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    VTEX (VTEX)

    VTEX Q3 2024: 22% FX-Neutral Subscription Growth, Nears 80% Margin

    Reported on Feb 25, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$6.89Last close (Nov 5, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$6.50Open (Nov 6, 2024)
    Price Change
    $-0.39(-5.66%)
    • VTEX is experiencing strong sales momentum and new contract signings, including significant clients like Fast Shop and Bemol in Brazil, and Colgate-Palmolive and Keune in the U.S. and Europe. This expansion in both B2B and B2C segments across multiple regions strengthens their growth engine.
    • The company's mature ecosystem of system integrators is leading to higher margins and profitable growth, with subscription revenue growing 22% FX-neutral and representing 96% of total revenue, indicating a healthy business model focused on subscription services over less profitable services revenue.
    • The competitive environment remains stable, and VTEX continues to gain market share globally, with overall annual revenue churn remaining consistent in the mid-single digits range, demonstrating strong customer retention and competitive positioning.
    • Regional headwinds are impacting growth: VTEX mentioned that Argentina remained "a couple of percentage points headwind to our growth this quarter," affecting subscription revenue growth due to "last year's pre-devaluation consumption behavior affected the baseline." This suggests ongoing challenges in key markets could continue to hamper overall performance.
    • Limited margin improvement ahead: While VTEX's non-GAAP gross margin reached 75%, executives noted that "future improvements may be more marginal" as they are nearing their target subscription gross margin of 80%. This indicates that significant further margin expansion may be challenging.
    • Competitive pressures could affect market share: Although VTEX stated that the "competitive environment has remained stable," they acknowledged monitoring competition, specifically potential shifts from peers expanding into enterprise segments or increased aggressiveness in certain regions. This suggests that competition could intensify, potentially impacting VTEX's market position.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue growth (FY 2024)

    FY 2024

    FX‑neutral YoY revenue growth: 18% to 20%; implied revenue range: $231M–$235M

    FX‑neutral YoY revenue growth: 18.5% to 19.5%; implied revenue range: $230M–$232M

    no change

    Non‑GAAP Operating Income and Free Cash Flow Margin (FY 2024)

    FY 2024

    Target range: high single digits to low teens

    Raised target to low teens

    raised

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Sales momentum and new contract signings

    Q2, Q1, and Q4 earnings calls consistently highlighted strong sales momentum and robust new contract signings across multiple regions with a focus on their composable commerce platform.

    Q3 emphasized robust sales momentum with accelerated contract wins and geographical expansion – notably new wins in Brazil, the U.S., Europe, and regions like Austria and Colombia.

    Consistently positive: The narrative remains upbeat with expanding geographic reach and increased signing activity.

    Subscription revenue growth and margin improvement targets

    Previous periods detailed steady subscription revenue growth and significant improvements in subscription gross margins through operational efficiencies, with targets set around 80% and overall margin improvements.

    Q3 reported subscription revenue of $53.9 million, 13% YoY growth in USD, and noted margin improvements with a non-GAAP subscription gross margin of 79% – just shy of their target, alongside overall operating margin improvements.

    Steady improvement: Ongoing positive momentum in revenue growth and margin expansion, with incremental progress toward stated targets.

    Global market expansion and volatile markets (Argentina)

    Q1, Q2, and Q4 emphasized global expansion with strong performance in the U.S., Europe, and Latin America, while noting that Argentina remained a persistent headwind due to macroeconomic volatility.

    Q3 continued to highlight strong performance in key markets (U.S. and Europe) while acknowledging that Argentina remains a headwind due to past pre-devaluation consumption issues, although this is expected to ease by December.

    Consistent with caution: Global expansion continues robustly, with persistent, yet expected-to-mitigate challenges in Argentina.

    Macroeconomic headwinds and regional volatility affecting consumption

    Earlier calls (Q1, Q2, Q4) discussed macroeconomic headwinds and volatile consumer behavior, especially impacted by economic slowdowns in regions like Argentina and uncertain consumer confidence.

    In Q3, executives noted that macroeconomic headwinds—especially in Argentina—are still influencing consumption, with comparisons affected by the previous year’s pre-devaluation behavior.

    Steady caution: The narrative remains similar, with consistent challenges noted, though underlying strength in other regions is maintained.

    FX devaluation and currency fluctuation risks impacting revenue guidance

    Q1, Q2, and Q4 discussions focused on FX devaluation and currency risks, particularly highlighting the impact of Argentina’s devaluation and adjustments in guidance to account for FX-neutral growth.

    Q3 confirmed that FX devaluation remains a couple of percentage points headwind in Argentina, but noted that the effects should ease as conditions normalize, with revenue guidance provided on an FX-neutral basis.

    Unchanged impact: Currency risks remain a moderate challenge, with adjustments in guidance continuing to mitigate FX fluctuation effects.

    High interest rates and cautious corporate budgeting affecting growth prospects

    Q1 and Q2 described how high interest rates and cautious budgeting were weighing on corporate spending, though VTEX’s low TCO proposition helped offset these pressures.

    Q3 did not explicitly revisit this topic, with focus shifting to strong sales and contract momentum despite a challenging retail backdrop.

    Faded mention: This topic was prominent in earlier periods but is not directly mentioned in Q3, suggesting less emphasis this period.

    Competitive landscape dynamics and market pressures

    While earlier Q1, Q2, and Q4 calls provided little specific commentary on competitive dynamics, the focus was on market expansion and customer wins.

    Q3 specifically stated that the competitive environment remains stable, with no significant shifts and steady revenue churn in the mid-single digits.

    Emerging reassurance: Q3 explicitly addresses and reassures stability in competition, adding clarity to the competitive landscape.

    Mature ecosystem of system integrators

    Q1 and Q2 earnings emphasized a mature ecosystem of system integrators with over 1,000 partners and thousands of VTEX IO extensions, contributing to lower direct implementation costs and improved scalability. Q4 did not highlight this topic.

    Q3 reiterated the benefits of a mature SI ecosystem, noting a decline in direct services and associated revenue as partners increasingly drive implementations, which improves margins.

    Consistently positive: The matured SI ecosystem continues to be a strategic asset, reinforcing scalability and margin improvement.

    Industry analyst recognition and enhanced pipeline visibility

    Across Q1, Q2, and Q4, VTEX noted strong industry analyst recognition (from Gartner, IDC, etc.) that enhanced their pipeline visibility and bolstered their market positioning.

    Q3 maintained that industry analyst recognition remains a key factor in driving contract momentum and pipeline strength, with recognitions from IDC, Forrester, and Gartner supporting continued growth.

    Sustained strength: Recognition by industry analysts continues to support and enhance pipeline visibility and credibility.

    Decline and volatility in services revenue

    Q1 and Q2 acknowledged that services revenue was volatile and declining as a result of deliberate strategic shifts towards subscription revenue, with direct services often delivered at a loss. Q4 did not emphasize this aspect.

    Q3 confirmed a by design reduction in services revenue (only 4% of total revenue) due to an evolving ecosystem where new customers rely increasingly on SI partners, leading to higher profitability.

    Intentional decline: Continuing trend toward lower and more predictable services revenue as part of a strategic pivot to a subscription-based model.

    GMV growth and high‐value enterprise customer expansion

    Q1, Q2, and Q4 highlighted robust GMV growth and the expansion of high‐value contracts, with increasing numbers of customers contributing significant annual recurring revenue, particularly those paying over $250K annually.

    Q3 reported GMV of $4.4 billion with steady growth and noted further expansion in high‐value enterprise customer wins across global markets, reinforcing the high-profile customer base.

    Steady upward trend: Consistent strong GMV performance with continued expansion of high‐value enterprise customers, indicating positive growth momentum.

    Potential margin pressure due to increased investments

    In Q4, there was discussion about the possibility of margin pressure if accelerated growth led to higher investment levels, with management noting that expense adjustments would be made as needed. Q1 and Q2 had no specific reference to this.

    Q3 did not mention potential margin pressure due to high-growth investments, with the focus instead on maintaining healthy operating margins and leveraging scale for improved profitability.

    Faded topic: Previously raised in Q4, it is not mentioned in Q3—suggesting that margin pressure concerns have eased or are less top-of-mind as the focus shifts to scaling and profitability improvements.

    1. Subscription Revenue Growth
      Q: How is your subscription revenue growth, especially in Argentina?
      A: The company achieved robust year-over-year subscription revenue growth of 22% in FX-neutral terms, even against challenging comparisons in Argentina due to last year's pre-devaluation consumption behavior. Argentina remained a few percentage points headwind this quarter, expected to reduce by December. Excluding Argentina, performance underscores strong underlying results. 

    2. Margin Sustainability
      Q: Are current margins sustainable, and are you happy with growth-margin combo?
      A: Yes, the margins are sustainable. They have a target model of 80% subscription gross margin, currently at 78.5% this quarter, moving towards that goal. Overall gross margin is at 74%, targeting 75%. Operating margin reached 14% this quarter, with a goal of 20%. Incremental margins will come as they scale and drive revenue leverage over time. They will continue to improve margins going forward. 

    3. Contract Momentum
      Q: What is driving strong new contract signature momentum?
      A: The global pipeline shows steady improvement, fueled by their unique composable and complete commerce platform offering low TCO, fast time to market, and flexibility. Recognition from IDC, Forrester, and Gartner contributes to this momentum. Notable go-lives include Colgate-Palmolive and Keune, expanding their B2B models across the U.S. and Europe. Increase in deferred revenue is consistent with the strong contract momentum. 

    4. System Integrators
      Q: Discuss your relationship with system integrators and 2025 strategy.
      A: As the VTEX ecosystem matures, reliance on system integrators has increased, reducing the need for VTEX to provide direct services. This results in lower service revenue but higher margins. Subscription revenue, comprising 96% of total revenue, remains the focus. The competitive environment remains stable, with no significant shifts observed from peers or increased aggressiveness from competitors.