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Matthew Blair

Research Analyst at TPH & Co.

Matthew Blair is Managing Director of Refiners, Chemicals, and Renewable Fuels Research at TPH & Co., covering key companies such as Green Plains Inc., Valero, Marathon Petroleum, and Phillips 66 with industry-leading analysis on performance metrics and market margins. His research has spotlighted trends like refiners' robust year-to-date gains and diesel crack margins averaging $17 per barrel, providing actionable insights for investor returns. Blair began his finance career at Quellos Capital Management and held analyst roles at Franklin Templeton Investments, Passport Capital, and Macquarie Capital before joining TPH & Co., where he has established a reputation for deep sector expertise. As a CFA charterholder with an MBA from UC Berkeley Haas and a BA from Puget Sound, he brings strong academic and professional credentials to his equity research role.

Matthew Blair's questions to Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) leadership

Question · Q4 2025

Matthew Blair of TPH & Co. asked about the continuation of robust ethanol exports in 2026, identifying new markets beyond India, and the likelihood and potential uplift to the Carbohydrate Solutions business from E15 adoption.

Answer

Chair and CEO Juan Luciano emphasized the U.S.'s competitive position in global ethanol markets, citing potential growth in countries like Vietnam and Japan. He expressed optimism for E15 adoption, noting its technical feasibility and cost-effectiveness as an oxygenate, and highlighted ADM's diversified model and readiness to capitalize on market opportunities.

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Fintool can predict Archer-Daniels-Midland logo ADM's earnings beat/miss a week before the call

Question · Q4 2025

Matthew Blair of TPH & Co. asked about the continuation of robust ethanol exports in 2026, seeking information on incremental market opportunities beyond India, the likelihood of E15 adoption, and any potential uplift to ADM's Carbohydrate Solutions business if E15 passes.

Answer

Chair and CEO Juan Luciano highlighted the U.S.'s competitiveness in global ethanol markets, mentioning countries like Vietnam and Japan as potential growth areas. He expressed optimism about E15 adoption, noting no technical issues, but emphasized timing as key. Luciano also pointed to the future potential of low carbon intensity ethanol from carbon capture and sequestration for avenues like SAF, reinforcing the strength of ADM's diversified model.

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Fintool can write a report on Archer-Daniels-Midland logo ADM's next earnings in your company's style and formatting

Matthew Blair's questions to Montauk Renewables (MNTK) leadership

Question · Q2 2024

Matthew Blair of TPH & Co. asked why Montauk Renewables maintained its full-year RNG production guidance despite Q2 weather challenges and inquired about the strategy for monetizing Q3 RIN production after holding back inventory in Q2.

Answer

CFO Kevin Van Asdalan explained that guidance was held steady because planned second-half well-field investments and optimizations are expected to offset the weather-related production losses from the first half. CEO Sean McClain added that the RIN monetization strategy is driven by placing attributes directly with obligated parties, not market timing, and their cash position affords them this flexibility.

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Fintool can predict Montauk Renewables logo MNTK's earnings beat/miss a week before the call