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WHIRLPOOL CORP /DE/ (WHR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 showed mixed results: net sales rose sequentially to $4.14B from $3.99B but declined 18.7% YoY on Europe divestiture; organic net sales grew 1.9% YoY, led by Small Domestic Appliances (SDA) and international businesses . Ongoing EBIT margin expanded to 6.0% (+80 bps YoY; +20 bps QoQ), while GAAP EPS swung to a loss of $(7.10) on a $381M non‑cash Maytag trademark impairment .
- Management issued initial 2025 guidance: ~$15.8B net sales (~3% like‑for‑like growth), ~6.8% ongoing EBIT margin, ~$10.00 ongoing EPS, ~$1.0B operating cash flow, and $500–$600M free cash flow, with a normalized 20–25% GAAP/non‑GAAP tax rate; WHR also plans ~$700M debt paydown and intends to reduce Whirlpool of India stake to ~20% (expected $550–$600M net cash) .
- What drove Q4: negative price/mix tied to a sizable retail destock in North America offset otherwise positive actions (pricing, cost takeout); strong sell‑through, international growth, and SDA momentum supported organic growth; marketing investments pressured SDA margin .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: disciplined promo/pricing and >100 new launches (incl. premium KitchenAid/JennAir) to improve mix, plus deleveraging ($700M paydown) and India monetization; macro/tariff path remains an uncertainty not included in guidance .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Structural execution: ~$(300)M net cost takeout delivered in 2024; WHR targets >$200M more in 2025, underpinning 100–150 bps margin expansion outlook .
- International and SDA resilience: Organic net sales +1.9% YoY in Q4, with MDA Latin America (+7.3% ex‑FX), MDA Asia (+8.8% ex‑FX), and SDA (+6.4% ex‑FX) leading; LatAm Q4 EBIT margin rose 240 bps YoY to 7.6% .
- Product and mix setup: Over 100 new products in 2025 and >30% transition in North America; premium KitchenAid refresh (1st in a decade) and JennAir induction downdraft expected to drive mix/pricing benefits over the year .
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What Went Wrong
- North America price/mix: A “sizable” one‑time retail destock and Black Friday sell‑out incentives drove unfavorable Q4 price/mix and below‑plan MDA NA EBIT margin (6.7%) .
- GAAP optics: $381M non‑cash Maytag trademark impairment and a negative GAAP tax rate drove Q4 GAAP EPS to $(7.10) and GAAP net margin to (9.5)%; ongoing results better align with operations .
- SDA margin trade‑off: Marketing investments for new SDA launches pressured Q4 SDA EBIT margin to 12.5% (down 130 bps YoY), a deliberate spend to seed category growth .
Financial Results
Segment performance (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023):
KPIs and cash/returns:
Why results moved:
- GAAP loss driven by Maytag trademark impairment ($381M) and an unusual tax rate; ongoing EPS benefited from adjusted (non‑GAAP) tax rate (Q4 adjusted rate of (53.8)%) .
- North America price/mix deteriorated on a sizable retailer destock and strong sell‑through tied to election‑period incentives; cost actions and pricing elsewhere (LatAm) supported margins .
Guidance Changes
Notes: 2025 outlook based on like‑for‑like 2024 baseline (ex‑Q1 Europe, ex‑2H India) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In 2024, we continued to make progress... delivered on our cost take out commitment of $300 million... In 2025, we expect to deliver more than $200 million of cost take out and position our business for the eventual U.S. housing recovery.” — Marc Bitzer, CEO .
- “We are proud of the actions we took to strengthen our balance sheet, paying down $500 million in debt... In 2025... anticipated India transaction will maximize shareholder value and further strengthen our balance sheet.” — Jim Peters, CFO .
- “In the U.S., we have just recently announced a further reduction in the depth of our promotional pricing program... expected to help drive favorable price and mix in 2025.” — Marc Bitzer .
- “We do not anticipate a sudden improvement... we expect only a slow and gradual improvement in 2025... we will stay very disciplined in our cost controls.” — Marc Bitzer .
Q&A Highlights
- Retail destock and price/mix: Q4 North America margin was below expectations due to a sizable retailer destock and sell‑out incentives; management called it one‑time and now “behind us,” with strong December sell‑through .
- Pricing trajectory: Further reductions in promotional depth and 2025 price/mix uplift (~75 bps) expected; mix benefit builds through the year with KitchenAid (Q3 launch timing) and JennAir; transition costs offset some benefits intra‑year .
- Production/inventory: WHR adjusted Q4 production to avoid inventory build; enters 2025 with low inventories and plans to keep production matched to sales .
- Tariffs sensitivity: No tariffs included in guidance; >80% of U.S. sales are U.S.‑produced, implying relative insulation vs import‑heavy peers; management will revise if policy changes materialize .
- India monetization and leverage: Expected $550–$600M net cash; gross debt paydown ~$700M in 2025; deconsolidation removes ~$300M India cash from reported net cash, which had limited parent‑level availability .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 and comparative periods were unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits; therefore, we do not present beat/miss vs consensus and will update when available. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ) when accessible.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Reset complete; execution focus: Portfolio actions (Europe closed; India planned) plus structural cost takeout (> $200M in 2025) underpin ~100–150 bps margin expansion despite flat industry assumptions .
- Mix/pricing catalysts: Over 100 product launches (premium emphasis) and reduced promotional depth should lift price/mix through 2025; transition costs keep near‑term benefits modest but build over the year .
- Balance sheet de‑risking: ~$700M debt paydown planned and India proceeds ($550–$600M) point to deleveraging; investment‑grade rating remains a priority .
- North America watch‑items: Retail destock appears one‑time; monitor promo discipline, KitchenAid/JennAir adoption, and any discretionary recovery for upside vs the cautious base case .
- Macro/policy optionality: No housing rebound, raw material deflation, or tariffs are embedded in guidance; any positive developments could be incremental, while tariffs would require reassessment .
- Cash generation: FY25 free cash flow outlook of $500–$600M with ~$1.0B CFOA supports dividend and debt reduction; Board declared $1.75 dividend for March 2025 .
Appendix: Additional Data and Reconciliations
- Q4 2024 Ongoing EPS of $4.57 reflects adjustments including $381M Maytag impairment, M&A impacts, equity method investee restructuring, and a favorable adjusted tax rate (non‑GAAP); ongoing EBIT margin 6.0% .
- FY 2024 free cash flow was $385M; 2025 FCF outlook $500–$600M; operating cash flow outlook ~$1.0B .
Sources: Whirlpool Q4 2024 press release and 8‑K (Jan 29, 2025) ; Q4 2024 earnings call (Jan 30, 2025) ; Q3 2024 press release (Oct 23, 2024) ; Q2 2024 press release (Jul 24, 2024) ; Dividend press release (Feb 18, 2025) .