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Verve Therapeutics, Inc. (VERV)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 delivered steady execution: seven participants dosed across two cohorts in Heart-2 (VERVE-102) with no serious adverse events or clinically significant lab abnormalities; first participant dosed in Pulse-1 (VERVE-201) .
- Financials: collaboration revenue rose to $6.9M (+120% YoY), net loss was $50.1M, and diluted EPS was $(0.59); cash, equivalents, and marketable securities ended at $539.9M, with runway “through 2026” .
- Guidance maintained: initial Heart-2 data still targeted for 1H 2025; Phase 2 for PCSK9 program planned for 2H 2025; ANGPTL3 program progressed from “on track” to first patient dosed (achievement) .
- Consensus estimates were unavailable via S&P Global due to a CIQ mapping issue; relative to a pre-revenue biotech profile, collaboration revenue and EPS tracked in line with internal execution milestones rather than street targets [GetEstimates error].
- Near-term stock catalysts: clinical tolerability and geographic expansion (Israel, New Zealand CTAs), plus upcoming initial data in 1H 2025; medium-term, Phase 2 initiation for PCSK9 in 2H 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “VERVE-102 has been well-tolerated, with no serious adverse events and no clinically significant laboratory abnormalities observed.” This supports continued dose escalation in Heart-2 and underpins the PCSK9 program’s risk profile .
- First participant dosed with VERVE-201 in Pulse-1, moving ANGPTL3 from preclinical/on-track into human dosing; regulatory clearances in Australia, Canada, and the U.K. broaden execution footprint .
- Cash runway reiterated “through 2026,” providing funding visibility across planned 2025 milestones; execution consistent across consecutive quarters .
What Went Wrong
- Heart-1 (VERVE-101) remains paused during Heart-2 dose escalation as nonclinical work continues to support LNP as the primary driver of prior lab abnormalities; prolongs timeline for VERVE-101 .
- Operating expenses increased YoY (R&D +14.1%, G&A +18.4%), widening operating loss and net loss YoY (from $45.8M to $50.1M), reflecting heavier clinical activity and stock-based compensation .
- Street comparison not possible this quarter due to S&P Global mapping error; lack of consensus benchmarking can temper near-term investor confidence in “beat/miss” framing [GetEstimates error].
Financial Results
Quarterly Trend (Q1 → Q2 → Q3 2024)
YoY Comparison (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023)
Actuals vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
KPIs (Clinical and Operating)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No earnings call transcript found for Q3 2024 in the document catalog; therefore, themes are drawn from the Q3 press release and prior quarter releases [ListDocuments result; 0 earnings-call-transcript].
Management Commentary
- “We continue to execute on the Heart-2 clinical trial and are pleased to share that as of October 29, 2024, seven participants have been dosed. VERVE-102 has been well-tolerated, with no serious adverse events and no clinically significant laboratory abnormalities observed.” — Sekar Kathiresan, M.D., CEO .
- “We are excited to announce that the first participant in the Pulse-1 Phase 1b clinical trial for our ANGPTL3 product candidate, VERVE-201, was recently dosed.” — Sekar Kathiresan, M.D., CEO .
- “With cash runway through 2026, we are well-positioned to execute additional important milestones across our pipeline and advance our early-stage programs, including our program targeting LPA.” — Sekar Kathiresan, M.D., CEO .
Q&A Highlights
No Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was available in the document catalog; therefore, Q&A highlights and tone shifts cannot be assessed this quarter [ListDocuments result; 0 earnings-call-transcript].
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to a CIQ mapping issue (tool error), preventing formal beat/miss analysis vs Street expectations [GetEstimates error].
- In the absence of Street benchmarks, investors should focus on execution milestones (participant dosing, safety/tolerability, geographic expansion) that underpin future valuation drivers heading into the planned initial data in 1H 2025 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Heart-2 (VERVE-102) execution on track: seven participants dosed across two cohorts with favorable tolerability profile; supports continued dose escalation and PCSK9 program momentum heading into initial data in 1H 2025 .
- ANGPTL3 (VERVE-201) achieved first human dosing; a second clinical pillar alongside PCSK9 increases program diversification and optionality into 2025 .
- Operating cadence consistent: collaboration revenue growth (+120% YoY) offsets a small fraction of elevated R&D/G&A, net loss stable QoQ; cash runway “through 2026” supports major upcoming milestones without near-term financing .
- Heart-1 remains paused with strengthening evidence the LNP was the primary driver of lab abnormalities; prioritization of VERVE-102’s GalNAc-LNP delivery may de-risk the platform’s clinical path .
- Watch for geographic/regulatory expansion (Israel/New Zealand) to aid enrollment velocity and data generation; 2025 remains the pivotal data year .
- Trading implications: lack of Street consensus this quarter reduces headline beat/miss catalysts; near-term stock moves likely tied to incremental clinical/regulatory updates and safety/tolerability disclosures [GetEstimates error] .
- Medium-term thesis: If PCSK9/ANGPTL3 deliver durable LDL-C/protein reductions with clean safety, Verve’s “once-and-done” paradigm could reshape cardiovascular risk management; Phase 2 initiation in 2H 2025 is a critical inflection .