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Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered margin-led earnings strength: gross margin expanded to 39.3% (+120 bps YoY), operating income rose to $43.0M, GAAP net income swung to $14.0M, and Adjusted EBITDA increased to $113.9M, all while net sales fell 2.3% and comps declined 1.4% .
- Management raised FY 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $385–$395M (from $375–$390M), maintained net sales outlook (“down low-single digits”), and set Q3 Adjusted EBITDA outlook at $92–$94M, citing continued operational improvements and planned targeted reinvestments .
- Q2 results were ahead of the prior quarter’s Q2 guidance for EBITDA ($92–$94M vs. actual $113.9M), indicating stronger-than-expected margin execution; net sales were in line with the outlook .
- Key stock narrative catalysts: elevated margin discipline and SG&A leverage, raised FY EBITDA guide, tariffs expected to be a more meaningful headwind in H2, and a 2026 timeline for returning to positive comps as the company transitions from Phase 2 (foundation) to Phase 3 (growth) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expansion (+120 bps YoY to 39.3%) driven by tighter pricing/promo governance and improved merchandising/process discipline; margin expansion occurred in both products and services .
- SG&A leveraged by >150 bps with ~$36M YoY reduction; benefits included employee benefits optimization, store labor efficiencies, and expense control, supporting a $41M YoY increase in operating profit to $43M .
- Free cash flow improved to $53.8M in Q2 and YTD FCF reached ~$9.9M versus prior year ~$0.9M, reflecting stronger profitability and working capital execution .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line softness persisted: net sales down 2.3% and comps down 1.4%, reflecting intentional pullback from “empty calorie” promotions and e-commerce softness during retooling .
- Tariffs were minimal in Q2 but expected to be “sequentially more meaningful” in Q3 and more significant in Q4, creating a headwind to margin trajectory in H2 .
- Transactions lagged; while baskets and units per transaction were healthy, traffic remains a focus area as marketing/events ramp to invite customers back in-store ahead of a membership relaunch in 2026 .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Net Sales):
KPIs:
Vs prior guidance (execution check):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “For the second quarter we once again delivered against our commitments, enabling us to raise our earnings outlook for the full year… strengthen our economic model and improve retail operating fundamentals” .
- CEO: Reintroducing “Where the pets go” tagline and in-store events to increase relevancy; NPS up and customers “waiting outside our doors” for events .
- CFO: “Gross margin expansion was driven by a more disciplined approach to both average unit cost and average unit retail… minimal tariff impact in the second quarter” .
- CFO: “We are raising our adjusted EBITDA outlook for 2025… expect adjusted EBITDA [Q3] between $92M and $94M” .
- CFO: Liquidity of $684M including undrawn revolver; inventory down 9.5% vs last year with higher in-stocks .
Q&A Highlights
- Timeline to positive comps: Management expects the comp inflection in 2026 as Phase 3 growth initiatives take hold; Q3 is the toughest compare .
- Gross margin and tariffs: Margin beat driven by pricing/promo discipline; tariffs were rounding in Q2 but will be meaningful in Q3 and most significant in Q4; pricing lever remains surgical and consumer-first .
- E-commerce retool: New leader, focus on speed, scheduling, repeat delivery, media optimization; e-com profitability improved despite sales pullback .
- Transactions vs basket: UPT and basket healthy; transactions lag remain the biggest opportunity, with events/marketing to drive traffic .
- Guidance cadence: Q4 EBITDA may be pressured by tariffs and selective reinvestment; management maintaining dry powder given macro volatility .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at this time due to access limitations. As a result, estimate comparisons (Revenue/EPS/EBITDA vs consensus) cannot be shown. If required, we can refresh when access is restored and update the recap with beats/misses versus consensus.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin-led earnings strength: Q2 Adjusted EBITDA of $113.9M and 7.6% margin signal effective pricing/promo governance and SG&A discipline, even amid modest sales declines .
- Guide raise is notable: FY 2025 Adjusted EBITDA raised to $385–$395M, reflecting confidence in operational improvements and cost discipline .
- H2 headwinds: Tariffs expected to weigh more heavily in Q3/Q4; Q3 EBITDA seasonally lower ($92–$94M) and comps lap the toughest prior-year compare .
- Strategic pivot to growth (Phase 3) in 2026: Expect positive comp trajectory next year as merchandising newness, services scaling, store experience, and omnichannel improvements mature .
- Near-term trade: Focus on margin resilience and Q3 execution vs tariff headwinds; the significant Q2 EBITDA beat versus guidance could support sentiment, but macro/tariff risks temper H2 expectations .
- Medium-term thesis: Services moat and merchandising differentiation plus disciplined pricing/promotions and inventory governance underpin sustainable profitable growth potential .
- Liquidity and balance sheet: $684M total liquidity and inventory down 9.5% YoY improve optionality for targeted reinvestments while maintaining financial flexibility .
Notes: Financials and guidance sourced from Q2 2025 press release and 8-K, prior quarter releases, and the Q2 2025 earnings call transcript .