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Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered an across-the-board beat: Revenue grew 18.1% YoY to $211.4M, Operating Income expanded 450 bps YoY to $37.4M (17.7% margin), and Free Cash Flow rose 17.6% YoY to $91.3M; management reaffirmed FY 2025 FCF ≥ $310M and guided Q2 revenue to $214–$216M .
- Versus Street: Q1 revenue and Primary EPS exceeded S&P Global consensus; Revenue $211.4M vs $208.0M*, and Primary EPS $0.343 vs $0.295*, a clean beat on both top and bottom lines (note: company-reported diluted EPS was $0.26) .
- CLEAR+ and CLEAR1 growth stayed robust: Active CLEAR+ Members reached 7.4M (+9.1% YoY), enrollments hit 31.2M (+42.3% YoY), and platform uses rose to 248.9M; gross dollar retention moderated to 87.1% (–140 bps QoQ) as pricing changes from 2023–2024 normalized .
- Stock-relevant narrative: execution on “Lane of the Future” (EnVe, ePassport, eGates), rapid TSA PreCheck scaling (165 locations), and enterprise traction (Docusign partnership) position CLEAR for multi-year bookings and cash flow growth; guidance acknowledges near-term variability from REAL ID rollout while reaffirming full-year FCF .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- CLEAR+ and network scale-up: Active CLEAR+ Members reached 7.4M (+9.1% YoY), enrollments 31.2M (+42.3% YoY), platform uses 248.9M; Q1 Adjusted EBITDA was $52.2M (24.7% margin) .
- Technology-driven experience and productivity: CEO highlighted rollout of EnVe pods (faster facial recognition verifications), one-step mobile ePassport enrollment, and eGates pilots improving throughput and operating leverage: “EnVes are also enabling labor productivity enhancements... eGates... should be a cornerstone of next-generation travel” .
- Enterprise momentum: CLEAR1 partnerships expanding across healthcare/finance/consumer; new Docusign identity verification integration to build trust in high-stakes agreements and drive broader enterprise adoption .
What Went Wrong
- Gross dollar retention dipped sequentially: Q1 gross dollar retention was 87.1%, down 140 bps QoQ, as the cohort-level impact of step-function price increases from 2023–2024 worked through the 24-month normalization period .
- Higher direct salaries and benefits burden: Costs were $50.7M (up 150 bps as % of revenue YoY) given a shift to higher base wages/lower commission for Ambassadors and new TSA PreCheck flagship locations .
- Bookings outlook widened for Q2: Management widened bookings guidance to account for variability from REAL ID implementation and broader macro “noise,” though they reiterated FY FCF and noted no current softness in demand .
Financial Results
Key P&L and Cash Metrics: YoY/Sequential Comparison
Notes: Q4 2024 net income/EPS include non-recurring TRA-related benefits disclosed in the shareholder letter .
Q1 2025 Actual vs Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Margins and Operating Context (Q1 2025)
- Operating margin: 17.7% .
- Adjusted EBITDA margin: 24.7% .
- Net income margin: 18% .
KPIs and Operational Scale
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on technology: “EnVe... are driving material benefits... proving the value of automation... ePassport is a breakthrough... one-step enrollment... eGates... built for faster and more secure experiences” .
- CFO on retention and pricing normalization: “Q1 gross dollar retention was 87.1%, down 140 bps sequentially... price increases... had the greatest impact throughout 2024 and are now beginning to normalize” .
- CEO on CLEAR1/Docusign: “Our partnership... will allow users to verify their identity instantly and securely when signing high trust agreements... setting a new standard... foundation for expanded enterprise adoption” .
- CFO on capital returns: “We ended the quarter with $533M of cash and marketable securities... just under $150M remaining in repurchase authorization... flexibility to pursue capital allocation alternatives” .
- CEO on REAL ID rollout: “We are not seeing softness... partnering closely at federal and local level... ePassport rolled out before [REAL ID]” .
Q&A Highlights
- Macro/REAL ID impact: Management widened bookings guidance to account for variability but emphasized no observed demand softness and strong execution during REAL ID implementation .
- Retention dynamics: Sequential gross dollar retention decline tied to cohort math from prior step-function price increases; net adds improved (100k Q4→Q1 vs 78k prior-year Q1) supporting overall health .
- Pricing strategy: Continued opportunity to optimize lifetime value; top-line retail price ~$199 with focus on aligning discounted channels to the value proposition .
- Capital allocation and flexibility: With >$500M cash and remaining buyback authorization, management highlighted optionality while investing in automation to drive operating leverage .
- Seasonality and bookings: Expect larger net adds in Q2 and Q4; bookings seasonality tracks membership additions .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 beat: Revenue $211.4M vs $208.0M* consensus; Primary EPS $0.343 vs $0.295* consensus (company-reported diluted EPS: $0.26) .
- Q2 2025 context: Guide $214–$216M revenue vs Street at ~$215.0M*; bookings $215–$220M .
- FY 2025 Street: Revenue ~$895.9M*, Primary EPS ~$1.45*, FCF ~$334.4M*; company reaffirmed FY FCF ≥ $310M .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- CLEAR executed a clean beat on revenue and EPS vs Street; operating and adjusted EBITDA margins held strong despite labor mix shifts, supporting the cash compounding story into FY 2025 .
- Q2 revenue guide straddles consensus with widened bookings range to absorb REAL ID variability—expect volatility around traffic patterns, but full-year FCF reaffirmation anchors valuation and downside risk .
- Structural pricing actions are normalizing retention metrics; management sees further average price opportunity and lifetime value optimization—watch for cohort retention stabilization as pricing tails off .
- TSA PreCheck is scaling rapidly (165 locations) and bundling provides a compelling upsell funnel to CLEAR+; EnVe/ePassport/eGates enhance throughput and productivity, providing multi-quarter operating leverage .
- Enterprise identity (CLEAR1) is building momentum with Docusign and healthcare integrations (Epic toolbox, Surescripts), expanding TAM beyond airports and diversifying revenue streams .
- Capital returns remain active (buyback authorization available, quarterly dividend maintained), with $533M cash/marketable securities providing flexibility; monitor repurchase pace vs organic investments .
- Trading stance: Near-term catalysts include Q2 print vs widened guide, updates on international ePassport enrollment, and incremental enterprise wins; medium-term thesis hinges on bookings growth, network expansion, and sustained FCF compounding .