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Glimpse Group, Inc. (VRAR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY’25 revenue was $2.44M, up 44% QoQ vs Q4 FY’24 ($1.7M) but down 21% YoY vs Q1 FY’24 ($3.10M); gross margin expanded to 79% (vs 62% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(0.46)M .
- Management guided that the next three quarters should average >$3M per quarter and FY’25 revenue should be $11–$12M, with expected positive cash flow each of the remaining quarters (clean capital structure: no debt, convertibles, or preferred) .
- Strategic actions: divested QReal to streamline operations; expected net cash value ~$4.0M over two years and ~60 fewer employees; retained revenues from QReal’s largest customer until a $1.35M milestone is met; received a $1.56M senior secured convertible note and minority equity in the NewCo .
- Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 FY’25 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to data access limits; therefore beat/miss vs estimates cannot be assessed this quarter (see “Estimates Context”).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- SpatialCore traction drove sequential revenue growth and margin expansion: “Q1 FY ’25 revenue…44% increase vs Q4 FY ’24…primarily driven by an increase in Spatial Core revenues,” and gross margin was ~79% vs 62% YoY .
- Adjusted EBITDA loss improved materially to $(0.46)M vs $(1.29)M YoY; management expects positive cash flow in each of the next three quarters given revenue pipeline and reduced cost base .
- Strong pipeline and multi‑million‑dollar opportunities: “short‑term aggregate value…in the $5–$10 million range,” with confirmation of one contract expected in Dec ’24 and others in early 2025 (budget timing) ; CEO reiterated “significant progress towards securing several multimillion-dollar…SpatialCore contracts” .
What Went Wrong
- Top‑line declined YoY: Q1 FY’25 revenue fell 21% vs Q1 FY’24 due to strategic alignment, legacy customer turnover, and business consolidation/divestitures .
- Still loss‑making on GAAP: Q1 FY’25 net loss $(1.01)M and EPS $(0.06), with total operating expenses of $2.96M, up YoY as restructuring flowed through .
- Macro/government budget delays affecting award timing: continuing resolution and lack of a FY’25 federal budget delayed DoD/government opportunities, pushing expected confirmations into early 2025 .
Financial Results
Summary (YoY and Sequential)
Notes: Q4 margin and gross profit were not disclosed at a quarterly level in filings provided; adjusted EBITDA reconciliation is non‑GAAP as disclosed .
Revenue Breakdown (Q1 FY’25 vs Q1 FY’24)
KPIs and Balance Sheet Snapshot (Quarter-End)
Non‑GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA loss of $(0.46)M in Q1 FY’25; reconciliation provided in 8‑K .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO framing on valuation disconnect and strategy: “we expect revenues to continue to increase…cash flow positive…yet [stock] has a ridiculously low market cap…Board…exploring various aggressive strategic options” .
- CFO visibility and profitability path: “We expect revenue in the next 3 upcoming quarters to exceed $3 million…FY ’25…$11–$12 million…Adjusted EBITDA loss…~$0.46M…expect to generate positive cash flow in each of the 3 remaining quarters” .
- On QReal divestiture rationale: “creates approximately $4.0 million of expected net cash value…simplifies and streamlines…eliminates Turkey country risk…retains revenues from QReal’s largest customer…$1.56M Senior Secured Convertible Note…minority equity stake in Newco” .
Q&A Highlights
- Operating expense run‑rate: “we are run rating at under $1 million of monthly costs” .
- Licensing durability/recurrence: ~$200k quarterly license revenue is “more or less a reasonable number to expect” with potential recurring follow‑ons tied to SpatialCore .
- Demand/inbound pipeline: “Many of the customers are actually coming to us with needs…leaders…constantly talking to customers” .
- Government budget cadence: continuing resolution; new Congress to approve budget by March, then awards filter down .
- Commercialization of AI use cases: examples across defense and training simulations (doctor‑patient, sales, HR) integrating AI into immersive platforms .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global for Q1 FY’25 revenue and EPS was unavailable due to daily request limits on the data service; consequently, we cannot assess beat/miss vs Street for the quarter. If you’d like, we can re‑pull consensus when data access resets and update comparisons accordingly.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential recovery underway with SpatialCore driving a 44% QoQ revenue increase and gross margin expansion to 79%; the mix shift toward software and SpatialCore benefits profitability .
- Operating discipline is evident: adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(0.46)M YoY and cash from operations improved significantly; management targets positive cash flow in each remaining FY’25 quarter .
- Near‑term award timing depends on federal budget resolution; expect DoD/government confirmations after March ’25, which could drive step‑ups in revenue and licensing recurrence .
- Strategic portfolio actions (QReal divestiture) reduce risk, simplify operations, and provide ~$4.0M expected net cash value plus retained revenue streams and note/equity upside .
- Subsequent capital raise (Dec ’24) strengthened liquidity ($8.5M cash at Q2 FY’25), maintaining a clean balance sheet with no debt—providing runway to execute pipeline .
- Trading implications: absent Street estimates, catalysts are contract confirmations (DoD/Navy), license growth durability, and any strategic options/share buyback deployment; monitor Q4 FY’25 delivery of large DoD milestone and gross margin trajectory .
- Medium‑term thesis: SpatialCore positioned as a middleware/OS for 3D environments integrating AI; expanding government work may translate into commercial applications and recurring software revenue .