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DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 revenue of $904M was slightly above S&P Global consensus, but adjusted EPS of $0.37 missed; GAAP EPS was ($2.14) on $263M after-tax non-cash impairments tied to tariffs and lower projected volumes in U.S. equipment, implants, and prosthetics . Revenue beat consensus by ~$6.3M while EPS missed by ~$0.08*.
  • Guidance cut: FY25 adjusted EPS reduced to ~$1.60 (from $1.80–$2.00), constant currency sales growth lowered to (-5%)–(-4%), while reported net sales maintained at $3.6–$3.7B .
  • Europe improved (+9.9% reported, +2.6% cc), but U.S. fell 22.2% (cc), reflecting weakness in Essential Dental, CAD/CAM, Imaging, and Implants; Wellspect grew across regions .
  • CEO launched a 24‑month Return‑to‑Growth plan with pillars spanning customer centricity, reigniting U.S. commercial execution, empowering people (including a Transformation Office to drive AI/automation), and evolving operations; CFO departed; multi-channel re-engagement with distributors underway .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Europe sales rose +9.9% reported (+2.6% cc), led by Connected Technology Solutions and labs; UK/France/Italy/Spain strong; Germany flat YoY .
  • Wellspect Healthcare delivered growth across all regions; in Europe +5.3% cc, ROW grew off a small base; segment adjusted operating income rose YoY .
  • Management action plan: “By sharpening our focus on our customers…reigniting growth in the U.S. business…empowering our people…and evolving our operations to drive innovation,” aiming for sustained, profitable growth over 24 months .

What Went Wrong

  • U.S. net sales declined 22.2% (cc), with weakness across Essential Dental, CAD/CAM, Imaging, and Implants; adjusted EPS fell 26.5% YoY to $0.37 .
  • Orthodontic & Implant Solutions declined 17.1% (cc) YoY; distributor inventories for CAD/CAM and imaging remain below historical averages; implants softness in U.S. and China (ahead of VBP phase 2) .
  • Adjusted free cash flow conversion dropped to 54% vs 97% prior year; operating cash flow declined to $79M from $141M YoY driven by unfavorable working capital .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$879 $936 $904
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.10 ($0.22) ($2.14)
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.43 $0.52 $0.37
Gross Margin (%)53.0% 52.4% 48.8%
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)56.3% 55.9% 52.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)19.0% 21.1% 18.4%
Q3 2025 vs S&P Global ConsensusConsensus EstimateActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$897.73M*$904.00M +$6.27M (+0.7%)
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.449*$0.37 -$0.079 (miss)

Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Net SalesQ3 2024 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)Reported ChangeConstant Currency Change
Connected Technology Solutions$269 $259 (3.9%) (7.0%)
Essential Dental Solutions$369 $357 (3.4%) (6.2%)
Orthodontic & Implant Solutions$241 $205 (15.0%) (17.1%)
Wellspect Healthcare$72 $83 +15.6% +9.3%
Total$951 $904 (5.0%) (8.0%)
Geography Net SalesQ3 2024 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)Reported ChangeConstant Currency Change
United States$374 $291 (22.2%) (22.2%)
Europe$347 $382 +9.9% +2.6%
Rest of World$230 $231 +0.3% (0.9%)
Total$951 $904 (5.0%) (8.0%)
KPIsQ3 2024Q3 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$141 $79
Capital Expenditures ($M)$43 $39
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Conversion (%)97% 54%
Cash & Equivalents ($M, period-end)$363

Non-GAAP reconciliation highlights (Q3): Adjusted EPS excludes $263M after-tax impairment, $41M amortization, $20M restructuring and other, and $176M income tax-related adjustment .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Sales ($USD)FY 2025$3.6–$3.7B $3.6–$3.7B Maintained
Constant Currency Sales GrowthFY 2025(4%) – (2%) (5%) – (4%) Lowered
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 2025$1.80–$2.00 ~$1.60 Lowered
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 2025>19% (raised in Q1) Not updated Q3 PR/8-K N/A
DividendFY 2025Declared $0.16/share payable Oct 10 Paid $32M dividends in Q3; $96M YTD Maintained payout cadence
Tariff AssumptionsFY 2025~$25M 2025 impact; ~$80M annualized gross headwind updated in Q2 Outlook “reflects current state of tariffs and trade policy” Reiterated context

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesDS Core passed 42k–50k users; connected devices >50k; >100k lab orders/mo; added AI-powered 3D rendering; Primescan 2 upgrades Established Transformation Office; enterprise AI/automation to improve speed, decision-making, analytics Accelerating
Supply chain & ERPERP phases rolled out in U.S.; site consolidations (10 closed), SKU optimization underway Continued SAP global ERP; operational efficiency focus to free capital Ongoing
Tariffs/Macro~$50M annualized (Q1); guidance embeds ~$0.10 EPS impact Annualized headwind updated to ~$80M; ~$25M 2025 impact; impairments tied to tariffs Worsened vs Q1
Product performanceImaging growth; Wellspect mid-single-digit expected FY; CAD/CAM declines; implants challenges U.S weakness across categories; OIS down 17.1% cc; Wellspect +9.3% cc Mixed
Regional trendsGermany improving; Europe grew; U.S patient sentiment cautious Europe +9.9% reported; U.S -22.2% cc; ROW flat EU improving, U.S soft
Regulatory/LegalGerman tax situation ongoing; uncertain timing & magnitude No new update disclosed [—]Ongoing
R&D executionInnovation pipeline; DS World; cadence of cloud updates Pulling forward “millions” into Q4; aiming toward 6–7% of sales over time; efficiency focus Increased near-term spend
Distributor relationshipsDealer inventory dynamics; virtual sales scaling Multi-channel approach; re-engaging with dealers (Shine, Patterson, others); broader reach Strategic pivot

Management Commentary

  • “Third quarter results fell short of our expectations…we are taking decisive action…launch of our Return-to-Growth strategy” — Dan Scavilla, President & CEO .
  • Four pillars: Putting Customers at the Center; Reigniting the U.S. Business; Empowering People (Transformation Office, AI/automation); Evolving Operations to Fuel Innovation .
  • Capital allocation: “We plan on deleveraging the business through profitable growth…debt reduction, and shareholder returns” .
  • CFO transition: Matt Garth departed; interim oversight by Audit & Finance Committee Chair Leslie Varon; CFO search underway (Heidrick & Struggles) .
  • U.S. commercial reset: re-align teams, invest in clinical education, multi-channel dealer re-engagement, DSOs support, expand field resources .

Q&A Highlights

  • U.S. weakness: U.S sales down ~10% ex one-time items; drivers are structural approach, dealer relationships, DSOs; return-to-health plan to fix execution .
  • Growth cadence: Do not model immediate growth; expect sequential improvements in 2026 plan; conservative guidance approach (beat/raise over time) .
  • Capital allocation: Focus on deleveraging via EBITDA growth; retire debt; dividend under review with board; share repurchase opportunistic .
  • R&D: Pulling forward spend in Q4; long-term target ~6–7% of sales; ensure efficient allocation and risk mitigation before scaling .
  • Distributors: Moving to multi-channel; re-engaging with Shine/Patterson and new dealers; broader presence expected in 2026 .
  • CFO profile: Deep data/metrics orientation, enterprise leader, strong communicator; guidance philosophy conservative with intent to beat/raise .

Estimates Context

  • XRAY Q3 2025: Revenue beat by ~$6.3M; Adjusted EPS missed by ~$0.079 vs S&P Global consensus. Given U.S. demand softness and tariff impacts, Street models likely need lower EPS estimates and reflect a more gradual recovery path, while revenue expectations may be less impacted given European strength and Wellspect resilience . Consensus revenue estimate $897.73M*; consensus EPS $0.449*; actual revenue $904M, adjusted EPS $0.37 . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The guidance cut (EPS to ~$1.60, cc sales to (-5%)–(-4%)) and U.S. weakness are the primary stock drivers; watch for milestones in U.S. commercial rebuild, dealer partnerships, and clinical education ramp .
  • Tariff headwinds (~$25M in 2025; ~$80M annualized gross) plus pricing/mitigation uncertainty warrant cautious EPS assumptions into 2026 .
  • Europe stabilization plus Wellspect growth provide partial offsets; segment mix and geography shifts will influence margins (adj. gross margin 52.6% in Q3) .
  • Non-GAAP adjustments (notably impairments) are sizable; focus on underlying adjusted profitability and cash conversion trajectory as transformation executes .
  • Near-term margin pressure likely as R&D and commercial investments are pulled forward; monitor for evidence that OpEx unlocks self-funding efficiencies in 2026 .
  • Balance sheet flexibility improved earlier in the year (hybrid bond); deleveraging path depends on sustained EBITDA growth and working capital normalization .
  • Catalysts: concrete dealer agreements, U.S. sales stabilization, DS Core/AI initiatives delivering measurable adoption/throughput, and 2026 targets at investor forums could reset expectations .

All data and statements above are sourced from the Q3 2025 press release and 8-K, Q3 earnings call transcript, and Q1–Q2 2025 releases/calls, with citations as noted.

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