Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

WI

WESBANCO INC (WSBC)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 diluted EPS was $0.54 and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.56; net interest margin held flat at 2.95% QoQ while net interest income rose 2.9% YoY to $121.1M .
  • Deposits grew to $13.8B (+5.7% YoY; +12.1% annualized QoQ), outpacing loan growth (+10.0% YoY; +6.3% annualized QoQ), helping reduce FHLB borrowings by $300M .
  • Credit quality remained favorable: NPAs/Assets at 0.17%, NPLs/Total Loans at 0.24%, provision for credit losses fell to $4.8M, and ACL/Loans increased to 1.13% .
  • Q4 outlook: management models NIM “upper 2.90s,” noninterest income and expense consistent with Q3, annual branch consolidation savings of ~$4M largely realized in 2025, and an FY effective tax rate ~17.5% .
  • Catalyst: Premier acquisition remains on track; ~75% of $1.2B FHLB advances reprice in Q4 (avg 5.2%), positioning NIM tailwinds into 2025; equity raised ($200M) lifted TCE/TA to 8.84% .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Robust deposit and loan growth: “sequential quarter deposit growth of 12% annualized was double annualized loan growth of 6%,” supported by the Summer of One campaign with >6,000 new consumer accounts opened .
  • Capital strength improved: “raised $200 million of common equity… tangible common equity ratio increased… to 8.84%,” and Tier 1 leverage rose to 10.69% .
  • Fee momentum in wealth and brokerage: WTIS AUM hit a record $6.1B (+21.7% YoY) and brokerage account values reached $1.9B (+15.8% YoY), driving combined trust and brokerage fee increases .

What Went Wrong

  • Noninterest income softness: -4.1% YoY to $29.6M, primarily due to a $1.7M negative swap valuation swing versus a $1.4M gain in Q3’23; gross swap fees fell to $1.1M from $2.5M YoY .
  • Funding costs remained elevated: deposit funding costs were 205 bps including noninterest-bearing deposits; higher interest-bearing liability costs (3.21%) pressured net interest spread (1.98%) YoY .
  • Early-stage delinquencies ticked up: total past due loans rose to $54.2M (0.44% of loans), though management expects resolution in Q4 .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.58 $0.44 $0.54
Diluted EPS (ex‑items)$0.59 $0.49 $0.56
Net Income to Common ($M)$34.3 $26.4 $34.7
Net Interest Income ($M)$117.7 $116.6 $121.1
Tax-Equivalent NII ($M)$118.9 $117.8 $122.3
Total Noninterest Income ($M)$30.9 $31.4 $29.6
“Revenue” proxy = FTE NII + Noninterest ($M)$149.8 $149.2 $152.0
Net Interest Margin (%)3.03% 2.95% 2.95%
Efficiency Ratio (%)64.95% 66.11% 65.29%
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$6.33 $10.54 $4.80

Segment and balance mix

Portfolio Loans ($M)Q3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Commercial Real Estate$6,387.2 $6,998.9 $7,206.3
Commercial & Industrial$1,587.6 $1,760.5 $1,717.4
Residential Real Estate$2,392.5 $2,507.0 $2,519.1
Home Equity$715.2 $770.6 $796.6
Consumer$233.4 $220.6 $212.1
Total Portfolio Loans$11,315.9 $12,257.5 $12,451.4

Key performance indicators

KPIQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
ROA (%)0.78 0.59 0.76
ROE (%)5.49 4.17 5.09
Return on Avg Tangible Common Equity (%)11.87 8.83 9.97
Average Loans / Average Deposits (%)86.79 89.40 90.58
NPAs / Total Assets (%)0.18 0.20 0.17
NPLs / Total Loans (%)0.26 0.29 0.24
ACL / Loans (%)1.12 1.11 1.13
Net Interest Spread (%)2.20 1.99 1.98
TCE / TA (%)7.26 7.52 8.84
Tier 1 Leverage (%)9.84 9.72 10.69
CET1 (%)11.00 10.58 11.89

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest MarginQ4 2024“Low-to-mid 2.90s” for Q3; “mid-to-upper 2.90s” for Q4 “Upper 2.90s” in Q4 as funding reprices down faster than assets Maintained/slightly improved
Noninterest IncomeQ4 2024Consistent with Q2 trends Relatively consistent with Q3 trends Maintained
Noninterest ExpenseQ4 2024Impacted by midyear merit increases; marketing elevated in late summer Similar to Q3 with puts/takes; branch consolidation savings largely 2025 Maintained
Provision for Credit LossesQ4 2024Expected lower than Q2 Dependent on loan growth, economic factors, charge-offs Maintained
Effective Tax RateFY 2024~18% ~17.5% Lowered
Branch Consolidation Savings2025~$4M annual savings; majority realized in 2025 ~$4M annual savings; majority realized in 2025 Maintained
Funding Cost Tailwind2025N/A~75% of $1.2B FHLB advances (avg 5.2%) reprice in Q4 to benefit 2025 NIM New detail

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Deposit gatheringQ2: Expected strong Q3 deposit growth; late-summer marketing campaign Summer of One campaign success; >6,000 new accounts; deposits +12% annualized QoQ Strengthening
Margin trajectoryQ2: Q3 NIM ~low-mid 2.90s; Q4 mid-upper 2.90s Q4 NIM modeled “upper 2.90s” Modest improvement
Credit qualityQ2: stable metrics; specific C&I reserve NPAs 0.17%; NPLs 0.24%; past dues 0.44%; expect resolution Stable
Premier acquisitionQ2: announced; accretion/nIM uplift modeled On track; shareholder/regulatory filings done; closing targeted Q1’25 Progressing
Branch optimizationQ2: 12 consolidations identified, $4M annual savings Consolidated 11 branches; savings largely 2025 Executing
Funding repricingQ2: baseline commentary Detailed repricing across FHLB, indexed products, CDs; tailwinds into 2025 Improving
CRE concentrationQ2: pro forma ~299%, managed via capital pushdown and potential exits Relief expected with lower rate trajectory; selectivity maintained Easing
Swap fee volatilityQ2: $1.8M gross swap fees Negative $1.7M valuation; expect no repeat in Q4 (rate dependent) Volatile
AUM growthQ2: AUM $5.633B AUM $6.061B; brokerage $1.853B Increasing

Management Commentary

  • CEO on momentum and balance sheet: “Sequential quarter deposit growth of 12% annualized was double annualized loan growth of 6%… we successfully raised $200 million of common equity during the quarter to position WesBanco for future growth” .
  • CFO on NIM outlook: “We continue to model the fourth quarter’s net interest margin to improve modestly in the upper 2.90s as our funding costs repriced down at a faster pace than our assets” .
  • CEO on deposit campaign: “Our… Summer of One campaign… was a great success… We opened more than 6,000 new consumer accounts” .
  • CFO on 2025 tailwinds: “About 75% [of] $1.2 billion… FHLB borrowings… mature during the fourth quarter and that should benefit our 2025 net interest margin” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin drivers: Detailed walk-through of funding repricing (FHLB advances, indexed ICS, private client MM, broker deposits) and asset-side variable loan repricing; pro forma margin for Premier still ~3.45–3.50% based on modeled accretion .
  • Credit visibility: Management expects credit metrics to remain similar to recent quarters; one-offs being resolved, no broad issues observed .
  • Expense trajectory: ~$4M annual branch consolidation savings should largely drop to bottom line; typical seasonal merit/healthcare puts and takes in Q4 .
  • Swap valuation: Q3 negative $1.7M fair value swing drove fee softness; not expected to recur, rate-dependent .
  • Balance sheet actions pre-close: Potential restructuring at legal merge (securities, CRE loan sales) to maximize LT shareholder value; specifics depend on rate environment .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable due to request limit constraints; as a result, we cannot formally assess beat/miss versus Street for this quarter [SPGI daily limit exceeded].
  • Given management’s Q4 NIM guidance (“upper 2.90s”) and funding repricing cadence, near-term estimate revisions may skew modestly upward on NIM/net interest income, while fee lines remain subject to swap valuation volatility and branch savings largely impact 2025 .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Deposit growth outpacing loans (3% QoQ; +12.1% annualized) reduced wholesale funding and supports NIM resilience heading into Q4/Q1’25 .
  • Credit quality remains a differentiator (NPAs/Assets 0.17%; ACL/Loans 1.13%), limiting earnings volatility from provisions .
  • 2025 NIM tailwinds: 75% of $1.2B FHLB advances reprice in Q4; CDs ($1.3B) largely mature/reprice by Q2’25; indexed deposits reprice promptly with cuts .
  • Premier deal is a structural catalyst with modeled NIM uplift (~3.46% pro forma), EPS accretion, and scale efficiencies; closing targeted Q1’25 .
  • Wealth and brokerage growth provides diversified fee support (AUM $6.1B; brokerage $1.9B), offsetting swap valuation noise over time .
  • Branch consolidation savings (~$4M annual) enhance operating leverage, mostly realized in 2025 .
  • Near-term trading: stock likely sensitive to macro rate path (cut cadence) and deal milestones; medium-term thesis hinges on NIM normalization plus integration synergies .
Notes:
- “Revenue proxy” = net interest income on a fully tax-equivalent basis + total noninterest income, as presented in company efficiency ratio tables **[203596_20241023NE38207:15]**.
- S&P Global consensus data: unavailable this period due to request limit; therefore, estimate comparisons are not provided.