W4
WD 40 CO (WDFC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record net sales quarter: Q3 2025 net sales were $156.9M (+1% YoY); gross margin expanded to 56.2% (+310 bps YoY), and diluted EPS was $1.54 (+5% YoY) .
- Mixed vs consensus: EPS beat ($1.54 vs $1.40*) while revenue missed ($156.9M vs $160.6M*); management raised FY25 operating income and EPS guidance and narrowed net sales range (6–9%) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Segment dynamics: Americas +4% YoY, Asia-Pacific +7% YoY; EIMEA -5% YoY driven by distributor timing and a manufacturing transition in the Middle East (short-term disruption) .
- Capital allocation: $0.94 dividend declared (paid 7/31/25) and active buybacks; $32.2M remains under repurchase authorization as of 5/31/25 .
- Narrative catalysts: Gross margin recovery ahead of plan (55–56% FY25), strong June start to Q4, and updated guidance with potential upside if HCCP divestiture does not close .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin recovery ahead of schedule to 56.2%, with drivers: +110 bps from pricing/premiumization, +80 bps from lower specialty chemical costs, +60 bps from reduced can costs; management expects FY25 GM of 55–56% .
- Maintenance products up 2% YoY to $150.4M; WD‑40 Specialist up 9% YoY; maintenance products represented 96% of net sales, consistent with strategic focus .
- CEO: “third quarter net sales of $156.9 million — a new record high… significant progress on gross margin recovery” supporting long-term value creation .
What Went Wrong
- EIMEA -5% YoY driven by -6% WD‑40 Multi‑Use Product in distributor markets (Turkey and Middle East) due to order timing and operational changes; short‑term disruption as customers adapt to new manufacturing partner .
- SG&A up 13% YoY to $51.5M; cost of doing business (operating expenses framework) at 38% of sales vs 34% last year; CFO highlights timing of incentive comp and increased headcount/IS investments .
- Revenue softer vs consensus; FX was an unfavorable ~$1.6M impact to quarterly net sales; Americas and Asia‑Pacific faced currency headwinds . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Financial Results
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “record sales quarter… core maintenance products grew 2%… reaching 56% GM — an improvement of 310 bps… expect to exceed our 55% long-term GM target for FY2025, a full year ahead of schedule” .
- CFO: GM drivers this quarter—“110 bps from higher average selling prices… 80 bps from lower specialty chemical costs… 60 bps from reduced can costs; no material unfavorable impacts” .
- CFO on cost: “cost of doing business was 38% of net sales… timing differences for incentive compensation… higher employee-related expenses… information systems staffing” .
- CFO on FY25 outlook: “Net sales growth narrowed to 6–9%… operating income increased to $96–$101M… diluted EPS to $5.30–$5.60; FX and non-operating items supportive” .
- CEO on EIMEA: Middle East partner change reduced inventory needs (shorter lead times), creating a one-off impact; Turkey volatility typical of emerging markets .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance range: Narrowed as visibility improves; variability from promotional timing and distributor order timing warrants keeping a decent range .
- Gross margin sustainability: Management sees potential accretion from supply chain initiatives; if input costs stay stable, initiatives could be additive; otherwise offset inflationary headwinds .
- SG&A trajectory: After elevated investments (IT/ESG/org design), management is focused on reducing growth rate of costs next year versus recent double-digit trend .
- FX and tariffs: Europe FX turning positive in Q3/Q4; Mexico/Brazil still headwinds; tariffs (steel cans) largely offset by supply chain initiatives—no notable order lumpiness .
- Promotions vs brand building: Distinction between off-shelf programs timing and brand-building (e.g., sampling) driving demand; strong U.S. promotional calendar into Q4 .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 EPS: $1.54 actual vs $1.40 consensus* → Beat*.
- Q3 2025 Revenue: $156.9M actual vs $160.6M consensus* → Miss*.
- Low coverage: # of estimates—EPS 1*, Revenue 1*, which can increase variability*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin story is the key: gross margin at 56.2% with clear drivers and FY25 guide 55–56%; sustainability supported by supply chain initiatives .
- Top-line mixed: Americas and Asia-Pacific growth offset EIMEA distributor timing; near-term EIMEA headwinds linked to manufacturing transition appear transitory .
- EPS positive surprise vs consensus and guidance raised; revenue miss likely tempers exuberance—watch Q4 promotional execution and order timing . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Capital return consistent: $0.94 dividend and active buybacks; $32.2M remaining under plan through 8/31/2026 .
- Strategic focus intact: maintenance products at 96% of sales; Specialist and premiumized formats targeted for double-digit CAGR growth .
- FX risk moderating: Europe turning supportive; monitor MXN/BRL exposure; management adjusts guidance on constant currency basis .
- HCCP divestiture optionality: Guidance excludes HCCP; if not closed, FY25 would see +$20M sales/+$6M OI/+$0.33 EPS uplift .