ZI
Zscaler, Inc. (ZS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Zscaler delivered a clear beat in Q3 FY25: revenue $678.0M (+23% YoY) vs S&P Global consensus $667.1M, and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.84 vs consensus $0.758; management cited strong platform demand and improved sales productivity as drivers *.
- Guidance raised across FY25 metrics: revenue to $2.659–$2.661B, billings to $3.184–$3.189B, non-GAAP operating income to $573–$575M, and EPS to $3.18–$3.19; Q4 guidance initiated at revenue $705–$707M and non-GAAP EPS $0.79–$0.80 .
- Strategic catalysts: announced definitive agreement to acquire Red Canary (expected close Aug-2025) to accelerate AI-powered SecOps; CFO transition to Kevin Rubin; and launch of Zflex purchasing program contributing >$65M TCV in Q3 .
- Narrative moving stock: beat-and-raise quarter, RPO near $5B and best Q3 TCV bookings >$1B, plus expanding AI security and Zero Trust Everywhere footprint (Zero Trust enterprises grew to >210, +60% QoQ) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record bookings and backlog: “best Q3 with TCV bookings of over $1 billion” and RPO ≈$4.978B (+30% YoY), underpinning forward demand .
- Platform adoption and new programs: Zflex launched, contributing >$65M TCV; stronger upsell/new logo momentum including Zero Trust branch and cloud .
- AI security traction: Management emphasized proprietary high-fidelity data powering AI security, protecting 50M+ users and processing 100T transactions last year; expanding GenAI protections and agentic operations .
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What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: Non-GAAP gross margin 80% (down vs year-ago), Q3 free cash flow margin 18% (vs 22% YoY), with data center CapEx at ~11% of revenue for new products/AI infrastructure .
- GAAP profitability: GAAP net loss of $4.1M (vs GAAP net income of $19.1M in Q3 FY24), reflecting elevated stock-based comp and investments .
- Macro and deal scrutiny: Management noted ongoing large-deal scrutiny and tight IT budgets, albeit cyber/AI priorities are helping deals close; DBNRR at 114% may fluctuate as larger bundles land upfront .
Financial Results
Q3 vs S&P Global Consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our strong Q3 results demonstrate growing demand for our platform and continued improvement in our sales productivity…best Q3 with TCV bookings of over $1 billion…RPO are now nearly $5 billion.” — Jay Chaudhry, CEO .
- “Zflex allows customers to flexibly scale their adoption of our platform…Zflex commitments contributed over $65 million in TCV bookings.” — Jay Chaudhry .
- “For the fourth quarter, we expect revenue in the range of $705–$707 million…EPS $0.79–$0.80…Based on our strong Q3 performance, we're increasing our full year guidance across all metrics.” — Remo Canessa, CFO .
- “The proposed acquisition of Red Canary is a natural expansion…to accelerate our vision of AI-powered SOC of the future.” — Jay Chaudhry on Red Canary .
- “I believe we remain on track to increase sales productivity and achieve strong growth…ARR $3B or more by year-end.” — Jay Chaudhry .
Q&A Highlights
- Zflex structure and metrics: Designed to simplify procurement, enable module swaps/additions at pre-set pricing; contracts trending from 3 years to 4–5 years; ZS plans shift to ARR reporting in FY26 .
- Macro commentary: Tight budgets and scrutiny persist; cyber priorities (Zero Trust, AI security) plus cost-savings drive deal closures .
- Red Canary acquisition: Complements Avalor data fabric; agentic AI in production; expected close Aug-2025; net neutral to FY26 op margin with ~half of $140M ARR retained post-integration .
- Branch Connector/Zero Trust branch: 59% of branch buyers are new logos; plug-and-play appliance integrating segmentation; large-scale deployments contemplated .
- Federal outlook: In line in Q3; not expecting Q4 strength; presence in 14/15 Cabinet agencies; positioned to reduce legacy cost and complexity .
Estimates Context
- Q3 FY25 results vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $678.0M vs $667.1M* (beat); EPS $0.84 vs $0.758* (beat). Number of estimates: EPS 41*, Revenue 38* .
- Implications: Consensus likely to move higher for FY25 and FY26 given raised full-year guidance and stronger backlog (RPO ~$5B) .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise quarter with durable backlog: Strong revenue/EPS beats and increased FY25 guidance supported by RPO ~$5B and record Q3 bookings; near-term positive for sentiment .
- AI security and SecOps expansion: Red Canary adds MDR/Threat Intel and agentic AI, enhancing ZS’ data fabric–centric SecOps vision; medium-term driver as integration proceeds .
- New purchasing mechanics and platform breadth: Zflex lowers friction, encourages upfront platform commitments; expect larger bundles and duration to support ARR growth into FY26 .
- Margin trajectory: Non-GAAP gross margin ~80% near-term as fast-growing new products are optimized for GTM; FCF margin compression in Q3 reflects elevated data center CapEx; watch FY25 FCF margin guide (~25.5–26%) .
- Zero Trust Everywhere momentum: Branch/cloud expansion and new logos point to incremental TAM within existing accounts; workload protection ARR accelerating .
- Federal and macro: Timing remains lumpy with continued deal scrutiny, but Zero Trust + ROI messaging resonates; exposure balanced by pipeline and partner-enabled execution .
- Capital allocation: Convertible notes maturity to be settled in cash/equity in Q4; ~$675M cash outflow expected Q1 FY26 for Red Canary; liquidity strong with $3.0B cash/ST investments .
Additional Q3 Press Releases and Events
- Announced definitive agreement to acquire Red Canary (MDR) to accelerate AI-powered SOC; expected close Aug-2025 .
- CFO appointment: Kevin Rubin joins as CFO to drive scale; transition from Remo Canessa .
- Investor innovations briefing at Zenith Live; unveiling AI-focused data security, segmentation, and ZDX Network Intelligence upgrades .