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ZC

Zomedica Corp. (ZOM)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 delivered record third-quarter revenue of $7.0M, up slightly more than 10% year over year, with gross margin at 72.3%, above the company’s 65–70% target range .
  • Diagnostics revenue grew 38% YoY (TRUFORMA adoption), while Therapeutic Devices rose 8.5% YoY on a 24% rebound in PulseVet capital sales as the U.S. sales force returned to full strength .
  • Operating expenses fell 7% sequentially versus Q2 (excluding impairments), and adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA loss improved to approximately $4.3M; cash and investments ended at $77.8M with adjusted operating cash burn ~$4.0M for the quarter .
  • International momentum accelerated with CE marks across the portfolio and expanded distribution (e.g., Grovet EU), positioning 2025 for material international growth and leverage due to distributor-led sales and marketing .
  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for ZOM this quarter; therefore, beat/miss vs estimates cannot be assessed. Management reiterated confidence in ~70% margins and plans to reinitiate guidance after hiring a new CFO .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong top-line and margin performance: revenue $7.0M (+~10% YoY) and gross margin 72.3% (above target range) driven by Diagnostics (+38%) and PulseVet capital rebound (+24%) .
  • International expansion milestones: CE marks across products (including TRUVIEW) and distribution agreements in Europe, Middle East, and Latin America; management expects material global contribution in 2025 .
  • Cost discipline and operating leverage: sequential OpEx reduction vs Q2 excluding impairments (~$0.9M or 7%) and trending down adjusted operating cash burn ($6.9M → $5.2M → $4.0M across Q1–Q3) .

Quote: “We now have CE marking on all Zomedica products… To take advantage… we expanded our global reach through… leading distributors in new international markets.” — Larry Heaton

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability remains a challenge: net loss widened to $6.7M (vs $0.5M in Q3 2023, which benefited from a $2.2M one-time gain), and adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA loss was ~$4.3M .
  • Assisi comparison headwind: prior-year Q3 had a large initial distributor stocking order; consumables grew 6% YoY despite that tough comp, but it muted headline growth in Assisi products .
  • Capital sales vulnerability to macro: interest rate concerns weighed on Q2 capital sales; while Q3 rebounded, management noted lingering sensitivity and expanded flexible placement models to mitigate .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$6.3 $6.1 $7.0
Gross Margin (%)69% 71% 72.3%
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$0.5 $23.9 (incl. ~$16M impairments) $6.7
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.0005 $0.024 $0.007

Notes:

  • Q2 net loss includes ~$16M noncash impairments (SMP, Revo Squared, Assisi), inflating the reported loss; adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA loss in Q2 was ~$5.2M .
  • Q3 2023 comparison includes a $2.2M one-time gain related to SMP that benefited the prior-year quarter .

Segment Breakdown

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 2024Q3 2024
Diagnostics~$0.42 ~$0.5
Therapeutic Devices (PulseVet + Assisi)$5.7 $6.5

Product Category Breakdown

Product Category Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 2024Q3 2024
Capital$1.7 $2.2
Consumables$4.4 $4.8

KPIs and Liquidity

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & AFS Securities ($USD Millions)$90.9 $83.0 $77.8
Total Cash Used ($USD Millions)$9.6 $7.9 $5.1 (CFO) / ~$5.2 (PR)
Adjusted Operating Cash Burn ($USD Millions)~$4.4 ~$5.2 ~$4.0
Shares Outstanding (End of Period)979,949,668 979,949,668

Discrepancy note: Q3 total cash used cited as ~$5.1M by CFO and ~$5.2M in the press release; management attributes rounding and categorization differences to explain slight variances .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2024$31–$35 (Q1 PR) Suspended (Q2 call); to reinitiate under new CFO (Q3 call) Lowered (suspended)
Gross Margin (%)FY 202465–70% target; “approach and maybe exceed 70%” (Q2) ~70% expected; maintain 65–70% range going forward (Q3) Maintained (with positive execution)
Adjusted Operating Cash Burn ($USD Millions)FY 2024$12–$18; likely high end (Q2) Trending down sequentially; Q3 ~$4.0M; full-year range implication unchanged (Q3) Maintained (trajectory improving)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
AI / Technology (TRUVIEW)TRUVIEW AI interpretations planned; ear cytology protocol; CE mark progress (Q2) Field testing AI; faster imaging hardware; ear cytology protocol launched; aiming full launch early 2025 Advancing; nearing deployment
Capital Sales / Macro SensitivityQ2 headwinds: sales reps on leave; interest rate hesitation; flexible placement models contemplated (Q2) Rebound in Q3 (+24% PulseVet capital); rates stabilizing; flexible models implemented Improving; mitigation effective
International ExpansionLeader Healthcare (Middle East/Egypt/India) & SIRE (Costa Rica); CE marks for VetGuardian/TRUFORMA (Q2) CE mark for TRUVIEW; expanded EU coverage via Grovet; ~18% revenue mix international in Q3; approvals to target Japan Accelerating; 2025 material driver
TRUFORMA AssaysNew assays launched; focus on equine and canine; OTA updates (Q1/Q2) Pipeline additions: equine insulin, equine progesterone, canine progesterone, canine proBNP slated Q4 launch Expanding test menu
VetGuardianCE mark; cloud and warranty recurring revenue starting in year 2 (Q2) Audio enhancements; portal scaled to >8 monitors; equine version planned for 2025 Building adoption; product upgrades
Manufacturing / MarginsGA facility scaled 5x; MN automated line validation underway (Q2) MN robotic line live for most assays; margin benefit expected Operational leverage improving
Profitability MilestoneTarget cash-flow breakeven at ~$50M run-rate (prior) Affirmed ~$50M for cash-flow positive; timing likely 2026; goal remains aggressive Timeline extended modestly

Management Commentary

  • “Record third quarter revenue and a double-digit increase… PulseVet capital sales rebounded… complemented by 38% growth in our Diagnostics segment, led by continued adoption of TRUFORMA.” — Larry Heaton
  • “We now have broad regulatory approval to sell our entire product portfolio throughout Europe… signed a number of promising international distribution agreements… anticipate [they] will accelerate commercial adoption globally.” — Larry Heaton
  • “In the quarter, gross margin was a strong 72.3%, which is slightly better than the high end of our previously stated target range of 65% to 70% and higher than last year's 69%.” — Mike Zuehlke
  • “Adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA loss was approximately $4.3M… cash used in the quarter was approximately $5.1M… adjusted operating cash burn… $4M.” — Mike Zuehlke
  • “We continue to expect that we will be cash flow positive once we hit $50 million in annualized revenue… previously said by 2026… an aggressive goal we’re shooting to achieve.” — Larry Heaton

Q&A Highlights

  • Growth outlook and guidance: Management expects sequential growth to continue and plans to reinitiate formal guidance after a new CFO is hired; confidence in broad-based revenue increases across Diagnostics and Therapeutics .
  • Margins and OpEx: Gross margins anticipated around ~70% within 65–70% range; OpEx as % of revenue expected to decline as scale improves and nonrecurring items subside .
  • Profitability path: Cash-flow breakeven targeted at ~$50M run-rate; timeline realistically pushed toward 2026 given 2024 industry-wide demand softness .
  • Capital allocation and listing: No buyback planned; focus on organic growth and accretive M&A; exchange recognizes ZOM’s liquidity and operations, but management acknowledges listing risk if price declines precipitously .
  • International contribution: International ~15–20% of revenue historically; Q3 ~18%; distributor-led model adds revenue with limited OpEx, expected to be material in 2025 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for ZOM Q3 2024 were unavailable, preventing a beat/miss assessment relative to Street expectations. Management commentary suggests internal targets were met or exceeded for gross margin and capital sales rebound, but no formal revenue/earnings guidance was provided in Q3 pending CFO appointment .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue and margin resilience: Q3 revenue $7.0M and 72.3% gross margin demonstrate demand recovery and operational leverage; margin durability supports medium-term profitability plans .
  • PulseVet capital rebound as leading indicator: +24% capital sales and stronger consumables position 2025 for higher recurring revenue; flexible placement models mitigate macro sensitivity .
  • Diagnostics growth vector: TRUFORMA assay expansions and TRUVIEW AI launch roadmap broaden consumable mix and lift margins; over-the-air updates reduce adoption friction .
  • International optionality: CE-marked portfolio and expanded EU/Middle East/LatAm distribution add non-U.S. growth drivers with limited OpEx burden; expect a more material contribution in 2025 .
  • Cash runway intact: $77.8M liquidity, no debt, and declining adjusted operating cash burn provide ample runway to reach targeted scale and support selective, earnings-accretive M&A .
  • Near-term trading catalysts: Additional assay launches (Q4), continued PulseVet and VetGuardian adoption, and international distributor ramp; watch for CFO hire and potential guidance reinitiation .
  • Risk monitor: Listing compliance risks at low share price; macro interest rates can affect capital sales; execution on international onboarding and AI rollouts key to maintaining growth trajectory .