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Beyond Air, Inc. (XAIR)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 revenue grew 145% year over year to $1.15M but missed S&P Global consensus of $1.39M; GAAP EPS was ($0.09) versus consensus of ($2.44). Management introduced FY2026 revenue guidance of $12–$16M and guided “at least” $1.7M for Q1 FY2026, while clarifying Gen2 (PH II) is not included in the outlook . Revenue consensus and EPS consensus from S&P Global; values marked with * are from S&P Global.*
- Commercial ramp continues: >45 U.S. hospitals installed and using LungFit PH; 3 new hospital starts and 3 renewals in Q4. International distribution now covers >25 countries (>2B lives) and “more than a dozen” LungFit PH units shipped OUS in recent weeks; expect OUS contribution to accelerate in 2H FY2026 .
- Product/regulatory: PMA supplement for transport-ready LungFit PH II was submitted (smaller, lighter, transport-ready); management expects PH II, once approved, to be a major share and volume driver, but timing remains uncertain and is not embedded in guidance .
- Cost/cash: Operating expenses down ~58% over six quarters; FY2025 cash/cash equivalents and marketable securities were $6.9M (excludes $1.0M GETZ payment post-3/31 and $2.0M additional debt draw). Management cites runway “well into calendar 2026” assuming revenue ramp and cost control .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Strong top-line trajectory: Q4 revenue rose to $1.15M (+7% QoQ; +145% YoY), with management signaling “at least” $1.7M next quarter and FY2026 $12–$16M, reflecting U.S. hospital adoption and early OUS momentum .
- Strategic OUS expansion: >25 country distribution coverage (>2B lives); “more than a dozen” units shipped OUS recently; OUS contribution expected to be meaningful from 2H FY2026 .
- PH II catalyst submitted: PMA supplement for LungFit PH II (transport-ready) filed; management: “we are confident that the introduction of LungFit PH II will play a pivotal role in accelerating our market expansion” .
- What Went Wrong
- Revenue miss: Q4 revenue of $1.15M missed S&P Global consensus of $1.39M*. FY2025 revenue of $3.71M also came in below $3.92M* . Revenue consensus from S&P Global.*
- Profitability/margins: Gross margin remained negative despite improvement (gross loss of $32k on $1.15M revenue); net loss was ($8.04M) for Q4, reflecting depreciation and one-time upgrade costs and a high fixed-cost base .
- Balance sheet tight: FY2025-end liquidity was $6.9M in cash and securities (pre $1.0M GETZ and $2.0M additional debt after quarter-end), underscoring reliance on execution and financing arrangements to reach management’s targeted runway .
Financial Results
Notes: All “calc” fields are computed from cited source data.
Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global consensus; asterisked values are from S&P Global)
- Q4 FY2025: Revenue $1.39M* vs Actual $1.15M (miss); EPS ($2.44)* vs ($0.09) (better than consensus loss) . Revenue/EPS consensus from S&P Global.*
- Q3 FY2025: Revenue $0.93M* vs Actual $1.07M (beat); EPS ($3.20)* vs ($0.15) (better than consensus loss) . Consensus from S&P Global.*
- Q2 FY2025: Revenue $1.03M* vs Actual $0.80M (miss); EPS ($5.68)* vs ($0.28) (better than consensus loss) . Consensus from S&P Global.*
Segment breakdown: Not disclosed; company reports consolidated results .
KPIs
- U.S. installed base: “more than 45 hospitals” using LungFit PH .
- Q4 additions: 3 new hospital starts; 3 renewals .
- International distribution: >25 countries covered; access to >2B lives; “more than a dozen” units shipped OUS in recent weeks .
- Contracting: Annualized contracted revenue was $3.5M on Oct 1, 2024 (context for run-rate) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic message: “Our commercial momentum is building… With LungFit PH now installed and in regular use at more than 45 hospitals nationwide, awareness is accelerating.”
- PH II significance: “We are confident that the introduction of LungFit PH II will play a pivotal role in accelerating our market expansion and advancing our position as a global leader in hospital-based NO delivery.”
- Guidance scope: “Fiscal 2026 guidance does not include the second-generation system at all.”
- OUS ramp: “We have already shipped more than a dozen units… we plan to see a meaningful contribution… starting in the back half of fiscal 2026 and beyond.”
- Cost discipline and runway: “Over the past six quarters, we’ve reduced operating expenses from north of $17 million to just above $7 million… We believe our cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and existing financing vehicles will be sufficient… well into calendar 2026… provided we continue to hit our internal revenue estimates and control costs.”
Q&A Highlights
- PH II and guidance: PH II not included in FY2026 outlook; approval timing uncertain; company will update once FDA interactions progress .
- OUS commercialization: Initial shipments to distributors; expect tender-driven hospital placements with material financial impact in 2H FY2026; usage patterns similar to U.S. where cardiac surgery is on-label OUS .
- Expense trajectory: Further OpEx reduction expected into Q1–Q2; then scale with revenue to maintain service levels .
- Contracting models: Introducing a “razor/razor-blade” capital purchase + consumables option in addition to traditional hourly contracts; early customer interest could aid FY2026 revenue .
- Competitive dynamics: No meaningful change in contract terms (still 1/3/5-year) despite new competitor offerings; Mallinckrodt’s new system considered another cylinder-based option .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY2025: Revenue $1.39M* vs $1.15M actual (miss); EPS ($2.44)* vs ($0.09) actual (better than consensus loss) .
- Q3 FY2025: Revenue $0.93M* vs $1.07M actual (beat); EPS ($3.20)* vs ($0.15) actual (better than consensus loss) .
- Q2 FY2025: Revenue $1.03M* vs $0.80M actual (miss); EPS ($5.68)* vs ($0.28) actual (better than consensus loss) .
Implications for models: Introduced FY2026 revenue guide ($12–$16M) vs FY2026 revenue consensus of $8.58M* suggests upward estimate revisions if execution on U.S. growth and OUS tenders materializes; PH II approval is incremental and not in company guidance . Consensus values from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Commercial inflection is underway, with consecutive quarterly revenue growth and >45 U.S. hospitals; however, near-term prints can be noisy versus small-coverage consensus, as seen in Q4 revenue miss .
- OUS is the next leg: distribution breadth (>25 countries) and early shipments point to 2H FY2026 revenue contribution; monitor tender wins and initial hospital placements by region .
- PH II is the structural catalyst: transport-ready PMA supplement submitted; once approved, management expects step-change in addressable market and logistics—yet not included in FY2026 guide; approval/launch timing will drive re-rating .
- Costs have reset materially; watch for further OpEx decline in Q1–Q2 and operating leverage as revenue scales .
- Liquidity is adequate if execution continues; follow collections, GETZ/APAC milestones, and any financing developments relative to runway claims into CY2026 .
- For trading: upside catalysts include OUS tenders, U.S. account wins, any positive FDA interactions on PH II, and consensus revisions toward company guide; downside risks include tender delays, slower hospital conversions, and any PH II review slippage .
Footnote: All values marked with * are consensus values retrieved from S&P Global via the GetEstimates tool.