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WILLIAMS SONOMA INC (WSM)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Williams-Sonoma delivered a solid Q1 2026: comparable brand revenue +3.4%, gross margin 44.3%, operating margin 16.8%, and diluted EPS $1.85, with all brands running positive comps and furniture turning positive for the first time since Q4 2022 .
- Results beat Wall Street: EPS $1.85 vs $1.75 consensus, revenue $1.73B vs $1.67B, EBITDA $347.1M vs $338.0M; management reiterated FY25 guidance despite tariff uncertainty, underpinned by a 6-point mitigation plan . EPS, revenue, and EBITDA estimates from S&P Global.*
- Key positives: robust full-price selling, 120bps supply chain efficiencies, and channel strength (retail +6.2% comp; e-commerce +2.1% comp) .
- Guidance unchanged in Q1 (FY25 net revenues -1.5% to +1.5%; comps flat to +3%; operating margin 17.4%-17.8%), then raised top-line in Q2 and operating margin in Q3 as momentum built and mitigation progressed .
- Potential stock catalysts: consistent multi-brand comp strength, tariff mitigation traction, AI-enabled customer/service improvements, and ongoing capital returns (repurchases/dividends) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Positive comps across all brands and a return to positive furniture comps, signaling demand response to newness and innovation: “our consumer is responding to our products... we gained market share” .
- Margin defense via operational excellence: “supply chain efficiencies delivered 120 basis points of savings” and occupancy leveraged 40bps; promotional stance unchanged with high full-price mix .
- Strategic growth levers performing: B2B grew 8% and emerging brands posted strong growth; AI deployment across customer service, design tools, supply chain, and internal ops is already driving measurable impact .
What Went Wrong
- Merchandise margins -220bps YoY due to higher input costs (ocean freight and tariff mitigation), partially offset by efficiencies; gross margin -60bps YoY ex last year’s $49M out-of-period freight benefit .
- Tariff volatility elevated cost risk; Q1 actions to halt/resort shipments and pull forward receipts created short-term expense pressure, though expected to pay back later in the year .
- Channel SG&A pressure expected later as company protects growth and service priorities amid rising tariffs, even as Q1 SG&A rate improved 130bps YoY .
Financial Results
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.*
Notes:
- Q1 comparisons to prior year are impacted by a $49M out-of-period freight adjustment recorded in Q1 FY24 that benefited prior-year margins and EPS ($0.29) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “In Q1, our comp came in above expectations at +3.4%... operating margin of 16.8% and EPS of $1.85... with all brands running positive comps” .
- CEO on AI: “We have made meaningful progress in integrating AI across our digital platforms... enhance the customer journey with smart, data-driven experiences” .
- CFO: “Gross margin... was 60 bps lower YoY (ex Q1’24 out-of-period benefit), with MMU lower from higher input costs, largely offset by supply chain savings and occupancy leverage” .
- CFO on channels: “Retail up 6.2% comp and e-commerce 2.1% comp... maintained full-price selling” .
- CFO on capex/capital returns: “Capex $250–$275M (85% to e-comm, retail optimization, supply chain); continue increased quarterly dividends and opportunistic repurchases ($1.1B authorization)” .
Q&A Highlights
- Merchandise margin and promotions: No change to promotional stance; high full-price penetration; MMU pressured by ocean freight and tariff mitigation; efficiencies and occupancy leveraged offset .
- Pricing philosophy: Surgical, item-by-item pricing focused on value, design, quality, service; selected increases where underpriced; aim to improve markdown margin and mix .
- Tariff mitigation timing: Short-term expenses in Q1 to halt/resort shipments; pull-forward of lower-tariff receipts supports future quarters; confident guidance absorption .
- Inventory and in-stock: Strategic pull-forward ~$60–$70M in Q1; improved on-time delivery at all-time highs; more “take-at-home today” driving comps .
- Sourcing flexibility: China exposure reduced from ~50% historically to ~23%; multi-sourcing (double/triple) enables responsive shifts; expanding Made-in-USA capability .
- B2B opportunity: Management reiterated ~$2B long-term opportunity as pipeline expands across hospitality, education, sports/entertainment .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2026 beat across the board: EPS $1.85 vs $1.75 consensus; revenue $1.73B vs $1.67B; EBITDA $347.1M vs $338.0M; 20 EPS estimates and 17 revenue estimates underpin consensus breadth.*
- Estimate revisions: With comps positive across brands and furniture returning to growth, models may raise FY25 top-line (already reflected in Q2 guidance raise) while margin estimates should consider tariff cost phase-in vs SG&A offsets .
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based top-line strength with all brands positive and furniture returning to growth is a notable inflection vs industry declines; supports market-share gain narrative .
- The company’s operating model continues to defend margins via efficiency gains and occupancy leverage, even as merchandise margins face tariff/ocean freight pressures .
- Tariff risk remains the key swing factor; mitigation actions (vendor concessions, resourcing, efficiencies, Made-in-USA, selective pricing) are visible and gaining traction .
- AI adoption is substantive and tied to measurable CX and cost outcomes, differentiating WSM in a fragmented category .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly (repurchases/dividends), supported by a fortress balance sheet and strong liquidity, though dividend disclosures show a minor inconsistency to monitor .
- Near term: Positive comps, demand for newness, and channel execution are supportive; watch tariff flow-through and merchandise margin trajectory across Q2–Q3 .
- Medium term: Multi-brand portfolio, B2B expansion, emerging brands (Rejuvenation, GreenRow), and AI-enabled operations underpin mid-to-high teen margin ambition and raised FY25 operating margin outlook in Q3 .