Viatris - Q3 2023
November 6, 2023
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Hello, my name is Travis, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Viatris 2023 third quarter earnings call and webcast. All participant lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question-and-answer period. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you need to ask further questions, you may reenter the queue. Lastly, if you should need or require operator assistance, please press star zero. I will now turn the call over to Bill Szablewski, Head of Global Capital Markets. Please go ahead, sir.
Bill Szablewski (Head of Capital Markets)
Good evening, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter of 2023 earnings call. With us today is our CEO, Scott Smith, President, Rajiv Malik, and CFO, Sanjeev Narula. During today's call, we will be making forward-looking statements on a number of matters, including our financial guidance for 2023 and various strategic initiatives. These statements are subject to risk and uncertainties that could cause future results or events to differ materially from today's projections.
Please refer to today's slide presentation and our SEC filings for a fuller explanation of those risks and uncertainties. We will also be referring to certain actual and projected non-GAAP financial measures to supplement investors' understanding and assessment of our financial performance. Reconciliations of those non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are available on our website and in the appendix of today's discussion.
We will be making certain comparisons of results, operational basis, which excludes the impact of foreign currency rates versus the plan that supports our two prior period results, which also exclude the results from the divested biosimilars business. An archived copy of today's presentation and other earnings materials will be available on our website at investor.viatris.com, following the conclusion of today's call. With that, I'll hand the call over to our CEO, Scott Smith.
Scott Smith (CEO)
Good afternoon. I'm pleased to report that Viatris had another outstanding quarter in Q3. It's our second consecutive quarter of year-over-year operational our eleventh operating results in consistently metrics. All evidence that we could build momentum as we Phase I of our strategic plan to successful completion. In the third quarter, we delivered total revenues of $3.94 billion, representing approximately 1% year-over-year growth, and Adjusted EBITDA of $1.36 billion, and free cash flow of $738 million, both of which, as you will hear more about from Sanjeev later, were above our expectations. Based on our strong operational performance in the first nine months of the year, we are reaffirming our 2023 financial guidance ranges for Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. Company is delivering strong operational revenues in line with our expectations.
However, the impact of foreign exchange headwinds requires that we make a modest adjustment to our 2023 total revenue guidance range, due solely to these FX headwinds. In addition, at the end of the third quarter, we were pleased to announce that we entered into agreements on all our planned divestitures. Announcing these transactions marked the achievement of an important milestone in the execution of our Phase I strategic plan.
We ran a strong and competitive process and were able to sign agreements to divest substantially all of our over-the-counter business, our women's healthcare business, our API business in India, and commercialization rights in certain non-core markets that were acquired as part of the Upjohn transaction, all within our previously announced timelines and valuation ranges. We anticipate closing all these transactions by the end of the first half of 2024.
As we look to 2024 and beyond, the momentum we see in the business gives us continued confidence that we are on track to meet our previously stated long-term goals. Specifically, we believe our existing business is well-positioned, given the $500 million annually product line from our pipeline. We continue to believe new avenues for growth to the help ensure that we reach our goal of accelerating growth. As we move into 2024, we remain confident that with the proceeds from our planned divestitures and our ability to generate at least $2.3 billion in free cash flow per year, excluding transaction costs and taxes, we have a clear line of sight to hitting our leverage target ratio of 3x, while also returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, and investing heavily in accelerating the growth of our business.
We believe our focus on returning capital to shareholders and on investing in our business will be important levers to put the company on the path to achieve our long-term goals of revenue and earnings per share growth, two measures that we believe will be critical to valuing our company in the future. We plan to make investments both in our base business and in business development activities that give us the greatest potential for growth, patient impact, and shareholder value. From a business development perspective, I am optimistic that we will be able to execute high-quality agreements that will capitalize on the strength of our global platform. We are focusing our efforts on M&A, strategic licensing, and partnerships.
We are looking for innovative, high-growth assets focused on areas of unmet medical need that meet our vision of addressing global healthcare needs and bringing access to high-quality medicines to more patients worldwide. Before I turn the call over to Rajiv to provide you with an update on our operations and our pipeline, I want to acknowledge the recent announcement that Rajiv will be retiring as an executive of the company next April.
It has been a privilege to get to know and to work with Rajiv during this past year. I could not have asked for a better partner during my onboarding at the company. I wish him nothing but the best in his eventual retirement. I look forward to working closely together in the months ahead as we complete our planned divestitures and prepare the organization for the future, and to this continued partnership as a member of the board of directors. I'd now like to turn it over to Rajiv.
Rajiv Malik (President)
Thanks, Scott. I appreciate it, and look forward to working with you to ensure a smooth transition while continuing to support you as we look out into the future, but in a different capacity. I also want to take the opportunity to thank all of our employees who have helped us build this strong global platform. I'm very pleased with where we are today in this journey, and the strength as well as stability of our core business, which is now nicely set up for the continued growth from here onwards. Moving to our commercial segment results. We have delivered a second consecutive quarter of year-over-year operational top line growth, as we predicted, which further reaffirms that we are standing strong and set up for the future.
This quarter, we recorded 1% year-over-year operational growth and are well positioned to end the full year in line with our expectations. Our well-balanced business of developed markets delivered another strong quarter, growing 2% year-over-year operationally. Europe grew 1% versus the prior year on an operational basis, making it the seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. France and Italy led the growth in the region.
A solid performance of generics in Europe was another contributing factor. Our North America business was up 4% year-over-year on an operational basis, in line with our expectations. Our generics portfolio performed better than expected, driven by new launches such as Breyna, the generic for Symbicort, lisdexamfetamine, and the continued contribution of lenalidomide. Also, some other key products, including glatiramer acetate, vancomycin, and Xulane, performed better than expectations.
Our brand business was supported by strong demand in YUPELRI, which grew 9% this quarter over the last year, and in the epinephrine market. Overall, we remain confident that the developed market segment will meet our full-year expectations. Emerging markets had another strong quarter and delivered 2% year-over-year operational growth, led by strength across our broader generics portfolio and stronger than expected performance from brands like Lyrica, Zoloft, and Effexor.
Emerging Asia and Turkey were solid performing geographies. This segment is well positioned to deliver mid-single digit year-over-year growth. Moving to JANZ, their brands performed in line with our expectations, while generics were slightly below expectations, primarily due to customer buying patterns. We continue to be on track to deliver full-year expectations. Greater China experienced another solid quarter, primarily driven by strong performance of retail channel in China.
Greater China was flat to the prior year, in line with our expectations. We believe that this segment will perform slightly better than our expectations for the full year. I'm also happy to report steady progress we made on our pipeline in this region. We recently received positive top-line results for our Phase III clinical trials of YUPELRI in China, which is consistent with our U.S. clinical data, and we look forward to submitting our NDA mid-2024.
We currently have 10 other products under health authority review in China. Moving to the eye care division. As the Bridge program sunsets, we saw almost 9% non-Bridge prescription growth in this quarter. We'll continue to focus on prescription growth in quarter four and into the future, supported by our first direct-to-consumer marketing campaign for Tyrvaya, which we launched in early October.
We have recorded $345 million in new product revenue year-to-date, and are on track to deliver more than $450 million of revenue from new product launches for the full year. Let me now discuss some key updates for our R&D pipeline. We are excited by the continued progress of our eye care pipeline, which is aimed at addressing a range of vision-related disorders. All the eye care development programs remain on track, and we are pleased that we received FDA approval for Ryzumvi for the reversal of pharmacologically-induced mydriasis, and are looking forward to a commercial launch in the U.S. in the first half of 2024.
Switching to other pipeline updates, beginning with glatiramer acetate depot. As you recall, the FDA had accepted for review our NDA and assigned a PDUFA date of March 8, 2024.While we continue to make steady progress regarding the FDA review of our NDA, we are saddened by the tragic situation in Israel, and we are working very closely with our partner, Mapi, who remains fully operational. We have recently submitted our registration in Europe and are excited about the potential opportunity to bring this product to patients in Europe.
Our Botox biosimilar program is progressing well from the development, characterization, validation of drug substance and drug product perspective. We recently completed the manufacturing of our IND-enabling drug substance batches and are well on our way to complete the drug product manufacturing. We remain on track to file our IND by the end of this year. We expect to initiate the pivotal clinical studies for this program in the first half of 2024.
Our Phase III study for our Xulane low-dose program in U.S. remains on track, and we have benefited from an acceleration in the enrollment rate for this study. We now expect to enroll our last patient this December. Also, we are closely interacting with FDA to initiate the Phase III program for our opioid-sparing milnacipran novel product in late December. Our Phase III study for Effexor generalized anxiety disorder in Japan continues to progress according to our schedule, and we remain on target to submit the NDA filing in the first half of 2025. Finally, all of our complex injectable programs are moving ahead as planned, and we continue to be very excited about the potential of this important potential $1 billion franchise. With that, I'll hand the call over to Sanjeev.
Sanjeev Narula (CFO)
Thank you, and hello, everyone. Before I begin, I would also like to extend my congratulations to Rajiv. It has been a great partnership over the past three years, and I am proud of what we've accomplished together. We address our colleagues and patients all over the world who benefited from your leadership, expertise, and dedication to our business. Turning to our outlook, I want to reiterate my confidence in the strength of our unique global platform and the continued durability of our significant free cash flow generation. We're pleased with the outcome of our announced divestiture, which, upon closing, will bring the successful conclusion to our Phase I commitments and further serves to accelerate our financial flexibility.
As we work to finalize the plan for next year, and although we are not providing guidance at this time, we continue to expect at least $2.3 billion in free cash flow in 2024, even when taking into consideration inflation and foreign exchange headwinds to date. This excludes any transaction taxes and transaction costs associated with divestiture. For the second consecutive quarter, the business delivered total operational revenue growth versus prior year.
The performance was diversified across regions and categories. The positive mix of brand and new product drove strong gross margins. From a regional perspective, we saw 2% growth in net sales from developed and emerging markets. The growth included the benefit from brands, generics, and new launches. Net sales for the quarter were in line with the expectation and grew 1% versus the prior year.
The diverse portfolio of growth driver included brand performance in emerging markets, Europe, and Greater China. These revenue trends and positive momentum are expected to continue as we exit the year, driven by brands, strength of our global generic portfolio, and new products. New product revenue in the quarter met expectation and included the first quarter of Breyna. Adjusted gross margin was approximately 59% in the quarter and was ahead of our expectation. We continue to see the positive impact from portfolio decision driving favorable mix. We reported strong Adjusted EBITDA, which included investment in SG&A and R&D to advance key programs across eye care, injectable, and complex products.
As a result of strong Adjusted EBITDA and improved cash conversion, we had an excellent quarter of free cash flow of $786 million, excluding the impact of transaction costs, which represents growth of 3% on a reported year-on-year basis... enabling us to deliver our capital allocation, which has served to further and help us maintain our investment-grade rating. Over the last 11 quarters, we have generated over $7.2 billion of free cash flow, and as a result, we have been able to pay down approximately $6.1 billion of debt during the same period. We will pay down the $500 million maturity in Q4 from cash on hand. Additionally, this quarter, we returned approximately $144 million of capital to our shareholders.
So let me talk about the business continues to perform. Expect to absorb this potential FX impact and still cash flow. Now, a few updates. We continue to expect Adjusted EBITDA to be lower in Q4 than prior quarters, driven by two factors. First, low gross margin due to less favorable portfolio and segment mix. Second, SG&A to increase, driven by investment in the DTC, our direct-to-consumer campaign and other areas to drive future growth.
We anticipate free cash flow in Q4 to be impacted by lower Adjusted EBITDA, higher capital expenditure, and timing of biannual interest payments. As a reminder, our free cash flow guidance does not include any transaction costs and taxes associated with biosimilar divestments, the eye care acquisition, or the planned divestiture. Additionally, our Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow guidance excludes any acquired IP R&D for unsigned deals. In closing, based on the continued strong underlying fundamentals of our business, we're well positioned for the remainder of the year, and the outlook for 2024 continues to be positive. With that, I'd like to hand it back to the operator to begin taking your questions. Thank you. Turning it over to you.
Operator (participant)
At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to remove yourself from the queue, you may do so by pressing star two. We remind you, please pick up your handset and please limit yourself to one question. Our first question comes from Chris Schott, J.P. Morgan.
Chris Schott (Managing Director of Equity Research)
Great, here we are on how we're envisioning kind of capital deployment and specifically the divestiture verticals that you talked about in the past. I'm just trying to get my hands around, you know, is this something that we-- you're kind of actively looking at this point, or we need to wait for the transactions to close and in the sense of being more kind of a 2025 and beyond kind of event that we, we think about kind of the redeployment of some of the, the cash coming in the door, or just any color you can provide there would be, would be much appreciated. Thanks so much.
Scott Smith (CEO)
Yeah. Thank you, Chris. Thank you very much for the question. Yeah, we're looking for innovative, high-growth assets that bring in predictable, durable revenue streams, good fit for our business, that we can leverage with the strong global infrastructure we have. You know, you asked about the verticals. We're definitely looking at things in the verticals. We're also going to be a little bit agnostic, and if there's a good opportunity that lies outside of those verticals, we will look at that very, very closely as well. The important thing for me is whatever we do, we want to leverage the global strength that we have as a company. And, you know, in terms of, you know, business development, I look at it in sort of in three buckets.
Not M&A, of course, but also licensing is very, very important, and partnership is very, very important. Some of them are more capital intensive than others. And, you know, in terms of speculating on timing, I don't think, again, I won't speculate on timing at this point. I think we're looking at things very actively right now, and, and we'll see where we get. But we're excited about the opportunities that are out there. I think there's a lot of opportunities that, that where we're going and what we're doing. So, appreciate the question.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Nathan Rich, Goldman Sachs.
Nathan Rich (VP in Global Investment Research)
Great. Good afternoon, and thanks for the question. I wanted to, you know, ask on the kind of transition to Phase II, and, you know, you gave some details around the 2022 EBITDA, the announced divestitures. Now, I know you don't want to give EBITDA guidance for 2024, but, you know, any color you can provide on how those businesses have trended over the past year, and any other considerations from a cost standpoint that we should think about.
And then, you know, as we think about the transformation, you know, of the business and acceleration of top-line growth, can you maybe just think about, like, help us walk through what the building blocks are to, you know, eventually getting the business to that kind of, you know, 3% revenue CAGR that you're targeting in Phase II?
Scott Smith (CEO)
Yes. So, first of all, you asked about 2024. I feel great about where we're going in 2024. We've had now two consecutive quarters of operational growth, and we believe we'll finish 2023 strong. I think it'll set us up very, very nicely for 2024. You know, we have full confidence that we're on track to meet our previously stated long-term goals. You know, I guess really importantly, we expect to have at least $2.3 billion in free cash flow in 2024 and beyond, even when you take into consideration inflation, FX headwinds, etc. You know, I think there's a very, very strong base to the business, and we expect to grow just with the base business.
You know, as you mentioned, you're in that 3% range, just off the base of the business that we have, very stable, growing, strong globally right now. But, you know, we hope to even have significantly higher growth rate than that from the revenue perspective as we start to invest in business development and other businesses and bring other assets in that can complement, the organization that we have in place. And Rajiv, I think there was a question around divestiture?
Rajiv Malik (President)
Yeah, look, what was the specific question, Nate? Can you repeat on divestiture?
Scott Smith (CEO)
Yes, we told them 2022, how those businesses were trending?
Rajiv Malik (President)
Yeah.
Scott Smith (CEO)
That was the question.
Rajiv Malik (President)
So first of all, from the overall business point of view, as well as between two divestitures, all our businesses are performing as we anticipated or better than we anticipated, including, you know, whether it's the geographic or whether it's the brands, generics, and those categories. And that holds basically true for also the businesses which we have identified and which are going through the divestiture. But also, Scott, to your point, the 3%, you know, which we have growth, which we have indicated, just to add on to that, that included our base business, what we have in pipeline for today. That didn't include any more deployment of the capital deployment, which may come from 2024 onwards. That will be on top of that, so I just wanted to also build upon that.
Sanjeev Narula (CFO)
And one other thing to keep in mind, the businesses that we're divesting, their margins are generally less than the company average. So what we expect post divestment, company's margin, like, gross margin, to be stable from that perspective. So that's an important thing to keep in mind as well.
Scott Smith (CEO)
I also want to piggyback off what Rajiv said, and as we start to really pivot to real growth from a revenue perspective, and given our capital allocation plan and our desire to buy back shares, you know, we can move the story to a long-term adjusted EPS growth story, which, you know, we're very excited to move into that epoch.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Umer Raffat, Evercore.
Umer Raffat (Senior Managing Director of Equity Research)
Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to focus on China business for a second, and it looks like your China business is holding in broadly fairly stable, except for FX. And it appears to be quite different in performance versus what some of your peer companies, also with meaningful China businesses, have reported. And I kind of see that not just on the, emerging markets sales reported, sorry, Greater China sales reported, but also in the product level breakout. So I'm just curious, what do you think is tracking different? And/or is there some timing of revenue recognition that is playing out, and maybe we do see some weakness in 4Q? Because it does seem like it's a little more industry-wide. Thank you.
Rajiv Malik (President)
No, Umer, I can't speak about our peers. I can speak about our China business, which right from ever since. You know, we have gone through this evolution around the policy dynamics and all that we've lived through over 95% business has gone through the VBP. We have gone through the cycles of VBP, and we have taken this time to reorient and shift our business more towards a private pay channel, and that's what we have seen. We have found that equilibrium between the hospital and, you know, private pay channel, and we have been trying to invest more around that. And investing in the pipeline, for example, even this quarter, you know, just getting the YYUPELRI positive data, with the YUPELRI and Dymista performance now going through the approval channels and also the pipeline.
We cannot be more excited about what we are seeing in the underlying business or the fundamentals of our China business. You know, extending that to emerging markets, you know, we've taken our time to figure out how to manage this, you know, the hybrid business we have between the brands as well as the generics, and we have found that sweet spot. You see emerging markets business, the brands performing better than expected, generics performing better than expected. So I can speak about our business. We seem very confident and optimistic about this business, and that's what is then bringing the stability to the base. Coupled with the new launches, new launch revenue, I think that's what is driving the base growth of 1% year-over-year, 1%, which you have seen that.
Brian Roman (Global General Counsel)
I'm sure from somebody else in California, that it was perfect.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Glen Santangelo, Jefferies.
Glen Santangelo (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Oh, yeah. Thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to follow up, Rajiv, on some of the comments you were just talking about, that the generics business was performing better than expected. You know, could you maybe talk about the pricing environment in terms of what you saw in the quarter? And, you know, if there's any discernible trends that are worth sort of calling out, and, you know, any sort of comments around the sustainability of that recent trend, would be helpful. Thanks.
Rajiv Malik (President)
Yeah, Glen, after several quarters, I can say that we have seen perhaps a longer stretch of stability after so many years, I would say. And I don't see any trend at the moment because it's a generics business, as you know, it's about demand and supply. And at this point of time, you know, it's we see some still supply disruptions going on, on some key, key molecules and key products. And it's about, you know, your, your own portfolio, your own ability to supply, and basically the flexibility to supply to sometimes respond to the market needs. And that's what I think we have set for ourselves, and that's what's giving us the stability. And I don't see at the moment in the environment some more trends which we should be concerned about.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Jason Gerberry, Bank of America.
Jason Gerberry (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to inquire about the inflationary pressures on cost of goods that was flagged last quarter. It appears like either that was maybe not realized this quarter because of mix, or perhaps there were some other offsets. Really curious more so just to think about how those inflationary pressures, do you feel like you may see those manifest in 4Q or into next year? That would be helpful. Just you know, some of your peers have flagged inflationary pressures as well on cost of goods, so just wondering if you can level set. Thanks.
Sanjeev Narula (CFO)
Yeah, yeah. So Jason, thank you for the question. So we had anticipated inflation pressure, and we kind of talked about that when we, you know, made our plan and gave the guidance to that. We're managing our cost very well. So the impact is still there in for inflation, and in this quarter we have an inflation impact, but it is less than what we had anticipated. So clearly, our teams are doing a great job in managing the cost, and you can see that reflected in our gross margin, which is coming better than we expected. And we've actually raised the full-year metrics to 58.75% on the strength of mix and us managing the cost, including inflation, better than what we had anticipated.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Ash Verma, UBS.
Ash Verma (Equity Research Analyst)
Good evening, my question. So, on emerging market, can you elaborate the dynamic here a little bit? You mentioned customer buying patterns impacting Q3. And I didn't hear you saying that you're gonna expect to get to the outlook that you had for the emerging market, although I heard that for other geographies. And second one, I just wanted to understand the FX impact. So Q3 revenue saw $7 million headwind, but you're lowering your 2023 midpoint by $250 million. Is this all concentrated in just Q4 alone? Thanks.
Rajiv Malik (President)
I think on emerging market, some of our key brands, Lyrica, Zoloft, Effexor across the region, some other brands, have been performing pretty well. Turkey and also emerging Asia, we call it, these are the geographies like Thailand and Malaysia and all those countries put together, they have performed above expectations. And I see this trend continue. I mean, I see emerging markets well on the track for mid-single-digit growth, year-over-year growth, driven on the strength of their portfolio diversity and markets, you know, where we are seeing that confidence.
Sanjeev Narula (CFO)
Yeah, yeah. So, so Ash, on the FX, a couple of comments. So, what's going on in the three currencies? So our 70% of our business is non-U.S. dollar denominated. 50% comes from three currencies, which is the Euro, Japanese yen, and Chinese RMB. What was going on till about September, as you could probably track that, the dollar had strengthened against the Chinese RMB and Japanese yen, and then Euro was favorable to what we had assumed.
But September onwards, the euro started weakening with all the Fed action that was going on. So whatever the offset that we were seeing in the first half of the year went away. So you see the impact is much bigger now, starting September in fourth quarter than we had anticipated. And that's what we are reflecting in our full year guidance, assuming the October 8 stand. So it's all three currencies, it's all FX and operationally exactly in line with what we had anticipated. And you saw that we reformed our guidance on EBITDA and free cash flow, absorbing the FX impact.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Balaji Prasad, Barclays.
Michaela Diverio (Managing Director of Equity Capital Markets)
Hi, everyone. This is Michaela answering for Balaji. Thanks for taking our questions. Just wondering if you guys have any thoughts on today's move by the FTC to challenge more than 100 improper patents listed in the FDA's Orange Book, and wondering if this will have any impact to Viatris. Thanks.
Brian Roman (Global General Counsel)
So this is Brian Roman, the General Counsel. Thanks for the question. You know, our company's been an industry leader in challenging improper Orange Book listings for many years, so this is an issue that we understand well, take seriously, and, and frankly, like to see the issue getting some attention. The FTC hasn't shared with us what concern they have about these particular patents, but I'd add that there already has been, for years, significant generic competition for our epinephrine auto injectors.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from David Amsellem, Piper Sandler.
David Amsellem (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Hey, thanks. So, just a couple of product-specific questions. Can you talk about how are you thinking about the generic Symbicort contribution next year? I know you talked about how revenue being a little low expectations and developed margins because of, you know, phasing of that product. So just talk about where that product is heading. Then any update on iron sucrose? That would be helpful. And then on, you know, business development targets. What's your willingness to move away from that or look at other therapeutic silos? Thanks.
Rajiv Malik (President)
So I'll answer the sort of last part of the question first. And, you know, as I said earlier, that, you know, those three verticals we think, you know, very highly of in terms of the type of assets that are there are... therapeutic areas, but we'll keep our minds open are out there that can help us really move the company in a good way. Again, what we're really looking to do, leverage this company globally. And if there are assets outside of those three areas that we find that can really help us, secure our growth in Phase II, we'll definitely look at them.
Sanjeev Narula (CFO)
And David, on launch of Breyna, the generic to the Symbicort, we couldn't be more pleased to launch another complex, hard-to-make product. This affordable alternative [inaudible], we are looking at the pickup market share. Now, IQVIA doesn't capture our customers. For example, we can be in some commercial entities, veterans, or entities like Kaiser. So it doesn't capture, but we have—it's exactly how we are modeled. It's gonna be a significant contributor because we don't see a competition on the horizon at this point of time for the next year.
It's gonna be a meaningful contributor to that. And the mix, and I want to call, first of all, we are very happy to have more than $450 million. We have already captured $345 million on the, you know, new launches, and we are well on track to do more than $450. Time to-- You know, the launch being early in the first quarter of the next year. Nothing has changed otherwise. We are exactly on track. We delivered exactly how we planned.
Scott Smith (CEO)
Are there any more questions in line?
Operator (participant)
No, sir. I'll now turn the call back over to Scott Smith, CEO, to make a few closing remarks.
Scott Smith (CEO)
Thank you very much, and thank you to everybody on the call. In summary, I'm very, very pleased with the overall execution and the momentum, and the momentum that we have as we bring Phase I of our strategic plan to a successful conclusion. I'm very much looking forward to moving into Phase II of our strategic plan, and I fully believe in the future trajectory of Viatris, and I'm very excited for what's to come. Thank you all again for your attention.
Operator (participant)
This does conclude today's Viatris 2023 third quarter earnings call and webcast. Please disconnect your line at this time, and have a wonderful day.