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VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC. (VIAV)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered at the high end of guidance: revenue $290.5M (+15.3% y/y), GAAP EPS $0.04, non-GAAP EPS $0.13; non-GAAP operating margin 14.4% and adjusted EBITDA $51.3M. Strength was broad across NSE and OSP, with NSE at $209.1M and OSP at $81.4M .
- Against S&P Global consensus, VIAVI posted a beat on revenue ($290.5M vs $285.2M*) and EPS ($0.13 vs $0.115*), following a Q3 beat as well ($284.8M vs $281.8M*, $0.15 vs $0.118*). EBITDA comparisons are not directly like-for-like due to definitions (company reports adjusted EBITDA) *.
- Q1 FY2026 guidance: revenue $290–$298M and non-GAAP EPS $0.13–$0.14; management expects sequential growth, driven by data center ecosystem and aerospace & defense, with OSP seasonally stronger in 3D sensing .
- Key narrative catalyst: accelerating demand across the data center ecosystem (400G/800G and leadership in 1.6T test), and resilient aerospace & defense PNT momentum; tariffs were largely mitigated and embedded in pricing, reducing earlier concerns .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Data center ecosystem momentum across fiber lab/production (800G, 400G; second-gen 1.6T test launched), with broad demand from semis, module makers, equipment vendors, and hyperscalers; “demand is just crazy…we feel very good about our performance” .
- OSP executed strongly: Q4 revenue $81.4M (+16.6% y/y), gross margin 54.7% and operating margin 39.4% (above guidance), driven by anti-counterfeiting and favorable mix .
- Tariffs largely mitigated and embedded into pricing; management quantified ~$1.5M overall impact and indicated supply chain realignment to minimize future exposure .
What Went Wrong
- Sequential margin compression: non-GAAP operating margin fell from 16.7% in Q3 to 14.4% in Q4, with NSE operating margin impacted by year-end variable comp and higher R&D .
- Wireless infrastructure test remains sluggish with recovery pushed out; management expects medium-term weakness despite healthier demand for field instruments .
- GAAP gross margin dipped y/y (56.3% vs 57.8%) due to mix and amortization; company flagged ongoing visibility limits and product mix volatility across portfolio .
Financial Results
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “VIAVI had a strong finish to Fiscal 2025…stabilization in our base businesses…recovery was further accelerated by the high growth in our data center ecosystem and aerospace & defense segments.” — Oleg Khaykin, CEO .
- “We expect the strong demand from the data center ecosystem to continue well into calendar twenty twenty six…we further extended our leadership…second generation 1.6 terabit test solution.” — Oleg Khaykin, CEO .
- “Operating margin for the fourth fiscal quarter was 14.4% at the high end of our guidance…EPS at $0.13 was also at the high end.” — Ilan Daskal, CFO .
- “Overall…tariff impact is around 1.5 million dollars, which we have more than mitigated…and are comfortable in our ability to continue manage the ongoing impact.” — Oleg Khaykin, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs: Q3 guidance contemplated ~$3M tariff absorption; by Q4, impact was ~$1.5M and mitigated via pricing adders and supply chain realignment; customers accepted adders; mitigation expected to make impact de minimis within 3–6 months .
- Data center competitive position: VIAVI launched second-gen 1.6T while competition is on first-gen; 800G/400G drive current volume; 1.6T locks follow-on activity across ecosystem .
- NSE margin trajectory: As recovery continues, management targets mid-to-high teens, then into 20% longer term, with gross margin profile in low 60s .
- Seasonality: Data center and A&D diversification increasingly offset traditional service provider seasonality; expect less quarter-to-quarter volatility .
- OSP: Volume/mix drives margin; ASPs stabilized; diversification to new segments expected over 2–3 years .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY2025: Revenue $290.5M vs S&P Global consensus $285.2M*; non-GAAP EPS $0.13 vs consensus $0.115* — both beats. Q3 also beat revenue ($284.8M vs $281.8M*) and EPS ($0.15 vs $0.118*) *.
- Q1 FY2026 guide ($290–$298M; $0.13–$0.14 EPS) is broadly aligned with consensus ($294.4M revenue*, $0.131* EPS), implying modest sequential growth and stable EPS profile *.
- EBITDA comparisons: Company reports adjusted EBITDA ($51.3M in Q4), while SPGI’s EBITDA consensus uses different definitions; not directly comparable *.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 print was clean and at the high end of guidance; both revenue and EPS exceeded S&P consensus, supported by strong NSE and OSP execution *.
- Secular demand from AI-driven data centers is a durable tailwind; VIAVI’s second-gen 1.6T leadership and 800G volume underpin revenue visibility into FY2026 .
- Tariff headwinds eased faster than expected; mitigation and pricing adders reduce risk to margins and order timing vs prior quarter’s caution .
- NSE margins dipped sequentially on mix/OpEx but management’s longer-term margin ambition (mid/high-teens to 20%) is intact as recovery broadens .
- OSP’s high fall-through and improved mix drove y/y margin expansion; ASPs stabilized; watch 3D sensing seasonality and anti-counterfeiting normalization .
- Near-term setup: Q1 FY2026 guide implies slight sequential growth and stable EPS; data center and A&D offset wireless infrastructure sluggishness .
- Medium-term: Portfolio diversification (A&D PNT, data center) lowers cyclicality and could support multiple expansion as margins improve and Spirent assets integrate post-close .