WI
WisdomTree, Inc. (WT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- WT delivered a clean beat on consensus with operating revenues of $125.6M vs. $122.7M consensus and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.23 vs. $0.21 consensus, driven by higher average AUM and stronger “other” revenues from European-listed ETPs . Q3 2025 revenue and EPS beat consensus estimates from S&P Global.*
- Record ending AUM reached $137.2B (+8.8% QoQ) on $2.2B net inflows and market appreciation; gross margin expanded to 82.2% (+110bps QoQ) on stronger revenue capture, with adjusted operating margin at 38.3% (+580bps QoQ) .
- Management guided Q4 gross margin to ~83% and FY25 to ~82%; Q4 adjusted interest expense ~$11M (up from ~$8M in Q3) and interest income $2–3M; Q4 diluted shares 146–149M as buybacks offset converts .
- Strategic catalysts: closed Ceres Partners (farmland) in early October, expected to lift revenue capture/margins and diversify AUM; increased buyback authorization to $250M and declared a $0.03 dividend .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based growth: Record AUM of $137.2B, $2.2B quarterly net inflows (notably Europe, commodities, crypto), and 11% annualized organic growth pace; average fee capture held at 0.35% .
- Margin expansion: Gross margin rose to 82.2% (+110 bps QoQ) and adjusted operating margin to 38.3% (+580 bps QoQ) on higher average AUM and “other” revenues in Europe .
- Strategic advances: Completed acquisition of Ceres Partners (circa $1.7–$1.8B AUM farmland platform), increasing revenue capture and operating margins by >200 bps, plus optionality from solar/data centers; raised $475M converts and repurchased 6.8M shares .
Management quotes:
- “We’re executing with consistency and focus… record firmwide AUM… strong performance across every business line” – Jarrett Lilien, President/COO .
- “Our expansion into private assets through the acquisition of Ceres Partners… positions WisdomTree for long-term, technology-driven growth” – Jonathan Steinberg, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Higher interest burden and one-time extinguishment: Q3 included a $13.0M loss on extinguishment tied to repurchases of 2028 notes; adjusted interest expense rose on new 2030 converts (guiding Q4 to ~$11M) .
- GAAP dilution vs. adjusted: GAAP diluted EPS was $0.13, below adjusted $0.23, due to the extinguishment charge and higher interest; effective tax rate also elevated (33.3%) by non-deductible items .
- Mix headwinds in U.S. ETFs: U.S. listed ETFs saw ~$448M net outflows in Q3 (vs. Europe inflows); management cited profit-taking in commodities and client reallocations (e.g., USFR) post a strong run .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Margins (GAAP and Adjusted)
Notes: Adjusted metrics per non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations in the press release .
KPIs and AUM
Regional/Vehicle AUM and Flows (Q3 2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CFO: “Adjusted revenues were $125.6 million… other revenues increased to $11 million… a fair approximation going forward, assuming current European AUM levels… we anticipate our gross margin increasing to 83% in Q4… overall gross margin of about 82% for the full year” .
- COO/President: “We ended the quarter with over $137 billion in AUM… Net inflows exceeded $2.2 billion… Gold… now exceed $22 billion in AUM… Models AUM grew to ~$5.85 billion… Prime is now live with on-chain transfer capabilities” .
- CEO: “WisdomTree is the strongest we’ve ever been… a new level of diversification… positioned to thrive in the years ahead” .
Q&A Highlights
- Europe vs. U.S. flows: CEO expects Europe’s structural ETF adoption to continue; global product breadth supports resilience across market backdrops .
- Tokenization-as-a-service: Active conversations; WT’s stack integrates asset mgmt, token issuance, and stablecoin orchestration; roadmap includes 24/7 liquidity for WTGXX .
- Ceres modeling: Starting AUM ~$1.7–$1.8B; management fee ~1%; performance fee ~15% of net mark; assume 7–8% mark on AUM baseline; solar/data center upside; AUM reported quarter-end .
- Digital economics: ~$650M AUM at ~25 bps fee capture; net operating loss “mid-20s” $M; management sees structural shift to on-chain finance .
- Post-quarter flows: Some profit-taking in commodities (after big YTD moves) and reallocations from USFR; rotation did not necessarily impair net revenue .
Estimates Context
Notes:
- Consensus from S&P Global; asterisks denote values from S&P Global.*
- Q3 2025 adjusted EPS and revenue actuals per company disclosures; EBITDA “actual” corresponds to consensus-vs.-actual view reported by S&P Global and aligns with non-GAAP operating performance; primary non-GAAP detail shown in press release .*
Why the beat: Revenue exceeded expectations on higher average AUM and a step-up in “other” revenues from Europe; margin upside driven by scale and mix .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- WT posted a clean top- and bottom-line beat, with visible operating leverage: gross margin 82.2% and adjusted op margin 38.3%, supported by higher AUM and European “other” revenue capture .
- Forward setup favorable: management guides Q4 gross margin to ~83% and FY25
82%, while flagging higher Q4 interest expense ($11M) and modestly lower interest income ($2–3M) . - Strategic diversification is advancing: Ceres adds a private, uncorrelated earnings stream (mgmt + performance fees) and lifts revenue capture/margins structurally; WT provided clear modeling parameters .
- Digital assets momentum provides optionality: WTGXX growth, multi-chain expansion, and tokenization-as-a-service discussions point to new revenue avenues; management remains “very bullish” on tokenized RWA trajectory .
- Capital returns and shareholder alignment: Board raised buyback authorization to $250M and maintained the $0.03 dividend, supporting per-share metrics amid convert-related dilution .
- Watchlist items: mix in U.S. ETFs (USFR/commodities rotations), execution on Ceres performance fee generation, regulatory timing for enhanced digital MMMF trading functionality, and interest expense trajectory with the new 2030 converts .
Footnote: Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global consensus and estimate data.