JW
JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. (WLY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Adjusted results strengthened despite GAAP tax effects: Adjusted Revenue +1% CC to $404.6M, Adjusted Operating Margin +280 bps to 14.2%, Adjusted EBITDA +4% to $93.9M, and Adjusted EPS +39% to $0.84; GAAP diluted EPS was ($0.43) due to valuation allowance and sale-related charges .
- Research drove the quarter: revenue +5% CC to $268M, Adjusted EBITDA margin up 180 bps to 32.7%, aided by open access, solutions and a $9M AI licensing expansion; excluding AI, Research grew +2% CC in Q3 and YTD .
- Learning was seasonally soft: revenue down 6% YoY to $137M (Academic -10% CC, Professional -1% CC), yet margin expanded to 35.4%; prior-year tough comp included a $6M license renewal .
- Guidance reaffirmed, margin outlook raised: FY25 tracking to high end for EBITDA margin (23–24%) and EPS ($3.25–$3.60); FY26 Adjusted EBITDA margin target raised to 25%+ with cash flow target reaffirmed at $200M .
- Near-term catalysts: strong Q4 expected in Research on favorable renewals and demand indicators, expanding AI licensing pipeline (tech, pharma, industrial), and continued cost-structure rationalization supporting multi-year margin expansion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Research momentum and recurring revenue strength: “Our recurring revenue Research business has not only proven to be resilient across economic cycles but poised for continued expansion” — Matthew Kissner, CEO . Q3 Research revenue +5% CC; margin +180 bps .
- AI licensing traction: Expanded content licensing project added $9M in Q3; YTD AI revenue $30M, with new vertical-specific recurring agreements initiated and active pipelines in tech, pharma, and industrials .
- Margin expansion and outlook: Adjusted Operating Margin +280 bps; Adjusted EBITDA margin +50 bps; FY26 margin target raised to 25%+ on structural cost actions and operating efficiency initiatives .
What Went Wrong
- Learning softness: Revenue down 6% YoY (Academic -10% CC) on seasonal fluctuations, tough prior-year licensing comp, and retail channel pressures; Adjusted EBITDA -5% albeit margin improvement .
- GAAP EPS loss: Diluted EPS ($0.43), primarily from non-cash US valuation allowance tied to divested businesses, additional Wiley Edge sale loss, and restructuring charges .
- Corporate unallocated costs: Adjusted corporate expenses rose on an EBITDA basis due to enterprise modernization and consulting tied to cost reengineering (although D&A declined) .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results (oldest → newest)
Notes: “Adjusted” excludes divested/held-for-sale businesses, FX and specified items per company reconciliation .
Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)
KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We continue to deliver disciplined growth and material margin expansion as we capitalize on the global demand for scientific research and responsible AI model development.” — Matthew Kissner, CEO .
- On FY26 margin target increase: “We are rationalizing our cost structure largely in corporate shared services…100+ bps improvement we expect as a result of the actions we're taking.” — Christopher Caridi, Interim CFO .
- On AI licensing strategy: “Licensing represents a core business activity…models should be trained on trusted, authoritative content such as Wiley’s while protecting the rights of authors.” — Management remarks .
- On India ONOS: A multiyear national agreement expands access to ~6,300 institutions and ~18 million researchers, unifying the research ecosystem and expanding recurring revenue .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin outlook drivers: Structural cost rationalization in corporate shared services, seeking “permanent margin improvement,” benchmarking against peers (e.g., Springer Nature) to identify savings opportunities .
- AI revenue mix: Confirmation that the $9M incremental AI licensing was entirely in Q3 and recognized in Research, while prior agreements impacted Learning .
- Learning trajectory: Management expects positive courseware impact and additional licensing in Q4, though a tough AI comp from prior year will pressure reported growth; aiming for improved Learning margins into FY26 .
- Capital allocation: YTD buybacks of ~$35M with assessment of pace in FY26 given improving free cash flow; dividend yield >3.5% maintained .
- US funding risk: Direct US federal funding is a single-digit share of Wiley’s output; diversified funding and multiyear agreements support resilience .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ quarterly consensus for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA was unavailable at the time of this report due to data access limits. As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Wall Street consensus for Q3 2025. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at the time of request.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Research-led compounding growth with expanding recurring revenue base and favorable renewals underpins a strong Q4 setup; watch for upside in Research Solutions and open access throughput .
- Bold margin narrative: FY25 tracking to the high end for EBITDA margin and EPS and FY26 margin target raised to 25%+, driven by corporate cost reengineering and workflow automation — a multi-year re-rating catalyst .
- AI monetization evolving: Phase-1 training deals ($30M YTD) gave way to Phase-2 vertical-specific recurring agreements with pharma/industrial; near-term revenue is lumpy, but medium-term ARR potential grows .
- Learning is mixed but margin-accretive: Despite Q3 top-line softness, Learning margin expanded to 35.4%; expect courseware and licensing to mitigate tough comps in Q4 .
- Cash and returns: FY25 FCF ≈$125M reaffirmed; dividend maintained and buybacks opportunistic amid leverage ~2.0x; improved FY26 cash conversion projected .
- Risk monitor: US funding debate likely low single-digit direct impact; diversified geography/funding and multi-year contracts dampen volatility .
- Trading implication: Near-term focus on Q4 print and FY26 guidance in June; positive skew if Research renewals/throughput and AI verticals land, with upside to margin trajectory amid structural costs actions .
Citations: All figures and statements are sourced from Wiley’s Q3 FY2025 Form 8-K press release and supplementary tables, Q3 FY2025 earnings call transcripts, prior Q1/Q2 FY2025 disclosures, and related press releases .