WI
WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC (WGO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY25 delivered small beats vs S&P Global consensus and sequential margin improvement: adjusted EPS $0.19 vs $0.16 consensus*, revenue $620.2M vs $616.7M consensus*, and adjusted EBITDA $22.8M vs $22.4M consensus*. Sequential gross margin rose ~110 bps and adjusted EBITDA margin rose ~140 bps on lower allowances/discounts and efficiency gains .
- YoY performance remained weak on mix and Motorhome deleverage: revenue -11.8% to $620.2M, gross margin down 160 bps to 13.4%, and adjusted EPS down to $0.19 from $0.93 .
- Guidance cut: FY25 sales to $2.8–$3.0B (from $2.9–$3.2B), reported EPS to $2.10–$3.10 (from $2.50–$3.80), and adjusted EPS to $2.75–$3.75 (from $3.10–$4.40), citing soft retail, dealer discipline (especially Motorhome), and tariff/macro uncertainty .
- Marine outperformed with share gains at Barletta (9.5% TTM share; +140 bps YoY) and strong profitability, while Motorhome remained the principal drag; execution focus heightened via new SVP of Enterprise Operations from Deere and targeted margin/quality initiatives .
- Capital allocation supports equity story: $100M tender of 6.25% 2028 notes and $20M buybacks executed in Q2; quarterly dividend maintained at $0.34 (43rd straight) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Sequential profitability improvements: management cited 110 bps sequential gross margin expansion and 140 bps adjusted EBITDA margin improvement, driven by lower allowances/discounts and operating efficiencies .
- Marine strength and share gains: Marine revenue +17.1% YoY to $81.7M; adj. EBITDA +75.7% with margin up 310 bps to 9.4%; Barletta TTM share rose to 9.5% (+140 bps YoY), now #3 in aluminum pontoons .
- Towable stabilization on affordability/product: Towable revenue +1.2% YoY with unit deliveries +7.1%; CEO emphasized “product differentiation and sharper affordability options” and new Grand Design/Winnebago towables resonating with dealers .
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What Went Wrong
- Motorhome deleverage: Motorhome revenue -30.4% YoY to $235.6M; adj. EBITDA margin down 540 bps to 2.2% on volume deleverage, with rebates/discounts still elevated (though improving sequentially) .
- Consolidated margins down YoY on mix: gross margin fell to 13.4% from 15.0% YoY as the company leaned into lower-priced units and faced Motorhome weakness .
- Higher SG&A YoY: SG&A +8.6% YoY to $69.7M on incentive comp mix and investments to support Grand Design Motorized and Barletta growth .
Financial Results
Overall P&L (oldest → newest)
YoY snapshot (Q2 FY2025 vs Q2 FY2024)
Segment performance (sequential view)
KPIs
Non-GAAP adjustments (EPS): Q2 FY25 adjusted EPS $0.19 reconciles from GAAP via amortization (+$0.20), loss on note repurchase (+$0.07), tax impact (-$0.06) .
Guidance Changes
Management cited consumer sentiment, dealer inventory discipline (especially Motorhome/Marine), and tariff risk as drivers for the reduction .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Profitability for the company increased sequentially… reflecting operating, pricing or cost improvements within our Towable and Motorhome RV segments.” – CEO Michael Happe .
- “We completed a $100 million cash tender offer… and repurchased $20 million of our stock… underscor[ing] our commitment to… capital allocation and deliver resiliency through the cycle.” – CEO Michael Happe .
- “At the end of Q2, our net debt-to-EBITDA ratio stood at 4.0x… We remain committed to… bringing our leverage ratio back in line with our historical target.” – CFO Bryan Hughes .
- “Our full-year financial outlook… includes our current estimate of the net impact of tariffs… [and] anticipated pricing actions that may be required to offset… inflationary pressures.” – CEO Michael Happe .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance and tariffs: FY25 guidance range already includes tariff impact; management expects limited FY25 effect given timing, inventory on hand, supplier negotiations; potential price increases/surcharges to offset costs .
- Retail/inventory tone: Early March retail similar to February; guidance cut reflects later-than-expected retail rebound and dealer inventory caution, notably in Motorhome .
- Discounts/warranty: Motorhome rebates/discounts remain elevated but improved sequentially; Towables warranty costs elevated due to Winnebago-branded quality remediation and broader GD campaigns (30–50 bps above historical) .
- Marine cycle vs RV: Marine likely lags RV in destocking; WGO’s marine dealer inventories down double-digits YoY; Barletta gaining share with disciplined channel management .
- Operations uplift: New SVP Ops (ex-Deere) to drive manufacturing productivity, sourcing, quality, and footprint efficiency; longer-dated margin opportunities in quality/innovation .
Estimates Context
Q2 FY2025 vs S&P Global consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global via GetEstimates.*
Forward look (for reference): company reduced FY25 revenue to $2.8–$3.0B and adjusted EPS to $2.75–$3.75 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Modest beat and sequential margin improvement signal early operating traction; however, Motorhome headwinds and mix keep YoY margins under pressure .
- Guidance reset lowers the FY25 bar; near-term stock drivers likely center on selling season sell-through, Motorhome channel clean-up, and tariff developments .
- Marine is a bright spot with structural share gains at Barletta and resilient margins; this segment partially offsets RV cyclicality .
- Affordability strategy is working in Towables (units +7% YoY) and should support shipment normalization as dealer confidence improves .
- Capital allocation remains supportive (debt tender, buybacks, dividend); deleveraging back toward the historical 0.9–1.5x target is a medium-term focus .
- Watch for execution catalysts: Grand Design Lineage motorized ramp (Series M, Series F) toward $100M+ FY25 target and Winnebago-branded margin/quality progress .
- Risks: sustained consumer softness, elevated Motorhome discounts, tariff pass-through, and quality costs in Towables .