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XI

Xperi Inc. (XPER)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered $122.4M revenue and non-GAAP EPS of $0.39, while GAAP diluted EPS was $1.02 boosted by a $77.9M divestiture gain; adjusted EBITDA was $22.7M with an 18.6% margin, nearly double the prior-year quarter’s 9.8% .
  • Mix was mixed: IPTV households rose to 2.6M (+37% YoY) and DTS AutoStage footprint reached 10M vehicles, but Media Platform revenue fell YoY due to lower linear ad spend and prior-year minimum-guarantee comparisons .
  • FY2025 guidance: revenue $480–$500M and adjusted EBITDA margin 16–18%; management expects back-half weighting, slightly positive operating cash flow, non-GAAP tax expense ~$20M, capex ~$20M, SBC ~$50M, and ~46M shares outstanding .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: ramp of TiVo OS in U.S. retail (Sharp launch), activation of TiVo One ad platform, and visible growth in active users/ARPU exiting 2025 (>5M active users; ARPU >$10), offset by expected core Pay TV declines and macro uncertainty in consumer electronics/auto .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • TiVo OS footprint surpassed 2M activated smart TVs; Sharp TVs powered by TiVo launched in the U.S., adding an important retail channel .
  • IPTV footprint reached 2.6M subscriber households (+37% YoY), expanding the base for U.S. monetization via TiVo One .
  • “We closed the 2024 fiscal year on a strong operational note…expanding our independent media platform footprint across Smart TV, connected car, and video-over-broadband,” said CEO Jon Kirchner .

What Went Wrong

  • Media Platform revenue declined 15% YoY, driven by lower linear TV ad budgets from a repeat customer and tough comps from prior-year middleware minimum guarantees .
  • Reported revenue fell 11% YoY in Q4 (though up ~2% adjusted for divestitures), reflecting continued pressure in legacy Pay TV and core solutions amid market challenges .
  • Consumer Electronics and Connected Car face broader macro uncertainties; management highlighted cautious FY2025 expectations despite long-term opportunity .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L Snapshot

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$119.6 $132.9 $122.4
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)($0.67) ($0.37) $1.02
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.12 $0.51 $0.39
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$14.6 $31.4 $22.7
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)N/A23.7% 18.6%

Notes: Q4 GAAP EPS and net income benefited from divestiture gains (Perceive/AutoSense), masking underlying profitability trends, which are better reflected in non-GAAP EPS and adjusted EBITDA .

Year-Over-Year vs Prior Quarter Commentary

  • Q4 revenue down 11% YoY (reported) but up ~2% after adjusting for AutoSense/Perceive divestitures; sequentially down from Q3 reflecting mix impacts and ad softness .
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin improved YoY to 18.6% vs 9.8% in Q4 2023; Q3 margin was stronger at 23.7% on mix and upfront minimum-guarantee recognition .

Segment and End-Market Highlights (Q4 2024, YoY)

Segment/CategoryQ4 YoY PerformanceCommentary
Pay TVDown 8%IPTV +35% YoY, offset by declines in core Pay TV and prior-year timing benefits
Consumer Electronics (ex-divestitures)Up 2%Strength in game console unit volumes; renewals in DTS audio
Connected CarUp 9% reported; +42% ex-AutoSenseUpfront revenue from legacy audio minimum guarantees; HD Radio >110M vehicles
Media PlatformDown 15%Lower linear ad spend and prior-year middleware minimum guarantees

KPIs and Footprint

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
TiVo OS Activated Smart TVs“Approaching 1M” “Approaching 1M” >2M
IPTV Subscriber Households>2.25M >2.4M 2.6M (+37% YoY)
DTS AutoStage Vehicles>7M >8M >10M (doubling YoY)
HD Radio VehiclesN/A>8 brands/models expanded >110M installed; ~60% penetration of new cars in N. America

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY2025N/A$480M–$500M New
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY2025N/A16%–18% New
Operating Cash FlowFY2025N/ASlightly positive New
Non-GAAP Tax ExpenseFY2025N/A~$20M New
Capital Investments (Capex)FY2025N/A~$20M New
Stock-Based Compensation (GAAP)FY2025N/A~$50M (down vs 2024) New
Basic/Diluted SharesFY2025N/A~46M New
FY2024 Outlook (for context)FY2024$500M–$530M revenue; Adj. EBITDA margin 12%–14% Revised to $490M–$505M; Adj. EBITDA margin 14%–16% Raised margin; revenue lowered

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2, Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
TiVo OS footprint & OEMsSigned 7th partner; approaching 1M units; Europe availability across 15 countries >2M activated; U.S. launch with Sharp; Thomson named 8th partner; continued OEM pipeline Accelerating footprint; OEM expansion in U.S./EU
Monetization platform (TiVo One) & ARPUEarly deployment plans; focus on future monetization TiVo One launched on video-over-broadband; homepage ads rolling out; exit-2025 goals: >5M active users; ARPU >$10 Activation ramp in 2025; ARPU scaling targeted
IPTV growth>2.25M subs (Q2); >2.4M subs (Q3); NCTC broadband TV deal 2.6M subs; +37% YoY; 7 new TiVo Broadband customers in Q4 (total 20) Consistent double-digit growth; expanded operators
Connected Car (AutoStage/HD Radio)>7M AutoStage vehicles; continued HD Radio penetration >10M vehicles; 3 AutoStage video wins in 2024; HD Radio >110M vehicles; ~60% penetration of new cars Footprint doubled YoY; monetization potential
Macro/tariffs & CE/Auto cautionOngoing macro pressures noted Risks acknowledged; moderated FY2025 guidance; sequential active user/ARPU growth expected Balanced tone; cautious near-term
Non-GAAP profitability focusProfitability improving; business transformation FY2024 adj. EBITDA margin 15% (doubled YoY); FY2025 guide 16–18% Margin expansion trajectory

Management Commentary

  • “We closed the 2024 fiscal year on a strong operational note…This progress validates the value proposition of our independent media platform” — Jon Kirchner, CEO .
  • “Our multiyear goal is to drive meaningful revenue growth from over 20 million monetizable endpoints in home and in the car…we aim to achieve more than 5 million active TiVo One devices and ARPU above $10 exiting 2025” .
  • “Total revenue for the fourth quarter was $122M, down 11% from last year, but up 2% adjusting for AutoSense and Perceive…Media Platform was down 15% due to lower linear ad budgets and prior-year middleware MGs” — Robert Andersen, CFO .
  • “We expect full-year 2025 revenue of $480–$500M and adjusted EBITDA margin of 16%–18%…operating cash flow slightly positive; non-GAAP tax ~$20M; capex ~$20M; SBC ~$50M; ~46M shares” .

Q&A Highlights

  • TiVo OS strategy: Company plans to both deepen share with existing OEMs and add new partners; pipeline includes advanced discussions with potential back-half 2025 footprint impact .
  • Monetization ramp: TiVo One is a unified ad platform across smart TVs and IPTV devices; management targets sequential growth in active users and ARPU, exiting 2025 with >5M active users and ARPU >$10, with North America’s ad market as a key lever .
  • Shipments timing: Delayed 2024 launches are now ramping into spring 2025; Sharp’s U.S. units began shipping in December and became available in February .
  • IPTV monetization economics: Historically traditional ad models; TiVo One enables homepage/streaming ad monetization with rev share differences by partner but economics are not materially different for achieving U.S.-based ARPU .
  • Cash flow and macro tone: FY2025 operating cash flow guided slightly positive; free cash flow could turn positive with a stronger year, but not guided; macro/tariffs acknowledged with moderated expectations .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS, revenue, and EBITDA estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at time of request due to data access limits; as a result, formal beat/miss analysis versus consensus cannot be provided at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • TiVo ecosystem is entering a monetization phase: activation of TiVo One across IPTV and smart TVs, with visibility to active user and ARPU targets exiting 2025; track quarterly progress in active users and ARPU for evidence of scaling .
  • Automotive footprint scale is significant: >10M AutoStage vehicles and >110M HD Radio installations provide long-term optionality for licensing/data/advertising; watch early monetization pilots in North America .
  • Profitability trajectory improving: FY2024 adj. EBITDA margin doubled to 15% with FY2025 guided to 16–18%; mix and cost actions are the drivers even as core Pay TV declines persist .
  • Media Platform revenue variability remains a watch item: linear ad budget lumpiness and prior-year MG comps pressured YoY; homepage/streaming ads via TiVo One should offset through 2025, albeit back-half weighted .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity stable: $131M cash at year-end, receivables-backed $55M facility refinancing, and $10M buyback in Q4; monitor operating cash flow inflection and capex discipline .
  • Near-term positioning: Expect Q1 2025 to be the lowest quarter with back-half improvement; core Pay TV declines are anticipated to offset IPTV growth near term, but 2026 growth is targeted as endpoints scale .

Appendix: Additional Data

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Highlights (Q4 2024)

  • GAAP net income $62.964M included $77.899M gain on divestitures; non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA $22.711M; non-GAAP net income attributable to Company $17.682M .
  • Non-GAAP operating income $17.478M; Q4 2024 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin 18.6% .

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow (Year-End 2024)

  • Cash and equivalents $130.564M; total assets $667.760M; total liabilities $238.683M; equity $429.077M .
  • Operating cash flow use $(55.340)M for 2024; net proceeds from divestitures $67.773M; buybacks $(19.990)M for full-year .

Selected Operating Metrics

  • U.S. retail presence established with Sharp TVs powered by TiVo; Thomson added as 8th European partner .
  • TiVo Broadband: 7 new customers in Q4; total 20 operators committed .
  • HD Radio penetration approaching 60% of new cars shipped annually in North America .

All figures and statements are sourced from Xperi’s Q4 2024 8-K and press release, Q2/Q3 2024 8-Ks, and Q4 2024 earnings call transcript, as cited above.