Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

EW

ENCORE WIRE CORP (WIRE)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2023 delivered solid volumes but margin compression: net sales were $0.637B, diluted EPS $4.82, and gross margin 23.3% as copper spreads continued to abate; net sales were flat sequentially and down year-over-year, with EPS down both sequentially and YoY .
  • Management highlighted a quarterly record of copper and aluminum pounds shipped and strong supplier performance despite tight raw copper availability, supporting the build-to-ship model and high order fill rates .
  • Capital allocation remained aggressive: $121.2M buybacks (710,083 shares) in Q3; since Q1 2020, 5.16M shares repurchased (~25% of outstanding), with $581.8M cash and no long-term debt at quarter-end .
  • Capex guidance for 2023 narrowed to $160–$170M (from $160–$180M), with 2024 at $150–$170M and 2025 at $80–$100M; XLPE compounding facility is substantially complete, supporting vertical integration and cost position .
  • Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to missing mapping; therefore, beat/miss vs estimates cannot be assessed at this time [SpgiEstimatesError for WIRE].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Quarterly record of copper and aluminum pounds shipped” with strong supplier performance enabling timely customer delivery despite tight raw copper availability .
  • Balance sheet strength: $581.8M cash, no long-term debt, untapped revolver; continued buybacks with $121.2M repurchased in Q3 and ~25% of shares repurchased since Q1 2020 at ~$133 average price .
  • Vertical integration progress: XLPE compounding facility substantially complete; targeted capex through 2025 to expand integration, capacity, efficiency, and sustainability positioning .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin compressed to 23.3% (vs 26.1% in Q2 and 39.3% YoY) as the average selling price per copper pound fell 4.3% sequentially and 16.8% YoY while copper cost per pound decreased 2.0% sequentially but increased 4.6% YoY .
  • EPS declined to $4.82 (vs $6.01 in Q2 and $9.97 YoY), reflecting ongoing margin abatement and lower pricing environment .
  • SG&A pressure YTD from SARs expense: $16.9M increase versus a breakeven SARs benefit in the prior year period; SARs charges tied to stock price increases .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2022Q2 2023Q3 2023
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$0.762 $0.636 $0.637
Diluted EPS ($USD)$9.97 $6.01 $4.82
Gross Margin (%)39.3% 26.1% 23.3%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$244.2 $127.5 $98.0
Operating Margin (%)32.0% 20.0% 15.4%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$191.8 $104.7 $82.1
Net Income Margin (%)25.1% 16.5% 12.9%
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$253.9 $143.7 $114.8

Segment/product mix (proxy):

KPIQ3 2022Q2 2023Q3 2023
Aluminum wire share of net sales (%)17.4% 14.4% 12.5%
Copper unit volume growth (%)+6.4% YoY +6.8% Seq
Avg selling price per copper lb-16.8% YoY -12.4% Seq (Q2 vs Q1) -4.3% Seq
Avg copper cost per lb+4.6% YoY -5.3% Seq (Q2 vs Q1) -2.0% Seq

Balance sheet and capital allocation:

KPIQ2 2023Q3 2023
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$667.8 $581.8
Long-term Debt$0 $0
Share Repurchases (shares)772,931 710,083
Share Repurchases (cash outlay, $USD Millions)$126.7 $121.2

Note: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2023 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping for WIRE; comparison vs estimates not possible at this time [SpgiEstimatesError for WIRE].

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capital ExpendituresFY 2023$160–$180M (Q1/Q2) $160–$170M (Q3) Narrowed/Lowered upper bound
Capital ExpendituresFY 2024$150–$170M (Q1/Q2) $150–$170M (Q3) Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$80–$100M (Q1/Q2) $80–$100M (Q3) Maintained
XLPE FacilityN/ASubstantially complete by end Q3 2023 (Q2) Substantially complete (Q3) Achieved milestone
DividendQuarterly$0.02 per share (Q1/Q2 actual) $0.02 declared in Q3 Maintained
Share Repurchase AuthorizationThrough 3/31/2024Reset to 2,000,000 shares (June) 1,289,917 shares remaining (Q3) Utilized (program ongoing)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Transcript retrieval for the Q3 2023 earnings call was unavailable due to a document access error; themes below reflect press release commentary and prior quarters.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 and Q2 2023)Current Period (Q3 2023)Trend
Supply chain/raw copperTight copper availability; suppliers performing well; margin abatement gradual (Q1/Q2) Tight raw copper availability persists; suppliers performing well; record pounds shipped; gradual abatement continues Stable demand; easing price; margin pressure ongoing
Pricing and spreadsSelling price declines vs YoY; copper cost down QoQ in Q2; abatement of spreads (Q1/Q2) Selling price down 4.3% QoQ and 16.8% YoY; copper cost -2.0% QoQ, +4.6% YoY; spreads continue to abate Continued margin normalization
Vertical integration/XLPEXLPE facility expected substantially complete by end Q3; capex 2023–2025 plan (Q1/Q2) XLPE substantially complete; capex guidance refined; focus on cost reduction, capacity, efficiency, sustainability Milestone achieved; execution ongoing
Capital allocationSignificant buybacks; strong cash, no LT debt (Q1/Q2) Continued buybacks; cash $581.8M; no LT debt; ~25% shares repurchased since 2020 Ongoing returns; balance sheet strong
End-markets/customer serviceBuild-to-ship model, high order fill rates supporting timely deliveries (Q1/Q2) Same emphasis; record shipments and timely customer service Consistent execution

Management Commentary

  • “Demand for our products has remained strong, and our build-to-ship model, combined with the increased throughput of our modern service center, allowed us to reach a quarterly record of copper and aluminum pounds shipped.” — Daniel L. Jones, Chairman, President & CEO .
  • “We have no long-term debt, and our revolving line of credit remains untapped. We had $581.8 million in cash as of September 30, 2023… Since the first quarter of 2020 we have repurchased 5,157,769 shares… approximately 25% of outstanding shares.” .
  • “Capital spending in 2023 through 2025 will further expand vertical integration… to reduce costs as well as modernize select wire manufacturing facilities to increase capacity and efficiency… The new [XLPE] facility is substantially complete.” .
  • “Ongoing margin abatement remained gradual in the third quarter of 2023” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q3 2023 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a document access error in the source system; Q&A details and any guidance clarifications are therefore unavailable for inclusion in this recap [Document ID 1 access error].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue for Q3 2023 (S&P Global/Capital IQ) were unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping for WIRE; as a result, a beat/miss assessment vs consensus cannot be provided at this time [SpgiEstimatesError for WIRE].
  • Given reported margin compression vs prior periods, Street models that assumed slower margin normalization may need adjustment, but formal estimate revisions cannot be assessed without the consensus baseline .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Volume strength offsets pricing pressure: Net sales held flat sequentially on higher copper unit volumes (+6.8% QoQ), but EPS and margins declined as selling prices per copper pound fell; watch copper spreads for signs of stabilization .
  • Structural cost work continues: XLPE compounding is substantially complete, and 2023 capex guidance narrowed to $160–$170M, reinforcing vertical integration and long-term margin durability potential once pricing normalizes .
  • Capital returns remain robust: $121.2M buybacks in Q3, with ~$582M cash and no LT debt offer flexibility to continue repurchases and fund capex without leverage—supportive for share supply and downside protection .
  • Margin normalization in motion: Gross margin at 23.3% (vs 26.1% Q2) reflects ongoing spread abatement; monitor pricing dynamics and aluminum mix (now 12.5% of sales vs 14.4% Q2, 17.4% YoY) for margin path .
  • SG&A headwind from SARs: YTD SARs expense increased $16.9M YoY; consider sensitivity of reported SG&A to stock price moves in modeling .
  • Near-term trading lens: With consensus unavailable, focus on narrative drivers—record shipments vs margin pressure and buyback support; catalysts include signs of spread stabilization and any qualitative readout from the earnings call when accessible .
  • Medium-term thesis: Vertical integration plus single-site efficiency and strong supplier ties position WIRE to capture share and sustain higher-throughput economics; execution against 2024–2025 capex should enhance capacity, efficiency, and sustainability profile .