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Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Vertiv delivered a high‑quality beat vs its own Q3 guide: revenue $2.68B (+29% y/y), GAAP EPS $1.02, adjusted EPS $1.24 (+63% y/y), adjusted operating profit $596M (22.3% margin), and orders up ~60% y/y; backlog rose to $9.5B with ~1.4x book‑to‑bill .
  • Management raised FY25 guidance across all key metrics: net sales to $10.16–$10.24B, adjusted OP to $2.04–$2.08B, adjusted EPS to $4.07–$4.13, and FCF to $1.47–$1.53B; also issued Q4 guide with revenue $2.81–$2.89B and adj. EPS $1.23–$1.29 .
  • The quarter’s upside was driven by Americas strength (+43% y/y), APAC (+20% y/y), operating leverage and productivity; tariffs remained a headwind but were mitigated faster than expected; EMEA remained muted and is undergoing restructuring (Q3 restructuring cost $31M) .
  • Stock catalysts: accelerating AI‑driven demand (orders +60% y/y; backlog +30% y/y to $9.5B), FY raise, and management’s outlook to materially offset tariff impacts by exit Q1’26; offsets include EMEA softness and tariff volatility .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Orders and backlog acceleration: Q3 organic orders +~60% y/y and +20% q/q; book‑to‑bill ~1.4x; backlog increased to $9.5B, providing strong visibility into 2026 .
  • Margin execution and guide beat: Adjusted operating margin 22.3% (+220 bps y/y; +380 bps q/q), with operational leverage and productivity more than offsetting tariffs; adjusted OP exceeded guide by ~$86M (management commentary) .
  • Americas momentum and services positioning: Americas sales +43% y/y with 400 bps margin expansion; management reiterated services as a “superpower” and accretive, scaling headcount (~4,400–4,500 field engineers) .
  • Management tone: “blown the doors off of every single metric” and “more excited now than ever,” underscoring confidence in multi‑year AI cycle and Vertiv’s strategy .

What Went Wrong

  • Tariff headwinds: Tariffs remained a drag on margins and contribution, and Q4 margin was guided ~100 bps below earlier framing due to new Section 232 tariffs and accelerated fixed‑cost investments .
  • EMEA softness: EMEA net sales were flat (+0.2% y/y) with negative organic growth (‑4%) and margins well below prior year; restructuring commenced (~$30.7M cost in Q3) to prepare for a 2H’26 regional recovery .
  • Q2 inefficiencies still a backdrop: Though addressed faster than expected by Q3, management reiterated prior quarter’s tariff‑mitigation supply‑chain rework and execution challenges; the team is still completing mitigations into Q4/Q1’26 .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$2,073.5 $2,036.0 $2,638.1 $2,675.8
GAAP Operating Profit ($M)$371.6 $290.7 $442.4 $516.7
Operating Margin %17.9% 14.3% 16.8% 19.3%
Adjusted Operating Profit ($M)$416.9 $336.7 $489.3 $595.6
Adjusted Operating Margin %20.1% 16.5% 18.5% 22.3%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.46 $0.42 $0.83 $1.02
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.76 $0.64 $0.95 $1.24
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($M)$335.9 $264.5 $277.0 $462.0

Segment mix and margins (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024):

  • Region Net Sales and Adjusted Margins
RegionNet Sales Q3’24 ($M)Net Sales Q3’25 ($M)YoY %Adj. Margin Q3’24Adj. Margin Q3’25
Americas1,198.6 1,712.4 42.9% 25.3% 29.3%
APAC432.4 519.8 20.2% 10.2% 13.2%
EMEA442.5 443.6 0.2% 25.9% 18.8%
Total2,073.5 2,675.8 29.0% 20.1% 22.3%
  • Product vs Services Mix (Q3)
CategoryQ3 2024 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)YoY Δ
Products1,615.6 2,167.6 +$552.0
Services & Spares457.9 508.2 +$50.3
Total2,073.5 2,675.8 +$602.3

Key KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Book‑to‑Bill~1.4x ~1.2x ~1.4x
Backlog$7.9B $8.5B $9.5B
Organic Orders Growth (y/y)~13% ~15% ~60%
Orders Growth (q/q)~21% ~11% ~20%
TTM Organic Orders Growth~20% ~11% 21%
Adjusted FCF ($M)264.5 277.0 462.0
Net Leverage~0.8x ~0.6x ~0.5x
Liquidity$2.3B $2.5B $2.7B

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY 2025$9.925B – $10.075B $10.160B – $10.240B Raised
Organic Net Sales GrowthFY 202523% – 25% 26% – 28% Raised
Adjusted Operating ProfitFY 2025$1.95B – $2.03B $2.04B – $2.08B Raised
Adjusted Operating MarginFY 202519.7% – 20.3% 20.0% – 20.5% Raised
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$3.75 – $3.85 $4.07 – $4.13 Raised
Adjusted Free Cash FlowFY 2025$1.375B – $1.425B $1.470B – $1.530B Raised
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025~$250–$300M ~$250M Refined (lower end)
Net SalesQ4 2025N/A$2.810B – $2.890B New
Adjusted Operating ProfitQ4 2025N/A$620M – $660M New
Adjusted Operating MarginQ4 2025N/A22.1% – 22.7% New
Adjusted Diluted EPSQ4 2025N/A$1.23 – $1.29 New
Adjusted Free Cash FlowQ4 2025N/A$470M – $530M New

Notes: Guidance reflects tariff rates active as of Oct 20, 2025 and excludes potential future changes; certain forward‑looking non‑GAAP reconciliations are unavailable .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesQ1: NVIDIA GB200/GB300 NVL72 ref designs; AI deployments accelerating . Q2: AI demand driving Americas/APAC growth .800V DC portfolio planned H2’26; collaboration with NVIDIA’s 2027 “Robin Ultra” platform; continued tech leadership emphasis .Strengthening
Supply chain & tariffsQ1: Tariffs fluid; mitigation into 2026 . Q2: Tariff impacts and mitigation costs crimped margins; actions underway .Faster mitigation in Q3; still headwind; expect to materially offset by exit Q1’26; Q4 margin framed lower due to new tariffs and fixed-cost acceleration .Improving but volatile
ServicesNot a major focus in Q1; Q2 steady contribution .Called a “superpower,” accretive; scaling to ~4,400–4,500 field engineers; services to accelerate with installed base density .Rising
Regional trendsQ1: EMEA +6% y/y; APAC +35%; AMER +28% . Q2: EMEA +12.5% y/y; AMER +42.9%; APAC +36.9% .Q3: AMER +42.9% y/y; APAC +20.2%; EMEA +0.2% (‑4% organic); restructuring to position for 2H’26 recovery .Mixed (EMEA weak)
Capacity/CapExQ1: Capex ~$275M plan . Q2: Expanding capacity; capex $250–300M .Expanded capacity focus in Americas; prefer expansions at existing sites (3–15 months to first output) ; 2025 capex ~$250M; 2026 expansion expected .Accelerating
R&D executionOngoing investments; NVIDIA partnerships .ER&D to grow >20% in 2026; aim to stay multiple GPU generations ahead .Accelerating
Competitive/technology landscapeManagement welcomes innovation (microfluidics, 800V DC); TAM per MW now $3.0–$3.5M; competitive field consolidating in thermal/liquid cooling .Favorable positioning

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered strong sales growth of 29% and built significant backlog… enabling our customers’ most advanced infrastructure needs at scale.” — CEO Giordano Albertazzi .
  • “We exceeded guidance across all metrics in a very convincing way… I’m more excited now than ever.” — Executive Chairman Dave Cote .
  • “Adjusted operating margin of 22.3%… aided by operational leverage… addressing supply chain inefficiencies more quickly than expected just three months ago.” — CFO David Fallon .
  • “We expect to materially offset [tariff] impacts as we exit Q1 2026, while optimizing our supply chain and manufacturing footprint.” — CEO Giordano Albertazzi .
  • “Our 800‑volt DC portfolio, planned for release in the second half of 2026, aligns directly with NVIDIA’s 2027 rollout… We’re collaborating closely with NVIDIA.” — CEO Giordano Albertazzi .

Q&A Highlights

  • Orders cadence: Orders +60% y/y driven by market strength, Vertiv’s scaling capability, and value proposition; large hyperscaler program announcements flow to Vertiv orders in phased POs aligned to build‑outs .
  • Services economics: Services are accretive and recurring; scaling capacity and headcount (~4,400–4,500 engineers), with rigorous KPI discipline on SLAs and on‑site response .
  • Incremental margins path: Long‑term 30–35% incrementals remain intact; tariffs the main 2025 headwind but expected to be materially offset exiting Q1’26; path to 25% adjusted OP margin by 2029 still valid .
  • Q4 margin framing: Sequential margin roughly flat vs Q3; about half of the ~100 bps reset vs prior framing from new tariffs, half from accelerated fixed‑cost investments to support growth .
  • EMEA recovery: Q3 likely margin low point; expect improved Q4 with better operating leverage and mitigation of inefficiencies; broader regional reacceleration targeted 2H’26 .
  • Capacity timing: Prefers expansions at existing sites; time to first unit ranges from ~3–5 months (line reconfig) to ~9–15 months (larger expansions) .
  • Competitive tech: Microfluidics and 800V DC seen as opportunities; Vertiv’s total system leadership preserves/increases content; TAM per MW now ~$3.0–$3.5M .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our dataset at the time of analysis; therefore, beat/miss vs Street consensus cannot be determined here. Instead, results significantly exceeded the company’s Q3 guidance issued July 30, 2025 (Adj. EPS $0.94–$1.00; Adj. OP $490–$530M; sales $2.51–$2.59B) versus actuals Adj. EPS $1.24, Adj. OP $595.6M, sales $2.676B .
  • The FY25 raise (Adj. EPS to $4.07–$4.13; sales to $10.16–$10.24B) likely necessitates upward Street revisions, especially on revenue, EBIT and FCF trajectories, with tariff assumptions a sensitivity into Q4/Q1’26 .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Accelerating AI‑driven cycle: Orders +60% y/y, backlog to $9.5B and book‑to‑bill ~1.4x underscore durable multi‑year demand visibility; Vertiv’s participation should expand with services and system content .
  • Execution regained momentum: Adjusted margin expanded to 22.3% with faster‑than‑planned mitigation of Q2 inefficiencies; Q4 margin held roughly flat despite new tariffs and step‑up growth investments .
  • Americas engine + services flywheel: Americas +43% y/y and services accretion suggest mix supports structurally higher margins through the cycle .
  • FY25 raise de‑risks near‑term numbers: FY guide lifted across sales, margins, EPS, and FCF; 95% FCF conversion and ~0.5x net leverage provide optionality for capacity, ER&D and M&A .
  • Watch EMEA and tariffs: EMEA remains the principal overhang but restructuring is underway; management expects material tariff offsets by exit Q1’26—delivery on this is a key proof point into 1H’26 .
  • Technology roadmap a differentiator: 800V DC (H2’26) and NVIDIA collaboration reinforce Vertiv’s system‑level leadership; TAM/MW expanding to ~$3.0–$3.5M supports content and margin durability .
  • Near‑term trading setup: Momentum narrative (orders/backlog/FY raise) vs. tariff/EMEA noise; print‑to‑print, Q4 guide implies continued high‑20s y/y EPS growth and >22% adj. margin despite headwinds .

Additional Relevant Q3 Press Releases

  • Quarterly dividend declared ($0.0375 per share; payable Sep 25, 2025) .
  • Strategic actions supporting growth during Q3: Completed acquisition of Great Lakes Data Racks & Cabinets (Aug 20, 2025) and acquired AI software leader Waylay NV (Aug 26, 2025), bolstering white‑space and AI analytics capabilities .

Appendix: Company Guidance Detail (as issued Oct 22, 2025)

  • Q4 2025: Net sales $2.81–$2.89B; organic growth 18–22%; adj. OP $620–$660M; adj. margin 22.1–22.7%; adj. EPS $1.23–$1.29; adj. FCF $470–$530M .
  • FY 2025: Net sales $10.16–$10.24B; organic growth 26–28%; adj. OP $2.04–$2.08B; adj. margin 20.0–20.5%; adj. EPS $4.07–$4.13; adj. FCF $1.47–$1.53B .

Citations: 8‑K/press release and transcript as referenced above.

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