Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

VC

VICTORY CLEAN ENERGY, INC. (VYEY)·Q1 2018 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2018 reflected an early-stage pivot to a technology-enabled oilfield services model with no continuing-operations revenue yet, but materially lower operating costs: G&A fell 29% YoY to $0.43M and interest expense declined 35% YoY, narrowing loss from continuing operations by 30% to $0.49M .
  • Reported EPS was $(0.07), comprised of $(0.08) from continuing operations and $0.01 from discontinued operations (Aurora divestiture tail effects) .
  • Liquidity remains the critical swing factor: working capital deficit widened to $2.17M; subsequent to quarter-end the company restructured VPEG debt into equity/warrants and put in place a new up-to-$2.0M facility while pursuing a proposed $5M private placement at $0.75/share to fund acquisitions and commercialization ramp .
  • Management’s strategic narrative centers on exclusive amorphous alloy coatings IP (Liquidmetal/Armacor) and a roll-up of regional oilfield services distributors; near-term stock catalysts are capital raise execution, first commercial wins, and closing/accretion of targeted service company acquisitions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Cost discipline: G&A down 29% YoY to $427k; interest expense down 35% YoY to $58k, narrowing loss from continuing operations by 30% YoY to $486k .
    • Strategy clarity and IP positioning: management highlights a worldwide, perpetual, royalty-free, exclusive sublicense to Liquidmetal Coatings IP for oilfield services; product benefits include torque and friction reduction, corrosion/wear resistance, and RFID-enabled data collection .
    • Transition progress: discontinued operations produced $49k income (vs $30k YoY) as legacy Aurora was fully divested in Dec-2017; restatement isolates the new model .
  • What Went Wrong

    • No continuing revenue yet: Company states it currently has no revenue from contracts with customers, so operating leverage remains unproven .
    • Liquidity strain: working capital deficit of $2.17M; continued operating cash burn of $(0.45)M in Q1 despite financing inflows .
    • Going concern and internal controls: management discloses going concern uncertainties and material weaknesses in disclosure controls (segregation of duties) still under remediation .

Financial Results

Financial summary (continuing and discontinued; oldest → newest):

MetricQ1 2017Q1 2018
Revenue — Continuing ($M)$0.00 (no revenue recognized) $0.00 (no revenue recognized)
General & Administrative ($M)$0.60 $0.43
Interest Expense ($M)$0.09 $0.06
Loss from Continuing Operations ($M)$(0.69) $(0.49)
EPS — Continuing ($)$(0.84) $(0.08)
Discontinued Ops Revenue ($M)$0.09 $0.09
Income from Discontinued Ops ($M)$0.03 $0.05
EPS — Discontinued ($)$0.04 $0.01
Total EPS ($)$(0.81) $(0.07)

Liquidity and balance sheet:

MetricDec 31, 2017Mar 31, 2018
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$0.02 $0.02
Working Capital Deficit ($M)$(1.73) $(2.17)
Current Liabilities ($M)$1.87 $2.29
Note Payable (Affiliate) — Current ($M)$0.90 $1.41
Intangible Assets ($M)$17.63 $17.63

Legacy E&P revenue trend (discontinued operations and pre-divestiture press releases; oldest → newest):

MetricQ2 2017Q3 2017Q1 2018
Oil & Gas Revenue — Legacy Ops ($M)$0.07 $0.06 $0.09 (discontinued ops revenue)

Notes:

  • Continuing operations margins are not meaningful without revenue; focus is on cost trajectory and loss narrowing .
  • Financials were restated to present prior oil & gas operations as discontinued after the Aurora divestiture (Aug–Dec 2017) .

Guidance Changes

No formal quantitative guidance was issued in Q1 2018; management emphasized capital raising, acquisition strategy, and commercialization milestones.

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue2018N/ANo formal guidance; company states it currently has no revenue from contracts with customers N/A
Capital Raise2018N/AProposed $5M private placement at $0.75/share with 50% warrant coverage; AVV to invest ≥$0.5M New
Debt/Financing2018VPEG Note outstandingVPEG debt exchanged for 1.88M shares + 1.88M warrants at $0.75; new up-to-$2.0M OID note available Restructured
Corporate Actions2018N/AName change to Victory Oilfield Tech, Inc. approved by majority holders New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2018 earnings call transcript was available in the document set; thematic analysis draws from the Q1 2018 press release, 10-Q MD&A, and prior quarter press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2–Q3 2017)Current Period (Q1 2018)Trend
Technology/IP positioningIntroduced exclusive Liquidmetal/Armacor coatings license; downhole validation by large U.S. E&Ps Reinforced exclusive, perpetual license; benefits include torque/friction reduction, corrosion/wear resistance; RFID data capabilities Steady, expanding narrative
Acquisition strategySignal intent to acquire high-quality U.S. oilfield service companies to accelerate distribution Plan to embark on U.S. services company acquisition initiative to add immediate revenue and channels Advancing toward execution
Financing/liquidityInterim financing secured; target $5M investment from AVV post-shareholder approval VPEG debt equitized; new $2.0M facility; proposed $5M equity raise at $0.75 underway Improved structure, raise pending
Legacy E&P exitAssets slated for divestiture; shareholder vote pending Divestiture complete; prior E&P results now presented as discontinued ops Completed transition
Internal controlsMaterial weaknesses in disclosure controls (segregation of duties) remain under remediation Remediation in progress
Going concernContinued losses, negative operating cash flow; going concern language maintained Risk persists

Management Commentary

  • “Over the past several months we have made important progress in our efforts to become a well-capitalized technology-enabled oilfield services business. As a result, our transition into Victory Oilfield Tech is well underway... [We] intend to begin to fully leverage our ownership of a worldwide, perpetual, royalty free, fully paid up and exclusive license... to create a meaningfully differentiated oilfield services business with little effective competition.” – Kenny Hill, CEO .
  • “We believe that a well-capitalized technology-enabled oilfield services business, with ownership of a worldwide, perpetual, royalty free, fully paid up and exclusive license and rights to all future Liquidmetal® Coatings oil and gas product innovations, will provide the basis for more accessible financing to grow the company and execute our oilfield services company acquisitions strategy.” .
  • Use cases emphasize reducing drilling torque/friction and corrosion/wear, enabling longer laterals and lower total well costs; RFID enclosure supports asset tracking and data services .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2018 earnings call transcript was available in the filing set; no Q&A disclosures to report. Management’s disclosures were provided via the 8-K press release and 10-Q MD&A .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates for Q1 2018 (revenue and EPS) were not available via S&P Global for this ticker due to missing CIQ mapping in our data source; as such, we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Given no continuing-operations revenue and an early commercialization phase, future estimate formation likely hinges on timing of the initial acquisitions and first commercial product deployments .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution pivot: The quarter is about de-risking the capital structure and solidifying the technology/IP platform, not revenue growth yet; cost controls narrowed losses, but the model’s operating leverage awaits commercialization .
  • Liquidity is the gating item: Working capital deficit and operating cash burn necessitate timely equity raise and/or additional draws under the new facility; successful close of the proposed $5M private placement is a key stock catalyst .
  • Positive capital structure moves: Equitization of $1.41M VPEG debt plus attached warrants reduces near-term financing risk and aligns a key creditor; the $2.0M OID facility provides interim runway .
  • Strategy has tangible moats: Exclusive, perpetual Liquidmetal/Armacor sublicense with proven downhole testing offers differentiated performance claims in torque/friction/corrosion—compelling for shale lateral economics if commercialized at scale .
  • Near-term proof points: (1) close capital raise, (2) announce and close first services acquisition(s) with immediate revenue contribution, (3) disclose initial commercial orders or customer pilots for coatings/RFID products, (4) progress on internal controls remediation .
  • Risk/Reward: Going concern and no-revenue status elevate financing and execution risk; however, successful capitalization and acquisition-led channel build-out could accelerate revenue onboarding and validate the unit economics thesis .

Appendix: Source Documents

  • Q1 2018 8‑K with Exhibit 99.1 (press release): Victory Announces First Quarter 2018 Financial Results .
  • Q1 2018 10‑Q: financial statements, MD&A, liquidity, going concern, internal controls .
  • March 29, 2018 8‑K press release (FY2017 results & transformation update) .
  • Prior quarters’ press releases: Q2 2017 (Aug 11, 2017) and Q3 2017 (Nov 14, 2017) .