Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Vertiv delivered a high‑quality beat vs its own Q3 guide: revenue $2.68B (+29% y/y), GAAP EPS $1.02, adjusted EPS $1.24 (+63% y/y), adjusted operating profit $596M (22.3% margin), and orders up ~60% y/y; backlog rose to $9.5B with ~1.4x book‑to‑bill .
- Management raised FY25 guidance across all key metrics: net sales to $10.16–$10.24B, adjusted OP to $2.04–$2.08B, adjusted EPS to $4.07–$4.13, and FCF to $1.47–$1.53B; also issued Q4 guide with revenue $2.81–$2.89B and adj. EPS $1.23–$1.29 .
- The quarter’s upside was driven by Americas strength (+43% y/y), APAC (+20% y/y), operating leverage and productivity; tariffs remained a headwind but were mitigated faster than expected; EMEA remained muted and is undergoing restructuring (Q3 restructuring cost $31M) .
- Stock catalysts: accelerating AI‑driven demand (orders +60% y/y; backlog +30% y/y to $9.5B), FY raise, and management’s outlook to materially offset tariff impacts by exit Q1’26; offsets include EMEA softness and tariff volatility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Orders and backlog acceleration: Q3 organic orders +~60% y/y and +20% q/q; book‑to‑bill ~1.4x; backlog increased to $9.5B, providing strong visibility into 2026 .
- Margin execution and guide beat: Adjusted operating margin 22.3% (+220 bps y/y; +380 bps q/q), with operational leverage and productivity more than offsetting tariffs; adjusted OP exceeded guide by ~$86M (management commentary) .
- Americas momentum and services positioning: Americas sales +43% y/y with 400 bps margin expansion; management reiterated services as a “superpower” and accretive, scaling headcount (~4,400–4,500 field engineers) .
- Management tone: “blown the doors off of every single metric” and “more excited now than ever,” underscoring confidence in multi‑year AI cycle and Vertiv’s strategy .
What Went Wrong
- Tariff headwinds: Tariffs remained a drag on margins and contribution, and Q4 margin was guided ~100 bps below earlier framing due to new Section 232 tariffs and accelerated fixed‑cost investments .
- EMEA softness: EMEA net sales were flat (+0.2% y/y) with negative organic growth (‑4%) and margins well below prior year; restructuring commenced (~$30.7M cost in Q3) to prepare for a 2H’26 regional recovery .
- Q2 inefficiencies still a backdrop: Though addressed faster than expected by Q3, management reiterated prior quarter’s tariff‑mitigation supply‑chain rework and execution challenges; the team is still completing mitigations into Q4/Q1’26 .
Financial Results
Segment mix and margins (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024):
- Region Net Sales and Adjusted Margins
- Product vs Services Mix (Q3)
Key KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
Notes: Guidance reflects tariff rates active as of Oct 20, 2025 and excludes potential future changes; certain forward‑looking non‑GAAP reconciliations are unavailable .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered strong sales growth of 29% and built significant backlog… enabling our customers’ most advanced infrastructure needs at scale.” — CEO Giordano Albertazzi .
- “We exceeded guidance across all metrics in a very convincing way… I’m more excited now than ever.” — Executive Chairman Dave Cote .
- “Adjusted operating margin of 22.3%… aided by operational leverage… addressing supply chain inefficiencies more quickly than expected just three months ago.” — CFO David Fallon .
- “We expect to materially offset [tariff] impacts as we exit Q1 2026, while optimizing our supply chain and manufacturing footprint.” — CEO Giordano Albertazzi .
- “Our 800‑volt DC portfolio, planned for release in the second half of 2026, aligns directly with NVIDIA’s 2027 rollout… We’re collaborating closely with NVIDIA.” — CEO Giordano Albertazzi .
Q&A Highlights
- Orders cadence: Orders +60% y/y driven by market strength, Vertiv’s scaling capability, and value proposition; large hyperscaler program announcements flow to Vertiv orders in phased POs aligned to build‑outs .
- Services economics: Services are accretive and recurring; scaling capacity and headcount (~4,400–4,500 engineers), with rigorous KPI discipline on SLAs and on‑site response .
- Incremental margins path: Long‑term 30–35% incrementals remain intact; tariffs the main 2025 headwind but expected to be materially offset exiting Q1’26; path to 25% adjusted OP margin by 2029 still valid .
- Q4 margin framing: Sequential margin roughly flat vs Q3; about half of the ~100 bps reset vs prior framing from new tariffs, half from accelerated fixed‑cost investments to support growth .
- EMEA recovery: Q3 likely margin low point; expect improved Q4 with better operating leverage and mitigation of inefficiencies; broader regional reacceleration targeted 2H’26 .
- Capacity timing: Prefers expansions at existing sites; time to first unit ranges from ~3–5 months (line reconfig) to ~9–15 months (larger expansions) .
- Competitive tech: Microfluidics and 800V DC seen as opportunities; Vertiv’s total system leadership preserves/increases content; TAM per MW now ~$3.0–$3.5M .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our dataset at the time of analysis; therefore, beat/miss vs Street consensus cannot be determined here. Instead, results significantly exceeded the company’s Q3 guidance issued July 30, 2025 (Adj. EPS $0.94–$1.00; Adj. OP $490–$530M; sales $2.51–$2.59B) versus actuals Adj. EPS $1.24, Adj. OP $595.6M, sales $2.676B .
- The FY25 raise (Adj. EPS to $4.07–$4.13; sales to $10.16–$10.24B) likely necessitates upward Street revisions, especially on revenue, EBIT and FCF trajectories, with tariff assumptions a sensitivity into Q4/Q1’26 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Accelerating AI‑driven cycle: Orders +60% y/y, backlog to $9.5B and book‑to‑bill ~1.4x underscore durable multi‑year demand visibility; Vertiv’s participation should expand with services and system content .
- Execution regained momentum: Adjusted margin expanded to 22.3% with faster‑than‑planned mitigation of Q2 inefficiencies; Q4 margin held roughly flat despite new tariffs and step‑up growth investments .
- Americas engine + services flywheel: Americas +43% y/y and services accretion suggest mix supports structurally higher margins through the cycle .
- FY25 raise de‑risks near‑term numbers: FY guide lifted across sales, margins, EPS, and FCF; 95% FCF conversion and ~0.5x net leverage provide optionality for capacity, ER&D and M&A .
- Watch EMEA and tariffs: EMEA remains the principal overhang but restructuring is underway; management expects material tariff offsets by exit Q1’26—delivery on this is a key proof point into 1H’26 .
- Technology roadmap a differentiator: 800V DC (H2’26) and NVIDIA collaboration reinforce Vertiv’s system‑level leadership; TAM/MW expanding to ~$3.0–$3.5M supports content and margin durability .
- Near‑term trading setup: Momentum narrative (orders/backlog/FY raise) vs. tariff/EMEA noise; print‑to‑print, Q4 guide implies continued high‑20s y/y EPS growth and >22% adj. margin despite headwinds .
Additional Relevant Q3 Press Releases
- Quarterly dividend declared ($0.0375 per share; payable Sep 25, 2025) .
- Strategic actions supporting growth during Q3: Completed acquisition of Great Lakes Data Racks & Cabinets (Aug 20, 2025) and acquired AI software leader Waylay NV (Aug 26, 2025), bolstering white‑space and AI analytics capabilities .
Appendix: Company Guidance Detail (as issued Oct 22, 2025)
- Q4 2025: Net sales $2.81–$2.89B; organic growth 18–22%; adj. OP $620–$660M; adj. margin 22.1–22.7%; adj. EPS $1.23–$1.29; adj. FCF $470–$530M .
- FY 2025: Net sales $10.16–$10.24B; organic growth 26–28%; adj. OP $2.04–$2.08B; adj. margin 20.0–20.5%; adj. EPS $4.07–$4.13; adj. FCF $1.47–$1.53B .
Citations: 8‑K/press release and transcript as referenced above.