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VI

ViewRay, Inc. (VRAYQ)·Q1 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 revenue was $22.5M (three revenue units), up 19% YoY, but gross profit swung to a $(1.4)M loss as cost of revenue outpaced sales; net loss widened to $(28.9)M or $(0.16) per share . Backlog expanded to $411.0M and orders were strong at $68.3M (13 systems), underscoring demand despite near-term operational strain .
  • Management announced a cost reduction program targeting $19–$23M annualized savings (≈65% realized in 2023) and a workforce reduction of ~11%, and disclosed CFO transition to an interim CFO .
  • The company updated FY23 guidance on April 13 to revenue growth of ~0%–15% and Adjusted EBITDA loss of $(75)–$(85)M, then fully withdrew guidance on May 10 amid macro headwinds, installation delays, and a strategic alternatives review led by Goldman Sachs; Q1 cash usage was ~$57M, and a Standstill Agreement was entered into on May 10 under the credit agreement .
  • Key stock-reaction catalysts: withdrawal of guidance, initiation of strategic alternatives, and aggressive cost actions; strong orders/backlog are supportive, but working-capital constraints and installation timing remain near-term overhangs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Orders and backlog: 13 new orders totaling $68.3M; backlog rose to $411.0M, highlighting sustained demand for MRIdian systems .
    • Commercial momentum: Q1 revenue grew to $22.5M on three revenue units vs. $18.9M YoY; management emphasized demand remains “encouraging” despite headwinds .
    • Decisive cost actions: Announced $19–$23M annualized savings, ~11% workforce reduction, with ~65% of savings expected in FY23; readiness to take further actions if necessary .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Profitability/margins: Gross profit slipped to $(1.4)M (from $0.1M YoY) with higher cost of revenue; Adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $(25.2)M (vs. $(21.3)M YoY) .
    • Working-capital strain and cash burn: Q1 cash usage was ~$57M due to delayed collections from international customers and inventory outlays; balance of ~$86M expected to last into Q1’24 (preliminary) .
    • Guidance and financing optics: FY23 guidance cut on April 13, then withdrawn May 10 amid a strategic alternatives review; company entered into a Standstill Agreement under its credit facility effective May 10 .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$26.490 $34.692 $22.534
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(26.107) $(27.816) $(28.859)
EPS (Basic & Diluted)$(0.14) $(0.15) $(0.16)
Gross Profit (Loss) ($USD Millions)$4.454 $4.407 $(1.430)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$28.370 $30.354 $28.201
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(17.300) $(18.443) $(25.220)

Segment revenue breakdown

Revenue Component ($USD Millions)Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
Product$20.865 $28.577 $15.782
Service$5.507 $5.958 $6.519
Distribution Rights$0.118 $0.157 $0.233
Total Revenue$26.490 $34.692 $22.534

KPIs and operating metrics

KPIQ3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
Revenue Units (Primarily)4 5 3
Gross Orders ($USD Millions)$47.460 $56.400 $68.250
Backlog ($USD Millions)$370.519 $380.240 $410.960
Cash & Equivalents incl. Restricted ($USD Millions)$146.9 $142.5 $85.5

Notes:

  • Q1 margin pressure reflected in negative gross profit; management cited installation timing and cost pressures; Adjusted EBITDA loss widened .
  • Q1 preliminary update highlighted ~$57M cash usage and international collections delays; final 8-K reported cash and equivalents (incl. restricted) of $85.5M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Feb 27, 2023)Revised Guidance (Apr 13, 2023)Current (May 10, 2023)Change
Revenue GrowthFY 2023+25% to +40% ~0% to +15% Guidance withdrawn Lowered then withdrawn
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2023$(70)M to $(80)M $(75)M to $(85)M Guidance withdrawn Lowered then withdrawn
Cash Usage CommentaryFY 2024 outlookTarget cash usage $25M–$50M in 2024 New target disclosed

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Transcript not available in our document set; themes synthesized from company releases and prior-quarter materials.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 & Q4 2022)Current Period (Q1 2023)Trend
Demand/Orders & BacklogQ3: Orders $47.5M, backlog $370.5M; Q4: orders $56.4M; revenue +46% FY22; reiterated strong adoption narrative .Q1: 13 orders $68.3M; backlog $411.0M .Strengthening orders/backlog.
Installation Timing & Working CapitalQ3 deck: “Well capitalized” narrative; installation timelines can affect interquarter cash .Q1: Macro headwinds and delayed installations increased working-cap need; Q1 cash usage ~$57M; international collections delays .Deteriorated near term.
Cost StructureQ3/Q4: Expense discipline noted; 2023 leverage targeted .Cost reduction program ($19–$23M savings; ~11% workforce) announced; ~65% FY23 realization .Accelerated cost actions.
Strategic Alternatives/FinancingNo prior formal process disclosed.Engaged Goldman Sachs; evaluating corporate sale/merger/combination; entered Standstill Agreement effective May 10 .New strategic path.
Product/Clinical MomentumQ3 deck highlighted A3i launch expansion and pancreatic Phase III LAP-ABLATE plan; clinical data driving demand .Management reiterated strong innovation, clinical and commercial pipelines .Continued support.

Management Commentary

  • “Our priority remains to ensure we pursue the path that is most favorable for our stakeholders and that the clinical benefits of MRIdian’s transformative technology are fully accessible... we are evaluating with Goldman Sachs strategic alternatives... Concurrently, we are taking steps to reduce operating expenses and cash usage.” — Scott Drake, President & CEO (May 10 press release) .
  • “The demand for MRIdian continues to be encouraging. However, the first quarter was hindered by global macroeconomic headwinds... Looking to the balance of 2023 and into 2024, while we expect a delay in delivery schedules, our backlog and, ultimately, installations remain strong.” — Scott Drake (Apr 13 preliminary update) .
  • Cost actions and leadership: cost program ($19–$23M savings; ~11% workforce reduction); CFO transition to interim CFO noted in conjunction with the program .

Q&A Highlights

  • Transcript of the Q1 2023 earnings call was not available in our document set; the company held a call on May 10, 2023, but we could not retrieve a transcript to summarize Q&A themes .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus (EPS and revenue) for Q1 2023 was unavailable for VRAYQ in our SPGI mapping, so we cannot provide a vs-consensus comparison for the quarter. We attempted to fetch S&P Global data but received a missing mapping error for VRAYQ, and therefore no estimates are shown (S&P Global consensus unavailable) [GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong demand amid operational strain: Orders/backlog were robust (orders $68.3M; backlog $411.0M), but gross profit turned negative as costs and installation timing pressured near-term results .
  • Near-term focus on liquidity and execution: ~$57M Q1 cash burn and international collections delays drove a tighter liquidity outlook; company indicated its ~$86M cash balance would last into Q1’24 (preliminary) .
  • Proactive cost resets: Cost program targets $19–$23M savings (≈65% in FY23); expect restructuring charges (~$1.8M) and operational streamlining to support runway and margin repair over time .
  • Strategic alternatives and financing optics are the narrative: Guidance was first cut, then withdrawn, and a Standstill Agreement was executed under the credit facility; strategic review could be a catalyst but introduces uncertainty on timing and outcomes .
  • What to monitor next: installation pace and cash collections (especially international), gross profit recovery, effectuation of cost savings, and any updates from the strategic review process .
  • Medium-term thesis hinge: If installation delays normalize and cost actions hold, orders-to-revenue conversion and services growth could improve profitability off the current trough; strategic outcomes may accelerate value realization but also add execution risk .

Appendix: Additional context

  • Q4 2022 provided the initial FY23 framework (+25% to +40% revenue growth; Adjusted EBITDA $(70)–$(80)M) before April’s cut and May’s withdrawal, illustrating a rapidly changing operating environment .
  • Subsequent events: cost reduction program and Standstill Agreement noted in Q1 10-Q subsequent events disclosure .