CS
Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue of $229.2M (+15.5% YoY) and total bookings of $260.1M (+14.3% YoY) both exceeded Q3 guidance; operating income reached $52.6M (23.0% margin) and Adjusted EBITDA was $70.1M (30.6% margin) .
- Management raised full-year 2025 free cash flow guidance to at least $320M (from at least $310M) and reaffirmed FY Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion; Q4 guidance implies accelerating bookings growth (Revenue $234–$237M; Bookings $265–$270M) .
- KPIs showed continued expansion: Active CLEAR+ Members 7.683M (+7.5% YoY), cumulative enrollments 35.751M (+35.1% YoY), and eGates launched in 10 airports with rollout to ~30 by year-end and nationwide in 2026, supporting throughput/NPS improvements .
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 was Revenue $224.8M* and Primary EPS $0.312*; actual revenue beat, while GAAP diluted EPS printed $0.29, versus SPGI Primary EPS actual $0.368* (different EPS basis); Q4 Street revenue consensus is $235.8M*, broadly aligned with company guidance [functions.GetEstimates]*.
- Near-term catalysts: accelerating bookings into Q4, eGate rollout, international Clear Plus enrollment (>40 countries), and CLEAR1 enterprise momentum (record quarter) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Exceeded Q3 guidance on revenue and bookings; delivered margin expansion across P&L (Adjusted EBITDA margin 30.6%, +610 bps YoY) .
- Strong product traction: eGates “magical” experience (≈5s verification, ≈30s to screening) and improved lane experience/NPS; rollout to ~30 airports by year-end, nationwide in 2026 .
- CLEAR1 enterprise momentum: record bookings quarter; deeper healthcare integration (CMS pledge; Epic MyChart turnkey), workforce identity lifecycle expansion and cross-sell .
Quotes:
- “Members verify in approximately five seconds and move directly into physical screening in 30 seconds… drive meaningful improvements in throughput, lane experience scores, and NPS” .
- “Clear One delivered its strongest quarter yet with a record number of enterprise customers signed” .
What Went Wrong
- Gross Dollar Retention fell to 86.9%, down 40 bps sequentially as 2023 price increases continue to normalize impact; management expects moderation to continue .
- Q3 free cash flow was negative ($53.5M) and operating cash flow was negative ($47.3M) due to ~$229M annual payment to the credit card partner .
- Ongoing operational headwinds around broader airport experience and government/TSA staffing noise, despite traffic trending up; CLEAR is focused on mitigating experience issues .
Financial Results
Income Statement and Margins (USD unless noted)
Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO framing: “Identity is the foundation of trust… Cybercriminals aren’t breaking in; they’re logging in” underscoring platform relevance amid AI/cyber trends .
- Travel experience: “Members verify in approximately five seconds and move directly into physical screening in 30 seconds… the experience is magical” (eGates scaling) .
- Enterprise: “Clear One delivered its strongest quarter yet with a record number of enterprise customers signed” (CMS pledge, Epic integration, workforce lifecycle) .
- Efficiency to hospitality: eGates free up ambassadors for higher-value services (Concierge), aiming for margin and experience gains .
Q&A Highlights
- Bookings upside drivers: mix of Clear Plus experience improvements (mobile one-step, eGates, international) and CLEAR1 enterprise traction; no breakout by product in guidance .
- Gross Dollar Retention: 86.9% sequential decline expected from 2023 pricing normalizing; retention patterns stable post Jul 1 pricing .
- Macros/TSA: Despite staffing news, traffic trending higher; CLEAR supports stakeholders to improve experience .
- Airport economics/margins: Success-based partnerships; eGates drive efficiency; Concierge opens high-margin revenue opportunities .
- International marketing: Early enrollments pre-marketing; plan to add strategic partnerships; World Cup expected to be a demand catalyst .
- Concierge adoption: 23 airports; strong repeat usage; focus on awareness expansion .
- Amex partnership: Embedded benefit in Platinum refresh; renewal to reflect value delivered .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Q3 actual $229.193M vs consensus $224.804M* → beat; Q4 consensus $235.835M* broadly in-line with guidance $234–$237M [functions.GetEstimates]*.
- EPS: Company reported GAAP diluted EPS $0.29 ; S&P Global Primary EPS consensus $0.312* and SPGI Primary EPS actual $0.368*, reflecting differing EPS bases; on a GAAP diluted basis this prints below Street Primary EPS, while SPGI’s Primary EPS “actual” shows a beat [functions.GetEstimates]*.
- EBITDA: Company reported Adjusted EBITDA $70.063M ; SPGI EBITDA consensus $59.418M* and SPGI EBITDA actual $56.628M* (different definition vs Adjusted EBITDA), indicating a miss on SPGI EBITDA basis [functions.GetEstimates]*.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Bookings growth is accelerating and guided to continue in Q4, supported by pricing levers, eGate-driven experience improvements, and international enrollment expansion .
- CLEAR1 enterprise momentum plus healthcare ecosystem integrations offer diversification beyond travel and should support durable bookings growth into 2026 .
- Margin expansion is broad-based; automation (eGates) and ambassador redeployment to hospitality services (Concierge) are structural levers for operating leverage .
- Free cash flow raised to ≥$320M for FY 2025 despite incremental eGate CapEx and seasonal partner payment headwind; expect stronger FCF cadence outside the annual payment quarter .
- Near-term trading setup: positive revenue beat vs Street, aligned Q4 revenue guide, and FCF raise are supportive; clarity around Amex partnership renewal and continued eGate rollout could be incremental catalysts .
- Watch GDR stabilization as pricing impacts normalize; management sees stable retention patterns post Jul 1 pricing .
- International (>40 countries enabled) and major events (World Cup) provide incremental TAM tailwinds for Clear Plus demand .
Appendix: Additional Data
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Highlights (Q3)
- Cash and marketable securities: Cash $75.766M; marketable securities $454.876M; total cash + securities ≈$530.6M at 9/30/25 .
- Operating cash flow (Q3): $(47.299)M; Free Cash Flow $(53.470)M due to ~$229M annual credit card partner payment .
- Dividend: Quarterly cash dividend declared $0.125 per share, payable Dec 24, 2025 (record date Dec 10, 2025) .