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ZC

Zapata Computing Holdings Inc. (WNNR)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue of $2.00M rose 40% year over year, with gross margin expanding to 36.0% (from 19.7%) on higher software license deliveries; operating loss widened to $7.37M on elevated public-company-related G&A and one-time costs .
  • Net loss of $15.58M included an $8.23M non-cash loss from the change in fair value of a forward purchase agreement derivative liability, obscuring underlying operational trends .
  • Commercial momentum strengthened: expanded D-Wave partnership, KPMG insurance project, DARPA Quantum Benchmarking progress, Tech Mahindra collaboration, and a CRADA with USSOCOM; qualified pipeline now exceeds $30M .
  • Liquidity bolstered by $6.06M financing in Q2 (including $5.30M via ELOC), plus a subsequent agreement enabling up to $10M additional equity purchases by Lincoln Park, partially mitigating cash burn; quarter-end cash was $7.16M (excl. restricted) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Demand and delivery: Revenue rose to $2.00M (+$0.57M YoY) driven by increased software license deliveries; gross margin expanded to 36.0% (from 19.7%) as scale improved unit economics .
  • Commercial traction and partnerships: Expanded D-Wave integration for quantum + generative AI; KPMG collaboration (1,000x faster compliance model runs while maintaining accuracy); DARPA Quantum Benchmarking Phase II findings; Tech Mahindra collaboration; new CRADA with USSOCOM .
  • CEO framing of strategy: “ensembles of small, quantum-inspired, highly tailored AI models” as a differentiated approach to LLM limitations and compute cost/access constraints; pipeline above $30M across focus industries .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating leverage: Operating loss widened to $7.37M (vs. $4.14M YoY) due to higher G&A (+$3.01M), largely one-time public listing and S-1/ELOC-related professional fees .
  • Non-cash volatility: Net loss of $15.58M was inflated by an $8.23M non-cash derivative liability fair value loss, complicating visibility into underlying performance .
  • Cash burn: Net cash used in operating activities increased to $6.11M (vs. $3.61M YoY), necessitating continued external financing to support operations and growth .

Financial Results

Headline P&L, Cash, and Operating Metrics

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1.43 $1.22 $2.00
Gross Margin (%)19.7% N/A36.0%
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(4.14) $(5.08) $(7.37)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(4.72) $(22.32) $(15.58)
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities ($USD Millions)$(3.61) $(2.15) $(6.11)
Cash & Cash Equivalents, Period-End ($USD Millions)N/A$7.25 $7.16
Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities ($USD Millions)N/A$6.10 $6.06

Notes:

  • Q1 2024 gross margin not disclosed in the press release; management characterized Q1 gross margin as “flat” vs. Q1 2023 in narrative, without a precise percentage .
  • Q2 2024 net loss included an $8.23M non-cash derivative liability fair value loss .

“Vs Estimates” (S&P Global)

  • Consensus EPS and revenue for Q2 2024: Unavailable via S&P Global due to lack of CIQ mapping/coverage at the time of query. We attempted to retrieve “Primary EPS Consensus Mean” and “Revenue Consensus Mean” for “Q2 2024,” but the company lacked a Capital IQ mapping in S&P Global’s database at time of access; therefore estimate comparisons are unavailable (Values could not be retrieved from S&P Global).

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Company Guidance2H 2024 and FY outlookN/ANo specific quantitative guidance provided; management expressed optimism about pipeline conversion and acceleration in 2H 2024 and beyondMaintained qualitative outlook; no numeric guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023)Previous Mentions (Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
AI strategy: ensembles vs. LLMsLimited public disclosures (pre-listing)Positioned Orquestra/industrial generative AI across verticals Emphasized ensembles of small, quantum-inspired models to address LLM limits and compute cost; reiterated MDLC on Orquestra Strengthening strategic narrative
Partnerships & ecosystemN/AAndretti Global expansion; D-Wave collaboration; SMTB; Tech Mahindra announced 5/14 Expanded D-Wave; KPMG insurance project; DARPA results; Tech Mahindra momentum; new CRADA with USSOCOM Broadening and deepening
Pipeline & commercializationN/ABookings up 43% sequentially with Andretti; expanding enterprise dialogues Qualified pipeline >$30M; optimism about conversions in 2H24+ Growing pipeline; conversion focus
Profitability/marginsN/AQ1 gross margin flat vs. prior-year; Opex mix shift noted Gross margin 36% (+16.3ppt YoY); scale driving profitability potential Improving GM YoY
Costs, cash, and financingN/ACash improved with financing; one-time items from business combination Higher G&A from listing/S-1/ELOC; $6.06M financing; LPC up to $10M post-Q2 Managing liquidity; one-time costs taper expected

Management Commentary

  • “Zapata AI is solving AI’s biggest challenges… through our ensembles of small, quantum-inspired, highly tailored AI models… we made strong progress… building awareness… evolving our partnerships… and growing our qualified pipeline… more than $30 million…” — Christopher Savoie, CEO .
  • On partnerships and use cases: expanded D-Wave collaboration to speed AI combining traditional and quantum computing; KPMG project reduced time to run complex models by >1,000x while maintaining accuracy; DARPA benchmarking findings; Tech Mahindra telecom ops optimization; deepening DOD engagement via USSOCOM CRADA .
  • Call framing (external transcript): management contrasted costly LLM approaches with Zapata’s ensembles of smaller, specific models, emphasizing MDLC discipline on Orquestra for enterprise, numeric/time-series-heavy problems .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pipeline conversion and timing: Management expressed optimism about converting a >$30M qualified pipeline through 2H 2024 and beyond, highlighting momentum in target verticals .
  • Gross margin drivers: Emphasis on software license deliveries and scaling benefits supporting gross margin improvement (36% in Q2), with potential for further operating leverage as revenues expand .
  • Operating expense clarity: Elevated Q2 G&A tied to one-time public company listing, S-1, and ELOC-related professional fees, expected to moderate in 2H .
  • Liquidity and financing: Q2 financing inflows of $6.06M plus a post-quarter agreement with Lincoln Park enabling up to $10M additional equity purchases addressed near-term liquidity while the company invests in growth .

Note: A full internal transcript was not available in the document corpus; themes above are grounded in the company’s press release and external transcript sources .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus (Revenue, EPS) for Q2 2024: Not available due to a current Capital IQ mapping/coverage gap; we attempted to retrieve “Primary EPS Consensus Mean,” “Revenue Consensus Mean,” and estimate counts for Q2 2024 but no data was returned (Values could not be retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Implication: With no S&P Global consensus, we cannot characterize the quarter as a beat/miss versus Street. Sell-side estimate formation may lag until broader coverage initiates.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue acceleration with material gross margin expansion indicates early operating leverage as software deliveries scale; monitoring sustained bookings-to-revenue conversion into 2H 2024 is critical .
  • One-time public listing/S-1/ELOC costs inflated G&A and operating loss; if these moderate as guided, sequential operating loss should narrow at constant revenue levels .
  • Non-cash derivative liability valuation drove a large part of the net loss; cash metrics and operating cash flow are better indicators of underlying trend, though cash burn rose in Q2 .
  • Commercial momentum across D-Wave, KPMG, Tech Mahindra, and defense (DARPA/USSOCOM) broadens optionality; conversion of the $30M+ pipeline is the near-term catalyst for the stock narrative .
  • Liquidity actions (Q2 financing and LPC agreement) extend runway; continued access to capital and disciplined OpEx are prerequisites to scaling the go-to-market .
  • Absence of quantitative guidance and unavailable Street estimates may increase volatility around prints; watch for incremental disclosures on deal sizes, ARR/retention metrics, and margin targets to anchor expectations .

Appendix: Additional KPIs and Highlights

KPI / ItemQ1 2024Q2 2024
Qualified PipelineN/A>$30M
Notable Partnerships/ProgramsAndretti Global, SMTB, D-Wave, Tech Mahindra (announced 5/14) Expanded D-Wave, KPMG insurance project, DARPA findings, Tech Mahindra collaboration, USSOCOM CRADA
Financing Activity$6.10M net cash from financing activities $6.06M net cash from financing; subsequent LPC agreement up to $10M

Sources:

  • Q2 2024 press release (8-K 2.02 Exhibit 99.1) and filing metadata .
  • Q1 2024 press release (8-K 2.02 Exhibit 99.1) .
  • External call transcript and coverage: Seeking Alpha transcript page ; Event timing PR ; PR syndication ; Quartr summary page .