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ZE

Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue declined to $8.78M as residential solar demand slowed; gross margin improved to 43.0% on operational efficiencies while adjusted EBITDA fell to $(6.35)M and net loss widened to $(13.32)M .
  • Sequentially, revenue fell from $18.65M in Q4 2024 to $8.78M; adjusted EBITDA swung from $3.14M to $(6.35)M as depreciation and amortization spiked to $4.90M .
  • Management announced a definitive agreement to acquire Heliogen to expand into long-duration clean energy and AI/data-center solutions and expressed confidence in 2H improvement as the summer sales season begins .
  • Catalysts: Nasdaq deficiency notices on late 10-K/10-Q filings and subsequent class-action investigations pressured shares (−9.91% on May 30 after the notice) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Gross margin improved to 43.0% from 29.9% YoY on cost reductions and labor efficiencies; CEO: “we successfully generated $8.8 million of revenue… [and] improved operational efficiencies in labor and a reduction in materials costs” .
  • Strategic expansion: definitive agreement to acquire Heliogen to establish a long-duration energy generation/storage division targeting AI/cloud data centers .
  • Preparedness for seasonality: “Recruited and retained adequate staff ahead of the peak summer sales season” to drive 2H momentum .

What Went Wrong

  • Demand headwinds: revenue down 56.4% YoY to $8.78M on high interest rates and seasonal slowdown in direct sales .
  • Profitability pressure: adjusted EBITDA margin fell to −72.3% and net loss widened to $(13.32)M; significant non-cash items (D&A $4.90M, stock comp $2.26M) impacted results .
  • Compliance overhang: Nasdaq notices for late filings and subsequent class-action firm investigations add listing and litigation risk .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD)$20.14M $18.65M $8.78M
Gross Profit ($USD)$6.00M $11.20M $3.80M
Gross Margin (%)29.9% 60.1% 43.0%
Net (Loss) ($USD)$(4.11)M $(1.14)M $(13.32)M
Net (Loss) Margin (%)(20.4%) (6.0% implied from totals) (151.6%)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$(0.47)M $3.14M $(6.35)M
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)(2.3%) 16.8% (72.3%)
Basic & Diluted Net Loss per Unit ($USD)$(1.54) $(0.04) $(0.48)

Segment/Revenue Mix

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue, net ($USD)$11.33M $14.63M $6.22M
Related party revenue, net ($USD)$8.81M $4.02M $2.57M
Total revenue ($USD)$20.14M $18.65M $8.78M

Operating/KPI snapshots

KPI ($USD)Q1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Sales & Marketing$6.55M $10.51M $2.14M
General & Administrative$3.22M $3.23M $10.47M
Depreciation & Amortization$0.46M $0.41M $4.90M
Cash from Operations (quarter)$(10.15)M N/A$(2.26)M
Cash & Equivalents (period end)$7.73M $5.63M $2.89M

Notes:

  • The sharp sequential drop in adjusted EBITDA was amplified by a large increase in depreciation and amortization ($4.90M vs $0.41M in Q4), plus stock-based compensation ($2.26M) .
  • Gross margin improved YoY despite lower volumes, reflecting efficiencies and materials cost reductions .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025Not providedNot provided; management expects “meaningful improvement in the latter half of the year”Maintained directional outlook
MarginsFY 2025Not providedNot providedN/A
OpExFY 2025Not providedNot providedN/A
OI&EFY 2025Not providedNot providedN/A
Tax rateFY 2025Not providedNot providedN/A
Segment guidanceFY 2025Not providedNot providedN/A
DividendsFY 2025Not applicableNot applicableN/A

Management did not provide numeric ranges in Q1 2025 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available after searching; trend table reflects press releases and filings.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Interest rate impact on demandHigher rates pressured direct sales all year Continued headwind; Q1 slowdown exacerbated by rates Persistent headwind
Seasonality“Limited sales in Q4 and Q1” acknowledged Staff recruited ahead of peak summer season Seasonal recovery expected in Q2–Q3
Gross margin/efficiencyMargin at 60.1% in Q4; efficiencies noted Margin 43.0%; efficiencies and material cost reductions Efficiency benefits continuing
Strategic M&ALumio assets integrated, expansion plan Heliogen acquisition agreement for long-duration/AI data centers Portfolio diversification
Compliance/listingLate 10-K (filed 5/28) Late 10-Q; plan to regain compliance by Oct 13 window Listing risk ongoing
Legal/regulatoryMultiple law-firm investor alerts in June Litigation overhang increased

Management Commentary

  • “We continued to navigate the challenging solar market and successfully generated $8.8 million of revenue… we were able to take advantage of the softer sector conditions by entering into a definitive agreement to acquire Heliogen… expand beyond traditional residential solar and into adjacent clean energy verticals… including artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing data centers.” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .
  • “As anticipated, in Q1 we experienced a slowdown due to the seasonality of our intensive summer sales model… exacerbated by the current high-interest rate environment… We remain confident in our full-year outlook. We expect meaningful improvement in the latter half of the year.” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was found; therefore Q&A highlights and clarifications are unavailable after document search (we searched for Q1 2025 earnings call transcripts but none were listed or retrievable).

Estimates Context

  • Consensus availability: S&P Global coverage did not provide consensus EPS, revenue, or estimate counts for Q1 2025; “Primary EPS Consensus Mean,” “Revenue Consensus Mean,” and estimate counts returned no values, indicating no published consensus to benchmark this quarter’s results. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • With no consensus, beats/misses vs Street estimates cannot be determined this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Residential solar demand softness plus seasonality drove revenue down to $8.78M and a net loss of $(13.32)M; profitability was heavily impacted by increased depreciation/amortization and stock compensation .
  • Despite lower volumes, gross margin improved YoY to 43.0% due to operational efficiencies and material cost reductions—a positive sign for unit economics as volumes return in peak season .
  • Sequential deterioration from Q4 2024 (revenue $18.65M; adjusted EBITDA $3.14M) underscores the importance of summer sales execution to stabilize cash burn (Q1 operating cash flow $(2.26)M) .
  • Strategic pivot via Heliogen acquisition targets long-duration energy generation/storage and AI/data centers, potentially diversifying revenue and enhancing balance sheet positioning .
  • Compliance and litigation overhang persists: Nasdaq notices on late filings and multiple investor alerts raise near-term listing and headline risks until the 10-Q filing and compliance plan are executed .
  • Expense mix shifted materially: G&A rose to $10.47M while sales & marketing fell to $2.14M, suggesting back-office/public-company cost absorption amid lower selling activity .
  • Related-party revenue declined materially vs Q1 2024 ($8.81M → $2.57M), contributing to total revenue contraction and potentially altering revenue mix risk .

Additional Notes on Document Coverage

  • Prior-quarter benchmarking: We used Q4 2024 results from the May 27, 2025 8-K. No Q3 2024 8-K/press release was available; YoY comparisons employ Q1 2024 data embedded in the Q1 2025 8-K .
  • Other relevant press releases: Nasdaq compliance notices (April 18 and May 29) and joint disclosure on the Heliogen merger agreement were read; external law-firm investor alerts in late June were noted as sentiment/overhang indicators .