the total weight loss is attributable to lean mass.
We must do a better job of getting rid of fat tissue only. As we previously presented the clinical data as they became available for our phase 2 program, I will now present a summary of all of these important findings. Now, we have demonstrated in the phase 2b QUALITY study that Inovasarm is a next-generation drug that makes GLP-1 receptor agonist weight loss more tissue selective for fat loss while preserving lean mass and physical function. In January of 2025, the company announced positive top-line efficacy data results from the phase 2b QUALITY clinical study, which is a multi-center, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized dose-finding clinical trial designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of Inovasarm 3 milligrams, Inovasarm 6 milligrams, or placebo as a treatment to augment fat loss and prevent muscle loss in 168 older patients greater than 60 years of age receiving semaglutide for chronic weight management.
Inovasarm plus semaglutide group met the primary endpoint of the study with a statistically significant 100% average preservation of total lean mass compared to placebo plus semaglutide at 16 weeks, and that p-value is less than 0.001. Inovasarm plus semaglutide treatment resulted in a dose-dependent greater loss of fat compared to placebo plus semaglutide, with the Inovasarm 6 milligram dose having a 42% greater relative loss of fat mass compared to the placebo semaglutide group at 16 weeks, and that p-value is 0.017. Inovasarm 3 milligram group had a 12% greater fat loss. Even with having preserved the lean mass, the Inovasarm plus semaglutide treatment resulted in a similar mean body weight loss as semaglutide alone at 16 weeks.
The tissue composition of the total body weight loss was 34% lean mass and 66% fat mass for the placebo plus semaglutide group, whereas it was 0% lean mass and 100% fat mass for the Inovasarm 3 milligrams plus semaglutide group. Physical function was measured by the stair-climb test. Responders' analysis was conducted using greater than the 10% decline in stair-climb power as a cutoff at 16 weeks, which represents approximately seven to eight years' loss of stair-climb power that naturally occurs with aging. The phase 2b QUALITY clinical trial is the first human study to demonstrate that older patients who are overweight or have obesity receiving semaglutide are at higher risk for accelerated loss of physical function, as 44.8% of the placebo plus semaglutide group had at least a 10% decline in stair-climb power physical function at 16 weeks.
Inovasarm treatment preserved the lean mass, which translated into a reduction in the proportion of patients that had a clinically significant stair-climb physical function decline, with 17.6% of the Inovasarm 3 milligram plus semaglutide group having at least a 10% decline in stair-climb power function at 16 weeks, which is a 59.8% relative reduction in a proportion of patients that lost at least 10% stair-climb power compared to the placebo semaglutide group, and that p-value is 0.006. In May of 2025, the company announced that Inovasarm and semaglutide combination had a positive safety profile in the phase 2b QUALITY clinical trial. Now, after the trial participants completed the efficacy dose-finding portion of the phase 2b QUALITY clinical trial, 148 participants continued to the phase 2b maintenance extension study.
This is a double-blind study where all patients discontinued semaglutide treatment but continued receiving placebo, Inovasarm 3 milligrams, or Inovasarm 6 milligrams as monotherapy for 12 weeks. In June of 2025, the company announced positive top-line efficacy and safety results in the maintenance extension portion of the phase 2b QUALITY clinical study that showed that Inovasarm significantly reduced body weight regain, prevented fat regain, and preserved lean mass after semaglutide discontinuation. As a point of reference, at the end of the phase 2b QUALITY study active weight loss period of 16 weeks, body weight loss was similar across treatment groups, with the semaglutide plus placebo group losing an average of about 11.88 pounds.
After the 12-week maintenance extension period where all treatment groups discontinued semaglutide, the placebo monotherapy group regained 43% of the body weight that was previously lost during the phase 2b QUALITY study for a mean percentage change of 2.57%, which is 5 pounds, compared to 1.41%, which is 2.73 pounds for the 3 milligram group, and that p-value is 0.038, and 2.87%, which is 5.29 pounds for the 6 milligram Inovasarm group. This means that the 3 milligram Inovasarm monotherapy significantly reduced the body weight regain by 46% after discontinuation of semaglutide. By the way, the mean tissue composition of the body weight regained was 100% lean mass in both the 3 milligram and 6 milligram groups, whereas it was 28% fat and 72% lean mass in the placebo group.
Inovasarm plus semaglutide, followed by Inovasarm monotherapy regimen, was more effective in preserving lean mass and causing and maintaining greater loss of fat by the end of the study. The placebo plus semaglutide, followed by placebo monotherapy group, experienced loss of lean mass, while the Inovasarm plus semaglutide group, followed by Inovasarm monotherapy group, significantly preserved more than 100% of lean mass, with the Inovasarm 3 milligram p-value less than 0.001 and Inovasarm 6 milligrams p-value equals 0.004. The Inovasarm plus semaglutide, followed by Inovasarm monotherapy patients, had a 58% greater loss of fat with Inovasarm 3 milligrams, p-value of 0.085, and 93% greater loss of fat with Inovasarm 6 milligrams, and that p-value is 0.008 compared to placebo plus semaglutide, followed by placebo monotherapy. Adverse events and adverse events of special interest in this double-blind phase 2b maintenance extension trial: Inovasarm monotherapy had a positive safety profile.
After discontinuation of semaglutide, there was essentially no gastrointestinal side effects, no evidence of drug-induced liver injury by Heislaw, and no increases in obstructive sleep apnea observed at any dose of Inovasarm compared to placebo monotherapy. There were no adverse events of increases in prostate-specific antigen in men, and there were no adverse events related to masculinization in women, and there were no reports of suicidal ideation observed. In summary, the phase 2b QUALITY maintenance extension clinical trial confirms that preserving lean mass with Inovasarm plus semaglutide led to greater fat loss during the active weight loss period, and after semaglutide was discontinued, Inovasarm monotherapy significantly prevented the regain of both weight and fat mass during the maintenance period, such that by the end of the study, there was greater loss of fat mass while preserving lean mass for a higher quality weight reduction compared to the placebo group.
On August 11, 2025, the company announced the selection of a novel modified-release oral formulation for chronic weight management, chronic weight loss management following a pharmacokinetic clinical study. A single dose open-label pilot study evaluated the plasma concentrations versus the time profile of a proprietary patentable modified-release formulation of Inovasarm 3 milligrams. The new formulation demonstrated the intended distinct target product release profile, which includes a reduction in maximum plasma concentration, which is called Cmax, a delayed time to maximum plasma concentration called Tmax, and a distinct secondary peak concentration and a similar extent of absorption, which is called AUC, compared to historical values for Inovasarm immediate release capsules. The novel modified-release oral Inovasarm formulation is planned to be available for the phase 3 clinical study and for commercialization.
The novel Inovasarm oral formulation's unique manufacturing process is protected by issued global patents with protection through 2037, and the new patents on the novel modified-release oral Inovasarm formulation itself have been filed and have issued. Expiry is expected to be in 2046. We expect regulatory clarity for the GLP-1 receptor agonist and Inovasarm combination phase 3 clinical program as we have had an end-of-phase-2 FDA meeting scheduled this quarter. We will hear this quarter. The proposed indication is Inovasarm is a selective androgen receptor modulator indicated as an adjunct to GLP-1 receptor agonist therapy, a reduced-calorie diet, and increased physical activity in chronic weight management for greater reduction in fat mass, preservation of physical function, and preservation of lean mass in older, greater than 60 years of age, adult patients with obesity.
During our previous pre-IND FDA meeting, FDA provided general comments about a regulatory path forward for Inovasarm as a drug that improves body composition during chronic weight management, including input on the phase 3 clinical program design. We have some preliminary information, previous information that we've received from the FDA when we started with our pre-IND meeting. Some of these FDA comments from the pre-IND meeting were Inovasarm in combination with an approved incretin drug, so like a GLP-1, needs to show that there's some stabilization in lean mass that's clinically meaningful. Imaging-based changes in lean mass would need to be directly linked to improvements in how a patient feels, functions, and survives in order to support the indication related to preservation of lean mass. Improvement in stair-climb performance measure is clinically meaningful.
That's one way to do it and would need to be linked to observed improvements in lean mass rather than weight loss itself. Stair-climb test has been accepted by the FDA, again, as a point of reference for previous drug approvals and pivotal trials. For the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy, and also pivotal phase 3 cancer detection studies that we, for the 504 and 505 lung cancer studies, have used stair-climb as a primary endpoint in a phase 3 program. Finally, we're focusing our phase 3 clinical program on an older population that could benefit from a weight reduction drug for chronic weight management, but who are at higher risk for muscle weakness and falls because of age-related loss of muscle.
In general, there's 47.4 million patients over the age of 60 enrolled in Medicare Part D, of which 41.5% of them could benefit from a drug for overweight or obesity. Furthermore, up to 34.4% of patients over the age of 60 with obesity in the United States have what's called sarcopenic obesity. Sarcopenic obesity means these are patients who have obesity and low muscle mass at the same time and are potentially at the greatest risk for developing critically low muscle mass when taking a currently approved GLP-1 receptor agonist. Although older patients represent a large market alone, success in this patient population could be segued into the combination of Inovasarm and GLP-1 treatment in younger patients who have obesity as well as diabetic and frailty populations. We're looking forward to receiving the FDA regulatory clarity for this novel unmet medical need soon.
I will now turn the call over to Michele Greco, CFO/CAO, to discuss the financial highlights. Michele.
Speaker 6
Thank you, Dr. Steiner. On August 8th, 2025, the company effected a one-for-ten reverse stock split of its issued and outstanding common stock. As a result of the reverse split, each 10 shares of issued and outstanding common stock were automatically converted into one share of common stock. The reverse stock split did not change the total number of shares authorized or par value per share. The reverse stock split was approved by the company's shareholders on July 25th, 2025. All share and per-share amounts presented in our financial statements as of June 30th, 2025 have been retroactively adjusted for all periods presented. There were no fractional shares issued in connection with the reverse stock split. Now, reviewing the results for the three months ended June 30th, 2025, research and development costs decreased to $3 million from $4.8 million in the prior quarter.
The decrease is due primarily to the wind-down of the company's phase 2b QUALITY clinical study for Inovasarm as a treatment to augment fat loss and to prevent muscle loss, which was completed during the quarter ended June 30th, 2025. The company initiated the phase 2b QUALITY clinical study during the quarter ended June 30th, 2024. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $5 million compared to $5.8 million in the prior quarter. The decrease is primarily due to a decrease in share-based compensation. We recognized the gain on sale of ENTADFI assets of $485,000 compared to $110,000 in the prior quarter. The gain represents non-refundable consideration received related to promissory notes due to Veru.
The bottom line result for continuing operations was a net loss of $7.3 million or $0.50 per diluted common share compared to a net loss of $10.3 million or $0.71 per diluted common share in the prior year's quarter. Net loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes related to the FC2 female condom business, which was sold on December 30th, 2024, was $9,700 or $0.00 per diluted common share compared to a net loss of $629,000 or $0.04 per diluted common share in the prior quarter. The net loss from discontinued operations during the current quarter represents changes in an estimate made at the time of the FC2 business sale, while the net loss for the prior year quarter represents the operations of the FC2 business during that period.
Now, turning to the results for the nine months ended June 30, 2025, research and development costs increased to $12.7 million from $9.5 million in the prior period. The increase is due to $4.5 million incurred related to the company's phase 2b QUALITY clinical study for Inovasarm as a treatment to augment fat loss and to prevent muscle loss, partially offset by a decrease in expenditures related to the company's other drug development programs that were terminated in previous years. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $15.4 million compared to $18.4 million in the prior period. The decrease is primarily due to a decrease in share-based compensation. We recognize a gain on sale of ENTADFI assets of $2.2 million compared to a gain of $1 million in the prior period, which is based on non-refundable consideration received related to promissory notes due to Veru Inc.
In conjunction with the sale of the FC2 female condom business, we reported a gain on extinguishment of debt of $8.6 million related to the termination of the SWK Holdings residual royalty agreement. This represents the difference between the change of control payment of $4.2 million and the net carrying amount of the extinguished debt of $12.8 million, which included an embedded derivative for the change of control provision at fair value of $4.7 million. The bottom line results for continuing operations were the net loss of $17 million or $1.16 per diluted common share compared to a net loss of $26.7 million or $2.04 per diluted common share in the prior period.
Net loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes related to the FC2 business, was $7.2 million or $0.49 per diluted common share, including the $4.3 million loss on the sale of the FC2 business compared to a net loss of $2.6 million or $0.20 per diluted common share in the prior period. The increase in the net loss from discontinued operations of $4.6 million is due to the loss on the sale of the FC2 female condom business of $4.3 million and the increase in the loss from the change in fair value of derivative liabilities of $3.2 million, partially offset by a decrease in selling, general, and administrative expenses of $3.9 million. The purchase price for the sale of the FC2 business was $18 million in cash, subject to adjustments as set forth in the purchase agreement for the transaction.
Net proceeds from the sale of the FC2 female condom business were approximately $16.3 million after selling costs and other purchase price adjustments, but before a change of control payment of $4.2 million owed to SWK Holdings pursuant to a residual royalty agreement for a 2018 financing transaction. The loss on the sale of the FC2 female condom business is approximately $4.3 million. The difference between the estimated net proceeds of $16.3 million and the total carrying value of the FC2 business of $20.6 million. The sale of the FC2 female condom business represented a change in strategy, allowing the company to focus all its efforts exclusively on drug development. Now, looking at our balance sheet, as of June 30, 2025, our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash balance was $15 million compared to $24.9 million as of September 30, 2024.
The restricted cash as of June 30, 2025, was $354,000 related to the sale of the FC2 female condom business. Our net working capital was $9.5 million on June 30, 2025, compared to $23.4 million on September 30, 2024. The company is not profitable and has had negative cash flow from operations. We will need additional capital to support our drug development candidates. Based upon the company's current operating plan, our cash as of the issuance date of these financial statements is not sufficient for the company to fund operations for the next 12 months. However, we have sufficient capital to take the company into the next calendar year, which is beyond obtaining regulatory clarity from the FDA end-of-phase-2 meeting for the Inovasarm clinical program.
During the nine months ended June 30, 2025, we used cash of $24.6 million for operating activities, compared with $17.3 million used for operating activities in the prior period. We generated cash from investing activities of $18.9 million for the nine months ended June 30, 2025, compared to $15,000 from investing activities in the prior period. The cash generated in the current year relates to proceeds from the sale of the FC2 female condom business of $16.3 million, proceeds of $2.2 million from the sale of the ENTADFI assets, and proceeds of $393,000 from the sale of Onconetics Equity Securities. We used cash in financing activities for the nine months ended June 30, 2025, of $4.2 million related to the change of control payment pursuant to the residual royalty agreement, which terminated in conjunction with the sale of the FC2 female condom business.
In the prior period, we generated $36.8 million from financing activities. Now, I'd like to turn the call back to Dr. Steiner. Dr. Steiner?
Speaker 0
Thank you, Michele. With that, I'll now open the call to questions. Operator?
Speaker 1
Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, we ask that you please pick up your handset before pressing the keys to ensure the best sound quality. To withdraw your question, please press star, then two. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you have further questions, you may re-enter the question queue. Once again, that is star, then one to rejoin the question queue. We will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question comes from Dennis Ding with Jefferies LLC. Please go ahead.
Speaker 4
Good morning. This is Anthea on for Dennis. Thank you for taking our questions.
Speaker 0
Absolutely.
Speaker 4
I have two questions, if I may.
Speaker 0
Sure.
Speaker 4
On the modified-release oral formulation of Inovasarm, could you talk a little bit about if this new formulation still allows for fixed dose combinations, particularly with oral GLP-1s, potentially down the road? On partnering XUS, any updates there? Have you presented potential partners or had conversations about the novel formulation given there is a stronger IP there? Thank you.
Speaker 0
Great. Thank you for the question. Yes, the answer is, you know, we're a small molecule. As you know, Lilly or Forxiga has a small molecule, and they like small molecules because of the fact they're easy to make and not dealing with cold storage like you do with proteins. They got into trouble, both Lilly and Novo Nordisk got into trouble because they couldn't keep up with the demand with a protein, whereas small molecules could easily plug that into contract manufacturers to get your supply. There is a lot, and the idea is at some point pricing can be more competitive. You get to more patients. There is a real push to go into oral weight loss. Oral weight loss drugs, GLP-1 drugs, GLP-1 receptor agonist targets also have the problem of muscle loss. You could imagine a fixed combination with Inovasarm.
Yes, the answer is it can be done and could add additional patent life. You have additional patent life of just having the formulation itself. To have that formulation with a fixed combination with a GLP-1 could be very interesting. It definitely can be done. As it relates to partnership discussions, yes, we have been, as I mentioned before, we have been talking to partners. The way to think about it is really two buckets of partners. One is the, you know, interestingly, there's a lot of noise about the market, but really on the market, there's only two main players: Novo Nordisk and Lilly. All the others are trying to get their product approved or further down in the pipeline in development. With that said, yes, we are talking to partners in the marketplace.
Also, the second bucket of partners, potential partners, Big Pharma trying to get into the space, and third, potential partners that we're reaching out and having discussions of partners that, you know, the 70 companies plus that are working on a GLP-1 of some sort. Most of them don't have much to differentiate themselves. Again, all of them will have the same issue with lean mass. Maybe oral would differentiate them. Maybe a long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist instead of once a week, once a month, or something like that could be interesting. To differentiate themselves, if they could have a combination therapy with our drug so that they can address the lean mass loss and have the GLP-1 benefits, could be interesting as well. That's another bucket of folks that we're talking to as well. We're very active.
Our position at this point is to keep those discussions going along and so that we can, you know, secure non-dilutive dollars, you know, for funding the future studies.
Speaker 4
Great. Thank you.
Speaker 0
Thank you.
Speaker 1
Your next question comes from Gary Nachman with Raymond James. Please go ahead.
Speaker 2
Thanks, and good morning. Mitch, what are your expectations for the end-of-phase-2 meeting with FDA and the phase 3 design that you'll propose to them that you outlined before, where there might be any pushback if there is any, if it would be on the functional endpoint or patient population or maybe something else? How will you communicate the outcome of that meeting? Will you wait for the minutes first, or will you talk about it sooner with the investment community? I have a follow-up.
Speaker 0
Great. I'm going to ask Dr. Gary Barnette to address your first question about our expectations with what we consider a win for the FDA meeting. He's our Chief Scientific Officer that heads up our regulatory. Gary, would you like to comment?
Speaker 3
Sure. As you know, the key to all discussions and interactions with the FDA is obtaining clarity. The FDA has given us clarity before. We want to confirm that clarity on the endpoint, the population, the dose, etc. I think the FDA is going to continue to present to us and tell us that a physical function measurement is going to be required. It won't be an incremental weight loss. I think that would be a win. I think that the population, if I had to pick one area where the FDA would want to expand, and they've already told us this one time, is that if you are retaining muscle in this patient population, all subjects lose muscle on a GLP-1 or lose mass on GLP-1 or a treatment.
We have focused on the older population, the greater than 60, because we believe, and I think the FDA does as well, that this patient population is the highest risk. However, we also do understand that younger patients could benefit from maintaining lean mass and physical function. I think that would be the biggest pushback from the agency, to really expand this because they do and have said that they believe that Inovasarm could benefit all the patient population, the entire patient population, not just the older population.
Speaker 0
Yeah. As a result to how we plan to communicate the feedback from the FDA, as you know, you have your meeting, preliminary comments, and then you have the opportunity to have further discussion. Based on that further discussion, you have to wait for them to put it back officially in writing. I would say I would guide everybody that, you know, a September timeframe, end of August, September timeframe, it's probably the timeframe that we should be looking for the FDA clarity. As you know, once we get the FDA clarity, then we'll have a much better understanding of phase 3 design and what that means in terms of capital needs and that kind of stuff. At this point now, the good news is we've got great data, and we've got great data in the relevant population. We have, you know, the FDA meeting has been granted.
The package has been sent way back when so that everything's cooking. We are the first. I mean, I know that you've seen results from Scholaroc and from Regeneron and also from VERSANIS, which is part of Lilly. You know what you saw in those results is lean mass is kind of hard to hold on to. These GLP-1s are pretty powerful. Incremental weight loss doesn't occur in, you know, at least six months or sooner. If you go to a year, you're 72 weeks, you'll see incremental weight loss. You know sooner than that, you don't. You're holding on to lean mass. You're burning more fat to keep the same weight loss. We learned a lot of information. Now we're just waiting for the regulatory parts so that we can have full understanding of how to take a drug like this into this massive market.
I think you said you had a follow-up.
Speaker 2
Yeah. Just on the modified-release oral formulation with a reduction in Cmax and delayed Tmax, would you arguably have an even better side effect profile than the current formulation? How are you confident it'll have the overall same efficacy as the IR? What do you have to show FDA for them to allow that new formulation in the phase 3? Thanks.
Speaker 0
Okay, Gary, can I ask you to address that?
Speaker 3
Yeah, sure. You know, the safety profile of Inovasarm is very good. As we all know, reducing Cmax and delayed Tmax is something the FDA looks at. If anything, it will have a better safety profile, but it's hard to make better on what we already have. What we're doing is we've run the pilot study, and we will be conducting a formal relative bioavailability study. That is what the FDA is going to look at. As far as the efficacy goes, efficacy in general for this kind of molecule is dependent on the extent of absorption. That means the area under the plasma concentration time curve, that is the key piece. We are similar between the immediate release capsule formulations and our current modified-release formulations. We believe efficacy is going to be similar with, if anything, a better safety profile due to the lower Cmax levels.
Speaker 0
You're able to bridge by the study that shows that the AUCs are similar.
Speaker 3
That's right.
Speaker 0
Okay. You'll show that the bioavailability study to them at the end-of-phase-2 meeting, I presume?
Speaker 3
We will be showing it to them as time goes on. The end-of-phase-2 meeting is really focused on the trial design, or the meeting we're having with the agency is really focused on the trial design with follow-up discussion on the formulation.
Speaker 0
Okay. Got it. All right, thank you very much.
Speaker 2
Thank you.
Speaker 1
Your next question comes from William Wood with B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead.
Speaker 5
Thank you for taking our questions and congrats on the quarter, team.
Speaker 0
I have just thinking about the sort of the phase 3 design. I know this will come up more at the end-of-phase-2 meeting this quarter. It looks like based on at least the proposed 68-week trial design, it's incorporating sort of two RCTs that are sort of combined together, incorporating a dropout portion. What may be also described as an add-on portion, will patients come on or off Inovasarm? Testing what happens after these sort of changes occur. I guess, could you just discuss this plan, maybe where this sort of, maybe where you sort of came up with this and what you've incorporated from any peers' learnings thus far and into these designs and endpoints? Maybe what endpoints you'll be focused on, including cardiometabolic, that may be incorporated in this test?
I'll make a comment, and then I'll have Dr. Gary Barnette answer the bulk of those questions since he's a gentleman that came up with, I think, a brilliant trial design. In general, the idea was we had a very successful phase 2b study in 168 patients. The idea for the phase 3 is, especially with physical function being the primary endpoint, let's not change too many things because we had a very successful physical function endpoint. As you know, physical function has been a real problem for other compounds, particularly myosin inhibitors show function. The lean mass that they put on may not be as functional as a lean mass you put on using the androgen receptor, which is how testosterone puts on lean mass. We know testosterone improves performance, and Inovasarm does the same, so it's no surprise.
We want to take advantage of our strength, no pun intended, and make sure that the trial design matches as much as possible what we've already done. With that said, there are some other features that Dr. Gary Barnette built into the study that I think will help us understand the efficacy and safety a lot better. Gary?
Speaker 3
Yeah. In Inovasarm, we have really these two buckets of efficacy parameters. One is the shorter term, the lean mass, the physical function, the fat mass, the changes in body composition. Then there's a longer term. The two longer-term assessments are incremental weight loss, which you asked about what we've learned from others. Certainly, we see that from VERSANIS. Lilly, the MAGRAMAB product, showed incremental weight loss after 72 weeks, not so much in the earlier points. The other is bone. We believe that Inovasarm is going to have a positive effect on bone mineral density, and it takes 9 to 12 months for that to really be seen. As Mitch said, we want to keep the shorter term, the lean mass, the physical function, the fat mass, those parameters in this short-term study to mimic and replicate what we've already done in the phase 2, which is very successful.
We also want to have this longer-term assessment for bone, incremental weight loss, and also safety. The design we've come up with is to implement that. We have the double-blind randomizable, seed load control, first part, up to the efficacy portions for lean mass, fat mass, and physical function. We re-randomize the subjects so that we have really, I think we have two groups. One group continuing on Inovasarm plus the GLP-1 for the entire 12-plus months. One group on placebo plus GLP-1 for the entire 12-plus months. We have two other groups. One is a de-challenge group. You imagine, if you will, you have a patient population that is on Inovasarm plus GLP-1 for the first part of the study. We see maintenance of lean mass, maintenance of physical function, increased fat mass, and then you take the Inovasarm away. What happens?
I believe that the patient will start losing lean mass, etc., and that's what we're going to show with the de-challenge. If you look at the FDA's guidances and rules and so on and so forth, that's one of the parameters or one of the ways you assess efficacy is to de-challenge a patient. The other one is what I'm going to call a rescue. In the placebo group, you have patients that in the first part of the study have lost lean mass, lost fat mass, of course, and lost physical function. Now we're going to take some of that, a proportion of those patients, and actually add Inovasarm to rescue the population. This would mimic a population that's already on lean mass or already on GLP-1s, have a deficit of some sort, and now we're going to give them Inovasarm.
Instead of de novo patients, give them Inovasarm and then rescue them. We expect to see an increase in lean mass, further decreases in fat mass, hopefully further decreases in, we believe, further decreases in body weight, and then maintenance or return of physical function. That's the design we've come up with and proposed to the agency. It really encapsulates the short-term efficacy, the long-term efficacy, and safety, and then this de-challenge and rescue portions that I think is innovative. If you think about how this administration is trying to optimize drug development, make drug development more streamlined, more and more informative, I think this study does all those things.
Speaker 5
Appreciate that extra color. Just one more if I may, in terms of expectations on where we may expect the full data from both the induction and the maintenance trials, I'm assuming that's going to be upcoming at a conference later this year. Maybe if you could sort of point us in the direction on where we might be expecting that and then what additional color we may gain at those presentations. Thank you.
Speaker 0
Yeah. At this point now, we're targeting Obesity Week. Abstracts have been submitted. We have not heard back yet because it's still later in the fall. I think it's November or something like that. That will be able to provide more data that we have not provided yet. That will be in the format in a scientific meeting. Of course, beyond that, it will be publications. I think the next major data point will be in a scientific meeting, will be Obesity Week.
Speaker 5
Awesome. Thanks again for taking our questions and congrats.
Speaker 0
Sure, thank you very much.
Speaker 1
Your next question comes from Leland Gershell with Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Please go ahead.
Speaker 5
All right. Good morning, Mitch. Thanks for the update and congrats on the progress you've been making. I just have a couple of questions on the new formulation. As we await issuance of the patents from those applications, I just want to know if you could share the degree to which your observations were novel and unanticipated based on the technology involved, and because of the confidence that you'll get those patents allowed, also speaking to the defensibility of those patents against potential generic violence down the road. Thanks.
Speaker 0
Gary Barnette and myself have the double team on that one too. I would say that one of the beautiful things about having a novel formulation and a novel formulation formed by existing patents and new patents because of the formulation, it gives you a lot of, almost like a composition of matter type patent because the delivery of the drug is different. Because it's different, two things. One is the fact that people have to, I think you're referring to generics, have to match that up. The technology used is almost like a 3D printing technology where you have multiple layers of a drug being applied. It makes it almost impossible for someone to design around that. That's the power of that technology. We use a very reputable company called Maxon Medical, and this is what they do.
We knew that to really button up our patent portfolio, which is just to remind everybody, we do have composition of matter for polymorphs that run out in 2034 if you add the PTO. We have method-of-use patents that will run out in 2044. We have gotten some preliminary feedback from the International Patent Office that their search showed that the claims are novel and there's no prior art. It feels pretty good. That can be highly defensible. I mean, Verona Pharma and also Chinook had those kinds of patents, and they were taken out for multibillion dollars. Finally, the formulation patents, which I think are key, especially since we plan to use them only in phase 3 and in commercial. That's the key point. Maybe, Gary, you can comment on what makes it different from a patent protection standpoint.
Speaker 3
Yeah. It's not an immediate release formulation we've used in the past. We specifically designed this controlled release formulation that optimizes where the molecule or the Inovasarm is released in the GI tract, etc., and how long it's retained there, and it has what I believe is optimized the pharmacokinetic profile for optimal efficacy and safety. As we've talked about before, that's novel. It's new. It's not consistent with any of the, you know, it's different, I should say, from the immediate release formulations that we've used. However, from an efficacy standpoint, it's not different from an AUC standpoint, which I've talked about before, which is the key to the efficacy of this type of molecule.
Speaker 0
For the FDA, AUC is important. For generics, it's a whole PK profile because they have to match the Cmax and they have to match the AUC exactly. They have certain parameters they have to hit. By changing that and actually even including a second peak and changing the Tmax, which is how things get released and the time to get released, it becomes really difficult to crack that nut.
Speaker 5
Got it. Okay. That's very helpful. Just a question on the phase 3. Presumably, you'll be building in open-label extension beyond the phase 3b. Just wondering if there's any need that you think from a regulatory standpoint for any additional safety exposure work or if that's pretty much buttoned up with the phase 3 and the prior work you've done with Inovasarm. Thank you.
Speaker 0
Gary?
Speaker 3
At this point in time, we have not designed in an open-label monotherapy extension to the study. We believe if you look at the FDA's requirements for non-life-threatening, non-acute dosing, we believe that we will be in compliance with their safety database that they have documented in their guidances and regulations. We do not believe that there is a need for an open-label extension for safety reasons. We might add something in later on; right now, the design does not include it. We could add some sort of an extension later if there's a need from a commercial standpoint, a potential partner, or the FDA asks us to. Right now, we've not designed anything like that.
Speaker 5
Great, thanks very much.
Speaker 0
Thank you.
Speaker 1
Your next question comes from Yi Chen with H.C. Wainwright & Co. Please go ahead.
Speaker 5
Hi. This is Eduardo on for Yi. I had a quick question again. It's on the phase 3 trial. You mentioned a particular benefit among patients that can be sarcopenic or have osteoporosis. I'm curious if you have any target benchmark for including a specific fraction of the patient population to have those specific comorbidities, or if you're just hoping by happenstance, you know, naturally by recruiting from this population, you'll get some fraction of them.
Speaker 0
I'll make a comment, and I'll invite Gary to make a comment as well. Initially, we thought about that. Then it became, we said, you know, this may be really super screened patients for patients that have sarcopenia or mobility disability as your screening inclusion/exclusion type criteria. Then we realized that, you know, hold on. That may not be fair because we do know that patients over the age of 60 lose muscle, and as they age, they lose even more muscle. This is not our first rodeo. Previously, we've done studies in our former company, where Gary Barnette and myself and others have been involved, where Inovasarm originated, where we did work in frailty, we did work in cancer wasting. We have a pretty good understanding of the patient population, particularly the frail patient population.
We took a bet that we would be able to see detriment in the GLP-1 in a patient population that all we did was pick patients over the age of 60 that took a GLP-1. We learned a lot. The first thing we learned is that GLP-1 is pretty toxic to muscle, period. There's a lot of clues to that that we'll publish on because I think that's very, very important. I mean, so much so that even the competitors of myosin inhibitors, the best they can do is about 50% to 60% present lean, and we were able to hit 100%. It's tough in a low-calorie state to hold on to lean. Inovasarm was able to do that. What we've learned in our patient population is that 44% of these patients had a decline in stair-climb power of greater than 10%.
Essentially, they lost seven to eight years of stair-climb power in 16 weeks. I think we have the right patient population as it relates to muscle without having to cut the patient population even tighter. With bone, same thing. We already know the patients over the age of 60 start to lose bone. We also have some clues from the Wegovy label that if you're over the age of 75, they saw a four to five-fold increase in hip fractures and pelvic fractures. It's not just loss of bone, but the next bad thing that can happen, and the whole reason you worry about loss of bone is the falls and fractures and pelvic fractures and hip fractures are, unfortunately, a kiss of death for older patients. I think the patient population is ideal. I'll let Gary answer it in order to see you think.
Speaker 3
Yeah. I will answer the muscle and the bone differently. The muscle, what we're really talking about here is drug-induced loss of lean mass and so on and so forth. We believe that with lean mass, we're talking about changes from baseline. A patient that may not be completely sarcopenic, and remember, there's various definitions of sarcopenia, that may not be completely sarcopenic at baseline, they go on a GLP-1, they become sarcopenic. That's what we're trying to prevent with the study and with the drug. We believe that if we stratify the populations correctly based on age and gender and maybe some other things, we can account for that and gain enough population of each different, meaning patients that have sarcopenia coming in versus not, etc., to be able to analyze it meaningfully.
From a bone perspective, remember, about 70%, the FDA requires that 70% of our study be female, or meaning one of the genders, at least 30% of each gender. 70% of our population is going to be female. That's the way it worked out in our phase 2, and I believe that's the way it'll work out in the phase 3. With 70% of that population being female, I believe that with the prevalence and incidence of osteopenia and osteoporosis in that population, even in the obese population, we'll have sufficient numbers to evaluate bone mineral density changes and the effect of Inovasarm in that population, if that makes sense.
Speaker 0
Yeah. Just to add to that, if you go, again, go back to the Wegovy label, I made the comment that males over the age of 75, patients over the age of 75, males over the age of 75 with hip fractures. The other group that has a five-fold increase in hip fractures and pelvic fractures are just women, women in general. They start out with less bone mineral density. I think the issue here is the GLP-1 is inducing the loss of lean and inducing bone loss. We're trying to stop what's happening from baseline as opposed to going after patients that are full risk. Does that make sense?
Speaker 5
Yeah, that's really helpful. Regarding those comorbidities, fractures, and falls, are you also going to be monitoring hospitalizations, fractures associated with these falls to see if there's any more robustness of health attributed to the increase in lean mass or possible bone density?
Speaker 0
Gary?
Speaker 3
Yes. Obviously, any kind of fall fracture would be considered an adverse event. As we go in the longer study, we will certainly monitor those things, and it'll be most likely, in my opinion, will be an adverse event of special interest.
Speaker 5
Got it. Okay, thanks so much for the questions and congrats.
Speaker 0
Thank you.
Speaker 1
Your next question comes from Robert Sassoon with Water Tower Research. Please go ahead.
Speaker 5
Hi. Good morning. I have a question, a couple of questions. The 17% of the population in the 3-milligram Inovasarm group that reported clinically significant stair climb physical function loss, were there any sort of characteristics, you know, obviously outside of, you know, given that that group was generally preserved lean mass? Is there anything, any particular characteristics of that population subpopulation that you think you caused that statistic?
Speaker 0
To answer the question, the question is you still have 17% of your patients in the 3 mg group that have a greater than 10% decline in stair climb power.
Speaker 5
Right. Yeah.
Speaker 0
There is something about that group that makes them different. I would say I don't know at this point except maybe time. In other words, looking at 16 weeks, would you be able to go to 80%? We're already at 83%. Can you reduce that by another 50% if you go another month? It's hard to say except that people start muscle mass at different levels, right? Some have more and some have less. We may be getting those patients who have less muscle mass coming in. I do think with time, as muscle mass, we've seen some internal consistencies that when lean mass comes back, function comes back. Stay tuned.
Speaker 5
On your extension study for the phase 2, you had some pretty robust results when Inovasarm became a monotherapy. It seems like there is quite a large swing of populations. I think I read something like 11% of the adult population in the U.S. has non-obese sarcopenia. Is that a group of people that you would consider using Inovasarm as a monotherapy at some point?
Speaker 0
Yeah. It's a great question. It starts out with the strategy as follows, and we'll see how it plays out. The strategy is to start out with a higher-risk patient population, older patients over the age of 60 that are obese but not diabetic. That's the first patient population. The second patient population is younger patients that are obese. The third population is going to be older patients and younger patients with diabetes because, as you know, diabetes GLP-1s are indicated. They may not be obese. They may be taking it for diabetes, and they could get into trouble. The other special populations would be, for example, osteoporosis because at this point now, Inovasarm could be potentially used for monotherapy with osteoporosis and for frailty. The point I'm trying to make is there are so many populations that we can go into.
If we can start out with the population that we're doing right now, which has a very, very defined clinical benefit-rich population, that's why we selected them. We selected them because we felt that they'll be more informative in terms of function. In other words, if you took 32-year-old linebackers that want to lose weight and you're looking for function detriment, it's going to take a little bit more time to show detriment than, for example, a 75-year-old male that has baseline loss of muscle with age. We picked the older population to be informative. Guess what? They were informative. It turns out 44% of them did have accelerated loss of lean and accelerated loss of physical function. That's key because, to this date, up to date, most of the data has been in all patients, including young patients.
I think you're going to mask the full effect of the problem until you look at the right patient at the right time. I think that's what we did.
Speaker 5
Thanks. One more question. When you start to execute on phase 3, how much capital do you think you need to, or do you estimate you need to raise?
Speaker 0
At this point now, I think we're so close to getting FDA feedback. I think we should wait and get the feedback because that will sort out what we think the absolute capital raise will, capital needs will be. What we've said, what we propose is based on effect size in our phase 2b, and assuming the effect size will drive you, and dropouts will drive your phase 3 development, that we believe that phase 3 will be in the neighborhood of about 400 patients, 200 per arm. If that's the case, then we're looking at $40 million over 18 months. We just don't know at this point until we talk to the FDA.
Speaker 5
Yeah, understand. Got it. Okay, thanks for answering my questions.
Speaker 0
Great. Thank you.
Speaker 1
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference call back over to Dr. Mitchell Steiner for any closing remarks.
Speaker 0
I appreciate everyone who joined us on today's call. I look forward to updating all of you on our progress in the next Investors Call. When we get FDA feedback, we'll make sure we communicate that as well. Thank you so much for being on today's call.
Speaker 1
The digital replay of the conference call will be available beginning approximately 12:00 P.M. Eastern Time today, August 12, by dialing 1-877-344-7529 in the U.S. and 1-412-317-0088 internationally. You will be prompted to enter the replay access code, which will be 218-4944. Please record your name and company when joining. The conference call has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's discussion. You may now disconnect.